Yan vs Dvalishvili — Bantamweight Title · UFC 333

Scheduled · 24 Oct 2026 UFC 333 · Bantamweight Title · 5 rounds · Abu Dhabi
No Mercy
Petr
Yan
Record Record: 20-5-0
Wins
20
Losses
5
Draws
0
7KO/TKO
1Sub
12Dec

Red corner

20-5-0
Record
21-5-0
33
Age
35
1.71 m
Height — Yan leads
1.68 m
170 cm
Reach — Dvalishvili leads
173 cm
5.16
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Yan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.42
40%
Finish rateFinish % — Yan leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
24%
Merab Dvalishvili, head-and-shoulders portrait
The Machine
Merab
Dvalishvili
Record Record: 21-5-0
Wins
21
Losses
5
Draws
0
3KO/TKO
2Sub
16Dec

Blue corner

Expectations

61%
Market — red corner favoredMarket expectations4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
39%

4-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-12 12:38. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.

Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
20-5-0
Record
21-5-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
Switch
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Yan leads
3
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Dvalishvili leads
2
4.24
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Dvalishvili leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.80
60%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Yan leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
86%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Yan leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
76%
17:38
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
17:36
Russia
Nationality
Georgia

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

What to expect

Case for Yan

UFC lists Petr Yan versus Merab Dvalishvili as a bantamweight title bout on the UFC 333 card.

Case for Dvalishvili

Dvalishvili enters the bantamweight championship matchup as the opposing title-bout fighter listed by UFC.

What to Watch

  • Whether Yan can keep the exchanges at his preferred range.
  • How Dvalishvili turns pressure into extended grappling sequences.
  • Which fighter wins the early positional battles.
  • How the championship distance affects late-round decision making.

Analysts

Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.

Verified picks coming soon.

Odds

What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.

Sportsbook consensus · Who wins

61% Petr Yan
39% Merab Dvalishvili

Favoured: Yan

Steady since open

All 4 books consensus 61%

  • BetOnline.ag61%0
  • BetRivers61%0
  • DraftKings62%+1
  • FanDuel60%−1

4 books within 2 points

Vig-stripped win probability for Yan at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.

4 sportsbooks as of 12 Sep 12:38 UTC · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Videos

Signature clips and the lead-up to this fight.

Before the fight · 1 clip
Signature moments

Browse all videos for this fight

Fighters

Petr Yan
20-5-0 · Bantamweight · No Mercy
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Merab Dvalishvili
21-5-0 · Bantamweight · The Machine
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Independent fan-made fight preview. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Privacy · Terms.