Ian Undery is a prediction markets analyst at The Action Network, specializing in geopolitics, economics and international relations. He studied screenwriting and media analysis at the National University of the Arts in Buenos Aires.
Scorecard
Called 4 of 6 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
4 of 6 — 67% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
1 of 2 correct winners that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
Round — No round callsUnderdog — No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 2 hit · 2 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 2 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Dec | Allen · Sub R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Ian Undery selects Brendan Allen to win by decision. The article also backs Allen on the moneyline. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Ian Undery backs Matheus Camilo on the moneyline. Under 2.5 rounds is a separate prop; no winner method or round is assigned. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · Dec | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Ian Undery backs Loopy Godinez on the moneyline and recommends the fight to be won by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Ian Undery backs Malcolm Wellmaker on the moneyline. The article separately recommends fight-by-decision and over 2.5 rounds, but does not explicitly attribute a decision win to Wellmaker. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Action Network's UFC 331 analysis calls Joshua Van on the moneyline the most sensible play for the main event. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Action Network's UFC 331 analysis calls taking Arman Tsarukyan's moneyline the right read. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.