MMA Lock of the Night

MMA analyst and betting creator

MMA Lock of the Night provides fight breakdowns covering UFC, PFL, Contender Series, LFA and Cage Warriors. Its creator, Manpreet, says his background includes working at an MMA gym and cornering amateur fighters.

Scorecard

Called 67 of 88 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.

  • Winner Accuracy 76.1% 67 21
  • Method Accuracy 51.9% 14 13
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4

Hit Miss

The running record

Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.

Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field

Winnerof resolved calls

67 of 88 — 76% now, from 73% at their first scored card.

Card by card

Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.

  1. Crypto.com UFC 331 9 hit · 3 miss
  2. Silva vs. Delgado 10 hit · 3 miss
  3. UFC 329 8 hit · 4 miss
  4. Machado Garry vs Prates 12 hit · 2 miss
  5. Dern vs Ribas 2 11 hit · 3 miss
  6. UFC 306 1 hit · 0 miss
  7. UFC 302 1 hit · 0 miss
  8. UFC 300 2 hit · 0 miss
  9. UFC 294 0 hit · 1 miss
  10. UFC Fight Night 221 0 hit · 1 miss
  11. UFC 284 0 hit · 1 miss
  12. UFC 280 1 hit · 0 miss
  13. Makhachev vs. Green 1 hit · 0 miss
  14. UFC 254 1 hit · 0 miss
  15. UFC 246 1 hit · 0 miss
  16. UFC 242 1 hit · 0 miss
  17. UFC Fight Night 149 8 hit · 3 miss

Call History

Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.

underdog pick   favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.

Crypto.com UFC 331

Van vs. Pantoja 2

Sep 19, 2026 · Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California

▶ Crypto.com UFC 331 12 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 9 3
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · KO/TKOBrito · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · KO/TKOO'Neill · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · DecVera · KO/TKO R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · KO/TKOShahbazyan · Dec R3HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1Gandra · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · DecAswell Jr. · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKODespaigne · Dec R3HitMissNot called
Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Menifield · KO/TKO · R1Menifield · Dec R3HitMissMiss
Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKOSharaf · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 30.1%. Pitbull · KO/TKOPitbull · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · Sub · R2Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1HitMissMiss
Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKOVan · Dec R5HitMissNot called

Silva vs. Delgado

Sep 12, 2026 · Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona

▶ Silva vs. Delgado 13 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 76.9% 10 3
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Tarin · DecTarin · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 65.5%. King · KO/TKOKing · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Rongzhu · DecRongzhu · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Gantt · DecGantt · Sub R3HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Belgaroui · KO/TKOBelgaroui · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Bahamondes · KO/TKOBahamondes · Dec R3HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Chairez · SubElliott · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Martinez · DecMartinez · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Cortes-Acosta · KO/TKOBlaydes · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Fiorot · DecGrasso · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 60.5%. McMillen · KO/TKOMcMillen · Dec R3HitMissNot called
Moreno · DecMoreno · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 78.0%. Silva · KO/TKOSilva · Sub R3HitMissNot called

UFC 329

McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada

▶ UFC 329 12 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Durden · DecCosta · Sub R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · SubGandra · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Almeida · KO/TKOPinas · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Cortez · DecWang · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · DecRiley · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yañez · KO/TKOYañez · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1Steveson · KO/TKO R1HitHitHit
Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · KO/TKOWhittaker · KO/TKO R3HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 49.5%. McKinney · KO/TKOGreen · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Bautista · DecBautista · Dec R3HitHitNot called
Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · DecPimblett · Sub R1HitMissNot called
Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKOHolloway · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called

Machado Garry vs Prates

Apr 26, 2025 · T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO, United States

▶ Machado Garry vs Prates 14 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Machado Garry · to winMachado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5HitNot calledNot called
Zhang · to winZhang · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Onama · to winOnama · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Pereira · to winMagomedov · Decision - Unanimous R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brown · to winBrown · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Aliskerov · to winAliskerov · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Flick · to winSchnell · Decision - Unanimous R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Elder · to winElder · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Gutiérrez · to winGutiérrez · Decision - Split R3HitNot calledNot called
Blackshear · to winBlackshear · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Wellmaker · to winWellmaker · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Amorim · to winAmorim · Sub R2HitNot calledNot called
Cuamba · to winCuamba · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Edwards · to winEdwards · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called

Dern vs Ribas 2

Jan 11, 2025 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV, United States

▶ Dern vs Ribas 2 14 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 78.6% 11 3
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Kopylov · to winKopylov · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
Soriano · to winSoriano · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Ogden · to winMoisés · Decision - Unanimous R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Kareckaitė · to winKareckaitė · Decision - Split R3HitNot calledNot called
Ribas · to winDern · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Ponzinibbio · to winPonzinibbio · KO/TKO R3HitNot calledNot called
Almeida · to winAlmeida · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Rodriguez · to winRodriguez · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Johnson · to winBunes · Sub R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Tulio · to winTulio · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Smith · to winSmith · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Lopes · to winLopes · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called
Kline · to winKline · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Aliev · to winAliev · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called

UFC 306

Riyadh Season Noche UFC

Sep 14, 2024 · Sphere, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

▶ UFC 306 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Dvalishvili · to winDvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5HitNot calledNot called

UFC 302

Makhachev vs. Poirier

Jun 1, 2024 · Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, United States

▶ UFC 302 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Makhachev · to winMakhachev · Submission (D'Arce choke) R5HitNot calledNot called

UFC 300

Pereira vs. Hill

Apr 13, 2024 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

▶ UFC 300 2 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 2
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Tsarukyan · to winTsarukyan · Decision (split) R3HitNot calledNot called
Holloway · to winHolloway · KO R5HitNot calledNot called

UFC 294

Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Oct 21, 2023 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

▶ UFC 294 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Volkanovski · to winMakhachev · KO/TKO (head kick and punches) R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

UFC Fight Night 221

Yan vs. Dvalishvili

Mar 11, 2023 · The Theater at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

▶ UFC Fight Night 221 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Yan · to winDvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

UFC 284

Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Feb 11, 2023 · RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia, Australia

▶ UFC 284 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Volkanovski · to winMakhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

UFC 280

Oliveira vs. Makhachev

Oct 22, 2022 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

▶ UFC 280 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Makhachev · to winMakhachev · Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2HitNot calledNot called

Makhachev vs. Green

Feb 26, 2022 · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

▶ Makhachev vs. Green 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Makhachev · to winMakhachev · KO/TKO (punches) R1HitNot calledNot called

UFC 254

Khabib vs. Gaethje

Oct 24, 2020 · Flash Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

▶ UFC 254 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Nurmagomedov · to winNurmagomedov · Technical Submission (triangle choke) R2HitNot calledNot called

UFC 246

McGregor vs. Cowboy

Jan 18, 2020 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

▶ UFC 246 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
McGregor · to winMcGregor · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called

UFC 242

Khabib vs. Poirier

Sep 7, 2019 · The Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

▶ UFC 242 1 pick logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Makhachev · to winMakhachev · Decision - Unanimous R3HitNot calledNot called

UFC Fight Night 149

Apr 20, 2019 · Yubileyny Sports Palace, Saint Petersburg, Russia

▶ UFC Fight Night 149 11 picks logged for this card

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Overeem · to winOvereem · TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Makhachev · to winMakhachev · Decision (unanimous) R3HitNot calledNot called
Pavlovich · to winPavlovich · KO R1HitNot calledNot called
Shevchenko · to winModafferi · Decision (split) R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jotko · to winJotko · Decision (unanimous) R3HitNot calledNot called
Evloev · to winEvloev · Decision (unanimous) R3HitNot calledNot called
Aliev · to winAliev · Decision (unanimous) R3HitNot calledNot called
da Silva Coelho · to winYakovlev · Submission (guillotine) R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Abdurakhimov · to winAbdurakhimov · TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Oleksiejczuk · to winOleksiejczuk · KO R1HitNot calledNot called
Fiziev · to winMustafaev · TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Videos

Every source clip behind MMA Lock of the Night's logged calls.

Watch all of MMA Lock of the Night's video picks in the library