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Scorecard
Called 16 of 30 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 53.3% 16 14
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 6
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
16 of 30 — 53% now, from 50% at their first scored card.
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Method
71% 10 of 14 correct winners that named a method
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Round
67% 6 of 9 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
0% 0 of 6 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 333 5 hit · 6 miss
- UFC 329 8 hit · 5 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 3 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 333
Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Dawson · Dec | Dawson · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
“so yes give me Grant Dawson by a technical 2928 decision that is pretty fun” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.6%. Temirov · KO/TKO · R2 | Kavanagh · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so yeah give me Ramisan Tim by second round KO” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.2%. Yakhyaev · KO/TKO · R1 | Yakhyaev · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
“yes in this fight I'll be picking Yakavev to win by first round KO” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.4%. Magomedov · Dec | Magomedov · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“so yeah give me Abus by 2928 decision based on the first and second rounds” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.2%. Murzakanov · KO/TKO · R1 | Reyes · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so yeah just give me Azam Makana by first round KO or TKO” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.1%. Keita · KO/TKO · R1 | Pico · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so yeah I'll be picking Lucin Kada to win this fight also by first round KO or TKO” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.2%. Chopurov · KO/TKO · R1 | Thicknesse · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so yeah Assaf Chopper by first round KO or TKO” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.3%. Vagaev · Dec | Vagaev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
“so yeah I'm going to be picking Abu Bakarvag to win by a big juicy 2928 decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.2%. Evloev · Dec | Volkanovski · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I will be picking Mavsar Evolv to win this fight via a close 4847 decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.0%. Kuniev · Dec | Volkov · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so yeah I'm going to be picking Rizan Kunev in this fight to win by a very close split borderline robbery decision” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.0% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Yan · KO/TKO · R4 | Yan · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
“that is my official prediction peran by fourth round KO or TKO due to doctor stoppage” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Costa · KO/TKO · R2 | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
Picks Costa because he views him as the much bigger threat on the feet despite taking the fight on short notice. He expects Costa to stuff Durden's takedowns, win the striking, and land a second-round knockout shot. “So yes, give me Alisandra Costa by round two, TKO or KO, probably with something like a left hook.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · Dec | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Ryan Gandra to win this fight by decision and by split decision in fact.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Pinas by ground and pound TKO in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · Dec | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “So, yes, give me Wang by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 30.5%. Kamaka III · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Kai Kamaka by 2928. Unanimous decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 30.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yanez · KO/TKO · R2 | Yanez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Give me Adrien Yañez by round two, KO or TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Stevenson by late round one ground and pound TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Robert Whittaker to win here by a very clear 3027 unanimous decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. McKinney · KO/TKO · R1 | Green · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Aniki MMA picks Terrence McKinney to win. “Terrence McKinney by first round TKO due to ground and pound.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Kavanagh to win by a very clear and comfortable 3027 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · to win | Bautista · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Give me Cory Sandhagen by 2928 split decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Saint Denis · Dec | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Benoît Saint Denis to win this fight via decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO · R3 | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Aniki MMA picks the stated winner. “Max Holloway to win this fight via round three TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Diego Lopes by round-two TKO. “fight is going to be Diego Lopes by round two TKO to ground and pound or a” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · Dec | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Bo Nickal by decision. “So, give me Bo Nickal by 29-28 or 30-27 decision here with Bo racking up points by holding Kyle Daukaus down.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1 | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Mauricio Ruffy by round-one KO; the transcript caption says Mauricio Rua in this matchup. “vs. Michael Chandler. Mauricio Rua by round one KO. And let's hope it's a cold” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · KO/TKO · R2 | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Sean O'Malley by round-two TKO. “I have to pick Sean O'Malley here. And I will be picking Sean O'Malley by round two TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO · R3 | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Alex Pereira by round-three TKO. “So yes, in this fight, give me Alex Pereira by round three TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Ilia Topuria by round-one KO. “So, I'm taking Ilia Topuria by round one KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Aniki MMA's logged calls.