Crypto.com UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2  19 Sep 2026 · Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California, US

Joanderson Brito defeats Giga Chikadze by KO/TKO

Loss Giga Chikadze 15-7-0
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 1:57

Chikadze vs Brito — Featherweight · Crypto.com UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Brito's pressure forced Chikadze to work before the veteran kickboxer could settle into a long-range rhythm.

The opening exchange stayed dangerous, but Brito kept advancing and found the finish before the fight could develop.

Brito ended the bout with strikes at 1:57 of round one for a quick early-prelim knockout.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Chikadze

Chikadze brings a high-level kicking game.

Case for Brito

Brito brings pressure and finishing intent.

What We Were Watching For

  • Kicking range against closing pressure.
  • Who wins the first extended exchange.
Records & career stats
15-6-0
Record
19-5-1
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Georgia
Nationality
Brazil
37
Age
31
6′0″183 cm
Height — Chikadze leads
5′8″173 cm
74″188 cm
Reach — Chikadze leads
72″183 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
67%
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
Source pending
9
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
—
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Brito leads
8
3.75
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Chikadze leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.53
3.55
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Brito leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.31
59%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Chikadze leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
44%
66%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Chikadze leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
58%
12:05
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:18
Giga Chikadze Academy
Team
Marajo Brothers Team

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Giga Chikadze · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

The MMA Guru transcript pick: Giga Chikadze by Decision.

“So I'm gonna go with Jaci getting this one done in a very close decision win as an upset to kick off the card.”

Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).

View full track record (322 calls)
Nick Kalikas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Giga Chikadze

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Nick Kalikas on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
Zain Bando

Current pick evidence

Picked: Giga Chikadze

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
Andrew Sumian

Current pick evidence

Picked: Giga Chikadze

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Giga Chikadze.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Giga Chikadze

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Giga Chikadze.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
Coby Castor MMA & FB

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Coby Castor MMA & FB picks Joanderson Brito by first-round submission.

“My prediction for this fight, I will take you Anderson Breto to get it done via round one submission.”

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 1 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 1 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (1 calls)
UFC GamblingAddicts

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joanderson Brito, describing Brito's pressure, wrestling, and grappling as the matchup problem for an aging Giga Chikadze.

“My first prediction has to be Joanderson Brito to get the win.”

Track record: winner called in 19 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 82.6% (19 hit, 4 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 23 resolved calls).

View full track record (23 calls)
TheWagerZone ™

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

TheWagerZone transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO.

“Give me Joanderson Brito and I'm going to say he wins by knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 78.6% (11 hit, 3 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 14 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 14 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Couch Warrior Podcast

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Couch Warrior Podcast selects Joanderson Brito in the final UFC 331 pick recap.

“For picks, I'm going Brito.”

Track record: winner called in 9 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 75.0% (9 hit, 3 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).

View full track record (12 calls)
MMA Tugg

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMA Tugg transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by submission.

“Give me Joanderson Brito to win this fight by submission. Giga's a good fighter, but I think he's washed... Give me Brito by sub, man.”

Track record: winner called in 9 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 75.0% (9 hit, 3 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).

View full track record (12 calls)
Dissection Of Violence

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Dissection Of Violence transcript pick: Joanderson Brito (winner only).

“I got to go with Breto here.”

Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (11 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Bedtime MMA transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by decision.

“We're going to go with Joanderson Brito to win the decision.”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

TheWeasle transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by Submission in round 2.

“So, I'm going to go Jo Anderson Breto submitting Giga Shikad in the second round.”

Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).

View full track record (163 calls)
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

FightIQ's public record lists Joanderson Brito as its pick over Giga Chikadze.

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Lucas Tracy transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO.

“I am going to pick Joanderson Brito. I think he's going to knock Giga Chikadze out.”

Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.7% (44 hit, 21 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.5% (10 hit, 6 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.9% (7 hit, 11 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Tom Feely expects Brito's pressure to eventually break through and produce a second-round knockout.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMA Lock of the Night picks Joanderson Brito, writing that Brito should win and eventually find the knockout.

Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).

View full track record (126 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

AJ picks Joanderson Brito, expecting pressure and a submission route to neutralize Chikadze's kicking range.

“Breto by sub.”

Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).

View full track record (264 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed DFS By The Numbers selection.

“I'm going to say he gets to the back and I'm going to say he subs him. We'll say first round.”

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMA Husky Hustler transcript pick: Joanderson Brito (winner only).

“Give me Joanderson Brito.”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.5% (20 hit, 11 miss, across 31 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (6 hit, 12 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 31 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 31 resolved calls).

View full track record (31 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Picks Joanderson Brito to win, describing a pressure route to a finish.

“I think he wins. I think he finds a finish.”

Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).

View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

138 MMA transcript pick: Joanderson Brito.

“I think it's Joanderson Brito. Got to take Joanderson Brito.”

Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMA JOEY picks Joanderson Brito by decision, expecting Brito to crowd Giga Chikadze, force a brawl, and wear him down.

“So, I'm going to say Bri 2 gets it done. I'll say he gets it done via decision.”

Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).

View full track record (125 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed HopperoMMA selection.

“I'm going to go with Yannis and Brit to get this one done by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
James Lynch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists James Lynch on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).

View full track record (59 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Lucrative James picks Joanderson Brito by submission after describing Brito's wrestling and grappling edge.

“That's my prediction for the fight, boys. He's a big favorite. I'm not going to spend too long with Breto via submission is my official prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)
Source unavailable — 6:01 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAPG transcript pick: Joanderson Brito by Decision.

“Breo to win this fight via decision here.”

Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.4% (41 hit, 28 miss, across 69 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.7% (15 hit, 11 miss, across 26 method-scored calls on 69 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 69 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 69 resolved calls).

View full track record (69 calls)
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes includes Joanderson Brito in its UFC 331 full-card parlay.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Joanderson Brito by second-round submission.

“I have Joanderson Brito via second round submission.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).

View full track record (63 calls)
Marcel Dorff

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Big Marcel (Marcel Dorff) on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.6% (17 hit, 12 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).

View full track record (29 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed Kunath selection.

“If you don't take Joe Anderson Breu by submission, this game is not for you.”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Angelo Bodetti

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed We Want Picks selection.

“I do not see Jo Anderson Breitu losing here.”

Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).

View full track record (50 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Artem MMA cites Chikadze’s decline and Brito’s finishing grappling threat.

“I'm going to roll with a Breto submission.”

Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).

View full track record (95 calls)
Adam Martin

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Adam Martin on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.5% (23 hit, 17 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
LF MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

LF MMA picks Joanderson Brito over Giga Chikadze, citing Brito's power and submission threat.

“give me Brito”

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Anatoly Pimentel

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Anatoly Pimentel's BetMGM UFC 331 preview predicts Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).

View full track record (22 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Written pick by Chris Schweppe.

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).

View full track record (116 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Daniel Levy transcript pick: Joanderson Brito (winner only).

“Joe Anderson Breurto is going to come out here and get a finish.”

Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).

View full track record (109 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed TonyHasDiedMMA selection.

“I got Joe Anderson Breurto by decision, and that is my prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).

View full track record (53 calls)
MikesMMAPicks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists MikesMMAPicks on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Both hosts agree with Joanderson Brito as the side, while leaving the method open.

“I agree with that.”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Bert MMA picks Joanderson Brito to win, while noting Giga Chikadze remains live if the fight stays standing.

“I still feel good about Joanderson.”

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
Uselyis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Dec

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed Uselyis selection.

“Give me Brito by 29-28 decision.”

Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
NolanKnowsMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Takes Joanderson Brito to win by finish, citing Brito's aggressive grappling and submission path against Giga Chikadze.

“I'm going Bri 2 by finish in fight number one minus 140.”

Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).

View full track record (5 calls)
Chris White

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker's UFC 331 staff-picks table lists Chris White on Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

FIGHT//AI’s selected value bet names Joanderson Brito.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
Punters Edge

Current pick evidence

Picked: Joanderson Brito · Sub

Fight result: Joanderson Brito · KO/TKO

Transcript-reviewed Punters Edge selection.

“I'm taking Breo to win this fight by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 4 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)

Analyst picks: Coby Castor MMA & FB Hit; UFC GamblingAddicts Hit; TheWagerZone ™ Hit; Couch Warrior Podcast Hit; MMA Tugg Hit; Dissection Of Violence Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; FightIQ Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; Tom Feely Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; DFS By The Numbers Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; We Want Picks Hit; 138 MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Hit; MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Kunath Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Adam Martin Hit; LF MMA Hit; Anatoly Pimentel Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Half The Battle Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Nick Kalikas Miss; Bert MMA Hit; Zain Bando Miss; Uselyis Hit; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Miss; NolanKnowsMMA Hit; Chris White Hit; FIGHT//AI Hit; Punters Edge Hit.

43 of 48 nailed it.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Brito · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability Claude put 80% on Brito.

ChatGPTForecast: 63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
31% Chikadze
69% Brito
PickBrito · Submission · R2ActualBrito · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundMissHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
ClaudeForecast: 61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
20% Chikadze
80% Brito
PickBrito · DecisionActualBrito · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
GeminiForecast: 68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
24% Chikadze
76% Brito
PickBrito · Submission · R1ActualBrito · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundHitHistoric market favouriteHistoric market favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Historic market favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight callsFrozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.

AI Predictions

Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.

  • ChatGPT

    63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Brito

    Most likely: a tie between Brito by submission and Brito by decision, about 24 in 100 each

    Win chance: Chikadze 31%, Brito 69%.

    gpt-6-astra · 18 Sep

    Confidence 7 of 10 · High

  • Claude

    61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

    Pick Brito

    Most likely: Brito by decision, about 35 in 100

    Win chance: Chikadze 20%, Brito 80%.

    claude-sonnet-5 · 18 Sep

    Confidence 8 of 10 · High

  • Gemini

    68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

    Pick Brito

    Most likely: Brito by submission, about 34 in 100

    Win chance: Chikadze 24%, Brito 76%.

    Version not reported · 18 Sep

    Confidence 8 of 10 · High

3 of 3 models pick Brito.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 31%.

  • Claude

    Brito: 80% (about 80 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 20%.

  • Gemini

    Brito: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 24%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • ChatGPT

    A tie: Brito by submission and Brito by decision, 24% each (about 24 in 100 each).

  • Claude

    Brito by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Brito by submission: 34% (about 34 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • ChatGPT

    1. Brito by submission (24%); 1. Brito by decision (24%); 3. Brito by KO/TKO (21%)

  • Claude

    1. Brito by decision (35%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (30%); 3. Brito by submission (15%)

  • Gemini

    1. Brito by submission (34%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Brito by decision (21%)

How confident is the model?
  • ChatGPT

    7 of 10, based on Brito's 69% win chance.

  • Claude

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 80% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 68%. Decision: 32%.

How does Chikadze win?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%, decision 19%.

  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%, decision 8%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%, decision 11%.

How does Brito win?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito wins 69%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%, decision 24%.

  • Claude

    Brito wins 80%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%, decision 35%.

  • Gemini

    Brito wins 76%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%, decision 21%.

What if 1 question

What is the upset path?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze's most likely upset: Chikadze by decision (19%).

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • All models

    The models agree: all 3 pick Brito.

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcomes were Brito by submission and Brito by decision (24% each).

  • Claude

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by decision (35%).

  • Gemini

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by submission (34%).

More questions (17)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 25%, decision 43%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 38%, submission 19%, decision 43%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 33%, submission 35%, decision 32%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

  • Claude

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

  • Gemini

    Brito: 55%, against 13% for Chikadze.

Can Chikadze get the finish? Can Brito?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%).

  • Claude

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%).

  • Gemini

    Chikadze: 13% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%). Brito: 55% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 24%. Brito is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 1%.

  • Claude

    Chikadze is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 15%. Brito is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 4%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 34%. Brito is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 1%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 80% vs 20%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 24%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision
  • ChatGPT

    43%.

  • Claude

    43%.

  • Gemini

    32%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 44%, Brito 56%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 19%, Brito 81%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 34%, Brito 66%.

Compared with others 4 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Chikadze by decision, 19% here against 10% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • ChatGPT

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (69%).

  • Claude

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (80%).

  • Gemini

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (76%).

Which model is most confident on Chikadze, and which on Brito?
  • All models

    On Chikadze: ChatGPT (31%). On Brito: Claude (80%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • ChatGPT

    Bookie Beatdown (Brito), Adam Martin (Brito), Cole Shelton (Brito), MikesMMAPicks (Brito), James Lynch (Brito), Marcel Dorff (Brito), Chris White (Brito), Anatoly Pimentel (Brito by KO/TKO), AJ Devito (Brito by submission), Artem MMA (Brito by submission), HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Kunath (Brito by submission), Angelo Bodetti (Brito), DFS By The Numbers (Brito by submission in round 1), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), Punters Edge (Brito by submission), James Blissett (Brito by submission), Chris Schweppe (Brito by KO/TKO in round 1), TheWeasle (Brito by submission in round 2), Half The Battle (Brito), Dissection Of Violence (Brito), TheWagerZone ™ (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Husky Hustler (Brito), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Lucas Tracy (Brito by KO/TKO), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision), UFC GamblingAddicts (Brito), LF MMA (Brito), Couch Warrior Podcast (Brito), MMA Lock of the Night (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Mathletes (Brito), Tom Feely (Brito by KO/TKO in round 2), Bert MMA (Brito), 138 MMA (Brito), KingofCrackdown5095 (Brito by submission in round 2), Coby Castor MMA & FB (Brito by submission in round 1), We Want Picks (Brito by KO/TKO), NolanKnowsMMA (Brito), MMA Tugg (Brito by submission), FIGHT//AI (Brito) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner as this model, tied; this model favours Brito.

  • Claude

    HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Brito, most likely by decision.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • ChatGPT

    On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.

  • Gemini

    On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • All models

    Yes.

ChatGPT

Pick

Brito

Confidence 7 of 10 · High

Most likely: a tie between Brito by submission and Brito by decision, about 24 in 100 each

The model's predicted finish round: 2.

Win chance: Chikadze 31%, Brito 69%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Brito by submission, tied for number 124%
  2. Brito by decision, tied for number 124%
  3. Brito by KO/TKO21%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Chikadze 11%, Brito 21%.
  2. Submission: Chikadze 1%, Brito 24%.
  3. Decision: Chikadze 19%, Brito 24%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 31%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Brito: 80% (about 80 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 20%.

  • Gemini

    Brito: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 24%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • ChatGPT

    A tie: Brito by submission and Brito by decision, 24% each (about 24 in 100 each).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Brito by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Brito by submission: 34% (about 34 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • ChatGPT

    1. Brito by submission (24%); 1. Brito by decision (24%); 3. Brito by KO/TKO (21%)

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    1. Brito by decision (35%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (30%); 3. Brito by submission (15%)

  • Gemini

    1. Brito by submission (34%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Brito by decision (21%)

How confident is the model?
  • ChatGPT

    7 of 10, based on Brito's 69% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 80% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 68%. Decision: 32%.

How does Chikadze win?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%, decision 19%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%, decision 8%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%, decision 11%.

How does Brito win?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito wins 69%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%, decision 24%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Brito wins 80%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%, decision 35%.

  • Gemini

    Brito wins 76%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%, decision 21%.

What if 1 question

What is the upset path?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze's most likely upset: Chikadze by decision (19%).

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • ChatGPT

    The models agree: all 3 pick Brito.

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcomes were Brito by submission and Brito by decision (24% each).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by decision (35%).

  • Gemini

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by submission (34%).

More questions (17)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 25%, decision 43%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    KO/TKO 38%, submission 19%, decision 43%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 33%, submission 35%, decision 32%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    Brito: 55%, against 13% for Chikadze.

Can Chikadze get the finish? Can Brito?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%).

  • Gemini

    Chikadze: 13% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%). Brito: 55% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 24%. Brito is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Chikadze is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 15%. Brito is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 4%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 34%. Brito is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 1%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Lopsided: 80% vs 20%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 24%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision
  • ChatGPT

    43%.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    32%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 44%, Brito 56%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 19%, Brito 81%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 34%, Brito 66%.

Compared with others 4 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Chikadze by decision, 19% here against 10% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • ChatGPT

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (69%).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (80%).

  • Gemini

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (76%).

Which model is most confident on Chikadze, and which on Brito?
  • ChatGPT

    On Chikadze: ChatGPT (31%). On Brito: Claude (80%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • ChatGPT

    Bookie Beatdown (Brito), Adam Martin (Brito), Cole Shelton (Brito), MikesMMAPicks (Brito), James Lynch (Brito), Marcel Dorff (Brito), Chris White (Brito), Anatoly Pimentel (Brito by KO/TKO), AJ Devito (Brito by submission), Artem MMA (Brito by submission), HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Kunath (Brito by submission), Angelo Bodetti (Brito), DFS By The Numbers (Brito by submission in round 1), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), Punters Edge (Brito by submission), James Blissett (Brito by submission), Chris Schweppe (Brito by KO/TKO in round 1), TheWeasle (Brito by submission in round 2), Half The Battle (Brito), Dissection Of Violence (Brito), TheWagerZone ™ (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Husky Hustler (Brito), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Lucas Tracy (Brito by KO/TKO), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision), UFC GamblingAddicts (Brito), LF MMA (Brito), Couch Warrior Podcast (Brito), MMA Lock of the Night (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Mathletes (Brito), Tom Feely (Brito by KO/TKO in round 2), Bert MMA (Brito), 138 MMA (Brito), KingofCrackdown5095 (Brito by submission in round 2), Coby Castor MMA & FB (Brito by submission in round 1), We Want Picks (Brito by KO/TKO), NolanKnowsMMA (Brito), MMA Tugg (Brito by submission), FIGHT//AI (Brito) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner as this model, tied; this model favours Brito.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Brito, most likely by decision.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • ChatGPT

    On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.

  • Gemini

    On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

gpt-6-astra · 18 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Brito

Confidence 8 of 10 · High

Most likely: Brito by decision, about 35 in 100

Win chance: Chikadze 20%, Brito 80%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Brito by decision35%
  2. Brito by KO/TKO30%
  3. Brito by submission15%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Chikadze 8%, Brito 30%.
  2. Submission: Chikadze 4%, Brito 15%.
  3. Decision: Chikadze 8%, Brito 35%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • Claude

    Brito: 80% (about 80 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 20%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 31%.

  • Gemini

    Brito: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 24%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • Claude

    Brito by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    A tie: Brito by submission and Brito by decision, 24% each (about 24 in 100 each).

  • Gemini

    Brito by submission: 34% (about 34 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • Claude

    1. Brito by decision (35%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (30%); 3. Brito by submission (15%)

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1. Brito by submission (24%); 1. Brito by decision (24%); 3. Brito by KO/TKO (21%)

  • Gemini

    1. Brito by submission (34%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Brito by decision (21%)

How confident is the model?
  • Claude

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 80% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    7 of 10, based on Brito's 69% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 68%. Decision: 32%.

How does Chikadze win?
  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%, decision 8%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%, decision 19%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%, decision 11%.

How does Brito win?
  • Claude

    Brito wins 80%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%, decision 35%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Brito wins 69%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%, decision 24%.

  • Gemini

    Brito wins 76%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%, decision 21%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • Claude

    The models agree: all 3 pick Brito.

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?
  • Claude

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by decision (35%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcomes were Brito by submission and Brito by decision (24% each).

  • Gemini

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by submission (34%).

More questions (16)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • Claude

    KO/TKO 38%, submission 19%, decision 43%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 25%, decision 43%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 33%, submission 35%, decision 32%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • Claude

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    Brito: 55%, against 13% for Chikadze.

Can Chikadze get the finish? Can Brito?
  • Claude

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%).

  • Gemini

    Chikadze: 13% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%). Brito: 55% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • Claude

    Chikadze is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 15%. Brito is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 4%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 24%. Brito is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 1%.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 34%. Brito is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 1%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • Claude

    Lopsided: 80% vs 20%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 24%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision
  • Claude

    43%.

Other models' answers
  • Gemini

    32%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 19%, Brito 81%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 44%, Brito 56%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 34%, Brito 66%.

Compared with others 3 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • Claude

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (80%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (69%).

  • Gemini

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (76%).

Which model is most confident on Chikadze, and which on Brito?
  • Claude

    On Chikadze: ChatGPT (31%). On Brito: Claude (80%).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • Claude

    HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Brito, most likely by decision.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Bookie Beatdown (Brito), Adam Martin (Brito), Cole Shelton (Brito), MikesMMAPicks (Brito), James Lynch (Brito), Marcel Dorff (Brito), Chris White (Brito), Anatoly Pimentel (Brito by KO/TKO), AJ Devito (Brito by submission), Artem MMA (Brito by submission), HopperMMA (Brito by decision), Kunath (Brito by submission), Angelo Bodetti (Brito), DFS By The Numbers (Brito by submission in round 1), Uselyis (Brito by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Brito by decision), Punters Edge (Brito by submission), James Blissett (Brito by submission), Chris Schweppe (Brito by KO/TKO in round 1), TheWeasle (Brito by submission in round 2), Half The Battle (Brito), Dissection Of Violence (Brito), TheWagerZone ™ (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Husky Hustler (Brito), MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) (Brito by decision), Lucas Tracy (Brito by KO/TKO), Bedtime MMA (Brito by decision), MMA JOEY (Brito by decision), UFC GamblingAddicts (Brito), LF MMA (Brito), Couch Warrior Podcast (Brito), MMA Lock of the Night (Brito by KO/TKO), MMA Mathletes (Brito), Tom Feely (Brito by KO/TKO in round 2), Bert MMA (Brito), 138 MMA (Brito), KingofCrackdown5095 (Brito by submission in round 2), Coby Castor MMA & FB (Brito by submission in round 1), We Want Picks (Brito by KO/TKO), NolanKnowsMMA (Brito), MMA Tugg (Brito by submission), FIGHT//AI (Brito) and FightIQ (Brito by decision): the same winner as this model, tied; this model favours Brito.

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • Claude

    On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Gemini

    On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • Claude

    Yes.

claude-sonnet-5 · 18 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Brito

Confidence 8 of 10 · High

Most likely: Brito by submission, about 34 in 100

The model's predicted finish round: 1.

Win chance: Chikadze 24%, Brito 76%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Brito by submission34%
  2. Brito by KO/TKO, tied for number 221%
  3. Brito by decision, tied for number 221%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Chikadze 12%, Brito 21%.
  2. Submission: Chikadze 1%, Brito 34%.
  3. Decision: Chikadze 11%, Brito 21%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • Gemini

    Brito: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 24%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 31%.

  • Claude

    Brito: 80% (about 80 in 100 fights). Chikadze: 20%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • Gemini

    Brito by submission: 34% (about 34 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    A tie: Brito by submission and Brito by decision, 24% each (about 24 in 100 each).

  • Claude

    Brito by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • Gemini

    1. Brito by submission (34%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Brito by decision (21%)

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1. Brito by submission (24%); 1. Brito by decision (24%); 3. Brito by KO/TKO (21%)

  • Claude

    1. Brito by decision (35%); 2. Brito by KO/TKO (30%); 3. Brito by submission (15%)

How confident is the model?
  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 76% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    7 of 10, based on Brito's 69% win chance.

  • Claude

    8 of 10, based on Brito's 80% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 68%. Decision: 32%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 57%. Decision: 43%.

How does Chikadze win?
  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%, decision 11%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%, decision 19%.

  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%, decision 8%.

How does Brito win?
  • Gemini

    Brito wins 76%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%, decision 21%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Brito wins 69%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%, decision 24%.

  • Claude

    Brito wins 80%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%, decision 35%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • Gemini

    The models agree: all 3 pick Brito.

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?
  • Gemini

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by submission (34%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcomes were Brito by submission and Brito by decision (24% each).

  • Claude

    Result: Brito by KO/TKO in round 1. Brito by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Brito by decision (35%).

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 33%, submission 35%, decision 32%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 25%, decision 43%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 38%, submission 19%, decision 43%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • Gemini

    Brito: 55%, against 13% for Chikadze.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

  • Claude

    Brito: 45%, against 12% for Chikadze.

Can Chikadze get the finish? Can Brito?
  • Gemini

    Chikadze: 13% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 1%). Brito: 55% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 34%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 1%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 24%).

  • Claude

    Chikadze: 12% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 4%). Brito: 45% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 15%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • Gemini

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 34%. Brito is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 1%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 24%. Brito is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 1%.

  • Claude

    Chikadze is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 15%. Brito is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 4%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 24%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 80% vs 20%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • Gemini

    Chikadze wins 24% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Chikadze wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

  • Claude

    Chikadze wins 20% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision
  • Gemini

    32%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    43%.

  • Claude

    43%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 34%, Brito 66%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 44%, Brito 56%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Chikadze 19%, Brito 81%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • Gemini

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (76%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (69%).

  • Claude

    Of 48 analyst picks, 5 back Chikadze and 43 back Brito. This model picks Brito (80%).

Which model is most confident on Chikadze, and which on Brito?
  • Gemini

    On Chikadze: ChatGPT (31%). On Brito: Claude (80%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • Gemini

    On 18 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    On 18 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 18 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • Gemini

    Yes.

Version not reported · 18 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET