Menifield vs Baraniewski — Light Heavyweight · Crypto.com UFC 331
Red corner
- 18-6-1
- Record
- 9-0-0
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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Blue corner
Expectations
- 31%
- Market — blue corner favoredMarket expectations4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
- 69%
4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
- 18-6-1
- Record
- 9-0-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Nationality
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Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Menifield
Menifield brings veteran power and physical pressure.
Case for Baraniewski
Baraniewski brings a developing light heavyweight challenge.
What to Watch
- Who controls the pocket.
- Whether the bout reaches a sustained pace.
Analysts
Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.
Verified picks coming soon.
Odds
What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.
Sportsbook consensus · Who wins
Favoured: Baraniewski
All 4 books consensus 31%
- BetOnline.ag30%−1
- BetRivers34%+3
- DraftKings31%0
- FanDuel32%+1
4 books within 4 points
Vig-stripped win probability for Menifield at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.
Fan Picks
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