BetSam is a betting analyst on the We Want Picks team.
Scorecard
Called 16 of 26 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
16 of 26 — 62% now, from 40% at their first scored card.
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Method
40% 4 of 10 correct winners that named a method
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Round
1 of 2 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
1 of 4 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 0 hit · 1 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 4 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 329 10 hit · 2 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 2 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 43.3%. Barcelos · to win | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
BetSam picks Raoni Barcelos to win, citing his stronger body of work and experience while acknowledging Raul Rosas Jr.'s grappling threat. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
BetSam picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout over Ozzy Diaz. “Let's get a Ryan Gandra round one KO over Aussie Diaz here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO · R1 | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
BetSam picks Robelis Despaigne by first-round knockout over Tai Tuivasa. “Rebellas by knockout probably round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
BetSam picks Charles Jourdain, with submission-or-decision language rather than a single scored method. “I'm going to go Charles Shardane by submission or decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO · R1 | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
BetSam picks Iwo Baraniewski by first-round knockout over Alonzo Menifield. “Bernki puts Alonzo Minfield out. I think he does it in round one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · Dec | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
BetSam picks Dooho Choi by decision over Patrício Pitbull. “I'm going to say Duho Choy wins this fight via decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
BetSam picks Arman Tsarukyan to defeat Maurício Ruffy. “Give me Arman Suki and to go out here and defeat Mauricio Huffy.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKO | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
BetSam picks Joshua Van by knockout over Alexandre Pantoja. “Give me Joshua Van to win this fight by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 10 2
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Costa · KO/TKO | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Alessandro Costa wins by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to go Ryan Gandre to win this fight by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to go with Damian Pinas to win this fight by round one KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · KO/TKO | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to go with Kon Wang by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Luke Riley to win this fight by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yañez · KO/TKO | Yañez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Yanez by KO, my official prediction.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Robert Whittaker by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Green · to win | Green · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm taking a dice roll here on old head, King Green.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Give me Loneer Kavanagh to go out here and knock out Brandon Royval.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · to win | Bautista · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Give me Cory Sandhagen by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · Sub | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Pick Paddy Pimblett to win this fight via submission.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Max Holloway to win this fight, and Max Holloway to also win by finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Horiguchi · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
BetSam picks Kyoji Horiguchi; the finish language is presented only as a scenario, so method and round are not applicable. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · Sub | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Diego Lopes by submission. “Official prediction for this fight, I’m going to go with Diego Lopes by submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · Sub | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Bo Nickal by submission. “Bo Nickal, official prediction by submission.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · Dec | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Sean O’Malley by decision. “I’ll say Sean O’Malley wins this fight by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Alex Pereira by knockout. “Picking Alex Pereira to win this fight by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Ilia Topuria by knockout. “Official prediction, I’m going to go Ilia Topuria by knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind BetSam's logged calls.