UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev  24 Oct 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev defeats Nikita Krylov by KO/TKO

Loss Nikita Krylov 31-13-0
Win Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 11-0-0
KO/TKO · knee and punches

Round 1 · 2:38

Krylov vs Yakhyaev · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Krylov landed a hard right hand early that left Yakhyaev bleeding. Off the fence, Yakhyaev snapped Krylov down to the canvas and attacked a D'arce choke before switching to a ride position.

As Krylov tried to stand, Yakhyaev dropped him with a knee to the head and finished with heavy follow-up shots. It was his fourth win in as many UFC appearances.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Krylov

UFC lists Nikita Krylov versus Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev as a light heavyweight bout on the UFC 333 preliminary card.

Case for Yakhyaev

Yakhyaev is the opposing light heavyweight named by UFC for Abu Dhabi.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Krylov can impose his preferred tempo.
  • How Yakhyaev responds to the first extended exchange.
  • Which fighter controls the clinch positions.
  • How the light heavyweight pace holds up across the scheduled rounds.
Records & career stats
Krylov vs Yakhyaev
Russia
Nationality
Turkey
34
Age
25
6′3″191 cm
Height — Krylov leads
6′2″188 cm
78″197 cm
Reach — Yakhyaev leads
78″198 cm
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
4.38
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Yakhyaev leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
8.64
2.75
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Yakhyaev leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.22
48%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Yakhyaev leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
59%
53%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Yakhyaev leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
07:09
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
01:01
Fight Club No1 - Moscow, Russia
Team
MMA Nuemberg

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nikita Krylov

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Guy Bruhn picks Nikita Krylov, per the Doc's Sports pick line.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nikita Krylov (+371)”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
The Cage Doctor
Hear it — 18:33 The Cage Doctor on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

The Cage Doctor picks Yakhyaev, probably by knockout, because he believes Krylov’s chin has deteriorated. He still respects Krylov’s craft and skills but sees Yakhyaev as a promising light-heavyweight prospect.

* An early call phrased as probably by knockout.

Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 9 resolved calls).

View full track record (9 calls)
UFC Predict — Logistic Core
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — Logistic Core explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 15:59 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Bedtime MMA picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. Method hedged: 'Probably a KO'

“with Yakhyaev by round one finish.”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

FightIQ's snapshot explicitly predicts Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev at site-displayed confidence of 85%; tier LOCK.

“We predict Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — 85% confident”

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 19:43 Jimbo Ortega MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO.

“Give me Yakyavv by KO. Even if this”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).

View full track record (56 calls)
Lucas Tracy
Hear it — 18:20 Gemini YouTube analysisLucas Tracy on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

“i think he's going to knock nikita krylov out in the first round”

Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.7% (44 hit, 21 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.5% (10 hit, 6 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.9% (7 hit, 11 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Tom Feely
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Sherdog prelims preview by Tom Feely names Yakhyaev as the pick, by first-round knockout.

“The pick is Yakhyaev by first-round knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Lock of the Night on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).

View full track record (126 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 2:13 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).

View full track record (75 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 45:00 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

AJ Devito picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev in round 1. Round: 'probably round one'

“Yakyv should stop him.”

Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).

View full track record (264 calls)
The MMA Guru
Hear it — 23:30 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).

View full track record (322 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 35:36 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO.

“too dangerous. He's knocking out Nikita”

Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).

View full track record (154 calls)
Fite Feed
Hear it — 19:17 Fite Feed on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fite Feed picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1.

“I think Abdul's going to win by way of a first round knockout”

Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).

View full track record (37 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 18:03 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

DFS By The Numbers picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1.

“Yakhaev to win this fight by first round knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
UFC Predict — CatBoost
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — CatBoost explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Main + Market
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — Main + Market explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 9 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.3% (9 hit, 5 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
138 MMA
Hear it — 18:59 138 MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

138 MMA picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev, believing he is facing Krylov at the right point in their careers.

Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Mate Bersenadze
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Sub

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).

View full track record (52 calls)
Livid Larry MMA
Hear it — 18:13 Livid Larry MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Livid Larry MMA picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO. TKO most likely, early on

“I'm going to go with Abdul Rakman Yakayv”

Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Next Fight model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Next Fight explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).

View full track record (8 calls)
HopperMMA
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisHopperMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
Michael Bisping
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisMichael Bisping on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 24 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 61.5% (24 hit, 15 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).

View full track record (39 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 46:11 James Blissett on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Sees Krylov as washed and quickly returning from a stoppage, and picks the undefeated Yakhyaev to knock him out in round one.

“Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev via knockout in round one will be my official prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
Combat Edge Model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Combat Edge Model’s frozen UFC 333 forecast favors Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (72%) over Nikita Krylov (28%); the source publishes winner probabilities, not a method or round. Observation snapshot: 2026-10-17 (not asserted as the original publication or lock date); the source labels this forecast version v0.8-2026-10-04.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Mathletes on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Sub

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Fight Genie (Claude)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight Genie Claude explicitly selects f_965f58 for Krylov–Yakhyaev on the live UFC 333 card. The page exposes no original publication or lock time; 2026-10-21 is the observed snapshot date only.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

The Oracle selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev with a 71% win probability.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Tim Edwards
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 17:55 KingofCrackdown5095 on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. average confidence

“Yakubov via first round TKO.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).

View full track record (63 calls)
Kunath
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisKunath on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
Danny Howard
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).

View full track record (12 calls)
Artem MMA
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisArtem MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).

View full track record (95 calls)
Mike Finch
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisMike Finch on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 31 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.4% (31 hit, 23 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 68.2% (15 hit, 7 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
MMA Intel
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

MMA Intel explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev; the source does not state a method or round.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — Ensemble
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — Ensemble explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — LightGBM
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — LightGBM explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
UFC Predict — XGBoost
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

UFC Predict — XGBoost explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev for this matchup; no method or round is stated. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 page snapshot because no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 8 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 14 resolved calls).

View full track record (14 calls)
Fight Society
Hear it — 21:43 Fight Society on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight Society sees Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev as the young fighter getting a step up into the rankings and calls the matchup a layup by first-round TKO.

“I'm going to go with Rockman, Abdul Rockman Yakhyaev by TKO round one.”

* The captions render Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev as “Rockman, Abdul Rockman Yakhyaev”; the adjacent Krylov matchup context resolves the canonical fighter.

Track record: winner called in 4 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.1% (4 hit, 3 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).

View full track record (7 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Jon Litterine explicitly selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev; no method or round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).

View full track record (124 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 25:59 Fight Productions on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight Productions selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by round-1 knockout.

“I'm definitely going to be backing Yaky in this one. I do think he's legit. I think he's the future of this weight class. His ability to mix it up, I think, is not something you see a lot of at 205. So, I'm going to take him to win this one by round one knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Fight Genie (GPT)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight Genie GPT explicitly selects f_965f58 for Krylov–Yakhyaev on the live UFC 333 card. The page exposes no original publication or lock time; 2026-10-21 is the observed snapshot date only.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Sub

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

MMA.SOCIAL's UFC forecast selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by submission; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Kasper MMA
Hear it — 6:49 Gemini YouTube analysisKasper MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

“so I'm picking Yaky to win by KO/TKO”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).

View full track record (42 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Schweppe explicitly selects Yakhyaev by round 1 knockout.

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
Aniki MMA
Hear it — 22:16 Gemini YouTube analysisAniki MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

“yes in this fight I'll be picking Yakavev to win by first round KO”

Track record: winner called in 16 of 30 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.3% (16 hit, 14 miss, across 30 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 30 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 30 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 6 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 30 resolved calls).

View full track record (30 calls)
Half The Battle
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisHalf The Battle on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).

View full track record (109 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 24:57 TonyHasDiedMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

TonyHasDiedMMA selects Yakhyaev in the immediately named Krylov matchup; the caption renders the surname phonetically as “Yakovlev.” No method or round is specified.

“I am going to pick Yakovlev because Krylov”

* The transcript renders Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev as “Yakovlev”; the adjacent matchup context names Krylov and resolves the bout.

Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).

View full track record (53 calls)
Voice of MMA
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisVoice of MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
Steve Garcia
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisSteve Garcia on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).

View full track record (29 calls)
Andy Lang
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).

View full track record (35 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 40:14 Greedo Plays MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Greedo picks Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev by first-round knockout.

Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).

View full track record (72 calls)
mmadbm
Hear it — 0:50 Gemini YouTube analysismmadbm on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

“abdul Rahman Yakaya is going to knock out Nikita Kryov”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).

View full track record (41 calls)
DON SMOKE MMA
Hear it — 16:44 DON SMOKE MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

Don Smoke leans to Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev, while noting Krylov’s experience as a possible route. No method or round is selected.

“So, I'm going to go with Yakhyaev here”

Track record: winner called in 12 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (12 hit, 14 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).

View full track record (26 calls)
Brandon K
Open video source Gemini YouTube analysisBrandon K on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)
The Lab Analytics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

The Lab Analytics' explicit model pick selects Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (71.4% model probability; HIGH confidence, LEAN tier). The page publishes no method or round. Recorded from the 2026-10-21 observed page snapshot; no per-pick publication time is shown.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).

View full track record (25 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Fight result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

FIGHT//AI's UFC 333 predictions page lists Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev over Nikita Krylov (77% site-displayed confidence); observed 2026-10-17 as the snapshot date, not an asserted original publication or lock date; no method or round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)

Analyst picks: The Cage Doctor Hit; UFC Predict — Logistic Core Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; Tom Feely Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; UFC Predict — CatBoost Hit; UFC Predict — Main + Market Hit; 138 MMA Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Livid Larry MMA Hit; Next Fight model Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Michael Bisping Hit; James Blissett Hit; Combat Edge Model Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Fight Genie (Claude) Hit; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Hit; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Danny Howard Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Mike Finch Hit; MMA Intel Hit; UFC Predict — Ensemble Hit; UFC Predict — LightGBM Hit; UFC Predict — XGBoost Hit; Fight Society Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Fight Genie (GPT) Hit; MMA.SOCIAL Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Aniki MMA Hit; Half The Battle Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Voice of MMA Hit; Steve Garcia Hit; Andy Lang Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; mmadbm Hit; Guy Bruhn Miss; DON SMOKE MMA Hit; Brandon K Hit; The Lab Analytics Hit; FIGHT//AI Hit.

56 of 57 nailed it.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability ChatGPT put 77% on Yakhyaev.

ChatGPTForecast: 63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
23% Krylov
77% Yakhyaev
PickYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1ActualYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHitSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
ClaudeForecast: 61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
27% Krylov
72% Yakhyaev
PickYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1ActualYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHitSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
GeminiForecast: 68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
23% Krylov
76% Yakhyaev
PickYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1ActualYakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHitSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight callsFrozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.

AI Predictions

Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.

  • ChatGPT

    63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Yakhyaev

    Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 44 in 100

    Win chance: Krylov 23%, Yakhyaev 77%, draw or no contest 1%.

    gpt-6-astra · 23 Oct

    Confidence 8 of 10 · High

  • Claude

    61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

    Pick Yakhyaev

    Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100

    Win chance: Krylov 27%, Yakhyaev 72%, draw or no contest 1%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 23 Oct

    Confidence 7 of 10 · High

  • Gemini

    68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

    Pick Yakhyaev

    Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 43 in 100

    Win chance: Krylov 23%, Yakhyaev 76%, draw or no contest 1%.

    Version not reported · 23 Oct

    Confidence 8 of 10 · High

3 of 3 models pick Yakhyaev.

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 77% (about 77 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Krylov: 27%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 43% (about 43 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (11%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev's explosive punching meets a veteran stopped by strikes in three of his last four fights. Krylov's defensive openings make another damaging early exchange plausible.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev has shown quick takedowns and effective transitions to the back. Krylov's willingness to scramble creates submission opportunities if he loses position.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov retains finishing power and has succeeded against much stronger opposition. If Yakhyaev's initial attacks fail, sustained pressure and ground strikes offer a credible reversal.

  • Claude

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Yakhyaev by decision (25%); 3. Yakhyaev by submission (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by decision: Yakhyaev is the better wrestler and volume striker, and the veteran Krylov is durable enough to often last three rounds.
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev has heavy hands and Krylov has been stopped in recent fights, so a TKO is the most likely finish.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev's takedowns and top control can lead to a submission against a tiring Krylov.

  • Gemini

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (43%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (10%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev starts with blistering speed and heavy hands, while Krylov has recently suffered multiple early knockout losses and a jaw injury. Krylov's aggressive entries leave his chin exposed to fast early counters.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev pairs his explosive striking blitzes with lethal rear-naked choke finishes in transition. If he hurts Krylov early or forces a scramble, he can quickly take the back and secure a choke.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov remains an experienced, high-volume finisher who thrives in chaotic exchanges and deeper rounds. If he survives the opening blitz and drags Yakhyaev into extended waters, his varied striking can force a stoppage.
How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 77% win chance.

  • Claude

    7 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 72% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 87%. Decision: 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 69%. Decision: 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 88%. Decision: 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

How does Krylov win?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%, decision 5%.

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%, decision 6%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%, decision 4%.

How does Yakhyaev win?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev wins 77%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%, decision 7%.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev wins 72%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%, decision 25%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev wins 76%: KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 8%.

The fight in one sentence

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should threaten Krylov immediately with explosive punches and takedowns, with an early stoppage the likeliest result.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's pressure, wrestling and power should wear down the older Krylov for a stoppage or a clear decision, with Krylov's submission and early power as the threat.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is expected to overwhelm Nikita Krylov in the opening round with blistering hand speed and heavy counters, securing an early knockout or rear-naked choke in transition.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (56% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 49%.

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (41% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 28%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (68% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 60%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?

  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 33% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 66% (from 77%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chances improve if he survives without taking substantial damage. Longer exchanges and repeated wrestling sequences would test Yakhyaev beyond his brief UFC appearances.

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 24% (from 27%), Yakhyaev 74% (from 72%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Krylov survives the first round, the pace and Yakhyaev's top control and volume start to tell, while Krylov's cardio and durability fade, making late stoppages or a grinding decision likely.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 36% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 62% (from 76%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If the fight gets past the first round, the pace should slow and become much more competitive as Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters unfamiliar deep waters.

What is the upset path?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by decision (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov needs to interrupt the opening attacks, force clinches and establish top position. Making Yakhyaev defend prolonged grappling could create a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

  • Claude

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (6%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov lands an early heavy shot or catches a submission off a scramble or takedown attempt, before Yakhyaev's pressure and pace take over.

  • Gemini

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is most likely to win by surviving the opening blitz and dragging Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev into chaotic, tiring exchanges in the second or third round to secure an attrition stoppage.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov should use kicks to manage distance, then clinch and wrestle into sustained top control. Yakhyaev should pressure behind compact punches and pursue takedowns or back exposure when Krylov reacts.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: use his length, early power and scramble submissions to finish in the first round or two. Yakhyaev: pressure forward, mix takedowns with heavy punches and grind Krylov out for a late stoppage or decision.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's best path is pressuring early with fast, heavy punches to hurt Nikita Krylov and finish by knockout or a transitional choke. Krylov's best path is surviving the opening blitz, forcing exhausting scrambles, and wearing Yakhyaev down with varied volume in the later rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov can absorb or evade the first clean punches, and whether he can stop Yakhyaev from turning a takedown into back control.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov's jab and range keep Yakhyaev outside, and whether Yakhyaev's first takedown attempts succeed or get punished by Krylov's guillotine and scramble threats.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch how well Nikita Krylov protects his chin during his initial entries and whether he can weather Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's opening blitz without getting clipped or giving up his back in a scramble.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • All models

    The models agree: all 3 pick Yakhyaev.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?

  • All models

    Result: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?

  • ChatGPT

    27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Claude

    13% (about 13 in 100).

  • Gemini

    33% (about 33 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 55%, submission 32%, decision 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 53%, submission 36%, decision 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a draw or no contest

  • All models

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 70%, against 18% for Krylov.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 48%, against 21% for Krylov.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 69%, against 20% for Krylov.

Can Krylov get the finish? Can Yakhyaev?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov: 18% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%). Yakhyaev: 70% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%).

  • Claude

    Krylov: 21% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%). Yakhyaev: 48% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%).

  • Gemini

    Krylov: 20% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%). Yakhyaev: 69% (KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 7%.

  • Claude

    Krylov is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 17%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 8%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov is knocked out in 43% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 10%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 77% vs 23%.

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 72% vs 27%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 23%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov by decision: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 27%.

  • Claude

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 6%. Yakhyaev by decision: 25%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 33%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?

  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 14th closest, and the 2nd most likely to end early.

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, both fighters offer dangerous finishing attacks, and Krylov provides a meaningful test of Yakhyaev's rapid rise.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it's a short-notice-style heavyweight-sized light heavyweight clash between a rising unbeaten power puncher and a dangerous veteran finisher, and it could end suddenly.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is definitely worth watching because both light heavyweights are aggressive finishers who start fast and rarely let a bout reach the scorecards.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1

  • ChatGPT

    49%.

  • Claude

    28%.

  • Gemini

    60%.

Chance it is over by round 2

  • ChatGPT

    75%.

  • Claude

    53%.

  • Gemini

    80%.

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a finish in the final round

  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

  • Claude

    Round 3: 16%.

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 9%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?

  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 63%, submission 37%.

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 64%, submission 36%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 60%, submission 40%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 83%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 60%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 13%, Yakhyaev 62%.

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 69%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 78%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 17%, Yakhyaev 37%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 81%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 16%, Yakhyaev 64%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 42%, Yakhyaev 59%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 18%, Yakhyaev 82%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 32%, Yakhyaev 68%.

What could make this fight one-sided?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev could dominate if his opening punches force Krylov into defensive scrambles. Combining damage with immediate takedowns would deny Krylov opportunities to build his own offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Yakhyaev lands cleanly early or gets Krylov down and holds top control, it could turn into a one-sided win for him, as Krylov has been stopped in recent fights.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is likely to be one-sided for Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev because his explosive first-round speed and power directly target Nikita Krylov's compromised durability and exposed entries.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's explosive offense against Krylov's increasingly vulnerable striking defense is the most important edge.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev holds the edge in age, output, wrestling and physical power, while Krylov's durability has been questioned after recent stoppage losses.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the decisive edge in early hand speed and knockout power against a veteran whose punch resistance has recently declined.

What is the biggest X-factor?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's response to sustained resistance remains largely untested. Krylov is a substantial step up from his previous UFC opposition.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chin and recovery after recent stoppage losses, plus his dangerous submission game, are the biggest uncertainties.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The biggest X-factor is Nikita Krylov's durability following recent early knockout losses and a jaw injury. If his chin holds up under fire, the entire dynamic of the fight shifts in the middle rounds.

What would change the model's mind?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Evidence that Krylov can consistently stop the initial takedown and make Yakhyaev retreat under pressure would substantially narrow my forecast.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard An early Krylov knockdown, or Yakhyaev looking tired or badly hurt in the first round, would shift me toward Krylov.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Nikita Krylov adopt a patient, defensive approach early or seeing Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev gas out immediately after a failed first-minute blitz would most change this forecast.

What are the biggest unknowns?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish Krylov's recovery details after the reported jaw injury in July, or how Yakhyaev's conditioning holds up through sustained resistance from an experienced UFC opponent.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I couldn't confirm either fighter's camp health or weight-cut condition, or how much Krylov's recent injury stoppage affects him.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The main unknowns are how well Nikita Krylov's jaw and chin have recovered from recent knockouts, and how Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's cardio holds up if forced into extended rounds against UFC-level opposition.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I lean Yakhyaev in striking for his explosive entries against Krylov's defensive openings. I also lean Yakhyaev in grappling for his takedown-to-back transitions, though Krylov has faced much stronger opposition.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should win the striking on volume and power; grappling favors Yakhyaev too through takedowns, though Krylov's submissions keep scrambles risky for him.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev should win the striking due to his superior speed and Krylov's compromised chin, and he also holds the grappling edge by chaining hurt opponents directly into rear-naked chokes.

Who is better late in the fight?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov has the better-established late-round record, including a recent third-round finish. If he reaches the later rounds relatively unhurt, his experience becomes more valuable; Yakhyaev's endurance remains uncertain.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev, who is younger and has the stronger pace and wrestling, while Krylov tends to fade as fights go on.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is better placed in the later rounds if his chin holds up early, as he has far more experience in extended UFC fights while Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has rarely been tested past the opening minutes.

Biggest danger for Krylov, and for Yakhyaev

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov faces fast punches that could expose his recent durability problems before he establishes control. Yakhyaev risks discovering that his usual early attacks cannot dislodge an experienced opponent who can wrestle and finish.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: absorbing heavy power and being taken down and finished. Yakhyaev: getting caught in a scramble by Krylov's submissions or a big early shot.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard For Nikita Krylov, the biggest danger is leaving his chin exposed on aggressive entries against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's fast early counters. For Yakhyaev, the biggest danger is emptying his gas tank hunting an early finish and getting dragged into chaotic late-round exchanges by a seasoned veteran.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?

  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 7% here against 16% on average for the others.

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 25% here against 7% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1, 33% here against 20% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (77%).

  • Claude

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (72%).

  • Gemini

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (76%).

Which model is most confident on Krylov, and which on Yakhyaev?

  • All models

    On Krylov: Claude (27%). On Yakhyaev: ChatGPT (77%).

Where do the models disagree most?

  • All models

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: from 13% (Claude) to 33% (Gemini).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • All models

    Fight Society (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Chris Schweppe (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fight Productions (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Greedo Plays MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), MMA Lock of the Night (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Artem MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Bedtime MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), DFS By The Numbers (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fite Feed (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), KingofCrackdown5095 (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), James Blissett (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Tom Feely (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), The MMA Guru (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1) and Aniki MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1): the same winner, method and round as this model, tied; this model favours Yakhyaev, most likely by KO/TKO (likeliest round 1).

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?

  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?

  • All models

    Gemini, which gave the actual result 33%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • All models

    Yes.

ChatGPT

Pick

Yakhyaev

Confidence 8 of 10 · High

Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 44 in 100

Win chance: Krylov 23%, Yakhyaev 77%, draw or no contest 1%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO44%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's explosive punching meets a veteran stopped by strikes in three of his last four fights. Krylov's defensive openings make another damaging early exchange plausible.

  2. Yakhyaev by submission26%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev has shown quick takedowns and effective transitions to the back. Krylov's willingness to scramble creates submission opportunities if he loses position.

  3. Krylov by KO/TKO11%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov retains finishing power and has succeeded against much stronger opposition. If Yakhyaev's initial attacks fail, sustained pressure and ground strikes offer a credible reversal.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Krylov KO/TKO 4%, submission 2%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 27%, submission 16%.
  2. Round 2: Krylov KO/TKO 4%, submission 3%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 12%, submission 7%.
  3. Round 3: Krylov KO/TKO 3%, submission 2%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 5%, submission 3%.
  4. Decision: Krylov 5%; Yakhyaev 7%.

Draw or no contest: 1%

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in ChatGPT's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Krylov KO/TKO4%4%3%—
Krylov Submission2%3%2%—
Krylov Decision———5%
Yakhyaev KO/TKO27%12%5%—
Yakhyaev Submission16%7%3%—
Yakhyaev Decision———7%
Draw or no contest1%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 77% (about 77 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Krylov: 27%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 43% (about 43 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (11%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev's explosive punching meets a veteran stopped by strikes in three of his last four fights. Krylov's defensive openings make another damaging early exchange plausible.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev has shown quick takedowns and effective transitions to the back. Krylov's willingness to scramble creates submission opportunities if he loses position.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov retains finishing power and has succeeded against much stronger opposition. If Yakhyaev's initial attacks fail, sustained pressure and ground strikes offer a credible reversal.
Other models' answers

  • Claude

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Yakhyaev by decision (25%); 3. Yakhyaev by submission (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by decision: Yakhyaev is the better wrestler and volume striker, and the veteran Krylov is durable enough to often last three rounds.
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev has heavy hands and Krylov has been stopped in recent fights, so a TKO is the most likely finish.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev's takedowns and top control can lead to a submission against a tiring Krylov.

  • Gemini

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (43%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (10%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev starts with blistering speed and heavy hands, while Krylov has recently suffered multiple early knockout losses and a jaw injury. Krylov's aggressive entries leave his chin exposed to fast early counters.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev pairs his explosive striking blitzes with lethal rear-naked choke finishes in transition. If he hurts Krylov early or forces a scramble, he can quickly take the back and secure a choke.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov remains an experienced, high-volume finisher who thrives in chaotic exchanges and deeper rounds. If he survives the opening blitz and drags Yakhyaev into extended waters, his varied striking can force a stoppage.
How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 77% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    7 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 72% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 87%. Decision: 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 69%. Decision: 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 88%. Decision: 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

How does Krylov win?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%, decision 5%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%, decision 6%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%, decision 4%.

How does Yakhyaev win?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev wins 77%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%, decision 7%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev wins 72%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%, decision 25%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev wins 76%: KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 8%.

The fight in one sentence

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should threaten Krylov immediately with explosive punches and takedowns, with an early stoppage the likeliest result.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's pressure, wrestling and power should wear down the older Krylov for a stoppage or a clear decision, with Krylov's submission and early power as the threat.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is expected to overwhelm Nikita Krylov in the opening round with blistering hand speed and heavy counters, securing an early knockout or rear-naked choke in transition.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (56% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 49%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (41% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 28%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (68% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 60%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?

  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 33% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 66% (from 77%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chances improve if he survives without taking substantial damage. Longer exchanges and repeated wrestling sequences would test Yakhyaev beyond his brief UFC appearances.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 24% (from 27%), Yakhyaev 74% (from 72%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Krylov survives the first round, the pace and Yakhyaev's top control and volume start to tell, while Krylov's cardio and durability fade, making late stoppages or a grinding decision likely.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 36% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 62% (from 76%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If the fight gets past the first round, the pace should slow and become much more competitive as Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters unfamiliar deep waters.

What is the upset path?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by decision (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov needs to interrupt the opening attacks, force clinches and establish top position. Making Yakhyaev defend prolonged grappling could create a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (6%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov lands an early heavy shot or catches a submission off a scramble or takedown attempt, before Yakhyaev's pressure and pace take over.

  • Gemini

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is most likely to win by surviving the opening blitz and dragging Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev into chaotic, tiring exchanges in the second or third round to secure an attrition stoppage.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov should use kicks to manage distance, then clinch and wrestle into sustained top control. Yakhyaev should pressure behind compact punches and pursue takedowns or back exposure when Krylov reacts.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: use his length, early power and scramble submissions to finish in the first round or two. Yakhyaev: pressure forward, mix takedowns with heavy punches and grind Krylov out for a late stoppage or decision.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's best path is pressuring early with fast, heavy punches to hurt Nikita Krylov and finish by knockout or a transitional choke. Krylov's best path is surviving the opening blitz, forcing exhausting scrambles, and wearing Yakhyaev down with varied volume in the later rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov can absorb or evade the first clean punches, and whether he can stop Yakhyaev from turning a takedown into back control.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov's jab and range keep Yakhyaev outside, and whether Yakhyaev's first takedown attempts succeed or get punished by Krylov's guillotine and scramble threats.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch how well Nikita Krylov protects his chin during his initial entries and whether he can weather Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's opening blitz without getting clipped or giving up his back in a scramble.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • ChatGPT

    The models agree: all 3 pick Yakhyaev.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?

  • ChatGPT

    27% (about 27 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    13% (about 13 in 100).

  • Gemini

    33% (about 33 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 55%, submission 32%, decision 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 53%, submission 36%, decision 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a draw or no contest

  • ChatGPT

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 70%, against 18% for Krylov.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 48%, against 21% for Krylov.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 69%, against 20% for Krylov.

Can Krylov get the finish? Can Yakhyaev?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov: 18% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%). Yakhyaev: 70% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov: 21% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%). Yakhyaev: 48% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%).

  • Gemini

    Krylov: 20% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%). Yakhyaev: 69% (KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 7%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 17%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 8%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov is knocked out in 43% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 10%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 77% vs 23%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 72% vs 27%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 23%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov by decision: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 27%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 6%. Yakhyaev by decision: 25%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 33%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?

  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 14th closest, and the 2nd most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, both fighters offer dangerous finishing attacks, and Krylov provides a meaningful test of Yakhyaev's rapid rise.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it's a short-notice-style heavyweight-sized light heavyweight clash between a rising unbeaten power puncher and a dangerous veteran finisher, and it could end suddenly.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is definitely worth watching because both light heavyweights are aggressive finishers who start fast and rarely let a bout reach the scorecards.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1

  • ChatGPT

    49%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    28%.

  • Gemini

    60%.

Chance it is over by round 2

  • ChatGPT

    75%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    53%.

  • Gemini

    80%.

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a finish in the final round

  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Round 3: 16%.

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 9%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?

  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 63%, submission 37%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 64%, submission 36%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 60%, submission 40%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 83%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 60%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 13%, Yakhyaev 62%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 69%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 78%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 17%, Yakhyaev 37%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 81%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 16%, Yakhyaev 64%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 42%, Yakhyaev 59%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 18%, Yakhyaev 82%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 32%, Yakhyaev 68%.

What could make this fight one-sided?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev could dominate if his opening punches force Krylov into defensive scrambles. Combining damage with immediate takedowns would deny Krylov opportunities to build his own offense.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Yakhyaev lands cleanly early or gets Krylov down and holds top control, it could turn into a one-sided win for him, as Krylov has been stopped in recent fights.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is likely to be one-sided for Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev because his explosive first-round speed and power directly target Nikita Krylov's compromised durability and exposed entries.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's explosive offense against Krylov's increasingly vulnerable striking defense is the most important edge.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev holds the edge in age, output, wrestling and physical power, while Krylov's durability has been questioned after recent stoppage losses.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the decisive edge in early hand speed and knockout power against a veteran whose punch resistance has recently declined.

What is the biggest X-factor?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's response to sustained resistance remains largely untested. Krylov is a substantial step up from his previous UFC opposition.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chin and recovery after recent stoppage losses, plus his dangerous submission game, are the biggest uncertainties.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The biggest X-factor is Nikita Krylov's durability following recent early knockout losses and a jaw injury. If his chin holds up under fire, the entire dynamic of the fight shifts in the middle rounds.

What would change the model's mind?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Evidence that Krylov can consistently stop the initial takedown and make Yakhyaev retreat under pressure would substantially narrow my forecast.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard An early Krylov knockdown, or Yakhyaev looking tired or badly hurt in the first round, would shift me toward Krylov.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Nikita Krylov adopt a patient, defensive approach early or seeing Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev gas out immediately after a failed first-minute blitz would most change this forecast.

What are the biggest unknowns?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish Krylov's recovery details after the reported jaw injury in July, or how Yakhyaev's conditioning holds up through sustained resistance from an experienced UFC opponent.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I couldn't confirm either fighter's camp health or weight-cut condition, or how much Krylov's recent injury stoppage affects him.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The main unknowns are how well Nikita Krylov's jaw and chin have recovered from recent knockouts, and how Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's cardio holds up if forced into extended rounds against UFC-level opposition.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I lean Yakhyaev in striking for his explosive entries against Krylov's defensive openings. I also lean Yakhyaev in grappling for his takedown-to-back transitions, though Krylov has faced much stronger opposition.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should win the striking on volume and power; grappling favors Yakhyaev too through takedowns, though Krylov's submissions keep scrambles risky for him.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev should win the striking due to his superior speed and Krylov's compromised chin, and he also holds the grappling edge by chaining hurt opponents directly into rear-naked chokes.

Who is better late in the fight?

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov has the better-established late-round record, including a recent third-round finish. If he reaches the later rounds relatively unhurt, his experience becomes more valuable; Yakhyaev's endurance remains uncertain.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev, who is younger and has the stronger pace and wrestling, while Krylov tends to fade as fights go on.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is better placed in the later rounds if his chin holds up early, as he has far more experience in extended UFC fights while Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has rarely been tested past the opening minutes.

Biggest danger for Krylov, and for Yakhyaev

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov faces fast punches that could expose his recent durability problems before he establishes control. Yakhyaev risks discovering that his usual early attacks cannot dislodge an experienced opponent who can wrestle and finish.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: absorbing heavy power and being taken down and finished. Yakhyaev: getting caught in a scramble by Krylov's submissions or a big early shot.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard For Nikita Krylov, the biggest danger is leaving his chin exposed on aggressive entries against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's fast early counters. For Yakhyaev, the biggest danger is emptying his gas tank hunting an early finish and getting dragged into chaotic late-round exchanges by a seasoned veteran.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?

  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 7% here against 16% on average for the others.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 25% here against 7% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1, 33% here against 20% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (77%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (72%).

  • Gemini

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (76%).

Which model is most confident on Krylov, and which on Yakhyaev?

  • ChatGPT

    On Krylov: Claude (27%). On Yakhyaev: ChatGPT (77%).

Where do the models disagree most?

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: from 13% (Claude) to 33% (Gemini).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • ChatGPT

    Fight Society (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Chris Schweppe (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fight Productions (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Greedo Plays MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), MMA Lock of the Night (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Artem MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Bedtime MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), DFS By The Numbers (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fite Feed (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), KingofCrackdown5095 (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), James Blissett (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Tom Feely (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), The MMA Guru (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1) and Aniki MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1): the same winner, method and round as this model, tied; this model favours Yakhyaev, most likely by KO/TKO (likeliest round 1).

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?

  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?

  • ChatGPT

    Gemini, which gave the actual result 33%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

gpt-6-astra · 23 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Yakhyaev

Confidence 7 of 10 · High

Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100

Win chance: Krylov 27%, Yakhyaev 72%, draw or no contest 1%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO30%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev has heavy hands and Krylov has been stopped in recent fights, so a TKO is the most likely finish.

  2. Yakhyaev by decision25%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev is the better wrestler and volume striker, and the veteran Krylov is durable enough to often last three rounds.

  3. Yakhyaev by submission17%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's takedowns and top control can lead to a submission against a tiring Krylov.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Krylov KO/TKO 6%, submission 4%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%.
  2. Round 2: Krylov KO/TKO 5%, submission 3%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 11%, submission 6%.
  3. Round 3: Krylov KO/TKO 3%, submission 2%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 6%, submission 5%.
  4. Decision: Krylov 6%; Yakhyaev 25%.

Draw or no contest: 1%

Decision columns are drawn cut short so the rounds stay readable; their printed values are exact.

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in Claude's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Krylov KO/TKO6%5%3%—
Krylov Submission4%3%2%—
Krylov Decision———6%
Yakhyaev KO/TKO13%11%6%—
Yakhyaev Submission6%6%5%—
Yakhyaev Decision———25%
Draw or no contest1%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Krylov: 27%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 77% (about 77 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 43% (about 43 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Claude

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Yakhyaev by decision (25%); 3. Yakhyaev by submission (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by decision: Yakhyaev is the better wrestler and volume striker, and the veteran Krylov is durable enough to often last three rounds.
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev has heavy hands and Krylov has been stopped in recent fights, so a TKO is the most likely finish.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev's takedowns and top control can lead to a submission against a tiring Krylov.
Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (11%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev's explosive punching meets a veteran stopped by strikes in three of his last four fights. Krylov's defensive openings make another damaging early exchange plausible.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev has shown quick takedowns and effective transitions to the back. Krylov's willingness to scramble creates submission opportunities if he loses position.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov retains finishing power and has succeeded against much stronger opposition. If Yakhyaev's initial attacks fail, sustained pressure and ground strikes offer a credible reversal.

  • Gemini

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (43%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (10%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev starts with blistering speed and heavy hands, while Krylov has recently suffered multiple early knockout losses and a jaw injury. Krylov's aggressive entries leave his chin exposed to fast early counters.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev pairs his explosive striking blitzes with lethal rear-naked choke finishes in transition. If he hurts Krylov early or forces a scramble, he can quickly take the back and secure a choke.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov remains an experienced, high-volume finisher who thrives in chaotic exchanges and deeper rounds. If he survives the opening blitz and drags Yakhyaev into extended waters, his varied striking can force a stoppage.
How confident is the model?

  • Claude

    7 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 72% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 77% win chance.

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 76% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 69%. Decision: 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 87%. Decision: 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 88%. Decision: 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

How does Krylov win?

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%, decision 6%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%, decision 5%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%, decision 4%.

How does Yakhyaev win?

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev wins 72%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%, decision 25%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev wins 77%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%, decision 7%.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev wins 76%: KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 8%.

The fight in one sentence

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's pressure, wrestling and power should wear down the older Krylov for a stoppage or a clear decision, with Krylov's submission and early power as the threat.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should threaten Krylov immediately with explosive punches and takedowns, with an early stoppage the likeliest result.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is expected to overwhelm Nikita Krylov in the opening round with blistering hand speed and heavy counters, securing an early knockout or rear-naked choke in transition.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (41% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 28%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (56% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 49%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (68% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 60%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 24% (from 27%), Yakhyaev 74% (from 72%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Krylov survives the first round, the pace and Yakhyaev's top control and volume start to tell, while Krylov's cardio and durability fade, making late stoppages or a grinding decision likely.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 33% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 66% (from 77%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chances improve if he survives without taking substantial damage. Longer exchanges and repeated wrestling sequences would test Yakhyaev beyond his brief UFC appearances.

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 36% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 62% (from 76%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If the fight gets past the first round, the pace should slow and become much more competitive as Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters unfamiliar deep waters.

What is the upset path?

  • Claude

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (6%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov lands an early heavy shot or catches a submission off a scramble or takedown attempt, before Yakhyaev's pressure and pace take over.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by decision (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov needs to interrupt the opening attacks, force clinches and establish top position. Making Yakhyaev defend prolonged grappling could create a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

  • Gemini

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is most likely to win by surviving the opening blitz and dragging Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev into chaotic, tiring exchanges in the second or third round to secure an attrition stoppage.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: use his length, early power and scramble submissions to finish in the first round or two. Yakhyaev: pressure forward, mix takedowns with heavy punches and grind Krylov out for a late stoppage or decision.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov should use kicks to manage distance, then clinch and wrestle into sustained top control. Yakhyaev should pressure behind compact punches and pursue takedowns or back exposure when Krylov reacts.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's best path is pressuring early with fast, heavy punches to hurt Nikita Krylov and finish by knockout or a transitional choke. Krylov's best path is surviving the opening blitz, forcing exhausting scrambles, and wearing Yakhyaev down with varied volume in the later rounds.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov's jab and range keep Yakhyaev outside, and whether Yakhyaev's first takedown attempts succeed or get punished by Krylov's guillotine and scramble threats.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov can absorb or evade the first clean punches, and whether he can stop Yakhyaev from turning a takedown into back control.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch how well Nikita Krylov protects his chin during his initial entries and whether he can weather Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's opening blitz without getting clipped or giving up his back in a scramble.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Claude

    The models agree: all 3 pick Yakhyaev.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Claude

    Result: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?

  • Claude

    13% (about 13 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Gemini

    33% (about 33 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 55%, submission 32%, decision 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 53%, submission 36%, decision 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a draw or no contest

  • Claude

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 48%, against 21% for Krylov.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 70%, against 18% for Krylov.

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 69%, against 20% for Krylov.

Can Krylov get the finish? Can Yakhyaev?

  • Claude

    Krylov: 21% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%). Yakhyaev: 48% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov: 18% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%). Yakhyaev: 70% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%).

  • Gemini

    Krylov: 20% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%). Yakhyaev: 69% (KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Claude

    Krylov is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 17%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 8%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 7%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov is knocked out in 43% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 10%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 72% vs 27%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 77% vs 23%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 23%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • Claude

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 6%. Yakhyaev by decision: 25%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov by decision: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 27%.

  • Gemini

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 33%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 14th closest, and the 2nd most likely to end early.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it's a short-notice-style heavyweight-sized light heavyweight clash between a rising unbeaten power puncher and a dangerous veteran finisher, and it could end suddenly.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, both fighters offer dangerous finishing attacks, and Krylov provides a meaningful test of Yakhyaev's rapid rise.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is definitely worth watching because both light heavyweights are aggressive finishers who start fast and rarely let a bout reach the scorecards.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1

  • Claude

    28%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    49%.

  • Gemini

    60%.

Chance it is over by round 2

  • Claude

    53%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    75%.

  • Gemini

    80%.

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Claude

    30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Gemini

    11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a finish in the final round

  • Claude

    Round 3: 16%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 9%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 64%, submission 36%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 63%, submission 37%.

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 60%, submission 40%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 69%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 78%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 17%, Yakhyaev 37%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 83%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 60%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 13%, Yakhyaev 62%.

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 81%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 16%, Yakhyaev 64%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 18%, Yakhyaev 82%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 42%, Yakhyaev 59%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 32%, Yakhyaev 68%.

What could make this fight one-sided?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Yakhyaev lands cleanly early or gets Krylov down and holds top control, it could turn into a one-sided win for him, as Krylov has been stopped in recent fights.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev could dominate if his opening punches force Krylov into defensive scrambles. Combining damage with immediate takedowns would deny Krylov opportunities to build his own offense.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is likely to be one-sided for Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev because his explosive first-round speed and power directly target Nikita Krylov's compromised durability and exposed entries.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev holds the edge in age, output, wrestling and physical power, while Krylov's durability has been questioned after recent stoppage losses.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's explosive offense against Krylov's increasingly vulnerable striking defense is the most important edge.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the decisive edge in early hand speed and knockout power against a veteran whose punch resistance has recently declined.

What is the biggest X-factor?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chin and recovery after recent stoppage losses, plus his dangerous submission game, are the biggest uncertainties.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's response to sustained resistance remains largely untested. Krylov is a substantial step up from his previous UFC opposition.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The biggest X-factor is Nikita Krylov's durability following recent early knockout losses and a jaw injury. If his chin holds up under fire, the entire dynamic of the fight shifts in the middle rounds.

What would change the model's mind?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard An early Krylov knockdown, or Yakhyaev looking tired or badly hurt in the first round, would shift me toward Krylov.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Evidence that Krylov can consistently stop the initial takedown and make Yakhyaev retreat under pressure would substantially narrow my forecast.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Nikita Krylov adopt a patient, defensive approach early or seeing Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev gas out immediately after a failed first-minute blitz would most change this forecast.

What are the biggest unknowns?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I couldn't confirm either fighter's camp health or weight-cut condition, or how much Krylov's recent injury stoppage affects him.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish Krylov's recovery details after the reported jaw injury in July, or how Yakhyaev's conditioning holds up through sustained resistance from an experienced UFC opponent.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The main unknowns are how well Nikita Krylov's jaw and chin have recovered from recent knockouts, and how Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's cardio holds up if forced into extended rounds against UFC-level opposition.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should win the striking on volume and power; grappling favors Yakhyaev too through takedowns, though Krylov's submissions keep scrambles risky for him.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I lean Yakhyaev in striking for his explosive entries against Krylov's defensive openings. I also lean Yakhyaev in grappling for his takedown-to-back transitions, though Krylov has faced much stronger opposition.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev should win the striking due to his superior speed and Krylov's compromised chin, and he also holds the grappling edge by chaining hurt opponents directly into rear-naked chokes.

Who is better late in the fight?

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev, who is younger and has the stronger pace and wrestling, while Krylov tends to fade as fights go on.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov has the better-established late-round record, including a recent third-round finish. If he reaches the later rounds relatively unhurt, his experience becomes more valuable; Yakhyaev's endurance remains uncertain.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is better placed in the later rounds if his chin holds up early, as he has far more experience in extended UFC fights while Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has rarely been tested past the opening minutes.

Biggest danger for Krylov, and for Yakhyaev

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: absorbing heavy power and being taken down and finished. Yakhyaev: getting caught in a scramble by Krylov's submissions or a big early shot.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov faces fast punches that could expose his recent durability problems before he establishes control. Yakhyaev risks discovering that his usual early attacks cannot dislodge an experienced opponent who can wrestle and finish.

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard For Nikita Krylov, the biggest danger is leaving his chin exposed on aggressive entries against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's fast early counters. For Yakhyaev, the biggest danger is emptying his gas tank hunting an early finish and getting dragged into chaotic late-round exchanges by a seasoned veteran.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 25% here against 7% on average for the others.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 7% here against 16% on average for the others.

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1, 33% here against 20% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Claude

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (72%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (77%).

  • Gemini

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (76%).

Which model is most confident on Krylov, and which on Yakhyaev?

  • Claude

    On Krylov: Claude (27%). On Yakhyaev: ChatGPT (77%).

Where do the models disagree most?

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: from 13% (Claude) to 33% (Gemini).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • Claude

    Fight Society (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Chris Schweppe (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fight Productions (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Greedo Plays MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), MMA Lock of the Night (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Artem MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Bedtime MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), DFS By The Numbers (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fite Feed (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), KingofCrackdown5095 (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), James Blissett (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Tom Feely (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), The MMA Guru (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1) and Aniki MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1): the same winner, method and round as this model, tied; this model favours Yakhyaev, most likely by KO/TKO (likeliest round 1).

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?

  • Claude

    Gemini, which gave the actual result 33%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Claude

    Yes.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 23 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Yakhyaev

Confidence 8 of 10 · High

Most likely: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO, about 43 in 100

Win chance: Krylov 23%, Yakhyaev 76%, draw or no contest 1%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO43%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev starts with blistering speed and heavy hands, while Krylov has recently suffered multiple early knockout losses and a jaw injury. Krylov's aggressive entries leave his chin exposed to fast early counters.

  2. Yakhyaev by submission26%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev pairs his explosive striking blitzes with lethal rear-naked choke finishes in transition. If he hurts Krylov early or forces a scramble, he can quickly take the back and secure a choke.

  3. Krylov by KO/TKO10%

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov remains an experienced, high-volume finisher who thrives in chaotic exchanges and deeper rounds. If he survives the opening blitz and drags Yakhyaev into extended waters, his varied striking can force a stoppage.

When and how it ends
  1. Round 1: Krylov KO/TKO 5%, submission 4%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 33%, submission 18%.
  2. Round 2: Krylov KO/TKO 4%, submission 4%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 7%, submission 6%.
  3. Round 3: Krylov KO/TKO 2%, submission 2%; Yakhyaev KO/TKO 3%, submission 2%.
  4. Decision: Krylov 4%; Yakhyaev 8%.

Draw or no contest: 1%

Show every outcome as a table
Every outcome in Gemini's forecast, in percent
OutcomeR1R2R3Decision
Krylov KO/TKO5%4%2%—
Krylov Submission4%4%2%—
Krylov Decision———4%
Yakhyaev KO/TKO33%7%3%—
Yakhyaev Submission18%6%2%—
Yakhyaev Decision———8%
Draw or no contest1%

Questions

The result 8 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 76% (about 76 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 77% (about 77 in 100 fights). Krylov: 23%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Krylov: 27%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 43% (about 43 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 44% (about 44 in 100).

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Gemini

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (43%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (10%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev starts with blistering speed and heavy hands, while Krylov has recently suffered multiple early knockout losses and a jaw injury. Krylov's aggressive entries leave his chin exposed to fast early counters.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev pairs his explosive striking blitzes with lethal rear-naked choke finishes in transition. If he hurts Krylov early or forces a scramble, he can quickly take the back and secure a choke.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov remains an experienced, high-volume finisher who thrives in chaotic exchanges and deeper rounds. If he survives the opening blitz and drags Yakhyaev into extended waters, his varied striking can force a stoppage.
Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (44%); 2. Yakhyaev by submission (26%); 3. Krylov by KO/TKO (11%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev's explosive punching meets a veteran stopped by strikes in three of his last four fights. Krylov's defensive openings make another damaging early exchange plausible.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev has shown quick takedowns and effective transitions to the back. Krylov's willingness to scramble creates submission opportunities if he loses position.
    • Krylov by KO/TKO: Krylov retains finishing power and has succeeded against much stronger opposition. If Yakhyaev's initial attacks fail, sustained pressure and ground strikes offer a credible reversal.

  • Claude

    1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Yakhyaev by decision (25%); 3. Yakhyaev by submission (17%)

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard
    • Yakhyaev by decision: Yakhyaev is the better wrestler and volume striker, and the veteran Krylov is durable enough to often last three rounds.
    • Yakhyaev by KO/TKO: Yakhyaev has heavy hands and Krylov has been stopped in recent fights, so a TKO is the most likely finish.
    • Yakhyaev by submission: Yakhyaev's takedowns and top control can lead to a submission against a tiring Krylov.
How confident is the model?

  • Gemini

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 76% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    8 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 77% win chance.

  • Claude

    7 of 10, based on Yakhyaev's 72% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 88%. Decision: 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 87%. Decision: 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 69%. Decision: 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

How does Krylov win?

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%, decision 4%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov wins 23%: KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%, decision 5%.

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%, decision 6%.

How does Yakhyaev win?

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev wins 76%: KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 8%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev wins 77%: KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%, decision 7%.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev wins 72%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%, decision 25%.

The fight in one sentence

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev is expected to overwhelm Nikita Krylov in the opening round with blistering hand speed and heavy counters, securing an early knockout or rear-naked choke in transition.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should threaten Krylov immediately with explosive punches and takedowns, with an early stoppage the likeliest result.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's pressure, wrestling and power should wear down the older Krylov for a stoppage or a clear decision, with Krylov's submission and early power as the threat.

Timing 1 question

Which round is most likely to end it?

  • Gemini

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (68% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 60%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (56% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 49%.

  • Claude

    If it ends early, round 1 is most likely (41% of finishes). Chance of a round-1 finish overall: 28%.

What if 3 questions

If it gets past round 1, what changes?

  • Gemini

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 36% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 62% (from 76%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If the fight gets past the first round, the pace should slow and become much more competitive as Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev enters unfamiliar deep waters.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 33% (from 23%), Yakhyaev 66% (from 77%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chances improve if he survives without taking substantial damage. Longer exchanges and repeated wrestling sequences would test Yakhyaev beyond his brief UFC appearances.

  • Claude

    If it gets past round 1: Krylov 24% (from 27%), Yakhyaev 74% (from 72%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Krylov survives the first round, the pace and Yakhyaev's top control and volume start to tell, while Krylov's cardio and durability fade, making late stoppages or a grinding decision likely.

What is the upset path?

  • Gemini

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is most likely to win by surviving the opening blitz and dragging Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev into chaotic, tiring exchanges in the second or third round to secure an attrition stoppage.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by decision (5%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov needs to interrupt the opening attacks, force clinches and establish top position. Making Yakhyaev defend prolonged grappling could create a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

  • Claude

    Krylov's most likely upset: Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1 (6%).

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov lands an early heavy shot or catches a submission off a scramble or takedown attempt, before Yakhyaev's pressure and pace take over.

What is each fighter's best path to victory?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's best path is pressuring early with fast, heavy punches to hurt Nikita Krylov and finish by knockout or a transitional choke. Krylov's best path is surviving the opening blitz, forcing exhausting scrambles, and wearing Yakhyaev down with varied volume in the later rounds.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov should use kicks to manage distance, then clinch and wrestle into sustained top control. Yakhyaev should pressure behind compact punches and pursue takedowns or back exposure when Krylov reacts.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: use his length, early power and scramble submissions to finish in the first round or two. Yakhyaev: pressure forward, mix takedowns with heavy punches and grind Krylov out for a late stoppage or decision.

What to watch 1 question

What should I watch for early?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch how well Nikita Krylov protects his chin during his initial entries and whether he can weather Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's opening blitz without getting clipped or giving up his back in a scramble.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov can absorb or evade the first clean punches, and whether he can stop Yakhyaev from turning a takedown into back control.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Watch whether Krylov's jab and range keep Yakhyaev outside, and whether Yakhyaev's first takedown attempts succeed or get punished by Krylov's guillotine and scramble threats.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Gemini

    The models agree: all 3 pick Yakhyaev.

After the fight 2 questions

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Gemini

    Result: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

How much chance did it give the actual result?

  • Gemini

    33% (about 33 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Claude

    13% (about 13 in 100).

More questions (37)

The result 10 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 53%, submission 36%, decision 11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 55%, submission 32%, decision 12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%, decision 30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a draw or no contest

  • Gemini

    1%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev: 69%, against 20% for Krylov.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Yakhyaev: 70%, against 18% for Krylov.

  • Claude

    Yakhyaev: 48%, against 21% for Krylov.

Can Krylov get the finish? Can Yakhyaev?

  • Gemini

    Krylov: 20% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 10%). Yakhyaev: 69% (KO/TKO 43%, submission 26%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov: 18% (KO/TKO 11%, submission 7%). Yakhyaev: 70% (KO/TKO 44%, submission 26%).

  • Claude

    Krylov: 21% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 8%). Yakhyaev: 48% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 17%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Gemini

    Krylov is knocked out in 43% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 10%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov is knocked out in 44% and submitted in 26%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 11% and submitted in 7%.

  • Claude

    Krylov is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 17%. Yakhyaev is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 8%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 76% vs 23%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Lopsided: 77% vs 23%.

  • Claude

    Lopsided: 72% vs 27%.

Each fighter's single most likely way to win

  • Gemini

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 33%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Krylov by decision: 5%. Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: 27%.

  • Claude

    Krylov by KO/TKO in round 1: 6%. Yakhyaev by decision: 25%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Gemini

    Krylov wins 23% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Krylov wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.

How does this fight rank on the card (closest, most likely to end early)?

  • Gemini

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 12th closest, and the most likely to end early.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Among 14 of 14 fights on the card with a forecast from this model: the 14th closest, and the 2nd most likely to end early.

Is this fight worth watching?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is definitely worth watching because both light heavyweights are aggressive finishers who start fast and rarely let a bout reach the scorecards.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, both fighters offer dangerous finishing attacks, and Krylov provides a meaningful test of Yakhyaev's rapid rise.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yes, it's a short-notice-style heavyweight-sized light heavyweight clash between a rising unbeaten power puncher and a dangerous veteran finisher, and it could end suddenly.

Timing 6 questions

Chance it ends in round 1

  • Gemini

    60%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    49%.

  • Claude

    28%.

Chance it is over by round 2

  • Gemini

    80%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    75%.

  • Claude

    53%.

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Gemini

    11%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    12%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

  • Claude

    30%. Draw or no contest: 1%.

Chance of a finish in the final round

  • Gemini

    Round 3: 9%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Round 3: 13%.

  • Claude

    Round 3: 16%.

If it ends early (rounds 1–2), is it more likely a KO or a submission?

  • Gemini

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 60%, submission 40%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 63%, submission 37%.

  • Claude

    Of early finishes: KO/TKO 64%, submission 36%.

Who is favoured in a short fight vs a long one?

  • Gemini

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 81%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 62%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 16%, Yakhyaev 64%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 83%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 60%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 13%, Yakhyaev 62%.

  • Claude

    If it ends in rounds 1–2: Yakhyaev 69%. If it goes longer: Yakhyaev 78%. Chance to win in rounds 1–2: Krylov 17%, Yakhyaev 37%.

What if 2 questions

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 32%, Yakhyaev 68%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 42%, Yakhyaev 59%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Krylov 18%, Yakhyaev 82%.

What could make this fight one-sided?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard This fight is likely to be one-sided for Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev because his explosive first-round speed and power directly target Nikita Krylov's compromised durability and exposed entries.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev could dominate if his opening punches force Krylov into defensive scrambles. Combining damage with immediate takedowns would deny Krylov opportunities to build his own offense.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard If Yakhyaev lands cleanly early or gets Krylov down and holds top control, it could turn into a one-sided win for him, as Krylov has been stopped in recent fights.

What to watch 7 questions

What is the key matchup edge?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev holds the decisive edge in early hand speed and knockout power against a veteran whose punch resistance has recently declined.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's explosive offense against Krylov's increasingly vulnerable striking defense is the most important edge.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev holds the edge in age, output, wrestling and physical power, while Krylov's durability has been questioned after recent stoppage losses.

What is the biggest X-factor?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The biggest X-factor is Nikita Krylov's durability following recent early knockout losses and a jaw injury. If his chin holds up under fire, the entire dynamic of the fight shifts in the middle rounds.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev's response to sustained resistance remains largely untested. Krylov is a substantial step up from his previous UFC opposition.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov's chin and recovery after recent stoppage losses, plus his dangerous submission game, are the biggest uncertainties.

What would change the model's mind?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Seeing Nikita Krylov adopt a patient, defensive approach early or seeing Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev gas out immediately after a failed first-minute blitz would most change this forecast.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Evidence that Krylov can consistently stop the initial takedown and make Yakhyaev retreat under pressure would substantially narrow my forecast.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard An early Krylov knockdown, or Yakhyaev looking tired or badly hurt in the first round, would shift me toward Krylov.

What are the biggest unknowns?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard The main unknowns are how well Nikita Krylov's jaw and chin have recovered from recent knockouts, and how Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's cardio holds up if forced into extended rounds against UFC-level opposition.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I could not establish Krylov's recovery details after the reported jaw injury in July, or how Yakhyaev's conditioning holds up through sustained resistance from an experienced UFC opponent.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I couldn't confirm either fighter's camp health or weight-cut condition, or how much Krylov's recent injury stoppage affects him.

Who wins the striking, and who wins the grappling?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev should win the striking due to his superior speed and Krylov's compromised chin, and he also holds the grappling edge by chaining hurt opponents directly into rear-naked chokes.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard I lean Yakhyaev in striking for his explosive entries against Krylov's defensive openings. I also lean Yakhyaev in grappling for his takedown-to-back transitions, though Krylov has faced much stronger opposition.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev should win the striking on volume and power; grappling favors Yakhyaev too through takedowns, though Krylov's submissions keep scrambles risky for him.

Who is better late in the fight?

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Nikita Krylov is better placed in the later rounds if his chin holds up early, as he has far more experience in extended UFC fights while Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has rarely been tested past the opening minutes.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov has the better-established late-round record, including a recent third-round finish. If he reaches the later rounds relatively unhurt, his experience becomes more valuable; Yakhyaev's endurance remains uncertain.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Yakhyaev, who is younger and has the stronger pace and wrestling, while Krylov tends to fade as fights go on.

Biggest danger for Krylov, and for Yakhyaev

  • Gemini

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard For Nikita Krylov, the biggest danger is leaving his chin exposed on aggressive entries against Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev's fast early counters. For Yakhyaev, the biggest danger is emptying his gas tank hunting an early finish and getting dragged into chaotic late-round exchanges by a seasoned veteran.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov faces fast punches that could expose his recent durability problems before he establishes control. Yakhyaev risks discovering that his usual early attacks cannot dislodge an experienced opponent who can wrestle and finish.

  • Claude

    AI model's own reasoning — not checked by FightCard Krylov: absorbing heavy power and being taken down and finished. Yakhyaev: getting caught in a scramble by Krylov's submissions or a big early shot.

Compared with others 5 questions

Where does this model differ from the others?

  • Gemini

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1, 33% here against 20% on average for the others.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 7% here against 16% on average for the others.

  • Claude

    Biggest difference: Yakhyaev by decision, 25% here against 7% on average for the others.

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Gemini

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (76%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (77%).

  • Claude

    Of 57 analyst picks, 1 backs Krylov and 56 back Yakhyaev. This model picks Yakhyaev (72%).

Which model is most confident on Krylov, and which on Yakhyaev?

  • Gemini

    On Krylov: Claude (27%). On Yakhyaev: ChatGPT (77%).

Where do the models disagree most?

  • Gemini

    Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1: from 13% (Claude) to 33% (Gemini).

Which analyst agrees most with this model?

  • Gemini

    Fight Society (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Chris Schweppe (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fight Productions (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Greedo Plays MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), MMA Lock of the Night (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Artem MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Bedtime MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), DFS By The Numbers (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Fite Feed (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), KingofCrackdown5095 (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), James Blissett (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), Tom Feely (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1), The MMA Guru (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1) and Aniki MMA (Yakhyaev by KO/TKO in round 1): the same winner, method and round as this model, tied; this model favours Yakhyaev, most likely by KO/TKO (likeliest round 1).

How sure 5 questions

How good has this model been?

  • Gemini

    It picked the winner in 68 of 108 settled fights (63%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    It picked the winner in 63 of 108 settled fights (58%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

  • Claude

    It picked the winner in 61 of 101 settled fights (60%). Draws, no contests and even forecasts are left out.

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Gemini

    On 23 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 23 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 23 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 2 questions

Which model was closest?

  • Gemini

    Gemini, which gave the actual result 33%.

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Gemini

    Yes.

Version not reported · 23 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Market Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 5 sportsbooks

19% Nikita Krylov
81% Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

Favoured: Yakhyaev (81%) Called it

Yakhyaev defeats Krylov · KO/TKO R1

Final pre-fight line · as of 24 Oct 13:30 UTC · 5 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.