Raul Rosas Jr. defeats Raoni Barcelos by KO/TKO
Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos — Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Barcelos used takedowns and clinch control to make the main event competitive through the middle rounds.
Rosas Jr. stayed attached through the late wrestling exchanges and found the decisive opening in the fifth round.
Rosas Jr. finished the fight with a slam at 1:38 of round five for the official knockout win.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Rosas Jr.
Rosas Jr. is on a twelve-fight win streak since his only professional loss, and his last outing was a unanimous decision over Rob Font built on sixteen landed takedowns. His route in his first UFC Fight Night headliner is to repeat that wrestling-heavy formula, but his own 25% takedown defense cuts both ways against a fighter who has stopped 88% of takedowns attempted against him.
Case for Barcelos
Barcelos, a 39-year-old veteran with 22 professional wins, is riding his own five-fight win streak that includes handing Payton Talbott the first loss of his career in January 2025, and his tape shows 88% takedown defense. His route is to keep the fight standing, where he out-lands opponents at a 4.65-to-4.24 significant-strike differential, and make Rosas Jr. fight from range instead of on the mat.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Rosas Jr.'s takedown-heavy formula — sixteen landed against Rob Font in his last fight — works against Barcelos's 88% takedown defense.
- Whether Barcelos can be kept off his feet, given Rosas Jr.'s own takedown defense sits at just 25%.
- Whether a 39-year-old Barcelos can sustain five rounds against a 21-year-old opponent in his first UFC main event.
- Whether Rosas Jr.'s twelve-fight win streak or Barcelos's five-fight streak — which includes handing Payton Talbott his first career loss — survives the night.
Records & career stats
- 13-1-0
- Record
- 22-5-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 21
- Age
- 39
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 50%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 8
- 10:45
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:09
- Rosas Brothers MMA
- Team
- Top Brother
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr.
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raul Rosas Jr.
“I start to lean perhaps Rosas's way”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 100.0% (4 hit, 0 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 4 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Raul Rosas Jr. as its pick over Raoni Barcelos.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr.
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Leans Raul Rosas Jr. because of his youth, athleticism, and speed, expecting striking to set up his grappling rather than a hard grappling pace from the start.
* This is explicitly described as an early lean; JakeGerberMMA says Barcelos could take over if Rosas slows down.
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr.
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Drake Burden picks Raul Rosas Jr.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Sub
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by Michael Iannone in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (15 hit, 9 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 15 9
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr.
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Adam Martin gives Raul Rosas Jr. the edge over Raoni Barcelos, citing Rosas Jr.'s 17-year age advantage.
“the fact that Rosas is 17 years younger should give him the edge he needs to win the biggest fight of his career.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.5% (23 hit, 17 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Sub · Round 1
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris Schweppe.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA picks Raul Rosas Jr. by decision over Raoni Barcelos.
“I'm going to go Rosas to win this fight by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr.
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Guy Bruhn picks Raul Rosas Jr.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
The Sports Scientist picks Raul Rosas Jr. by a late KO/TKO.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Sub
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Timothy Wheaton picks Raul Rosas Jr. by submission, with the article identifying the second or third round as the natural window without making a single round call.
Track record: winner called in 4 of 9 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 9 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raul Rosas Jr. · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Chris Cross leans Raul Rosas Jr. in a close fight, citing his development and expecting him to win a three-rounds-to-two decision over Raoni Barcelos.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos by decision.
“I'm going to go Barcelos to win this fight by decision, pulling off the upset there.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Angelo picks canonical Raoni Barcelos; Hani/Barcelos are the transcript's name rendering for the official main-event fighter.
“Hani Barcelos is the pick, guys. That's the breakdown.”
Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
MMA Joey's early lean is Barcelos over Rosas Jr.
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos by decision.
“My prediction will be Haney Barcelos to win this fight via decision.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by Danny Howard in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos by decision in the main event.
“Barcelos is going to win this fight. Win this fight by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Jon Litterine picks Raoni Barcelos.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
BetSam picks Raoni Barcelos to win, citing his stronger body of work and experience while acknowledging Raul Rosas Jr.'s grappling threat.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Sub · Round 4
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Fight Productions picks Raoni Barcelos by fourth-round submission over Raul Rosas Jr.
“Barcelos round four sub is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Shakiel Mahjouri picks Raoni Barcelos by split decision.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 25 21
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Cole Shelton picks Raoni Barcelos.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos.
“So honestly, I'm going to pick Ronnie Barcelos here as the underdog.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos in the main event.
“I'm picking Ryan Barcelos.”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Experience and IQ advantage over Rosas Jr; resisting trap despite 62% public consensus.
“I'm going to go with Barcelos. I think the IQ and the experience is going to be too much.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Brandon K picks Raoni Barcelos by decision over Raul Rosas Jr.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos · Dec
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
Picks Raoni Barcelos.
“But give me Rayoni Barcel to win this fight by decision. I know I have knockout but I'm going to take him by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 37.5% (9 hit, 15 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Raoni Barcelos
Fight result: Raul Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI’s selected value bet names Raoni Barcelos.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Analyst picks: Show Me The Money Hit; FightIQ Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; Drake Burden Hit; Michael Iannone Hit; MMA JOEY Miss; James Blissett Miss; Danny Howard Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Adam Martin Hit; Jon Litterine Miss; BetSam Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Nick Kalikas Miss; Guy Bruhn Hit; Uselyis Miss; The Sports Scientist Hit; Brandon K Miss; Timothy Wheaton Hit; Chris Cross Hit; Chris White Miss; Rparqs Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss.
12 of 32 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO · R5
Closest probability Gemini put 65% on Rosas Jr.
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Rosas Jr.
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 37 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 56%, Barcelos 44%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Rosas Jr.
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 35 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Rosas Jr.
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 45 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 65%, Barcelos 35%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Rosas Jr.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 44%.
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 42%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45% (about 45 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (37%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Barcelos by KO/TKO (13%)
Claude
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (35%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (15%)
Gemini
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (45%); 2. Barcelos by decision (21%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (12%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 56% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 58% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 40%. Decision: 60%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 34%. Decision: 66%.
How does Rosas Jr. win?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. wins 56%: KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%, decision 37%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%, decision 35%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. wins 65%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%, decision 45%.
How does Barcelos win?
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%, decision 25%.
Claude
Barcelos wins 42%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Claude
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Gemini
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (21%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Rosas Jr.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (37%).
Claude
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (35%).
Gemini
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (45%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 20%, submission 18%, decision 62%.
Claude
KO/TKO 18%, submission 22%, decision 60%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 18%, submission 16%, decision 66%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Even: each finishes the other 19% of the time.
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23%, against 17% for Barcelos.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20%, against 14% for Barcelos.
Can Rosas Jr. get the finish? Can Barcelos?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 19% (KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 19% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%).
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%). Barcelos: 17% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%).
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 14% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 6%. Barcelos is knocked out in 7% and submitted in 12%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 7%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 15%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 4%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 12%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45%. Barcelos by decision: 21%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Barcelos wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
62%.
Claude
60%.
Gemini
66%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 60%, Barcelos 40%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 68%, Barcelos 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 37% here against 40% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 35% here against 41% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 45% here against 36% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (56%).
Claude
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (58%).
Gemini
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (65%).
Which model is most confident on Rosas Jr., and which on Barcelos?
All models
On Rosas Jr.: Gemini (65%). On Barcelos: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Rosas Jr. by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 45% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
All models
Chris Cross (Rosas Jr. by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Rosas Jr. by decision) and FightIQ (Rosas Jr. by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rosas Jr., most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
No.
ChatGPT
Pick
Rosas Jr.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 37 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 56%, Barcelos 44%.
Most likely outcomes
- Rosas Jr. by decision37%
- Barcelos by decision25%
- Barcelos by KO/TKO13%
- KO/TKO: Rosas Jr. 7%, Barcelos 13%.
- Submission: Rosas Jr. 12%, Barcelos 6%.
- Decision: Rosas Jr. 37%, Barcelos 25%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 44%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 42%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45% (about 45 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (37%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Barcelos by KO/TKO (13%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (35%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (15%)
Gemini
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (45%); 2. Barcelos by decision (21%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (12%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 56% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 58% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 40%. Decision: 60%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 34%. Decision: 66%.
How does Rosas Jr. win?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. wins 56%: KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%, decision 37%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr. wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%, decision 35%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. wins 65%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%, decision 45%.
How does Barcelos win?
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%, decision 25%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Barcelos wins 42%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (21%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Rosas Jr.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (37%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (35%).
Gemini
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (45%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 20%, submission 18%, decision 62%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 18%, submission 22%, decision 60%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 18%, submission 16%, decision 66%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Even: each finishes the other 19% of the time.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23%, against 17% for Barcelos.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20%, against 14% for Barcelos.
Can Rosas Jr. get the finish? Can Barcelos?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 19% (KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 19% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%). Barcelos: 17% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%).
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 14% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 6%. Barcelos is knocked out in 7% and submitted in 12%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 7%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 15%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 4%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 12%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Other models' answers
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45%. Barcelos by decision: 21%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Barcelos wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
62%.
Other models' answers
Claude
60%.
Gemini
66%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 60%, Barcelos 40%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 68%, Barcelos 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 37% here against 40% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 35% here against 41% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 45% here against 36% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (56%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (58%).
Gemini
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (65%).
Which model is most confident on Rosas Jr., and which on Barcelos?
ChatGPT
On Rosas Jr.: Gemini (65%). On Barcelos: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 45% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Cross (Rosas Jr. by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Rosas Jr. by decision) and FightIQ (Rosas Jr. by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rosas Jr., most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
No.
gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Rosas Jr.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 35 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Most likely outcomes
- Rosas Jr. by decision35%
- Barcelos by decision25%
- Rosas Jr. by submission15%
- KO/TKO: Rosas Jr. 8%, Barcelos 10%.
- Submission: Rosas Jr. 15%, Barcelos 7%.
- Decision: Rosas Jr. 35%, Barcelos 25%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 44%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45% (about 45 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (35%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (15%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (37%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Barcelos by KO/TKO (13%)
Gemini
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (45%); 2. Barcelos by decision (21%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (12%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 58% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 56% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 40%. Decision: 60%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 34%. Decision: 66%.
How does Rosas Jr. win?
Claude
Rosas Jr. wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%, decision 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. wins 56%: KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%, decision 37%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. wins 65%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%, decision 45%.
How does Barcelos win?
Claude
Barcelos wins 42%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%, decision 25%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (21%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Rosas Jr.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (35%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (37%).
Gemini
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (45%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 18%, submission 22%, decision 60%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 20%, submission 18%, decision 62%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 18%, submission 16%, decision 66%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23%, against 17% for Barcelos.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Even: each finishes the other 19% of the time.
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20%, against 14% for Barcelos.
Can Rosas Jr. get the finish? Can Barcelos?
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%). Barcelos: 17% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 19% (KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 19% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%).
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 14% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 7%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 6%. Barcelos is knocked out in 7% and submitted in 12%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 4%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 12%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45%. Barcelos by decision: 21%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Barcelos wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
60%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
62%.
Gemini
66%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 60%, Barcelos 40%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 68%, Barcelos 32%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 35% here against 41% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 37% here against 40% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 45% here against 36% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (58%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (56%).
Gemini
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (65%).
Which model is most confident on Rosas Jr., and which on Barcelos?
Claude
On Rosas Jr.: Gemini (65%). On Barcelos: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 45% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Claude
Chris Cross (Rosas Jr. by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Rosas Jr. by decision) and FightIQ (Rosas Jr. by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rosas Jr., most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
No.
claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Rosas Jr.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Rosas Jr. by decision, about 45 in 100
Win chance: Rosas Jr. 65%, Barcelos 35%.
Most likely outcomes
- Rosas Jr. by decision45%
- Barcelos by decision21%
- Rosas Jr. by submission12%
- KO/TKO: Rosas Jr. 8%, Barcelos 10%.
- Submission: Rosas Jr. 12%, Barcelos 4%.
- Decision: Rosas Jr. 45%, Barcelos 21%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 56% (about 56 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 44%.
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 58% (about 58 in 100 fights). Barcelos: 42%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45% (about 45 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37% (about 37 in 100).
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35% (about 35 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (45%); 2. Barcelos by decision (21%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (12%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (37%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Barcelos by KO/TKO (13%)
Claude
1. Rosas Jr. by decision (35%); 2. Barcelos by decision (25%); 3. Rosas Jr. by submission (15%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 65% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 56% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Rosas Jr.'s 58% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 34%. Decision: 66%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 38%. Decision: 62%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 40%. Decision: 60%.
How does Rosas Jr. win?
Gemini
Rosas Jr. wins 65%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%, decision 45%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. wins 56%: KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%, decision 37%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. wins 58%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%, decision 35%.
How does Barcelos win?
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%, decision 25%.
Claude
Barcelos wins 42%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%, decision 25%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (21%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Claude
Barcelos's most likely upset: Barcelos by decision (25%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Rosas Jr.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (45%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (37%).
Claude
Result: Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO in round 5. Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Rosas Jr. by decision (35%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 18%, submission 16%, decision 66%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 20%, submission 18%, decision 62%.
Claude
KO/TKO 18%, submission 22%, decision 60%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20%, against 14% for Barcelos.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Even: each finishes the other 19% of the time.
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23%, against 17% for Barcelos.
Can Rosas Jr. get the finish? Can Barcelos?
Gemini
Rosas Jr.: 20% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 14% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr.: 19% (KO/TKO 7%, submission 12%). Barcelos: 19% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 6%).
Claude
Rosas Jr.: 23% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 15%). Barcelos: 17% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 7%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 4%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 12%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 6%. Barcelos is knocked out in 7% and submitted in 12%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 7%. Barcelos is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 15%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
A clear favourite: 56% vs 44%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 58% vs 42%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: 45%. Barcelos by decision: 21%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Rosas Jr. by decision: 37%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
Claude
Rosas Jr. by decision: 35%. Barcelos by decision: 25%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Barcelos wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Barcelos wins 44% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Claude
Barcelos wins 42% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
66%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
62%.
Claude
60%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 68%, Barcelos 32%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 60%, Barcelos 40%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Rosas Jr. 58%, Barcelos 42%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 45% here against 36% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 37% here against 40% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Rosas Jr. by decision, 35% here against 41% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (65%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (56%).
Claude
Of 32 analyst picks, 12 back Rosas Jr. and 20 back Barcelos. This model picks Rosas Jr. (58%).
Which model is most confident on Rosas Jr., and which on Barcelos?
Gemini
On Rosas Jr.: Gemini (65%). On Barcelos: ChatGPT (44%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Rosas Jr. by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 45% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Chris Cross (Rosas Jr. by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Rosas Jr. by decision) and FightIQ (Rosas Jr. by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Rosas Jr., most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
No.
Version not reported · 26 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
Favoured: Rosas Jr. (57%) Called it
Rosas Jr. defeats Barcelos · KO/TKO R5



















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