No quit.@BrendanAllenMMA made his claim for a title shot with his submission win at #UFCVegas122!
View photo on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Brendan Allen defeats Christian Leroy Duncan by Submission
Submission · rear-naked choke
Round 5 · 2:46
Allen vs Duncan — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(51) 62%
38% (31)
AI Predictions
57%
43%
Market Odds
51%
49%
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Allen
Allen is 27-7-0 at 30, with six knockouts, 14 submissions and seven decisions, so 20 of his 27 wins are finishes. He has won his last three, a unanimous decision over Marvin Vettori in July 2025, a fourth-round corner stoppage of Reinier de Ridder in October 2025 and a unanimous decision over Edmen Shahbazyan in June 2026, after back-to-back unanimous-decision losses to Nassourdine Imavov in September 2024 and Anthony Hernandez in February 2025. He lands 3.75 significant strikes per minute and stands 187.96 cm with a 190.5 cm reach.
Case for Duncan
Duncan is 15-2-0 at 31 with ten knockouts, one submission and four decisions, a 73% finish rate, and he is 5-0 over his last five. Knockouts featuring spinning strikes, of Eryk Anders in August 2025 and Marco Tulio in November 2025, came between unanimous decisions over Andrey Pulyaev in March 2025 and Roman Dolidze in March 2026, and he followed them with another over Jared Cannonier in July 2026. He lands 4.45 significant strikes per minute, and his 200.66 cm reach is 10.16 cm longer than Allen's at the same 187.96 cm height. Both of his losses, to Armen Petrosyan in June 2023 and Gregory Rodrigues in July 2024, were unanimous decisions.
What We Were Watching For
- Range: both stand 187.96 cm, but Duncan has the longer reach (200.66 cm to 190.5 cm) and the higher striking output (4.45 to 3.75 significant strikes per minute).
- Allen's submission threat: 14 of his 27 wins came by submission, while Duncan has one submission win and no submission loss on his record.
- Five rounds: Allen has been into the fourth round in his October 2025 win over de Ridder and the fifth in his April 2024 split-decision win over Chris Curtis, while no fight on Duncan's record has gone past round three.
Records & career stats
- 3.75 4.45
- 48% 54%
- 3.78 2.36
- 58% 58%
- 75% 73%
- 27-7-0
- Record
- 15-2-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- 30
- Age
- 31
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 11:19
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 10:33
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(51) 62%
WAllen
38% (31)
DuncanL
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Sheehan sees takedown openings when Duncan spins and backs Allen’s wrestling and durability to win the rounds.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 76.9% (10 hit, 3 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 76.9% 10 3
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Jaren Kawada
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Jaren Kawada picks Brendan Allen.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.1% (4 hit, 3 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
FightIQ's public record lists Brendan Allen as its pick over Christian Leroy Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“So I'm going to go All In Brendan Allen to go out there and submit and halt the winning streak of Chris Duncan”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“so I'm going to go Brendan Allen for the win”
Track record: winner called in 43 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.2% (43 hit, 22 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.2% 43 22
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
Anthony Marro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Last Word On MMA’s Anthony Marro column predicts Brendan Allen by Decision.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
MMA OddsBreaker
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“I wrote down Brandon Allen by decision”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Nick Marro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Last Word On MMA’s Nick column predicts Brendan Allen by Submission in round 3.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Brendan Allen as his personal pick by submission.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 4
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
MMA JOEY leans toward Brendan Allen by Submission in round 4.
“and I think eventually Brendan Allen will find a fourthround submission that's what I'm going with”
* Analyst stated a lean
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
James Lynch picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“i'm going to predict Brendan Ladden wins this fight via decision”
* tough fight to call
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Garrett Kerman predicts Brendan Allen to win by unanimous decision, 48–47.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Farah Hannoun
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Farah Hannoun selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Hank Strandberg
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Hank Strandberg selecting Brendan Allen by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 3 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Edwards sides with Allen by decision in the main analysis and gives Allen a separate TKO long shot; the primary pick is recorded as decision, with the long shot retained as a separate caveat.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision, at low confidence. No round is predicted.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Marcel Dorff picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.6% (17 hit, 12 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
- Method Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Round Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Danny Howard
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Howard picks Brendan Allen to win and specifically names an Allen decision as his prop, expecting him to bank rounds with control and positional advantages.
“Allen by decision is my prop to watch.”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Angelo picks Allen because of his wrestling and control, despite viewing Duncan as the cleaner striker.
“Anyway, Brendan Allen is the pick, guys.”
* He says the fight could get complicated if the judges prioritize striking over Allen’s wrestling.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Artem MMA picks Brendan Allen to win by decision, while expecting a close fight.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Adam Martin picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by decision.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.5% (23 hit, 17 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Ian Undery
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Ian Undery selects Brendan Allen to win by decision. The article also backs Allen on the moneyline.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 9 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Clenbat sides with Brendan Allen as a very low-confidence pick, while saying Duncan has value at 220.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Daniel Vreeland
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 31 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (17 hit, 14 miss, across 31 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 31 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 31 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Shakiel Mahjouri
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Shakiel Mahjouri’s CBS Sports article selects Brendan Allen by unanimous decision before event start.
“Pick: Allen via unanimous decision”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 25 21
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Schweppe picks Brendan Allen by split decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Cole Shelton picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by late submission. No round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Jeff Fox
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
No reasoning or quote is available for this pick.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 17 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“why I am going to end up taking him is the experience the grappling the wrestling the pace the cardio the experience of going five rounds”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.1% 23 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Walk The Line MMA expects Brendan Allen to win with a late rear-naked choke, with a grappling advantage and a pace advantage over Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
CallumCF MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
CallumCF MMA scores it 48-47 for Brendan Allen, calling the fight razor close while allowing that Duncan can knock Allen out.
“what I'm going with is a 4847. And I'm going for a 4847 for Brendan Allen.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Brian Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Brian Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Danny Segura
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Danny Segura selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Jero Guerra
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Jero Guerra selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Ken Hathaway
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Ken Hathaway selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Mike Bohn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Mike Bohn selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Jesse Holland predicts Brendan Allen to win by decision.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 49.1% (27 hit, 28 miss, across 55 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 method-scored calls on 55 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 27.8% (5 hit, 13 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 55 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Brendan Allen.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The pre-event DocSports article explicitly selects this winner. Its Oct. 6 byline, UFC Vegas 122 headline, and exact matchup identify the Oct. 10 card, although the article body repeats Oct. 3; treating that repeated body date as a shared template error is an inference, retained in the source note.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brendan Allen (-140)”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Bert MMA goes with Brendan Allen, expecting a rear-naked choke in the middle rounds or a decision, and says Duncan will have moments on the feet.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
MMAOddsBreaker's UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Zain Bando selecting Brendan Allen.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The MMA JAWN channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission. The speaker's round statement is "round four, round five", so no single round is recorded.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“i'm going to go with Brennan Allen 48 47 unanimous decision”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
DON SMOKE MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“Give me a Brendan Allen decision A 4847 or a 4946”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (12 hit, 14 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Drew Beaupre’s MMA Knockout full-card article names Brendan Allen as his pick.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Sumian picks Brendan Allen over Christian Leroy Duncan by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The Brandon K channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission in round three.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
George Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
George Garcia selects Brendan Allen as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Alexander K. Lee picks Brendan Allen to defeat Christian Leroy Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
FightWeek Media
Current pick evidence
Picked: Brendan Allen · Sub
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
FightWeek Media’s pre-event card picks Brendan Allen by submission.
“Fight Week Pick: Brendan Allen by Submission”
Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 8 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“So I'm going to go with a slight underdog Christian Leroy Duncan and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by TKO in the second or third round”
* slight underdog
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
JakeGerberMMA leans Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his striking speed and athleticism and saying he could outpoint or knock out Allen.
“I think Christian Leroy Duncan, where my head's at right now, I think he wins this fight.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Burden picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen in the Rotowire UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Nolan King
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Nolan King selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“if we're thinking that this goes to decision cuz I believe we're both thinking about this fight going to decision i think we have to go with CLLD on it”
* Sean initially picked CLD, Joe picked Brendan Allen, then they agreed to go with CLD on decision.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Mike Finch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Finch picks Christian Leroy Duncan by knockout, citing his striking, athleticism, range and timing.
“GIVE ME CLD. I'm taking the underdog in the main event. I'm picking him by knockout over a durable, good cardio, good rear naked strangle. Brendan Allen.”
Track record: winner called in 31 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.4% (31 hit, 23 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 68.2% (15 hit, 7 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.4% 31 23
- Method Accuracy 68.2% 15 7
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
PickemMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“But yeah I'm picking I'm picking CL Lee by KO which might which might fucking burn me”
* Underdog pick; notes concern about Allen submitting him late if Duncan fails to finish early
Track record: winner called in 12 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.1% (12 hit, 9 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 12 9
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Litterine’s bout-specific pick names Duncan as the winner; no method or round is stated.
“UFC VEGAS 122 PICK: Duncan”
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Sean Zerillo
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Sean Zerillo backs Christian Leroy Duncan on the moneyline and separately projects Duncan to win by decision.
“I project a correlated edge on Duncan to win by decision”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 16 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.3% (9 hit, 7 miss, across 16 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 16 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 16 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Richardson predicts Christian Leroy Duncan to win by decision, citing his momentum and athleticism.
“Prediction: Duncan via decision”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 73.0% 27 10
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Fight Productions backs Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout, doubting Brendan Allen will fight a smart fight and expecting a striking battle.
“I'm going to take CLLD to win this one by round two knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
UFCharlesDoBronx
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“give me CLD by knockout”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (3 hit, 0 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Half The Battle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“I'mma actually come out here and pick the underdog CLD”
* pick the underdog CLD; not that confident in it
Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.2% 58 51
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 6 22
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The MMA Yuda picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his creative striking, knockout power, length and takedown defense.
“I'm picking Christian Leroy Duncan.”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Lang sides with Duncan as the cleaner striker, while acknowledging Allen’s takedown advantage.
“Duncan at +118 is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Greedo Plays MMA picks Christian Leroy Duncan to beat Brendan Allen by knockout in round three. The captions identify the channel brand, not an individual narrator.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Ground"N"Pound (Aaran)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
“i'm going to go with Christian Leroy Duncan”
* not a super confident pick here for Christian Leroy Duncan his fight IQ at times can be questionable
Track record: winner called in 10 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Gerardo Rivas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Gerardo Rivas selects Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen, citing value as the underdog and his striking threat.
“The animal, the striker CLD, paying plus money, being an underdog. I think there's a lot of value in Christian Leroy Duncan in the main event”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Ryan Wohl selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · Dec
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
FightStudy calls Allen the safer choice but selects Duncan to win by decision.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Chris Olson
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Christopher Olson explicitly picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win via KO/TKO; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.1% (32 hit, 39 miss, across 71 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 71 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.1% 32 39
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Petela picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen by round 1 knockout in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
Matt Erickson
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Matt Erickson selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Matthew Wells
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Matthew Wells selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Simon Samano
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Simon Samano selects Christian Leroy Duncan as the winner in MMA Junkie's individually attributed staff-picks table.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Drew Zuhosky
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
MMA Sucka’s UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table lists Drew Zuhosky selecting Christian Leroy Duncan by second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
The MMAOddsBreaker UFC Vegas 122 staff-picks table selects Christian Leroy Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
FIGHT//AI’s selected value bet names Christian Leroy Duncan.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Geoffrey Ejiga
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Geoffrey Ejiga's individually authored SportyTrader prediction selects Christian Leroy Duncan; no method or round is specified.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 4 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Millz Young
Current pick evidence
Picked: Christian Leroy Duncan
Fight result: Brendan Allen · Submission
Millz Young’s pre-event article selects Christian Leroy Duncan to win late. The over 3.5 rounds is a separate bet, so no method or exact round is assigned.
“Christian Leroy Duncan the pick to finish strong down the stretch.”
Track record: winner called in 1 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
Analyst picks: Gabriel Sheehan Hit; Jaren Kawada Hit; FightIQ Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Anthony Marro Hit; MMA OddsBreaker Hit; Nick Marro Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Drake Burden Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Hit; Garrett Kerman Hit; Farah Hannoun Hit; Nolan King Miss; Hank Strandberg Hit; MMA Mathletes Miss; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Danny Howard Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Mike Finch Miss; PickemMMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Sean Zerillo Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Ian Undery Hit; Clenbat Hit; Daniel Vreeland Hit; UFCharlesDoBronx Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Half The Battle Miss; Jeff Fox Hit; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Andy Lang Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Ground"N"Pound (Aaran) Miss; CallumCF MMA Hit; Brian Garcia Hit; Danny Segura Hit; Jero Guerra Hit; Ken Hathaway Hit; Mike Bohn Hit; Jesse Holland Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Guy Bruhn Hit; Bert MMA Hit; Zain Bando Hit; MMA JAWN Hit; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Uselyis Hit; DON SMOKE MMA Hit; Ryan Wohl Miss; Drew Beaupre Hit; FightStudy Miss; Chris Olson Miss; Andrew Sumian Hit; Matthew Petela Miss; Brandon K Hit; George Garcia Hit; Matt Erickson Miss; Matthew Wells Miss; Simon Samano Miss; Drew Zuhosky Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Hit; FightWeek Media Hit; FIGHT//AI Miss; Geoffrey Ejiga Miss; Millz Young Miss.
51 of 82 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Allen · Submission · R5
Closest probability ChatGPT and Gemini put 58% on Allen.
58%
Allen
42%
Duncan
PickAllen · Submission · R3ActualAllen · Submission · R5
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
54%
Allen
46%
Duncan
PickAllen · DecisionActualAllen · Submission · R5
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
58%
Allen
42%
Duncan
PickAllen · Submission · R2ActualAllen · Submission · R5
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Allen
Most likely: Allen by submission, about 27 in 100
Win chance: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Allen
Most likely: Allen by decision, about 28 in 100
Win chance: Allen 54%, Duncan 46%.
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Allen
Most likely: Allen by submission, about 26 in 100
Win chance: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
3 of 3 models pick Allen.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
Claude
Allen: 54% (about 54 in 100 fights). Duncan: 46%.
Gemini
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Allen by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).
Claude
Allen by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
Gemini
Allen by submission: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Allen by submission (27%); 2. Duncan by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Allen by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Allen by decision (28%); 2. Duncan by decision (25%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (19%)
Gemini
1. Allen by submission (26%); 2. Allen by decision (24%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (22%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Claude
5 of 10, based on Allen's 54% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 62%. Decision: 38%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 47%. Decision: 53%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Allen win?
ChatGPT
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%, decision 22%.
Claude
Allen wins 54%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%, decision 28%.
Gemini
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%, decision 24%.
How does Duncan win?
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%, decision 16%.
Claude
Duncan wins 46%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 17%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Duncan's most likely upset: Duncan by decision (25%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Allen.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
Claude
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Allen by decision (28%).
Gemini
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 34%, submission 28%, decision 38%.
Claude
KO/TKO 29%, submission 18%, decision 53%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 29%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Allen: 36%, against 26% for Duncan.
Claude
Allen: 26%, against 21% for Duncan.
Gemini
Allen: 34%, against 25% for Duncan.
Can Allen get the finish? Can Duncan?
ChatGPT
Allen: 36% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%). Duncan: 26% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%).
Claude
Allen: 26% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%). Duncan: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Allen: 34% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%). Duncan: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Allen is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 1%. Duncan is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 27%.
Claude
Allen is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%. Duncan is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 16%.
Gemini
Allen is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%. Duncan is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 26%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 54% vs 46%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Claude
Allen by decision: 28%. Duncan by decision: 25%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Duncan wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Gemini
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
38%.
Claude
53%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Allen 53%, Duncan 47%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Allen 59%, Duncan 42%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (54%).
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Which model is most confident on Allen, and which on Duncan?
All models
On Allen: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (58%). On Duncan: Claude (46%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Chris Schweppe (Allen by decision), CallumCF MMA (Allen by decision), Artem MMA (Allen by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Allen by decision), James Lynch (Allen by decision), Adam Martin (Allen by decision), Andrew Sumian (Allen by decision), MMA OddsBreaker (Allen by decision), DON SMOKE MMA (Allen by decision), Uselyis (Allen by decision), Anthony Marro (Allen by decision), Hank Strandberg (Allen by decision), Ian Undery (Allen by decision), Jesse Holland (Allen by decision), Garrett Kerman (Allen by decision), Danny Howard (Allen by decision), Shakiel Mahjouri (Allen by decision), Gabriel Sheehan (Allen by decision), James Blissett (Allen by decision), Tim Edwards (Allen by decision) and FightIQ (Allen by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Allen, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 9 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 9 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 9 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
Claude
No.
Gemini
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Allen
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Allen by submission, about 27 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 3.
Win chance: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Most likely outcomes
- Allen by submission27%
- Duncan by KO/TKO25%
- Allen by decision22%
- KO/TKO: Allen 9%, Duncan 25%.
- Submission: Allen 27%, Duncan 1%.
- Decision: Allen 22%, Duncan 16%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen: 54% (about 54 in 100 fights). Duncan: 46%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Allen by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
Gemini
Allen by submission: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Allen by submission (27%); 2. Duncan by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Allen by decision (22%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Allen by decision (28%); 2. Duncan by decision (25%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (19%)
Gemini
1. Allen by submission (26%); 2. Allen by decision (24%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (22%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
5 of 10, based on Allen's 54% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 62%. Decision: 38%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 47%. Decision: 53%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Allen win?
ChatGPT
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen wins 54%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%, decision 28%.
Gemini
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%, decision 24%.
How does Duncan win?
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%, decision 16%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Duncan wins 46%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 17%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Allen.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Allen by decision (28%).
More questions (15)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 34%, submission 28%, decision 38%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 29%, submission 18%, decision 53%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 29%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Allen: 36%, against 26% for Duncan.
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen: 26%, against 21% for Duncan.
Gemini
Allen: 34%, against 25% for Duncan.
Can Allen get the finish? Can Duncan?
ChatGPT
Allen: 36% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%). Duncan: 26% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen: 26% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%). Duncan: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Allen: 34% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%). Duncan: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Allen is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 1%. Duncan is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 27%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%. Duncan is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 16%.
Gemini
Allen is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%. Duncan is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 26%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 54% vs 46%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Duncan wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
38%.
Other models' answers
Claude
53%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Allen 53%, Duncan 47%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Allen 59%, Duncan 42%.
Compared with others 2 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (54%).
Which model is most confident on Allen, and which on Duncan?
ChatGPT
On Allen: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (58%). On Duncan: Claude (46%).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 9 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 9 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 9 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
Other models' answers
Claude
No.
gpt-6-astra · 9 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Allen
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Allen by decision, about 28 in 100
Win chance: Allen 54%, Duncan 46%.
Most likely outcomes
- Allen by decision28%
- Duncan by decision25%
- Duncan by KO/TKO19%
- KO/TKO: Allen 10%, Duncan 19%.
- Submission: Allen 16%, Duncan 2%.
- Decision: Allen 28%, Duncan 25%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Allen: 54% (about 54 in 100 fights). Duncan: 46%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
Gemini
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Allen by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).
Gemini
Allen by submission: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Allen by decision (28%); 2. Duncan by decision (25%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (19%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Allen by submission (27%); 2. Duncan by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Allen by decision (22%)
Gemini
1. Allen by submission (26%); 2. Allen by decision (24%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (22%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
5 of 10, based on Allen's 54% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 47%. Decision: 53%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 62%. Decision: 38%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
How does Allen win?
Claude
Allen wins 54%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%, decision 28%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%, decision 22%.
Gemini
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%, decision 24%.
How does Duncan win?
Claude
Duncan wins 46%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 25%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%, decision 16%.
Gemini
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 17%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Duncan's most likely upset: Duncan by decision (25%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Allen.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Allen by decision (28%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 29%, submission 18%, decision 53%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 34%, submission 28%, decision 38%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 29%, decision 41%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Allen: 26%, against 21% for Duncan.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen: 36%, against 26% for Duncan.
Gemini
Allen: 34%, against 25% for Duncan.
Can Allen get the finish? Can Duncan?
Claude
Allen: 26% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%). Duncan: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen: 36% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%). Duncan: 26% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%).
Gemini
Allen: 34% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%). Duncan: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Allen is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%. Duncan is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 1%. Duncan is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 27%.
Gemini
Allen is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%. Duncan is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 26%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 54% vs 46%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Claude
Allen by decision: 28%. Duncan by decision: 25%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Duncan wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
53%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
38%.
Gemini
41%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Allen 53%, Duncan 47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Allen 59%, Duncan 42%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (54%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Which model is most confident on Allen, and which on Duncan?
Claude
On Allen: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (58%). On Duncan: Claude (46%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Chris Schweppe (Allen by decision), CallumCF MMA (Allen by decision), Artem MMA (Allen by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Allen by decision), James Lynch (Allen by decision), Adam Martin (Allen by decision), Andrew Sumian (Allen by decision), MMA OddsBreaker (Allen by decision), DON SMOKE MMA (Allen by decision), Uselyis (Allen by decision), Anthony Marro (Allen by decision), Hank Strandberg (Allen by decision), Ian Undery (Allen by decision), Jesse Holland (Allen by decision), Garrett Kerman (Allen by decision), Danny Howard (Allen by decision), Shakiel Mahjouri (Allen by decision), Gabriel Sheehan (Allen by decision), James Blissett (Allen by decision), Tim Edwards (Allen by decision) and FightIQ (Allen by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Allen, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 9 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 9 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 9 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
No.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Yes.
Gemini
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 9 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Allen
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Allen by submission, about 26 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Most likely outcomes
- Allen by submission26%
- Allen by decision24%
- Duncan by KO/TKO22%
- KO/TKO: Allen 8%, Duncan 22%.
- Submission: Allen 26%, Duncan 3%.
- Decision: Allen 24%, Duncan 17%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Allen: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Duncan: 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Allen: 54% (about 54 in 100 fights). Duncan: 46%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Allen by submission: 26% (about 26 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).
Claude
Allen by decision: 28% (about 28 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Allen by submission (26%); 2. Allen by decision (24%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (22%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Allen by submission (27%); 2. Duncan by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Allen by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Allen by decision (28%); 2. Duncan by decision (25%); 3. Duncan by KO/TKO (19%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
6 of 10, based on Allen's 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
5 of 10, based on Allen's 54% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 59%. Decision: 41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 62%. Decision: 38%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 47%. Decision: 53%.
How does Allen win?
Gemini
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%, decision 24%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen wins 58%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%, decision 22%.
Claude
Allen wins 54%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%, decision 28%.
How does Duncan win?
Gemini
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%, decision 17%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Duncan wins 42%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%, decision 16%.
Claude
Duncan wins 46%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 25%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Allen.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Allen by submission in round 5. Allen by submission was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Allen by decision (28%).
More questions (15)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 29%, decision 41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 34%, submission 28%, decision 38%.
Claude
KO/TKO 29%, submission 18%, decision 53%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Allen: 34%, against 25% for Duncan.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen: 36%, against 26% for Duncan.
Claude
Allen: 26%, against 21% for Duncan.
Can Allen get the finish? Can Duncan?
Gemini
Allen: 34% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 26%). Duncan: 25% (KO/TKO 22%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen: 36% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 27%). Duncan: 26% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 1%).
Claude
Allen: 26% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 16%). Duncan: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Allen is knocked out in 22% and submitted in 3%. Duncan is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 26%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Allen is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 1%. Duncan is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 27%.
Claude
Allen is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%. Duncan is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 16%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Close to a coin flip: 54% vs 46%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Duncan wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Duncan wins 46% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
41%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
38%.
Claude
53%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Allen 59%, Duncan 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Allen 58%, Duncan 42%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Allen 53%, Duncan 47%.
Compared with others 2 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (58%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 51 back Allen and 31 back Duncan. This model picks Allen (54%).
Which model is most confident on Allen, and which on Duncan?
Gemini
On Allen: ChatGPT and Gemini, tied (58%). On Duncan: Claude (46%).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 9 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 9 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 9 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Other models' answers
Claude
No.
Version not reported · 9 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
51%
Brendan Allen
49%
Christian Leroy Duncan
Favoured: Allen (51%) Called it
Allen defeats Duncan · Sub R5
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