UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev  24 Oct 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Alexander Volkov defeats Rizvan Kuniev by unanimous decision

Win Alexander Volkov 41-11-0
Loss Rizvan Kuniev 14-4-1
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Volkov vs Kuniev · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Volkov fought with more aggression and urgency early and controlled Kuniev in the clinch, where Kuniev usually has success. He repeated that work in the second round.

In the third Volkov took the fight to the canvas and spent the final 90 seconds on Kuniev's back hunting for submissions. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27 and 30-27.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Volkov

Volkov's 40-11 record and 4.84 significant strikes landed per minute give him a high-volume case built on sustained heavyweight scoring. UFC lists 58% striking accuracy and 24 knockout wins, so his route is to make his longer-range output count before Kuniev can turn the contest into closer exchanges.

Case for Kuniev

Kuniev is 14-3-1 with seven knockout wins, and his latest UFC-listed result is a July 2026 TKO over Tyrell Fortune. His UFC stats show 4.32 significant strikes landed per minute and 31% of his listed significant strikes coming in the clinch, a closer-range scoring avenue against Volkov's volume.

What We Were Watching For

  • Can Volkov establish his 4.84-significant-strikes-per-minute output before Kuniev closes distance?
  • Whether Kuniev can reproduce his UFC-listed 31% clinch share against Volkov's range.
  • How Volkov's 58% striking accuracy compares with Kuniev's 55% when each finds clean openings.
  • Which heavyweight can keep the exchanges in the range that best supports their scoring route?
Records & career stats
40-11-0
Record
14-3-1
4-1 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-1 (1 NC) last 5
Russia
Nationality
Russia
38
Age
33
6′7″201 cm
Height — Volkov leads
6′4″193 cm
80″203 cm
Reach — Volkov leads
76″193 cm
Orthodox
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
Source pending
24
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
—
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Volkov leads
2
4.84
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Volkov leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.32
2.90
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Kuniev leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.22
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Volkov leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
49%
69%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Kuniev leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
94%
13:09
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
11:26
Global Fight Gym
Team
American Top Team

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

The Cage Doctor

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

The Cage Doctor leans toward Volkov on his current run, citing his size, front kicks and striking. He respects Kuniev’s quick hands, grappling and athleticism.

* An early lean; Volkov’s takedown defence concerns him.

Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 9 resolved calls).

View full track record (9 calls)
UFC Predict — Logistic Core

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — Logistic Core explicitly selects Alexander Volkov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Billy Ward

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Billy Ward identifies Alexander Volkov as undervalued against Rizvan Kuniev, explicitly recommending the Volkov side at the available price. The article makes no method or round prediction.

“Verdict: Volkov Undervalued.”

Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).

View full track record (7 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“I feel like I'm just going to go with Volkov based on the fact that he's on a great run”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

FightIQ's snapshot explicitly predicts Alexander Volkov at site-displayed confidence of 54%; tier TOSS-UP.

“We predict Alexander Volkov — 54% confident”

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Alexander Volkov. Very low confidence; says he could switch before the final picks

“pick Vulkov here. This is one I could”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).

View full track record (56 calls)
Tom Feely

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Sherdog preview by Tom Feely names Volkov as the pick, by decision.

“The pick is Volkov by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

AJ Devito picks Alexander Volkov. Method is hedged ('probably takes it home by a clear decision'), so none is recorded. His later live stream still leans Volkov but calls his moneyline lock undecided.

“I'm gonna pick Vov, man.”

Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).

View full track record (264 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

JakeGerberMMA picks Alexander Volkov by Decision.

“going to take Alexander Volkov here. I”

Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).

View full track record (154 calls)
Brent Brookhouse

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 28 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.1% (28 hit, 15 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 22.2% (2 hit, 7 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).

View full track record (43 calls)
Fite Feed

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Fite Feed picks Alexander Volkov by Decision.

“I'm going to say Volkov by way of decision.”

Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).

View full track record (37 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

DFS By The Numbers picks Alexander Volkov by Decision.

“I'm going to go Volkov to win this fight and win this fight by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
UFC Predict — CatBoost

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — CatBoost explicitly selects Alexander Volkov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Main + Market

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — Main + Market explicitly selects Alexander Volkov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

138 MMA leans Alexander Volkov, favoring his striking and damage from the bottom.

* This is a lean; he acknowledges Kuniev could win by sustaining top control.

Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Mate Bersenadze

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).

View full track record (52 calls)
Michael Iannone

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.5% (15 hit, 9 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).

View full track record (24 calls)
Next Fight model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Next Fight explicitly selects Alexander Volkov; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).

View full track record (8 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 24 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 61.5% (24 hit, 15 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).

View full track record (39 calls)
Jake Letarski

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 42 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.9% (42 hit, 27 miss, across 69 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 69 resolved calls).

View full track record (69 calls)
Garrett Kerman

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).

View full track record (33 calls)
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Combat Edge Model’s frozen UFC 333 forecast favors Alexander Volkov (54%) over Rizvan Kuniev (46%); the source publishes winner probabilities, not a method or round. Observation snapshot: 2026-10-17 (not asserted as the original publication or lock date); the source labels this forecast version v0.8-2026-10-04.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
Tom Taylor

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).

View full track record (10 calls)
FightChoice AI ensemble

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Round 2

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

FightChoice's current AI ensemble selects Alexander Volkov at 52.6%; it supersedes the page's older Rizvan Kuniev selection. The current forecast projects a second-round duration.

Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (5 calls)
MMA Mathletes

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Fight Genie Claude explicitly selects f_08ec63 for Volkov–Kuniev on the live UFC 333 card. The page exposes no original publication or lock time; 2026-10-21 is the observed snapshot date only.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

The Oracle selects Alexander Volkov with a 61% win probability.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Alexander Volkov by Decision. low confidence

“So in this one I have Alexander Volkov”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).

View full track record (63 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Danny Howard

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).

View full track record (12 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).

View full track record (95 calls)
Michael Mormile

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (22 hit, 16 miss, across 38 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 38 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 38 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 38 resolved calls).

View full track record (38 calls)
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 31 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.4% (31 hit, 23 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 68.2% (15 hit, 7 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
MMA Intel

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

MMA Intel explicitly selects Alexander Volkov; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — LightGBM

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — LightGBM explicitly selects Alexander Volkov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — XGBoost

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — XGBoost explicitly selects Alexander Volkov for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Fight Society

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Fight Society does not see Rizvan Kuniev taking Volkov down or grinding out three rounds and calls for Alexander Volkov by decision.

“I'm going to go Volkov decision.”

Track record: winner called in 4 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (4 hit, 3 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).

View full track record (7 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Jon Litterine explicitly selects Alexander Volkov; no method or round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).

View full track record (124 calls)
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Fight Productions

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Fight Productions selects Alexander Volkov by decision.

“I just slightly lean towards Volkov. He has the experience. He's been able to kind of squeak out these wins against other solid opponents. So, I think he's going to keep the distance. uh find a decision.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Brian Campbell

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 24 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.8% (24 hit, 19 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.0% (13 hit, 7 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 7.1% (1 hit, 13 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).

View full track record (43 calls)
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Fight Genie GPT explicitly selects f_08ec63 for Volkov–Kuniev on the live UFC 333 card. The page exposes no original publication or lock time; 2026-10-21 is the observed snapshot date only.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

MMA.SOCIAL's UFC forecast selects Alexander Volkov by decision; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Kasper MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“so I'm picking Volkov to win by decision”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).

View full track record (42 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Schweppe explicitly selects Volkov by decision.

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
Cole Shelton

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

RotoWire best-bets piece by Cole Shelton names Volkov (-122) to win by decision.

“Volkov is also extremely durable, and I expect him to use his reach and jab to out-strike Kuniev to win a decision.”

Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).

View full track record (116 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

TonyHasDiedMMA selects Alexander Volkov over Rizvan Kuniev. No method or round is specified.

“um give me Volkov to beat Rizvan.”

Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).

View full track record (53 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Greedo picks Alexander Volkov by decision, expecting him to maintain distance and outpoint Kuniev.

Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).

View full track record (72 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Sean Sheehan

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

In his recap Sheehan goes with Volkov over Kuniev.

“I'll go with Volkov”

Track record: winner called in 4 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).

View full track record (8 calls)
Cagemath CORTEX SHARP V10

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Cagemath’s CORTEX SHARP V10 favors Volkov on its whole-career strength rating and striking differential, while its analyst note recognizes Kuniev’s wrestling and finishing form.

“Alexander Volkov over Rizvan Kuniev”

Track record builds as we verify their past calls.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.

View full track record (2 calls)
Brandon Wise

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 21 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 48.8% (21 hit, 22 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 8.3% (1 hit, 11 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).

View full track record (43 calls)
The Lab Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

The Lab Analytics' explicit model pick selects Alexander Volkov (50.6% model probability; LOW confidence, LEAN tier). The page publishes no method or round. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 observed page snapshot; no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).

View full track record (25 calls)
Lyle Fitzsimmons

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).

View full track record (10 calls)
Ethan Diamandas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov to win.

Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).

View full track record (5 calls)
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

FIGHT//AI's UFC 333 predictions page lists Alexander Volkov over Rizvan Kuniev (55% site-displayed confidence); observed 2026-10-17 as the snapshot date, not an asserted original publication or lock date; no method or round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
Dalius Mikalauskas

Current pick evidence

Picked: Alexander Volkov

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Alexander Volkov over Rizvan Kuniev; winner only.

“Alexander Volkov to win at 1.80 is the second UFC 333 selection.”

Track record: winner called in 1 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).

View full track record (5 calls)
Lucas Tracy

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“i am going to pick riz van kunv”

Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.7% (44 hit, 21 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.5% (10 hit, 6 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.9% (7 hit, 11 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

MMA Lock of the Night picks Rizvan Kuniev by KO/TKO.

“and Kunv by knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).

View full track record (126 calls)
Michael Chiesa

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Rizvan Kuniev to win.

* Changes his initial Volkov inclination to a final Kuniev pick while discussing the matchup.

Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).

View full track record (75 calls)
The MMA Guru

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Rizvan Kuniev to win.

* Says he is rooting for Volkov while selecting Kuniev by a close decision, 29–28.

Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).

View full track record (322 calls)
Livid Larry MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Livid Larry MMA picks Rizvan Kuniev by Decision. Close fight; "leaning" at 26:35

“pick Rizan. I'm going to pick Rizan to”

Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
MMA JOEY

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

MMA JOEY picks Rizvan Kuniev over Alexander Volkov, saying Kuniev beat Curtis Blaydes but was robbed.

“I'm definitely picking Kuniev in that fight.”

Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).

View full track record (125 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Sees a close fight and favours Kuniev's clinch work, wrestling and footwork over Volkov.

“I will take Rizvan Kuniev via decision as my official prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
UFC Predict — Ensemble

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

UFC Predict — Ensemble explicitly selects Rizvan Kuniev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Shakiel Mahjouri

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Rizvan Kuniev to win.

Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).

View full track record (46 calls)
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · Dec

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“so yeah I'm going to be picking Rizan Kunev in this fight to win by a very close split borderline robbery decision”

Track record: winner called in 16 of 30 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.3% (16 hit, 14 miss, across 30 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 30 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 30 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 6 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 30 resolved calls).

View full track record (30 calls)
Half The Battle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).

View full track record (109 calls)
Voice of MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Selects Rizvan Kuniev to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).

View full track record (35 calls)
mmadbm

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“Rizv is going to beat Alexander Volkov”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).

View full track record (41 calls)
Guy Bruhn

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Guy Bruhn picks Rizvan Kuniev, per the Doc's Sports pick line.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Rizvan Kuniev (+105)”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
DON SMOKE MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

“early prediction I'll go with Kunv”

Track record: winner called in 12 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (12 hit, 14 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).

View full track record (26 calls)
Matthew Petela

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

Combat Press preview by Matthew Petela names Kuniev by knockout.

“He will knock out Alexander Volkov in front of a favorable crowd, and it will be the biggest win of his career.”

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rizvan Kuniev

Fight result: Alexander Volkov · Decision

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)

Analyst picks: The Cage Doctor Hit; UFC Predict — Logistic Core Hit; Billy Ward Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Lucas Tracy Miss; Tom Feely Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; Michael Chiesa Miss; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Brent Brookhouse Hit; Fite Feed Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; UFC Predict — CatBoost Hit; UFC Predict — Main + Market Hit; 138 MMA Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Livid Larry MMA Miss; Michael Iannone Hit; Next Fight model Hit; MMA JOEY Miss; HopperMMA Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; Jake Letarski Hit; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Hit; Combat Edge Model Hit; Tom Taylor Hit; FightChoice AI ensemble Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Fight Genie (Claude) Hit; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Hit; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Danny Howard Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Michael Mormile Hit; Mike Finch Hit; MMA Intel Hit; UFC Predict — Ensemble Miss; UFC Predict — LightGBM Hit; UFC Predict — XGBoost Hit; Fight Society Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Brian Campbell Hit; Fight Genie (GPT) Hit; MMA.SOCIAL Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Aniki MMA Miss; Half The Battle Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Voice of MMA Miss; Andy Lang Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Sean Sheehan Hit; Cagemath CORTEX SHARP V10 Hit; Brandon Wise Hit; mmadbm Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; DON SMOKE MMA Miss; Matthew Petela Miss; Brandon K Miss; The Lab Analytics Hit; Lyle Fitzsimmons Hit; Ethan Diamandas Hit; FIGHT//AI Hit; Dalius Mikalauskas Hit.

59 of 77 nailed it.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Volkov · Decision · R3

Closest probability ChatGPT put 59% on Volkov.

ChatGPTForecast: 63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
59% Volkov
40% Kuniev
PickVolkov · DecisionActualVolkov · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
ClaudeForecast: 61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
52% Volkov
46% Kuniev
PickVolkov · DecisionActualVolkov · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
GeminiForecast: 68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
56% Volkov
43% Kuniev
PickVolkov · DecisionActualVolkov · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight callsFrozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.

AI Predictions

Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.

  • ChatGPT

    63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Volkov

    Most likely: Volkov by decision, about 39 in 100

    Win chance: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 40%, draw or no contest 1%.

    gpt-6-astra · 23 Oct

    Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

  • Claude

    61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

    Pick Volkov

    Most likely: Kuniev by decision, about 27 in 100

    Win chance: Volkov 52%, Kuniev 46%, draw or no contest 2%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 23 Oct

    Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

  • Gemini

    68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

    Pick Volkov

    Most likely: Volkov by decision, about 35 in 100

    Win chance: Volkov 56%, Kuniev 43%, draw or no contest 2%.

    Version not reported · 23 Oct

    Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

3 of 3 models pick Volkov.

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 59% (about 59 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 40%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Volkov: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 46%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 43%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Claude

    Kuniev by decision: 27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • ChatGPT

    1. Volkov by decision (39%); 2. Kuniev by decision (24%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (18%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's reach, varied kicks and experience against elite heavyweights favor him in extended exchanges at distance. His recent form supports another measured performance over three rounds.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev can make this close by crowding Volkov and combining clinch pressure with short strikes. Keeping Volkov near the fence would reduce his advantage at range.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov can punish predictable entries and accumulate damage to the head and body. A stoppage becomes more plausible if Kuniev must chase the fight late.
  • Claude

    1. Kuniev by decision (27%); 2. Volkov by decision (26%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (20%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's range and volume can win rounds against a wrestler who struggles to close distance consistently.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev's wrestling and pressure could earn him rounds through control and takedowns.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov's varied strikes can stop a lunging opponent, especially early.
  • Gemini

    1. Volkov by decision (35%); 2. Kuniev by decision (25%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov excels at managing distance behind a long jab and heavy front kicks, and his recent three-round fights against top contenders have consistently gone to the scorecards.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev utilizes strong cage pressure, clinch control, and durable wrestling to grind out rounds against elite heavyweights, as demonstrated against Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov carries cumulative stopping power with straight punches and knees in transition, giving him a clear path to wear down Kuniev if the pace stays at kickboxing range.
How confident is the model?
  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 59% win chance.

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Volkov's 52% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 56% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 45%. Decision: 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

How does Volkov win?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov wins 59%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%, decision 39%.

  • Claude

    Volkov wins 52%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov wins 56%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%, decision 35%.

How does Kuniev win?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 24%.

  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%, decision 27%.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

The fight in one sentence
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should land the cleaner work at range and edge a decision, with Kuniev making it competitive through pressure and clinch offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard A close heavyweight contest where Volkov's range and technique face Kuniev's wrestling and power, with a slight lean to the veteran on the feet.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Alexander Volkov is expected to keep Rizvan Kuniev at bay with long jabs and front kicks to earn a decision win, though Kuniev will look to make it gritty in the clinch.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 3 is most likely (35% of finishes). Chance of a round-3 finish overall: 13%.

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (40% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 18%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 2 is most likely (36% of finishes). Chance of a round-2 finish overall: 14%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?
  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 60% (from 59%), Kuniev 39% (from 40%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov can build on body kicks and straight punches if he keeps space. Kuniev remains dangerous late, particularly if early clinch work slows Volkov's exits.

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 50% (from 52%), Kuniev 48% (from 46%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If it survives round 1, the fight likely turns into a grind where Kuniev's takedown attempts and Volkov's cardio and volume are tested. Volkov's jab and kicks can accumulate, while Kuniev needs to avoid fading.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 57% (from 56%), Kuniev 41% (from 43%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Once past the opening frame, Kuniev's early explosive burst fades slightly, allowing Volkov's cumulative bodywork and straight punches to take over at distance.

What is the upset path?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (24%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev can close distance behind punches, pin Volkov near the fence and land short strikes. Sustained effective offense there offers his clearest route to a decision.

  • Claude

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (27%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev closes distance, lands heavy power shots or takedowns, and wears Volkov down with control and ground-and-pound or a late finish.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (25%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev is most likely to pull off the win by crowding Volkov early, pinning him to the cage, and grinding out rounds with clinch control and dirty boxing.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use jabs, front kicks and lateral exits to score while denying prolonged clinches. Kuniev should cut off the cage, attack the body and make each clinch produce damaging short strikes.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: keep distance with jab, leg kicks and front kicks, stuff takedowns and finish a slowing opponent. Kuniev: press forward, wrestle and use heavy hands to take Volkov out of rhythm.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use his long jab and heavy front kicks to keep the fight at range and accumulate damage toward a decision or late stoppage. Kuniev should close the distance early, press Volkov against the fence, and use his durable wrestling and clinch control to grind out rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov exits sideways after his combinations and whether Kuniev can turn his first clinches into offense rather than static holding.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Kuniev can close the distance and land his first takedown attempt, and whether Volkov's jab and kicks keep him at range.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov can establish his front kick and jab to keep the fight in open space, or if Kuniev can immediately walk through fire to trap him against the fence.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • All models

    The models agree: all 3 pick Volkov.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

  • Claude

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Kuniev by decision (27%).

  • Gemini

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?
  • ChatGPT

    39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Claude

    26% (about 26 in 100).

  • Gemini

    35% (about 35 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 4%, decision 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 36%, submission 9%, decision 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 8%, decision 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a draw or no contest
  • ChatGPT

    1%.

  • Claude

    2%.

  • Gemini

    2%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20%, against 16% for Kuniev.

  • Claude

    Volkov: 26%, against 19% for Kuniev.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Can Volkov get the finish? Can Kuniev?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%). Kuniev: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%).

  • Claude

    Volkov: 26% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%).

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%. Kuniev is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 2%.

  • Claude

    Volkov is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 3%. Kuniev is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 6%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Kuniev is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 4%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 59% vs 40%.

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 46%.

  • Gemini

    A clear favourite: 56% vs 43%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39%. Kuniev by decision: 24%.

  • Claude

    Volkov by decision: 26%. Kuniev by decision: 27%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35%. Kuniev by decision: 25%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?
  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 9th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 4th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 5th closest, and the 10th most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, especially if you enjoy the tactical contest between a tall outside striker and a heavyweight trying to crowd him.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it is a meaningful ranked heavyweight matchup between a veteran striker and a rising wrestler, with finish potential from both.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This heavyweight clash is worth watching to see whether Volkov's technical long-range striking can hold off Kuniev's relentless cage pressure and physical grappling.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1
  • ChatGPT

    11%.

  • Claude

    18%.

  • Gemini

    13%.

Chance it is over by round 2
  • ChatGPT

    23%.

  • Claude

    33%.

  • Gemini

    27%.

Chance it goes to a decision
  • ChatGPT

    63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a finish in the final round
  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

  • Claude

    Round 3: 12%.

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 12%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?
  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 90%, submission 10%.

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 18%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 19%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 52%. If it goes longer: Volkov 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 12%, Kuniev 11%.

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 61%. If it goes longer: Kuniev 51%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 20%, Kuniev 13%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: even. If it goes longer: Volkov 59%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 14%, Kuniev 14%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 62%, Kuniev 38%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 49%, Kuniev 51%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 41%.

What could make this fight one-sided?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could pull away if Kuniev repeatedly enters from too far out and cannot keep him against the fence. That would let Volkov accumulate clean strikes without prolonged exchanges.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Volkov controls range and Kuniev can't get in, it could become a one-sided striking fight for Volkov. If Kuniev gets Volkov down repeatedly, he could dominate.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could make the fight one-sided if he consistently stops Kuniev's entries with front kicks and jabs, turning the bout into a ranged target-practice session.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the key edge in striking at long range, where his reach and varied kicks give Kuniev several obstacles to cross.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's technical striking and reach versus Kuniev's wrestling and power; the range battle is decisive and favors Volkov if he stays disciplined.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the most important edge with his superior reach and distance management, allowing him to score from the outside before Kuniev can initiate the clinch.

What is the biggest X-factor?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Their previous training together adds uncertainty: familiarity could help Kuniev anticipate exits or help Volkov recognize his pressure before it develops.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's age and durability against Kuniev's heavy power, plus whether Kuniev's cardio holds up over three rounds.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's knees in transition are the biggest X-factor, as they can punish Kuniev every time he levels changes or tries to force the clinch.

What would change the model's mind?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Clear evidence that Kuniev can repeatedly trap Volkov and damage him on the breaks would move my forecast toward Kuniev. So would a credible limitation affecting Volkov's movement.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Early success for Kuniev in getting Volkov to the mat, or Volkov being badly hurt by a Kuniev strike, would shift me toward Kuniev.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Kuniev effortlessly bypass Volkov's long-range strikes to secure early takedowns, or seeing Volkov compromised in mobility before the fight, would shift the outlook toward Kuniev.

What are the biggest unknowns?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish independently verified injury status for either fighter or how much their previous shared training revealed about this specific matchup.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard How Kuniev's chin and cardio hold against top-level heavyweights, and whether Volkov's takedown defense is still sharp at his age.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard It remains unclear how well Kuniev can absorb repeated front kicks to the midsection over three rounds and whether Volkov has lost any foot speed at this stage of his career.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I favor Volkov in open-space striking for his range and variety. Kuniev gets a slight grappling edge through clinch strength, though his defensive wrestling is better established than his takedown offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking thanks to reach, volume and technique; Kuniev should win the grappling with stronger wrestling-based pressure.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking due to his significant reach advantage and disciplined long-range kicking game, while Kuniev should win the grappling through superior cage pressure and wrestling control.

Who is better late in the fight?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov has a slight late edge through experience managing long fights and accumulating damage at range. Kuniev's recent third-round finish makes any assumption that he will fade unsafe.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is slightly better placed in later rounds thanks to his experience and pacing, while Kuniev's explosive style may cost him energy.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is better placed in the later rounds because his steady kicking game and straight punches cause cumulative damage as heavyweights tire.

Biggest danger for Volkov, and for Kuniev
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's biggest danger is being trapped along the fence, where body attacks and short punches erode his movement. Kuniev's biggest danger is absorbing straight punches and kicks while struggling to get close enough to answer.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: being taken down and controlled or caught by a heavy shot while Kuniev closes distance. Kuniev: walking into Volkov's jab, kicks and counters and being picked apart or caught in a scramble.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov faces the danger of being pinned against the cage and neutralized by Kuniev's heavy clinch pressure and wrestling control. Kuniev faces the danger of getting stuck at kickboxing range and taking sustained damage from Volkov's long punches, front kicks, and knees in transition.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 39% here against 31% on average for the others.

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 26% here against 37% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 35% here against 33% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • ChatGPT

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (59%).

  • Claude

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (52%).

  • Gemini

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (56%).

Which model is most confident on Volkov, and which on Kuniev?
  • All models

    On Volkov: ChatGPT (59%). On Kuniev: Claude (46%).

Where do the models disagree most?
  • All models

    Volkov by decision: from 26% (Claude) to 39% (ChatGPT).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • All models

    Fight Society (Volkov by decision), Chris Schweppe (Volkov by decision), Fight Productions (Volkov by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Volkov by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Volkov by decision), Kunath (Volkov by decision), Artem MMA (Volkov by decision), Mike Finch (Volkov by decision), MMA Mathletes (Volkov by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Volkov by decision), Fite Feed (Volkov by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Volkov by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Volkov by decision), Tom Feely (Volkov by decision), Cole Shelton (Volkov by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Volkov by decision), Brent Brookhouse (Volkov by decision), Brian Campbell (Volkov by decision), Michael Iannone (Volkov by decision), Andrew Richardson (Volkov by decision), Lyle Fitzsimmons (Volkov by decision), Garrett Kerman (Volkov by decision) and Kasper MMA (Volkov by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Volkov, most likely by decision.

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?
  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?
  • All models

    ChatGPT, which gave the actual result 39%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • All models

    Yes.

ChatGPT

Pick

Volkov

Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Volkov by decision, about 39 in 100

Win chance: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 40%, draw or no contest 1%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Volkov by decision39%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's reach, varied kicks and experience against elite heavyweights favor him in extended exchanges at distance. His recent form supports another measured performance over three rounds.

  2. Kuniev by decision24%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev can make this close by crowding Volkov and combining clinch pressure with short strikes. Keeping Volkov near the fence would reduce his advantage at range.

  3. Volkov by KO/TKO18%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov can punish predictable entries and accumulate damage to the head and body. A stoppage becomes more plausible if Kuniev must chase the fight late.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Volkov KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%; Kuniev KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%.
  2. Round 2: Volkov KO/TKO 6%, submission 1%; Kuniev KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%.
  3. Round 3: Volkov KO/TKO 7%, submission 1%; Kuniev KO/TKO 4%, submission 1%.
  4. Decision: Volkov 39%; Kuniev 24%.

Draw or no contest: 1%

Decision columns are drawn cut short so the rounds stay readable; their printed values are exact.

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in ChatGPT's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Volkov KO/TKO5%6%7%—
Volkov Submission1%1%1%—
Volkov Decision———39%
Kuniev KO/TKO5%5%4%—
Kuniev Submission1%1%1%—
Kuniev Decision———24%
Draw or no contest1%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 59% (about 59 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 40%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 46%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 43%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39% (about 39 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Kuniev by decision: 27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • ChatGPT

    1. Volkov by decision (39%); 2. Kuniev by decision (24%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (18%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's reach, varied kicks and experience against elite heavyweights favor him in extended exchanges at distance. His recent form supports another measured performance over three rounds.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev can make this close by crowding Volkov and combining clinch pressure with short strikes. Keeping Volkov near the fence would reduce his advantage at range.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov can punish predictable entries and accumulate damage to the head and body. A stoppage becomes more plausible if Kuniev must chase the fight late.
Other models' answers
  • Claude

    1. Kuniev by decision (27%); 2. Volkov by decision (26%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (20%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's range and volume can win rounds against a wrestler who struggles to close distance consistently.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev's wrestling and pressure could earn him rounds through control and takedowns.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov's varied strikes can stop a lunging opponent, especially early.
  • Gemini

    1. Volkov by decision (35%); 2. Kuniev by decision (25%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov excels at managing distance behind a long jab and heavy front kicks, and his recent three-round fights against top contenders have consistently gone to the scorecards.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev utilizes strong cage pressure, clinch control, and durable wrestling to grind out rounds against elite heavyweights, as demonstrated against Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov carries cumulative stopping power with straight punches and knees in transition, giving him a clear path to wear down Kuniev if the pace stays at kickboxing range.
How confident is the model?
  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 59% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Volkov's 52% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 56% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 45%. Decision: 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

How does Volkov win?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov wins 59%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%, decision 39%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov wins 52%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov wins 56%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%, decision 35%.

How does Kuniev win?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 24%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%, decision 27%.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

The fight in one sentence
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should land the cleaner work at range and edge a decision, with Kuniev making it competitive through pressure and clinch offense.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard A close heavyweight contest where Volkov's range and technique face Kuniev's wrestling and power, with a slight lean to the veteran on the feet.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Alexander Volkov is expected to keep Rizvan Kuniev at bay with long jabs and front kicks to earn a decision win, though Kuniev will look to make it gritty in the clinch.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 3 is most likely (35% of finishes). Chance of a round-3 finish overall: 13%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (40% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 18%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 2 is most likely (36% of finishes). Chance of a round-2 finish overall: 14%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?
  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 60% (from 59%), Kuniev 39% (from 40%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov can build on body kicks and straight punches if he keeps space. Kuniev remains dangerous late, particularly if early clinch work slows Volkov's exits.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 50% (from 52%), Kuniev 48% (from 46%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If it survives round 1, the fight likely turns into a grind where Kuniev's takedown attempts and Volkov's cardio and volume are tested. Volkov's jab and kicks can accumulate, while Kuniev needs to avoid fading.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 57% (from 56%), Kuniev 41% (from 43%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Once past the opening frame, Kuniev's early explosive burst fades slightly, allowing Volkov's cumulative bodywork and straight punches to take over at distance.

What is the upset path?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (24%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev can close distance behind punches, pin Volkov near the fence and land short strikes. Sustained effective offense there offers his clearest route to a decision.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (27%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev closes distance, lands heavy power shots or takedowns, and wears Volkov down with control and ground-and-pound or a late finish.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (25%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev is most likely to pull off the win by crowding Volkov early, pinning him to the cage, and grinding out rounds with clinch control and dirty boxing.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use jabs, front kicks and lateral exits to score while denying prolonged clinches. Kuniev should cut off the cage, attack the body and make each clinch produce damaging short strikes.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: keep distance with jab, leg kicks and front kicks, stuff takedowns and finish a slowing opponent. Kuniev: press forward, wrestle and use heavy hands to take Volkov out of rhythm.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use his long jab and heavy front kicks to keep the fight at range and accumulate damage toward a decision or late stoppage. Kuniev should close the distance early, press Volkov against the fence, and use his durable wrestling and clinch control to grind out rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov exits sideways after his combinations and whether Kuniev can turn his first clinches into offense rather than static holding.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Kuniev can close the distance and land his first takedown attempt, and whether Volkov's jab and kicks keep him at range.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov can establish his front kick and jab to keep the fight in open space, or if Kuniev can immediately walk through fire to trap him against the fence.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • ChatGPT

    The models agree: all 3 pick Volkov.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Kuniev by decision (27%).

How much chance did it give the actual result?
  • ChatGPT

    39% (about 39 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    26% (about 26 in 100).

  • Gemini

    35% (about 35 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 4%, decision 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    KO/TKO 36%, submission 9%, decision 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 8%, decision 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a draw or no contest
  • ChatGPT

    1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    2%.

  • Gemini

    2%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20%, against 16% for Kuniev.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov: 26%, against 19% for Kuniev.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Can Volkov get the finish? Can Kuniev?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%). Kuniev: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov: 26% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%).

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%. Kuniev is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 2%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 3%. Kuniev is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 6%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Kuniev is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 4%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 59% vs 40%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 46%.

  • Gemini

    A clear favourite: 56% vs 43%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39%. Kuniev by decision: 24%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Volkov by decision: 26%. Kuniev by decision: 27%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35%. Kuniev by decision: 25%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?
  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 9th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 4th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 5th closest, and the 10th most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, especially if you enjoy the tactical contest between a tall outside striker and a heavyweight trying to crowd him.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it is a meaningful ranked heavyweight matchup between a veteran striker and a rising wrestler, with finish potential from both.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This heavyweight clash is worth watching to see whether Volkov's technical long-range striking can hold off Kuniev's relentless cage pressure and physical grappling.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1
  • ChatGPT

    11%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    18%.

  • Gemini

    13%.

Chance it is over by round 2
  • ChatGPT

    23%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    33%.

  • Gemini

    27%.

Chance it goes to a decision
  • ChatGPT

    63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

  • Gemini

    60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a finish in the final round
  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Round 3: 12%.

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 12%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?
  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 90%, submission 10%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 18%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 19%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 52%. If it goes longer: Volkov 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 12%, Kuniev 11%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 61%. If it goes longer: Kuniev 51%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 20%, Kuniev 13%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: even. If it goes longer: Volkov 59%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 14%, Kuniev 14%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 62%, Kuniev 38%.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 49%, Kuniev 51%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 41%.

What could make this fight one-sided?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could pull away if Kuniev repeatedly enters from too far out and cannot keep him against the fence. That would let Volkov accumulate clean strikes without prolonged exchanges.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Volkov controls range and Kuniev can't get in, it could become a one-sided striking fight for Volkov. If Kuniev gets Volkov down repeatedly, he could dominate.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could make the fight one-sided if he consistently stops Kuniev's entries with front kicks and jabs, turning the bout into a ranged target-practice session.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the key edge in striking at long range, where his reach and varied kicks give Kuniev several obstacles to cross.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's technical striking and reach versus Kuniev's wrestling and power; the range battle is decisive and favors Volkov if he stays disciplined.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the most important edge with his superior reach and distance management, allowing him to score from the outside before Kuniev can initiate the clinch.

What is the biggest X-factor?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Their previous training together adds uncertainty: familiarity could help Kuniev anticipate exits or help Volkov recognize his pressure before it develops.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's age and durability against Kuniev's heavy power, plus whether Kuniev's cardio holds up over three rounds.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's knees in transition are the biggest X-factor, as they can punish Kuniev every time he levels changes or tries to force the clinch.

What would change the model's mind?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Clear evidence that Kuniev can repeatedly trap Volkov and damage him on the breaks would move my forecast toward Kuniev. So would a credible limitation affecting Volkov's movement.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Early success for Kuniev in getting Volkov to the mat, or Volkov being badly hurt by a Kuniev strike, would shift me toward Kuniev.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Kuniev effortlessly bypass Volkov's long-range strikes to secure early takedowns, or seeing Volkov compromised in mobility before the fight, would shift the outlook toward Kuniev.

What are the biggest unknowns?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish independently verified injury status for either fighter or how much their previous shared training revealed about this specific matchup.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard How Kuniev's chin and cardio hold against top-level heavyweights, and whether Volkov's takedown defense is still sharp at his age.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard It remains unclear how well Kuniev can absorb repeated front kicks to the midsection over three rounds and whether Volkov has lost any foot speed at this stage of his career.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I favor Volkov in open-space striking for his range and variety. Kuniev gets a slight grappling edge through clinch strength, though his defensive wrestling is better established than his takedown offense.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking thanks to reach, volume and technique; Kuniev should win the grappling with stronger wrestling-based pressure.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking due to his significant reach advantage and disciplined long-range kicking game, while Kuniev should win the grappling through superior cage pressure and wrestling control.

Who is better late in the fight?
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov has a slight late edge through experience managing long fights and accumulating damage at range. Kuniev's recent third-round finish makes any assumption that he will fade unsafe.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is slightly better placed in later rounds thanks to his experience and pacing, while Kuniev's explosive style may cost him energy.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is better placed in the later rounds because his steady kicking game and straight punches cause cumulative damage as heavyweights tire.

Biggest danger for Volkov, and for Kuniev
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's biggest danger is being trapped along the fence, where body attacks and short punches erode his movement. Kuniev's biggest danger is absorbing straight punches and kicks while struggling to get close enough to answer.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: being taken down and controlled or caught by a heavy shot while Kuniev closes distance. Kuniev: walking into Volkov's jab, kicks and counters and being picked apart or caught in a scramble.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov faces the danger of being pinned against the cage and neutralized by Kuniev's heavy clinch pressure and wrestling control. Kuniev faces the danger of getting stuck at kickboxing range and taking sustained damage from Volkov's long punches, front kicks, and knees in transition.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 39% here against 31% on average for the others.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 26% here against 37% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 35% here against 33% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • ChatGPT

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (59%).

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (52%).

  • Gemini

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (56%).

Which model is most confident on Volkov, and which on Kuniev?
  • ChatGPT

    On Volkov: ChatGPT (59%). On Kuniev: Claude (46%).

Where do the models disagree most?
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: from 26% (Claude) to 39% (ChatGPT).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • ChatGPT

    Fight Society (Volkov by decision), Chris Schweppe (Volkov by decision), Fight Productions (Volkov by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Volkov by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Volkov by decision), Kunath (Volkov by decision), Artem MMA (Volkov by decision), Mike Finch (Volkov by decision), MMA Mathletes (Volkov by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Volkov by decision), Fite Feed (Volkov by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Volkov by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Volkov by decision), Tom Feely (Volkov by decision), Cole Shelton (Volkov by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Volkov by decision), Brent Brookhouse (Volkov by decision), Brian Campbell (Volkov by decision), Michael Iannone (Volkov by decision), Andrew Richardson (Volkov by decision), Lyle Fitzsimmons (Volkov by decision), Garrett Kerman (Volkov by decision) and Kasper MMA (Volkov by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Volkov, most likely by decision.

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?
  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?
  • ChatGPT

    ChatGPT, which gave the actual result 39%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

gpt-6-astra · 23 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Volkov

Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Kuniev by decision, about 27 in 100

Win chance: Volkov 52%, Kuniev 46%, draw or no contest 2%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Kuniev by decision27%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev's wrestling and pressure could earn him rounds through control and takedowns.

  2. Volkov by decision26%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's range and volume can win rounds against a wrestler who struggles to close distance consistently.

  3. Volkov by KO/TKO20%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's varied strikes can stop a lunging opponent, especially early.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Volkov KO/TKO 9%, submission 2%; Kuniev KO/TKO 6%, submission 1%.
  2. Round 2: Volkov KO/TKO 7%, submission 2%; Kuniev KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%.
  3. Round 3: Volkov KO/TKO 4%, submission 2%; Kuniev KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%.
  4. Decision: Volkov 26%; Kuniev 27%.

Draw or no contest: 2%

Decision columns are drawn cut short so the rounds stay readable; their printed values are exact.

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in Claude's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Volkov KO/TKO9%7%4%—
Volkov Submission2%2%2%—
Volkov Decision———26%
Kuniev KO/TKO6%5%5%—
Kuniev Submission1%1%1%—
Kuniev Decision———27%
Draw or no contest2%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • Claude

    Volkov: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 46%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 59% (about 59 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 40%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 43%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • Claude

    Kuniev by decision: 27% (about 27 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • Claude

    1. Kuniev by decision (27%); 2. Volkov by decision (26%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (20%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's range and volume can win rounds against a wrestler who struggles to close distance consistently.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev's wrestling and pressure could earn him rounds through control and takedowns.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov's varied strikes can stop a lunging opponent, especially early.
Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1. Volkov by decision (39%); 2. Kuniev by decision (24%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (18%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's reach, varied kicks and experience against elite heavyweights favor him in extended exchanges at distance. His recent form supports another measured performance over three rounds.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev can make this close by crowding Volkov and combining clinch pressure with short strikes. Keeping Volkov near the fence would reduce his advantage at range.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov can punish predictable entries and accumulate damage to the head and body. A stoppage becomes more plausible if Kuniev must chase the fight late.
  • Gemini

    1. Volkov by decision (35%); 2. Kuniev by decision (25%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov excels at managing distance behind a long jab and heavy front kicks, and his recent three-round fights against top contenders have consistently gone to the scorecards.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev utilizes strong cage pressure, clinch control, and durable wrestling to grind out rounds against elite heavyweights, as demonstrated against Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov carries cumulative stopping power with straight punches and knees in transition, giving him a clear path to wear down Kuniev if the pace stays at kickboxing range.
How confident is the model?
  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Volkov's 52% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 59% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 56% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 45%. Decision: 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

How does Volkov win?
  • Claude

    Volkov wins 52%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov wins 59%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%, decision 39%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov wins 56%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%, decision 35%.

How does Kuniev win?
  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%, decision 27%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 24%.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

The fight in one sentence
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard A close heavyweight contest where Volkov's range and technique face Kuniev's wrestling and power, with a slight lean to the veteran on the feet.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should land the cleaner work at range and edge a decision, with Kuniev making it competitive through pressure and clinch offense.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Alexander Volkov is expected to keep Rizvan Kuniev at bay with long jabs and front kicks to earn a decision win, though Kuniev will look to make it gritty in the clinch.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?
  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (40% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 18%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 3 is most likely (35% of finishes). Chance of a round-3 finish overall: 13%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 2 is most likely (36% of finishes). Chance of a round-2 finish overall: 14%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?
  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 50% (from 52%), Kuniev 48% (from 46%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If it survives round 1, the fight likely turns into a grind where Kuniev's takedown attempts and Volkov's cardio and volume are tested. Volkov's jab and kicks can accumulate, while Kuniev needs to avoid fading.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 60% (from 59%), Kuniev 39% (from 40%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov can build on body kicks and straight punches if he keeps space. Kuniev remains dangerous late, particularly if early clinch work slows Volkov's exits.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 57% (from 56%), Kuniev 41% (from 43%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Once past the opening frame, Kuniev's early explosive burst fades slightly, allowing Volkov's cumulative bodywork and straight punches to take over at distance.

What is the upset path?
  • Claude

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (27%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev closes distance, lands heavy power shots or takedowns, and wears Volkov down with control and ground-and-pound or a late finish.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (24%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev can close distance behind punches, pin Volkov near the fence and land short strikes. Sustained effective offense there offers his clearest route to a decision.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (25%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev is most likely to pull off the win by crowding Volkov early, pinning him to the cage, and grinding out rounds with clinch control and dirty boxing.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: keep distance with jab, leg kicks and front kicks, stuff takedowns and finish a slowing opponent. Kuniev: press forward, wrestle and use heavy hands to take Volkov out of rhythm.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use jabs, front kicks and lateral exits to score while denying prolonged clinches. Kuniev should cut off the cage, attack the body and make each clinch produce damaging short strikes.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use his long jab and heavy front kicks to keep the fight at range and accumulate damage toward a decision or late stoppage. Kuniev should close the distance early, press Volkov against the fence, and use his durable wrestling and clinch control to grind out rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Kuniev can close the distance and land his first takedown attempt, and whether Volkov's jab and kicks keep him at range.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov exits sideways after his combinations and whether Kuniev can turn his first clinches into offense rather than static holding.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov can establish his front kick and jab to keep the fight in open space, or if Kuniev can immediately walk through fire to trap him against the fence.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • Claude

    The models agree: all 3 pick Volkov.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?
  • Claude

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Kuniev by decision (27%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

  • Gemini

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?
  • Claude

    26% (about 26 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Gemini

    35% (about 35 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • Claude

    KO/TKO 36%, submission 9%, decision 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 4%, decision 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 8%, decision 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a draw or no contest
  • Claude

    2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • Claude

    Volkov: 26%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20%, against 16% for Kuniev.

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Can Volkov get the finish? Can Kuniev?
  • Claude

    Volkov: 26% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%). Kuniev: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%).

  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • Claude

    Volkov is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 3%. Kuniev is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 6%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%. Kuniev is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 2%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Kuniev is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 4%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 46%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 59% vs 40%.

  • Gemini

    A clear favourite: 56% vs 43%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win
  • Claude

    Volkov by decision: 26%. Kuniev by decision: 27%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39%. Kuniev by decision: 24%.

  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35%. Kuniev by decision: 25%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?
  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 4th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 9th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 5th closest, and the 10th most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it is a meaningful ranked heavyweight matchup between a veteran striker and a rising wrestler, with finish potential from both.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, especially if you enjoy the tactical contest between a tall outside striker and a heavyweight trying to crowd him.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This heavyweight clash is worth watching to see whether Volkov's technical long-range striking can hold off Kuniev's relentless cage pressure and physical grappling.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1
  • Claude

    18%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    11%.

  • Gemini

    13%.

Chance it is over by round 2
  • Claude

    33%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    23%.

  • Gemini

    27%.

Chance it goes to a decision
  • Claude

    53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a finish in the final round
  • Claude

    Round 3: 12%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?
  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 18%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 90%, submission 10%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 19%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?
  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 61%. If it goes longer: Kuniev 51%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 20%, Kuniev 13%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 52%. If it goes longer: Volkov 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 12%, Kuniev 11%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: even. If it goes longer: Volkov 59%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 14%, Kuniev 14%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 49%, Kuniev 51%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 62%, Kuniev 38%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 41%.

What could make this fight one-sided?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Volkov controls range and Kuniev can't get in, it could become a one-sided striking fight for Volkov. If Kuniev gets Volkov down repeatedly, he could dominate.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could pull away if Kuniev repeatedly enters from too far out and cannot keep him against the fence. That would let Volkov accumulate clean strikes without prolonged exchanges.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could make the fight one-sided if he consistently stops Kuniev's entries with front kicks and jabs, turning the bout into a ranged target-practice session.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's technical striking and reach versus Kuniev's wrestling and power; the range battle is decisive and favors Volkov if he stays disciplined.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the key edge in striking at long range, where his reach and varied kicks give Kuniev several obstacles to cross.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the most important edge with his superior reach and distance management, allowing him to score from the outside before Kuniev can initiate the clinch.

What is the biggest X-factor?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's age and durability against Kuniev's heavy power, plus whether Kuniev's cardio holds up over three rounds.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Their previous training together adds uncertainty: familiarity could help Kuniev anticipate exits or help Volkov recognize his pressure before it develops.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's knees in transition are the biggest X-factor, as they can punish Kuniev every time he levels changes or tries to force the clinch.

What would change the model's mind?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Early success for Kuniev in getting Volkov to the mat, or Volkov being badly hurt by a Kuniev strike, would shift me toward Kuniev.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Clear evidence that Kuniev can repeatedly trap Volkov and damage him on the breaks would move my forecast toward Kuniev. So would a credible limitation affecting Volkov's movement.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Kuniev effortlessly bypass Volkov's long-range strikes to secure early takedowns, or seeing Volkov compromised in mobility before the fight, would shift the outlook toward Kuniev.

What are the biggest unknowns?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard How Kuniev's chin and cardio hold against top-level heavyweights, and whether Volkov's takedown defense is still sharp at his age.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish independently verified injury status for either fighter or how much their previous shared training revealed about this specific matchup.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard It remains unclear how well Kuniev can absorb repeated front kicks to the midsection over three rounds and whether Volkov has lost any foot speed at this stage of his career.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking thanks to reach, volume and technique; Kuniev should win the grappling with stronger wrestling-based pressure.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I favor Volkov in open-space striking for his range and variety. Kuniev gets a slight grappling edge through clinch strength, though his defensive wrestling is better established than his takedown offense.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking due to his significant reach advantage and disciplined long-range kicking game, while Kuniev should win the grappling through superior cage pressure and wrestling control.

Who is better late in the fight?
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is slightly better placed in later rounds thanks to his experience and pacing, while Kuniev's explosive style may cost him energy.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov has a slight late edge through experience managing long fights and accumulating damage at range. Kuniev's recent third-round finish makes any assumption that he will fade unsafe.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is better placed in the later rounds because his steady kicking game and straight punches cause cumulative damage as heavyweights tire.

Biggest danger for Volkov, and for Kuniev
  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: being taken down and controlled or caught by a heavy shot while Kuniev closes distance. Kuniev: walking into Volkov's jab, kicks and counters and being picked apart or caught in a scramble.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's biggest danger is being trapped along the fence, where body attacks and short punches erode his movement. Kuniev's biggest danger is absorbing straight punches and kicks while struggling to get close enough to answer.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov faces the danger of being pinned against the cage and neutralized by Kuniev's heavy clinch pressure and wrestling control. Kuniev faces the danger of getting stuck at kickboxing range and taking sustained damage from Volkov's long punches, front kicks, and knees in transition.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 26% here against 37% on average for the others.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 39% here against 31% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 35% here against 33% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • Claude

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (52%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (59%).

  • Gemini

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (56%).

Which model is most confident on Volkov, and which on Kuniev?
  • Claude

    On Volkov: ChatGPT (59%). On Kuniev: Claude (46%).

Where do the models disagree most?
  • Claude

    Volkov by decision: from 26% (Claude) to 39% (ChatGPT).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • Claude

    Fight Society (Volkov by decision), Chris Schweppe (Volkov by decision), Fight Productions (Volkov by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Volkov by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Volkov by decision), Kunath (Volkov by decision), Artem MMA (Volkov by decision), Mike Finch (Volkov by decision), MMA Mathletes (Volkov by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Volkov by decision), Fite Feed (Volkov by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Volkov by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Volkov by decision), Tom Feely (Volkov by decision), Cole Shelton (Volkov by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Volkov by decision), Brent Brookhouse (Volkov by decision), Brian Campbell (Volkov by decision), Michael Iannone (Volkov by decision), Andrew Richardson (Volkov by decision), Lyle Fitzsimmons (Volkov by decision), Garrett Kerman (Volkov by decision) and Kasper MMA (Volkov by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Volkov, most likely by decision.

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?
  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?
  • Claude

    ChatGPT, which gave the actual result 39%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • Claude

    Yes.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 23 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Volkov

Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Volkov by decision, about 35 in 100

Win chance: Volkov 56%, Kuniev 43%, draw or no contest 2%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Volkov by decision35%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov excels at managing distance behind a long jab and heavy front kicks, and his recent three-round fights against top contenders have consistently gone to the scorecards.

  2. Kuniev by decision25%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev utilizes strong cage pressure, clinch control, and durable wrestling to grind out rounds against elite heavyweights, as demonstrated against Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida.

  3. Volkov by KO/TKO17%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov carries cumulative stopping power with straight punches and knees in transition, giving him a clear path to wear down Kuniev if the pace stays at kickboxing range.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Volkov KO/TKO 5%, submission 1%; Kuniev KO/TKO 6%, submission 1%.
  2. Round 2: Volkov KO/TKO 6%, submission 2%; Kuniev KO/TKO 5%, submission 2%.
  3. Round 3: Volkov KO/TKO 6%, submission 2%; Kuniev KO/TKO 4%, submission 1%.
  4. Decision: Volkov 35%; Kuniev 25%.

Draw or no contest: 2%

Decision columns are drawn cut short so the rounds stay readable; their printed values are exact.

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in Gemini's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Volkov KO/TKO5%6%6%—
Volkov Submission1%2%2%—
Volkov Decision———35%
Kuniev KO/TKO6%5%4%—
Kuniev Submission1%2%1%—
Kuniev Decision———25%
Draw or no contest2%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?
  • Gemini

    Volkov: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 43%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 59% (about 59 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 40%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Volkov: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Kuniev: 46%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

What is the single most likely outcome?
  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Claude

    Kuniev by decision: 27% (about 27 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
  • Gemini

    1. Volkov by decision (35%); 2. Kuniev by decision (25%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov excels at managing distance behind a long jab and heavy front kicks, and his recent three-round fights against top contenders have consistently gone to the scorecards.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev utilizes strong cage pressure, clinch control, and durable wrestling to grind out rounds against elite heavyweights, as demonstrated against Curtis Blaydes and Jailton Almeida.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov carries cumulative stopping power with straight punches and knees in transition, giving him a clear path to wear down Kuniev if the pace stays at kickboxing range.
Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1. Volkov by decision (39%); 2. Kuniev by decision (24%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (18%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's reach, varied kicks and experience against elite heavyweights favor him in extended exchanges at distance. His recent form supports another measured performance over three rounds.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev can make this close by crowding Volkov and combining clinch pressure with short strikes. Keeping Volkov near the fence would reduce his advantage at range.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov can punish predictable entries and accumulate damage to the head and body. A stoppage becomes more plausible if Kuniev must chase the fight late.
  • Claude

    1. Kuniev by decision (27%); 2. Volkov by decision (26%); 3. Volkov by KO/TKO (20%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Volkov by decision: Volkov's range and volume can win rounds against a wrestler who struggles to close distance consistently.
    • Kuniev by decision: Kuniev's wrestling and pressure could earn him rounds through control and takedowns.
    • Volkov by KO/TKO: Volkov's varied strikes can stop a lunging opponent, especially early.
How confident is the model?
  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 56% win chance.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Volkov's 59% win chance.

  • Claude

    5 of 10, based on Volkov's 52% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?
  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 36%. Decision: 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 45%. Decision: 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

How does Volkov win?
  • Gemini

    Volkov wins 56%: KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%, decision 35%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov wins 59%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%, decision 39%.

  • Claude

    Volkov wins 52%: KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%, decision 26%.

How does Kuniev win?
  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 25%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%, decision 24%.

  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46%: KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%, decision 27%.

The fight in one sentence
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Alexander Volkov is expected to keep Rizvan Kuniev at bay with long jabs and front kicks to earn a decision win, though Kuniev will look to make it gritty in the clinch.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should land the cleaner work at range and edge a decision, with Kuniev making it competitive through pressure and clinch offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard A close heavyweight contest where Volkov's range and technique face Kuniev's wrestling and power, with a slight lean to the veteran on the feet.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?
  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 2 is most likely (36% of finishes). Chance of a round-2 finish overall: 14%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 3 is most likely (35% of finishes). Chance of a round-3 finish overall: 13%.

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (40% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 18%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?
  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 57% (from 56%), Kuniev 41% (from 43%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Once past the opening frame, Kuniev's early explosive burst fades slightly, allowing Volkov's cumulative bodywork and straight punches to take over at distance.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 60% (from 59%), Kuniev 39% (from 40%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov can build on body kicks and straight punches if he keeps space. Kuniev remains dangerous late, particularly if early clinch work slows Volkov's exits.

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Volkov 50% (from 52%), Kuniev 48% (from 46%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If it survives round 1, the fight likely turns into a grind where Kuniev's takedown attempts and Volkov's cardio and volume are tested. Volkov's jab and kicks can accumulate, while Kuniev needs to avoid fading.

What is the upset path?
  • Gemini

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (25%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev is most likely to pull off the win by crowding Volkov early, pinning him to the cage, and grinding out rounds with clinch control and dirty boxing.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (24%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev can close distance behind punches, pin Volkov near the fence and land short strikes. Sustained effective offense there offers his clearest route to a decision.

  • Claude

    Kuniev's most likely upset: Kuniev by decision (27%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Kuniev closes distance, lands heavy power shots or takedowns, and wears Volkov down with control and ground-and-pound or a late finish.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use his long jab and heavy front kicks to keep the fight at range and accumulate damage toward a decision or late stoppage. Kuniev should close the distance early, press Volkov against the fence, and use his durable wrestling and clinch control to grind out rounds.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should use jabs, front kicks and lateral exits to score while denying prolonged clinches. Kuniev should cut off the cage, attack the body and make each clinch produce damaging short strikes.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: keep distance with jab, leg kicks and front kicks, stuff takedowns and finish a slowing opponent. Kuniev: press forward, wrestle and use heavy hands to take Volkov out of rhythm.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov can establish his front kick and jab to keep the fight in open space, or if Kuniev can immediately walk through fire to trap him against the fence.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Volkov exits sideways after his combinations and whether Kuniev can turn his first clinches into offense rather than static holding.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Kuniev can close the distance and land his first takedown attempt, and whether Volkov's jab and kicks keep him at range.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?
  • Gemini

    The models agree: all 3 pick Volkov.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?
  • Gemini

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's most likely outcome.

Other models' answers
  • Claude

    Result: Volkov by decision, the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Kuniev by decision (27%).

How much chance did it give the actual result?
  • Gemini

    35% (about 35 in 100).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    39% (about 39 in 100).

  • Claude

    26% (about 26 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 8%, decision 60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 32%, submission 4%, decision 63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 36%, submission 9%, decision 53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a draw or no contest
  • Gemini

    2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?
  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20%, against 16% for Kuniev.

  • Claude

    Volkov: 26%, against 19% for Kuniev.

Can Volkov get the finish? Can Kuniev?
  • Gemini

    Volkov: 21% (KO/TKO 17%, submission 4%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov: 20% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 2%). Kuniev: 16% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 2%).

  • Claude

    Volkov: 26% (KO/TKO 20%, submission 6%). Kuniev: 19% (KO/TKO 16%, submission 3%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
  • Gemini

    Volkov is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Kuniev is knocked out in 17% and submitted in 4%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 2%. Kuniev is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 2%.

  • Claude

    Volkov is knocked out in 16% and submitted in 3%. Kuniev is knocked out in 20% and submitted in 6%.

How lopsided is this fight?
  • Gemini

    A clear favourite: 56% vs 43%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 59% vs 40%.

  • Claude

    Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 46%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win
  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: 35%. Kuniev by decision: 25%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Volkov by decision: 39%. Kuniev by decision: 24%.

  • Claude

    Volkov by decision: 26%. Kuniev by decision: 27%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
  • Gemini

    Kuniev wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Kuniev wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Claude

    Kuniev wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?
  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 5th closest, and the 10th most likely to end early.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 9th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 4th closest, and the 9th most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This heavyweight clash is worth watching to see whether Volkov's technical long-range striking can hold off Kuniev's relentless cage pressure and physical grappling.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, especially if you enjoy the tactical contest between a tall outside striker and a heavyweight trying to crowd him.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it is a meaningful ranked heavyweight matchup between a veteran striker and a rising wrestler, with finish potential from both.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1
  • Gemini

    13%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    11%.

  • Claude

    18%.

Chance it is over by round 2
  • Gemini

    27%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    23%.

  • Claude

    33%.

Chance it goes to a decision
  • Gemini

    60%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    63%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    53%. Draw or no contest: 2%.

Chance of a finish in the final round
  • Gemini

    Round 3: 12%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?
  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 19%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 90%, submission 10%.

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 82%, submission 18%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?
  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: even. If it goes longer: Volkov 59%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 14%, Kuniev 14%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 52%. If it goes longer: Volkov 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 12%, Kuniev 11%.

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Volkov 61%. If it goes longer: Kuniev 51%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Volkov 20%, Kuniev 13%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?
  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 59%, Kuniev 41%.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 62%, Kuniev 38%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Volkov 49%, Kuniev 51%.

What could make this fight one-sided?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could make the fight one-sided if he consistently stops Kuniev's entries with front kicks and jabs, turning the bout into a ranged target-practice session.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov could pull away if Kuniev repeatedly enters from too far out and cannot keep him against the fence. That would let Volkov accumulate clean strikes without prolonged exchanges.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Volkov controls range and Kuniev can't get in, it could become a one-sided striking fight for Volkov. If Kuniev gets Volkov down repeatedly, he could dominate.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the most important edge with his superior reach and distance management, allowing him to score from the outside before Kuniev can initiate the clinch.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov holds the key edge in striking at long range, where his reach and varied kicks give Kuniev several obstacles to cross.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's technical striking and reach versus Kuniev's wrestling and power; the range battle is decisive and favors Volkov if he stays disciplined.

What is the biggest X-factor?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's knees in transition are the biggest X-factor, as they can punish Kuniev every time he levels changes or tries to force the clinch.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Their previous training together adds uncertainty: familiarity could help Kuniev anticipate exits or help Volkov recognize his pressure before it develops.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's age and durability against Kuniev's heavy power, plus whether Kuniev's cardio holds up over three rounds.

What would change the model's mind?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Kuniev effortlessly bypass Volkov's long-range strikes to secure early takedowns, or seeing Volkov compromised in mobility before the fight, would shift the outlook toward Kuniev.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Clear evidence that Kuniev can repeatedly trap Volkov and damage him on the breaks would move my forecast toward Kuniev. So would a credible limitation affecting Volkov's movement.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Early success for Kuniev in getting Volkov to the mat, or Volkov being badly hurt by a Kuniev strike, would shift me toward Kuniev.

What are the biggest unknowns?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard It remains unclear how well Kuniev can absorb repeated front kicks to the midsection over three rounds and whether Volkov has lost any foot speed at this stage of his career.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish independently verified injury status for either fighter or how much their previous shared training revealed about this specific matchup.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard How Kuniev's chin and cardio hold against top-level heavyweights, and whether Volkov's takedown defense is still sharp at his age.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking due to his significant reach advantage and disciplined long-range kicking game, while Kuniev should win the grappling through superior cage pressure and wrestling control.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I favor Volkov in open-space striking for his range and variety. Kuniev gets a slight grappling edge through clinch strength, though his defensive wrestling is better established than his takedown offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov should win the striking thanks to reach, volume and technique; Kuniev should win the grappling with stronger wrestling-based pressure.

Who is better late in the fight?
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is better placed in the later rounds because his steady kicking game and straight punches cause cumulative damage as heavyweights tire.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov has a slight late edge through experience managing long fights and accumulating damage at range. Kuniev's recent third-round finish makes any assumption that he will fade unsafe.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov is slightly better placed in later rounds thanks to his experience and pacing, while Kuniev's explosive style may cost him energy.

Biggest danger for Volkov, and for Kuniev
  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov faces the danger of being pinned against the cage and neutralized by Kuniev's heavy clinch pressure and wrestling control. Kuniev faces the danger of getting stuck at kickboxing range and taking sustained damage from Volkov's long punches, front kicks, and knees in transition.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov's biggest danger is being trapped along the fence, where body attacks and short punches erode his movement. Kuniev's biggest danger is absorbing straight punches and kicks while struggling to get close enough to answer.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Volkov: being taken down and controlled or caught by a heavy shot while Kuniev closes distance. Kuniev: walking into Volkov's jab, kicks and counters and being picked apart or caught in a scramble.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?
  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 35% here against 33% on average for the others.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 39% here against 31% on average for the others.

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Volkov by decision, 26% here against 37% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?
  • Gemini

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (56%).

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (59%).

  • Claude

    Of 77 analyst picks, 59 back Volkov and 18 back Kuniev. This model picks Volkov (52%).

Which model is most confident on Volkov, and which on Kuniev?
  • Gemini

    On Volkov: ChatGPT (59%). On Kuniev: Claude (46%).

Where do the models disagree most?
  • Gemini

    Volkov by decision: from 26% (Claude) to 39% (ChatGPT).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?
  • Gemini

    Fight Society (Volkov by decision), Chris Schweppe (Volkov by decision), Fight Productions (Volkov by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Volkov by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Volkov by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Volkov by decision), Kunath (Volkov by decision), Artem MMA (Volkov by decision), Mike Finch (Volkov by decision), MMA Mathletes (Volkov by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Volkov by decision), Fite Feed (Volkov by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Volkov by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Volkov by decision), Tom Feely (Volkov by decision), Cole Shelton (Volkov by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Volkov by decision), Brent Brookhouse (Volkov by decision), Brian Campbell (Volkov by decision), Michael Iannone (Volkov by decision), Andrew Richardson (Volkov by decision), Lyle Fitzsimmons (Volkov by decision), Garrett Kerman (Volkov by decision) and Kasper MMA (Volkov by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Volkov, most likely by decision.

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?
  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

Other models' answers
  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

What can't the model know?
  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?
  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?
  • Gemini

    ChatGPT, which gave the actual result 39%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
  • Gemini

    Yes.

Version not reported · 23 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Market Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 6 sportsbooks

54% Alexander Volkov
46% Rizvan Kuniev

Favoured: Volkov (54%) Called it

Volkov defeats Kuniev · Dec

Final pre-fight line · as of 24 Oct 17:29 UTC · 6 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET