Castaneda vs Heili — Bantamweight · Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Red corner
- 21-8-1
- Record
- 17-10-2
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Wins
- 17
- Losses
- 10
- Draws
- 2
Blue corner
Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
- 21-8-1
- Record
- 17-10-2
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- 5.07
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Nationality
- China
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Castaneda
Castaneda brings a complete MMA profile and a measurable striking base into this bantamweight matchup. His route is to make the fight multi-phase and punish predictable entries.
Case for Heili
Alateng Heili represents the opposing pressure test. His route is to close space, force physical exchanges and deny Castaneda a comfortable technical rhythm.
What to Watch
- Which bantamweight controls the range.
- How the first clinch exchange changes the pace.
- Whether Castaneda can keep the bout in multiple phases.
Analysts
Independent picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — for this fight, each traced to a timestamped source and checked before it goes live, are being verified and will appear here ahead of fight night.
Verified picks coming soon.
Fan Picks
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