Billy Ward is a predictive analyst and UFC editor at Action Network who also covers UFC daily fantasy sports at FantasyLabs. He is a former professional MMA fighter and began freelance writing for FantasyLabs in 2018.
Scorecard
Track record building — 4 resolved calls so far. Visible hit/miss split unlocks at 5 resolved scored picks. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
3 of 4 — too few scored calls to chart a trend.
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Underdog
1 of 2 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Method — No method callsRound — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 2 hit · 0 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 1 hit · 1 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 36.1%. Tanzilovi · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Billy Ward selects Otari Tanzilovi. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to win | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Billy Ward takes Francisco Prado on the moneyline after analyzing Prado vs. Ismael Bonfim. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Action Network's UFC 331 article lists Billy Ward's pick as Casey O'Neill on the moneyline. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Ferreira · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Action Network's UFC 331 article lists Billy Ward's pick as Brunno Ferreira at plus money. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.