Tsarukyan vs Ruffy — Lightweight · Crypto.com UFC 331

Scheduled · 19 Sep 2026 Crypto.com UFC 331 · Lightweight · 3 rounds · Los Angeles, California
Arman Tsarukyan, head-and-shoulders portrait
Akhalkalakets
Record Record: 23-3-0
Wins
23
Losses
3
Draws
0
9KO/TKO
6Sub
8Dec

Red corner

23-3-0
Record
14-2-0
29
Age
29
1.70 m
Height — Ruffy leads
1.80 m
184 cm
Reach — Ruffy leads
191 cm
3.85
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Ruffy leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.19
65%
Finish rateFinish % — Ruffy leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
92%
Maurício Ruffy, head-and-shoulders portrait
One Shot
Record Record: 14-2-0
Wins
14
Losses
2
Draws
0
13KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec

Blue corner

Expectations

74%
Market — red corner favoredMarket expectations4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
26%

4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.

Full Tale of the Tape · +11 more stats · radar
23-3-0
Record
14-2-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
9
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Ruffy leads
13
6
Wins by submissionSub wins — Tsarukyan leads
0
1.80
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Tsarukyan leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.83
55%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ruffy leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
59%
75%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Ruffy leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
86%
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
9:00
Armenia
Nationality
Brazil
American Top Team · Coconut Creek
Team
Fighting Nerds · São Paulo

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

What to expect

Case for Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan brings elite wrestling and top-control pressure.

Case for Ruffy

Ruffy brings explosive striking and finishing threat.

What to Watch

  • Wrestling pressure against open-space striking.
  • Who wins the first major exchange.

Analysts

Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.

Verified picks coming soon.

Odds

What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.

Sportsbook consensus · Who wins

74% Arman Tsarukyan
26% Maurício Ruffy Money moved toward Maurício Ruffy since the market opened: ▲ 1 since open

Favoured: Tsarukyan

All 4 books consensus 74%

  • BetOnline.ag74%0
  • BetRivers75%+1
  • DraftKings74%0
  • FanDuel75%+1

4 books within 1 point

Vig-stripped win probability for Tsarukyan at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.

4 sportsbooks as of 12 Sep 12:38 UTC · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Videos

Signature clips and the lead-up to this fight.

Before the fight · 2 clips
Signature moments

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Fighters

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