Harrell vs Brener — Lightweight · Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Red corner
- 11-1-0
- Record
- 16-6-0
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Wins
- 16
- Losses
- 6
- Draws
- 0
Blue corner
Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
- 11-1-0
- Record
- 16-6-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Nationality
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Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Harrell
Harrell brings an unbeaten record and a grappling foundation from Grove City BJJ. His route is to pressure forward, connect wrestling to top position and make the fight physical early.
Case for Brener
Brener's Chute Boxe background gives him a dangerous finishing threat in open exchanges. His route is to punish entries, keep the pace high and force Harrell to solve problems under fire.
What to Watch
- How Harrell's wrestling pressure holds up against Brener's finishing offense.
- Whether Brener can keep the fight in open space.
- Which lightweight controls the first major scramble.
Analysts
Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.
Verified picks coming soon.
Fan Picks
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