Greedo Plays MMA covers the UFC and PFL through predictions and other MMA content.
Scorecard
Called 19 of 37 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 19 18
- Method Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss Field median Gap to the field
19 of 37 — 51% now, from 0% at their first scored card. The first 4 points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
62% 8 of 13 correct winners that named a method
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Round
29% 2 of 7 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
0 of 4 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 332 8 hit · 4 miss
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 5 hit · 6 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 3 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 330 1 hit · 0 miss
- Ankalaev vs. Guskov 1 hit · 0 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 0 hit · 1 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 0 hit · 1 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 0 hit · 1 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen vs Duncan | Duncan · KO/TKO · R3 | Upcoming | Duncan | KO/TKO | R3 |
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · KO/TKO · R1 | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Alexander Hernandez by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Talbott · to win | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Payton Talbott in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Gautier · KO/TKO · R1 | Kopylov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Ateba Gautier by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Green · KO/TKO · R3 | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects King Green by ko/tko in round 3. | |||||
| Nolan · to win | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Eric Nolan in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Pinas · KO/TKO · R1 | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Coria · KO/TKO · R2 | Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Alden Coria by ko/tko in round 2. | |||||
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Natalia Silva by decision. | |||||
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Marvin Vettori by decision. | |||||
| Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Johnny Walker in a winner-only call. | |||||
| Soldic · KO/TKO · R1 | Soldic · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Roberto Soldic by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
| Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Greedo Plays MMA selects Anthony Wint by ko/tko in round 1. | |||||
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauregui · Dec | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos. “Yasmin Jauregui is going to beat her ass and Jauregui is going to win by decision.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “Give me Ailin Perez by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Castaneda · Dec | Heili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks John Castaneda by decision over Alateng Heili. “I'm going to go John Castaneda by decision.” | |||||
| Jackson · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Montel Jackson by decision over Ricky Simon. “I'm going to go with Montel Jackson to win this fight by unanimous decision.” | |||||
| Bellato · KO/TKO · R1 | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Rodolfo Bellato by first-round KO/TKO over Christian Edwards. “I'm gonna go with Bellato here. First-round knockout victory over Christian Edwards.” | |||||
| Brener · KO/TKO · R2 | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Elves Brener by second-round KO/TKO over Josiah Harrell. “I'm gonna go second round knockout here for Elves Brener.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 36.3%. Amaya · Dec | Machado · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Melissa Amaya by decision over Valesca Machado. “Hesitantly I'll go Melissa Amaya. I'll take Melissa Amaya by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.7%. Osmanli · Sub · R1 | Akylbek Uulu · DQ R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Mehemmedeli Osmanli by first-round submission over Ilimbek Akylbek. “I'm going to take Mehemmedeli Osmanli by first-round submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Nakamura · Dec | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Rinya Nakamura by decision over Brady Hiestand. “Randy Nakamura beats Brady Hiestand by decision.” | |||||
| Bryczek · KO/TKO · R1 | Vieira · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Robert Bryczek by first-round KO/TKO over Rodolfo Vieira. “Give me Robert Bryczek first-round knockout victory over Rodolfo Vieira.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.7%. Rosas Jr. · Dec | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Raul Rosas Jr. by decision over Raoni Barcelos. “I'm going to go Rosas to win this fight by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Pantoja · Sub · R2 | Van · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Alexandre Pantoja to submit Joshua Van in the second round by rear-naked choke. “Pantoia. Second round submission by Naked Choke over Joshua Van.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Islam Makhachev by decision; caption names are garbled but matchup context is explicit. “I think Islamic is going to win by decision over Ian Machado Gary.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · KO/TKO · R2 | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Picks Magomed Ankalaev by second-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · KO/TKO · R3 | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
Picks Dricus Du Plessis by a third-round knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 28.5%. McGregor · KO/TKO · R2 | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA gives a transcript-verified UFC 329 main-event pick for Conor McGregor by KO/TKO in round 2. “Conor McGregor second round knockout win over Max Holloway.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 28.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Horiguchi · Dec | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Greedo Plays MMA picks Kyoji Horiguchi by decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Topuria to exploit Gaethje's hittable pressure with speed and power for a first-round finish. “Ilia chins Gagei in the first.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Greedo Plays MMA's logged calls.