Walker vs Meerschaert — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Scheduled · 10 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan Allen vs. Duncan · Light Heavyweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Las Vegas, Nevada
Julius
Walker
View profile
Record Record: 7-3-0
Wins
7
Losses
3
Draws
0

Red corner

7-3-0
Record
37-22-0
United States
Nationality
United States
27
Age
38
193.04 cm
Height — Walker leads
185.42 cm
198.12 cm
Reach — Walker leads
196.85 cm
3.72
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Walker leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.95
86%
Finish rateFinish % — Meerschaert leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
95%
Gerald
Meerschaert
View profile
Record Record: 37-22-0
Wins
37
Losses
22
Draws
0
6KO/TKO
29Sub
2Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+9)
7-3-0
Record
37-22-0
Not published
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
0-5 last 5
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
—
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
6
—
Wins by submissionSub wins
29
4.18
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Meerschaert leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.44
43%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Meerschaert leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Walker leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
40%
09:13
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:30

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

What to expect

Case for Walker

Walker is 7-3-0 with six of his seven wins by stoppage, four knockouts and two submissions, for an 86% finish rate. He has lost his last two, to Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev in June 2026 and Dustin Jacoby in February 2026, after beating Raffael Cerqueira in August 2025, and he stands 1.93 m with a 198 cm reach.

Case for Meerschaert

Meerschaert's tape leans on grappling, with a 1.49 submission average and a 1.70 takedown average, while he lands 2.95 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.44. At 1.85 m with a 197 cm reach he gives up almost nothing in length to Walker's 198 cm.

What to Watch

  • Whether Meerschaert's 1.49 submission average finds a home against Walker, who has lost his last two.
  • Walker's finishing: six of seven wins by stoppage and an 86% finish rate.
  • Meerschaert's 40% takedown defense if Walker can turn the fight into a standing exchange.
  • Striking output: Meerschaert absorbs 3.44 significant strikes per minute while landing 2.95.

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Analyst picks: James Lynch picks Walker; Marcel Dorff picks Walker; Bert MMA picks Walker; Artem MMA picks Walker; Fight Productions picks Walker; Walk The Line MMA picks Walker; Andrew Richardson picks Walker; Cole Shelton picks Meerschaert; Adam Martin picks Walker; The MMA Yuda picks Walker; MMA JAWN picks Walker; Chris Schweppe picks Meerschaert; Brandon K picks Meerschaert.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
James Lynch33 resolved calls
Walker · DecUpcomingWalkerDecNot called
Marcel Dorff18 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Bert MMA12 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Artem MMA60 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Fight Productions31 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingWalkerKO/TKOR2
Walk The Line MMA22 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Andrew Richardson52 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Cole Shelton88 resolved calls
Meerschaert · to winUpcomingMeerschaertNot calledNot called
Adam Martin29 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
The MMA Yuda34 resolved calls
Walker · to winUpcomingWalkerNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN10 resolved calls
Walker · KO/TKOUpcomingWalkerKO/TKONot called
Chris Schweppe61 resolved calls
Meerschaert · DecUpcomingMeerschaertDecNot called
Brandon K12 resolved calls
Meerschaert · Sub · R2UpcomingMeerschaertSubR2

9 of 13 see a finish — 8 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission, 2 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

A previously logged prediction was retracted after a source-verification correction.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No consensus line is published for this bout yet. A live price may appear when online; this page will not present an unverified or stale line as current.

Checking the latest live price when online.

Best available price

Julius Walker
-305 at BetRivers, DraftKings
Gerald Meerschaert
+245 at DraftKings, FanDuel

Highest American-odds quote among 3 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 9, 23:28 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Julius Walker
-290 at Bovada
Gerald Meerschaert
+265 at BetOnline.ag

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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