Jr. vs Barcelos — Bantamweight · Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Red corner
- 13-1-0
- Record
- 22-5-0
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
- Wins
- 22
- Losses
- 5
- Draws
- 0
Blue corner
Expectations
- 1
- Analyst picksAnalystsAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. The ALL marker appears only when three or more picks agree.
- 0
Counts all published analyst picks logged for this fight.
Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
- 13-1-0
- Record
- 22-5-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 10:45
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:09
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Jr.
Rosas Jr. brings a young, submission-oriented game and a strong recent record into his first UFC Fight Night headliner. His route is to force grappling exchanges, chain takedowns and create the submission opportunities that have defined his rise.
Case for Barcelos
Barcelos brings veteran bantamweight experience, a complete MMA game and current UFC striking metrics. His route is to make Rosas work at range, punish entries and use five-round composure to turn the fight into a measured test.
What to Watch
- Whether Rosas can sustain his grappling pressure across five rounds.
- How Barcelos manages the younger fighter's entries.
- Which fighter controls the first extended ground exchange.
- Whether experience or submission pressure dictates the late rounds.
Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
Analyst picks: JakeGerberMMA picks Jr..
All 1 see it go the distance.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 60 of 90 JakeGerberMMA: picks Jr. — to win
Picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win a competitive decision.
“I think Raul should be able to get this one done.”
Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks, 19 a perfect call.
Fan Picks
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