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View photo on X ↗Yazmin Jauregui defeats Vanessa Demopoulos by KO/TKO
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · strikes
Round 1 · 1:02
Demopoulos vs Jauregui — Women's Strawweight · UFC Fight Night
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(0) 0%
100% (23)
AI Predictions
18%
82%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Demopoulos opened with forward pressure and looked to turn the first exchange into a grappling sequence.
Jauregui answered with a flurry along the fence and kept working when Demopoulos tried to scramble into an armbar.
Jauregui finished with hammerfists at 1:02 of round one for the official knockout win.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Demopoulos
Demopoulos brings an experienced grappling route into the strawweight matchup. Her task is to close distance, create control and turn scrambles into repeatable advantages.
Case for Jauregui
Jauregui's route is to keep the exchanges clean and fast, using distance and volume to prevent Demopoulos from settling into prolonged control positions.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Demopoulos can force grappling exchanges.
- How Jauregui manages distance under pressure.
- Which fighter controls the key scrambles.
Records & career stats
- 3.37 6.64
- 41% 55%
- 5.39 5.25
- 26% 100%
- 45% 67%
- 11-8-0
- Record
- 11-2-0
- 1-4 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- Mexico
- 37
- Age
- 25
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 12:48
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:30
- UFC Performance Institute
- Team
- Entram Gym
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(0) 0%
LDemopoulos
100% (23)
JaureguiW
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Yazmin Jauregui as its pick over Vanessa Demopoulos.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Yazmin has striking advantage and can control the grappling exchange to secure a decision win.
“I will side with Yasmin. I think that she's better on the feet and can stop some takedowns.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.
“I'll go Herggi by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
We Want Picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Angelo picks canonical Yazmin Jauregui; the transcript's Yasmin Yarui/Yin forms are caption variants.
“So Yasmin has to be the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Drake Burden picks Yazmin Jauregui.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.
“Yasmin decision for me.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.
“In this one I got Yair Aguiar via decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui by knockout.
“I think Yasmin is going to win this fight and win this fight by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.5% (23 hit, 17 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Jon Litterine picks Yazmin Jauregui.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Fight Productions picks Yazmin Jauregui by third-round knockout over Vanessa Demopoulos.
“I'll go round three knockout win for Yazmin Jauregui.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris Schweppe.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by Cole Shelton in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui.
“She should get this one done pretty easily in my opinion. Uh 3027 is my prediction by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui.
“I'm picking J Yasmin. Picking Yasmin to win this fight.”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.
“Yasmin Jauregui is going to beat her ass and Jauregui is going to win by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Guy Bruhn picks Yazmin Jauregui.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
From parlay combination; decision-method prediction.
“Yasmin decision, Castanada decision, and Montel decision plus 685”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Kyle Marley
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Sub
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
SportsLine reports Kyle Marley picks Yazmin Jauregui by submission over Vanessa Demopoulos.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 5 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Rparqs
Current pick evidence
Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec
Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO
Picks Yazmin Jauregui.
“Give me Yasmin Jaguar to win this fight. I think by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 37.5% (9 hit, 15 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Analyst picks: FightIQ Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Drake Burden Hit; James Blissett Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Guy Bruhn Hit; Uselyis Hit; Kyle Marley Hit; Chris White Hit; Rparqs Hit.
23 of 23 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Jauregui · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 84% on Jauregui.
17%
Demopoulos
83%
Jauregui
PickJauregui · DecisionActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
22%
Demopoulos
78%
Jauregui
PickJauregui · KO/TKO · R2ActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMiss
16%
Demopoulos
84%
Jauregui
PickJauregui · DecisionActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Jauregui
Most likely: Jauregui by decision, about 57 in 100
Win chance: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Jauregui
Most likely: Jauregui by KO/TKO, about 38 in 100
Win chance: Demopoulos 22%, Jauregui 78%.
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Jauregui
Most likely: Jauregui by decision, about 53 in 100
Win chance: Demopoulos 16%, Jauregui 84%.
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Jauregui.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 83% (about 83 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 17%.
Claude
Jauregui: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 22%.
Gemini
Jauregui: 84% (about 84 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 16%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Jauregui by decision: 57% (about 57 in 100).
Claude
Jauregui by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Gemini
Jauregui by decision: 53% (about 53 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Jauregui by decision (57%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
Claude
1. Jauregui by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Jauregui by decision (35%); 3. Demopoulos by submission (12%)
Gemini
1. Jauregui by decision (53%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (28%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 83% win chance.
Claude
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 78% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 84% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 35%. Decision: 65%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 61%.
How does Demopoulos win?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%, decision 8%.
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%, decision 7%.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%, decision 8%.
How does Jauregui win?
ChatGPT
Jauregui wins 83%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%, decision 57%.
Claude
Jauregui wins 78%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%, decision 35%.
Gemini
Jauregui wins 84%: KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%, decision 53%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos's most likely upset: Demopoulos by decision (8%).
Gemini
Demopoulos's most likely upset: Demopoulos by decision (8%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Jauregui.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (57%).
Claude
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (53%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 65%.
Claude
KO/TKO 41%, submission 17%, decision 42%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 9%, decision 61%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 26%, against 9% for Demopoulos.
Claude
Jauregui: 43%, against 15% for Demopoulos.
Gemini
Jauregui: 31%, against 8% for Demopoulos.
Can Demopoulos get the finish? Can Jauregui?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos: 9% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%). Jauregui: 26% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%).
Claude
Demopoulos: 15% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%). Jauregui: 43% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%).
Gemini
Demopoulos: 8% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%). Jauregui: 31% (KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 2%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 7%.
Claude
Demopoulos is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 5%. Jauregui is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 12%.
Gemini
Demopoulos is knocked out in 28% and submitted in 3%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 6%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 83% vs 17%.
Claude
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 84% vs 16%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 57%.
Gemini
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 53%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
65%.
Claude
42%.
Gemini
61%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 88%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 13%, Jauregui 87%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 57% here against 44% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 35% here against 55% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 53% here against 46% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (83%).
Claude
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (78%).
Gemini
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (84%).
Which model is most confident on Demopoulos, and which on Jauregui?
All models
On Demopoulos: Claude (22%). On Jauregui: Gemini (84%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Jauregui by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 57% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Jauregui by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jauregui by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jauregui by decision), James Blissett (Jauregui by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Jauregui by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Jauregui by decision), Rparqs (Jauregui by decision), Uselyis (Jauregui by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Jauregui by decision) and FightIQ (Jauregui by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jauregui, most likely by decision.
Gemini
Chris Schweppe (Jauregui by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jauregui by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jauregui by decision), James Blissett (Jauregui by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Jauregui by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Jauregui by decision), Rparqs (Jauregui by decision), Uselyis (Jauregui by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Jauregui by decision) and FightIQ (Jauregui by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jauregui, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Jauregui
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Most likely: Jauregui by decision, about 57 in 100
Win chance: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jauregui by decision57%
- Jauregui by KO/TKO24%
- Demopoulos by decision8%
- KO/TKO: Demopoulos 2%, Jauregui 24%.
- Submission: Demopoulos 7%, Jauregui 2%.
- Decision: Demopoulos 8%, Jauregui 57%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 83% (about 83 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 17%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jauregui: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 22%.
Gemini
Jauregui: 84% (about 84 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 16%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Jauregui by decision: 57% (about 57 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Jauregui by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Gemini
Jauregui by decision: 53% (about 53 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Jauregui by decision (57%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Jauregui by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Jauregui by decision (35%); 3. Demopoulos by submission (12%)
Gemini
1. Jauregui by decision (53%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (28%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 83% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 78% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 84% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 35%. Decision: 65%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 61%.
How does Demopoulos win?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%, decision 8%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%, decision 7%.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%, decision 8%.
How does Jauregui win?
ChatGPT
Jauregui wins 83%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%, decision 57%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jauregui wins 78%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%, decision 35%.
Gemini
Jauregui wins 84%: KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%, decision 53%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos's most likely upset: Demopoulos by decision (8%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Jauregui.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (57%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (53%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 65%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 41%, submission 17%, decision 42%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 9%, decision 61%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 26%, against 9% for Demopoulos.
Other models' answers
Claude
Jauregui: 43%, against 15% for Demopoulos.
Gemini
Jauregui: 31%, against 8% for Demopoulos.
Can Demopoulos get the finish? Can Jauregui?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos: 9% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%). Jauregui: 26% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Demopoulos: 15% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%). Jauregui: 43% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%).
Gemini
Demopoulos: 8% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%). Jauregui: 31% (KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 2%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 7%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Demopoulos is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 5%. Jauregui is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 12%.
Gemini
Demopoulos is knocked out in 28% and submitted in 3%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 6%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 83% vs 17%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 84% vs 16%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
ChatGPT
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 57%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 53%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
65%.
Other models' answers
Claude
42%.
Gemini
61%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 88%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 13%, Jauregui 87%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 57% here against 44% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 35% here against 55% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 53% here against 46% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (83%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (78%).
Gemini
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (84%).
Which model is most confident on Demopoulos, and which on Jauregui?
ChatGPT
On Demopoulos: Claude (22%). On Jauregui: Gemini (84%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Jauregui by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 57% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
ChatGPT
Chris Schweppe (Jauregui by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jauregui by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jauregui by decision), James Blissett (Jauregui by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Jauregui by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Jauregui by decision), Rparqs (Jauregui by decision), Uselyis (Jauregui by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Jauregui by decision) and FightIQ (Jauregui by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jauregui, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Jauregui
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Most likely: Jauregui by KO/TKO, about 38 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Demopoulos 22%, Jauregui 78%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jauregui by KO/TKO38%
- Jauregui by decision35%
- Demopoulos by submission12%
- KO/TKO: Demopoulos 3%, Jauregui 38%.
- Submission: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 5%.
- Decision: Demopoulos 7%, Jauregui 35%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Jauregui: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 83% (about 83 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 17%.
Gemini
Jauregui: 84% (about 84 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 16%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Jauregui by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui by decision: 57% (about 57 in 100).
Gemini
Jauregui by decision: 53% (about 53 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Jauregui by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Jauregui by decision (35%); 3. Demopoulos by submission (12%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Jauregui by decision (57%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
Gemini
1. Jauregui by decision (53%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (28%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 78% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 83% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 84% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 35%. Decision: 65%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 61%.
How does Demopoulos win?
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%, decision 7%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%, decision 8%.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%, decision 8%.
How does Jauregui win?
Claude
Jauregui wins 78%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%, decision 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui wins 83%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%, decision 57%.
Gemini
Jauregui wins 84%: KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%, decision 53%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Jauregui.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (57%).
Gemini
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (53%).
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 41%, submission 17%, decision 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 65%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 9%, decision 61%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Jauregui: 43%, against 15% for Demopoulos.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 26%, against 9% for Demopoulos.
Gemini
Jauregui: 31%, against 8% for Demopoulos.
Can Demopoulos get the finish? Can Jauregui?
Claude
Demopoulos: 15% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%). Jauregui: 43% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos: 9% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%). Jauregui: 26% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%).
Gemini
Demopoulos: 8% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%). Jauregui: 31% (KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Demopoulos is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 5%. Jauregui is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 12%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 2%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 7%.
Gemini
Demopoulos is knocked out in 28% and submitted in 3%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 6%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 83% vs 17%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 84% vs 16%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
65%.
Gemini
61%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 88%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 13%, Jauregui 87%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 35% here against 55% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 57% here against 44% on average for the others.
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 53% here against 46% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (78%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (83%).
Gemini
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (84%).
Which model is most confident on Demopoulos, and which on Jauregui?
Claude
On Demopoulos: Claude (22%). On Jauregui: Gemini (84%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Jauregui by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 57% (ChatGPT).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Jauregui
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Most likely: Jauregui by decision, about 53 in 100
Win chance: Demopoulos 16%, Jauregui 84%.
Most likely outcomes
- Jauregui by decision53%
- Jauregui by KO/TKO28%
- Demopoulos by decision8%
- KO/TKO: Demopoulos 2%, Jauregui 28%.
- Submission: Demopoulos 6%, Jauregui 3%.
- Decision: Demopoulos 8%, Jauregui 53%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Jauregui: 84% (about 84 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 83% (about 83 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 17%.
Claude
Jauregui: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Demopoulos: 22%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Jauregui by decision: 53% (about 53 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui by decision: 57% (about 57 in 100).
Claude
Jauregui by KO/TKO: 38% (about 38 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Jauregui by decision (53%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (28%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Jauregui by decision (57%); 2. Jauregui by KO/TKO (24%); 3. Demopoulos by decision (8%)
Claude
1. Jauregui by KO/TKO (38%); 2. Jauregui by decision (35%); 3. Demopoulos by submission (12%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 84% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 83% win chance.
Claude
8 of 10, based on Jauregui's 78% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 39%. Decision: 61%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 35%. Decision: 65%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 58%. Decision: 42%.
How does Demopoulos win?
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%, decision 8%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17%: KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%, decision 8%.
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22%: KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%, decision 7%.
How does Jauregui win?
Gemini
Jauregui wins 84%: KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%, decision 53%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui wins 83%: KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%, decision 57%.
Claude
Jauregui wins 78%: KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%, decision 35%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Demopoulos's most likely upset: Demopoulos by decision (8%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Jauregui.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (53%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Jauregui by decision (57%).
Claude
Result: Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 1. Jauregui by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 30%, submission 9%, decision 61%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 26%, submission 9%, decision 65%.
Claude
KO/TKO 41%, submission 17%, decision 42%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Jauregui: 31%, against 8% for Demopoulos.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Jauregui: 26%, against 9% for Demopoulos.
Claude
Jauregui: 43%, against 15% for Demopoulos.
Can Demopoulos get the finish? Can Jauregui?
Gemini
Demopoulos: 8% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 6%). Jauregui: 31% (KO/TKO 28%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos: 9% (KO/TKO 2%, submission 7%). Jauregui: 26% (KO/TKO 24%, submission 2%).
Claude
Demopoulos: 15% (KO/TKO 3%, submission 12%). Jauregui: 43% (KO/TKO 38%, submission 5%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Demopoulos is knocked out in 28% and submitted in 3%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 6%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos is knocked out in 24% and submitted in 2%. Jauregui is knocked out in 2% and submitted in 7%.
Claude
Demopoulos is knocked out in 38% and submitted in 5%. Jauregui is knocked out in 3% and submitted in 12%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 84% vs 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 83% vs 17%.
Claude
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 53%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos by decision: 8%. Jauregui by decision: 57%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Demopoulos wins 16% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Demopoulos wins 17% (about 1 in 6 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Demopoulos wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
61%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
65%.
Claude
42%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 13%, Jauregui 87%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 88%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 53% here against 46% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 57% here against 44% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Jauregui by decision, 35% here against 55% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (84%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (83%).
Claude
Of 23 analyst picks, 0 back Demopoulos and 23 back Jauregui. This model picks Jauregui (78%).
Which model is most confident on Demopoulos, and which on Jauregui?
Gemini
On Demopoulos: Claude (22%). On Jauregui: Gemini (84%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Jauregui by decision: from 35% (Claude) to 57% (ChatGPT).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Chris Schweppe (Jauregui by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Jauregui by decision), DFS By The Numbers (Jauregui by decision), James Blissett (Jauregui by decision), KingofCrackdown5095 (Jauregui by decision), JakeGerberMMA (Jauregui by decision), Rparqs (Jauregui by decision), Uselyis (Jauregui by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Jauregui by decision) and FightIQ (Jauregui by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Jauregui, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 26 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 25 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 25 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 26 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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