138 MMA focuses on fight breakdowns and picks, with interviews and broader MMA coverage alongside its analysis.
Scorecard
Called 25 of 39 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
25 of 39 — 64% now, from 75% at their first scored card.
-
Method
0 of 1 correct winner that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
-
Underdog
45% 5 of 11 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Round — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Crypto.com UFC 331 8 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 329 8 hit · 5 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 3 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 328 6 hit · 2 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Aswell Jr. · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 30.1%. Pitbull · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 30.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · to win | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
138 MMA transcript pick: Joanderson Brito. “I think it's Joanderson Brito. Got to take Joanderson Brito.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
138 MMA transcript pick: Casey O'Neill. “I'm going to go with Casey O'Neal. So, I'm gonna take O'Neal.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Ferreira · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira. “I'm gonna go with Bruno.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Moicano vs Ortega | Moicano · to win | Upcoming | Moicano | Not called | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA transcript pick: Gable Steveson. “We're going to take Gable Steveson to get the win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · to win | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to side with Wong” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Durden · to win | Costa · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “yeah, I'm gonna take Duran.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Whitaker because I think he's the more skilled fighter, but I don't have any confidence in that.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Luke Riley to get it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to win | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “Either way, I think Gable wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yañez · to win | Yañez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'll take Yas.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Reese · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Zack Reese.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I think it's pinños by just putting him out. Probably knockout at some point.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. McKinney · to win | Green · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “With that said, I'll take Terrence McKini for a pick because I got to make a pick.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “So I'm going to take Kavanaaugh here, but I don't feel good about it.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · to win | Bautista · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I've got to take Sanhagen here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Pimblett · to win | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “I'm going to take Patty Pembblelet to get this one done.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction. “All that stuff, I'll pick Max.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Horiguchi · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA picks Kyoji Horiguchi without committing to a method or round. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA sides with Steve Garcia in the close opener. “I think I'm going to take Steve Garcia.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · Dec | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
138 MMA takes Bo Nickal to win by decision. “I will side with Bo here to get a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to win | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
138 MMA acknowledges the rooting interest in Chandler but picks Ruffy. “Ruffee probably wins this fight. I'm going to be honest with you.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · to win | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
138 MMA takes Sean O'Malley after weighing Zahabi's paths. “I'm going to take Sean O'Malley.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA sides with Alex Pereira in the close co-main. “I'm taking Alex Pereira.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · to win | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
138 MMA picks Topuria despite rooting for Gaethje. “I do think Topuria wins.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Gordon · to win | Miller · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I think I'm going to slightly lean Gordon.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Sabatini · to win | Sabatini · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I will take Sabatini with the caveat that if you think that this stays on the feet, you should probably be on the other side.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Dawson · to win | Dawson · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I think Dawson gets this one done, so we're going to go with him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ochoa · to win | Ochoa · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “So, I'm going to take Ochoa.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Brady · to win | Brady · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “Ultimately though, I'm going to side with Brady.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Volkov · to win | Volkov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “So, I got to take Volkov here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Van · to win | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I'm still going to take Josh Van.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 328 full-card prediction. “I have to go with Khamzat Chimaev, unfortunately.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind 138 MMA's logged calls.