“MAMA AIN’T RAISE NO….” 🗣️ You don’t want to miss Nate Landwehr on the mic after a win at #UFCEdmonton! [ OCT 17 | 8pmET LIVE on @ParamountPlus ]
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Mandel Nallo defeats Nate Landwehr by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · strikes
Round 2 · 0:47
Nallo vs Landwehr — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(62) 85%
15% (11)
AI Predictions
68%
32%
Market Odds
71%
29%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Nallo used his jab and straight striking to hurt Landwehr in the first. He attacked the lead leg in the second and followed through to the stoppage.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Nallo
Nallo is 14-4, per UFC, and averages 8.26 significant strikes per minute. UFC records a first-round stoppage loss to Jai Herbert and a prior first-round stoppage win over Samuel Silva; that finishing upside sits behind Nallo's pace, but he must sustain offense without giving Landwehr a brawl to answer.
Case for Landwehr
Landwehr is 18-8, per UFC, and has lost three straight by stoppage: to Cub Swanson, Morgan Charrière and Choi Doo-ho. He averages 5.55 significant strikes landed and 5.96 absorbed per minute, a high-contact profile that can pressure Nallo but also leaves him exposed to Nallo's knockout threat.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Landwehr raise the pace without giving Nallo the open exchanges that produced his Silva stoppage?
- Does Nallo's 8.26 significant strikes per minute hold up against Landwehr's 5.96 absorbed per minute?
- Can Landwehr avoid a fourth straight stoppage defeat after three straight stoppage losses?
Records & career stats
- 8.26 5.55
- 54% 51%
- 5.03 5.96
- 100% 72%
- 100% 61%
- 14-4-0
- Record
- 18-8-0
- Source pending
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 1-4 last 5
- Canada
- Nationality
- United States
- 37
- Age
- 38
- Source pending
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 02:47
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:21
- Lightweight
- Weight classWeight
- Featherweight (moving up)
- Tristar Gym - Montreal
- Team
- MMA Masters · Miami
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(62) 85%
WNallo
15% (11)
LandwehrL
Danny “Brasco” Vithlani
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
SportsLine reports Daniel Vithlani backing Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr; the source does not specify a method or round.
“Vithlani is backing Mandell Nallo (-285) over Nate Landwehr (+230) in a lightweight showdown to kick off the main card.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Gabriel Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO.
“Mandel Nallo to win by TKO”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 76.9% (10 hit, 3 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 76.9% 10 3
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
FightIQ predicts Mandel Nallo at 75% confidence.
“We predict Mandel Nallo — 75% confident”
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr, using a derogatory spoken label for Nallo and saying Landwehr is washed.
“I'm going to go with rat garbage here cuz Nate the Train is so washed”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“So give me Mando Nalo to win by KO and I think it even happens in round one”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
JakeGerberMMA picks Mandel Nallo despite concern about the matchup; later he predicts a first-round knockout.
“I'm very worried about picking Mandel Nalo in this fight, but I am going to pick him. I'm going to pick him to win this fight.”
* Auto-captions render Nallo as “Nalo.” The analyst discusses a Landwehr path but keeps Nallo as his pick.
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The speaker doubts Landwehr’s durability and expects Nallo’s early kicks at range to hurt him.
“but I'm going to go Mandel Nallo by KO in round one.”
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He selects Mandel Nallo for a quick first-round knockout, while cautioning against the betting price.
“I'll pick him to win by first round KO.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
138 MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
138 MMA favors Mandel Nallo to finish Nate Landwehr first; auto-captions garble both names.
“I think Nalo can put away Nate Landwear before the opposite happens.”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 42 24
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 43.8% 7 9
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Mandel Nallo by ko/tko.
“Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr by TKO”
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He considers Nallo's finishing record more persuasive than Landwehr's chance of outlasting him.
“I'm going to go with Mandel Nallo by KO first round.”
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He predicts Nallo by second-round knockout and says Landwehr has taken too much damage.
“I'm going to say Mandel Nallo gets it done. I'll say second round KO.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“I'm going to go rat garbage Mandel Nalo to get the TKO in the first round”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Nallo as James Lynch’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
James expects Nallo’s speed and power to overwhelm Landwehr and calls a first-round knockout.
“I'll say he wins it be a knockout. I'll say it's in round one as well.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · Dec
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Kerman predicts Mandel Nallo to defeat Nate Landwehr by unanimous decision.
“Prediction: Mandel Nallo defeats Nate Landwehr by unanimous decision.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Combat Edge Model
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Combat Edge Model's frozen forecast narrowly favors Mandel Nallo (51%) over Nate Landwehr (49%) in a close matchup; the event card says the model and Elo split. The page publishes winner probabilities only and makes no method or round prediction.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Jacob Lines
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Picks Mandel Nallo, saying Nate Landwehr cannot afford to take those shots.
“against Nalo you just can't really get hit like that so I think Nalo should win”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Mandel Nallo; no method is stated.
“i have Nalo to win this one”
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Fight Genie (Claude)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight Genie Claude selects Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr by ko/tko in round 2. Landwehr’s three consecutive knockout losses support Nallo’s stoppage route; Nallo’s own recent KO loss tempers it. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Mandel Nallo; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He expects Nallo's size, reach, and technical striking to punish Landwehr's forward pressure and defensive weaknesses.
“in this one I got Mandel Nallo via first round TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He believes Nallo’s technique, speed and size advantage over Landwehr will create a knockout, despite frustration with Nallo’s previous performance against Jai Herbert.
“Give me Nallo to win. I'm going to take him by first round knockout, but I don't like it.”
* Kunath says he does not like the pick.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“mandel wins this fight i think he probably finishes knocks out Nate mandel Nalo is going to be the pretty straightforward pick”
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Artem believes Landwehr’s accumulated damage and recent knockout losses have left his chin vulnerable. He expects Nallo’s power and size advantage at lightweight to be decisive, while admitting that Nallo is not especially technical. He picks Nallo to knock Landwehr out in the first round.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Litterine explicitly selects Mandel Nallo; no method or round is stated.
“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Nallo”
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
BetSam
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He expects Nallo's size and powerful hooks to exploit Landwehr's questionable durability after repeated knockout losses.
“Give me Mandonalo round one finish uh most likely via knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Andrew Richardson expects the early exchange to end Nate Landwehr’s night and picks Mandel Nallo by knockout.
“Prediction: Nallo via knockout”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 73.0% 27 10
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“I do think this is just a tough spot for him so I think Mandel Nalo is going to bounce back and pick up the win and I think he gets it done early i'll go Nalo round one knockout”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Fight Genie (GPT)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight Genie GPT selects Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr by ko/tko in round 2. Landwehr’s three straight knockout losses support a Nallo stoppage, tempered by Nallo’s single-fight UFC sample and own KO loss. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 8 7
- Round Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA.SOCIAL
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMA.SOCIAL selects Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO; no round is stated.
“Nallo by KO/TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Nallo's striking and range to overwhelm Landwehr, whose pressure, durability, and conditioning have declined.
“Mandel Nalo, he's going to be the pick with very high confidence.”
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He expects Nallo's speed and explosive counters to punish Landwehr's forward pressure, citing Landwehr's recent stoppage losses.
“So I'm picking Nalo to win by KO TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Anatoly Pimentel
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Anatoly Pimentel predicts Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO over Nate Landwehr.
“I predict a TKO/KO win for Nallo over Landwehr”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Nallo as Cole Shelton’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Mandel Nallo to knock out Nate Landwehr early; no round is stated.
“I think he'll knock out Nate the Train early ... I'm going to pick Nalo to get this one done.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Locked Door MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
They favor Nallo’s speed and straight punches, with leg kicks as a way to break through Landwehr’s high guard.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Nallo as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“This has to be Mandel Nalo in my opinion”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Andy Lang picks Mandel Nallo by a generic finish; no specific method or round is stated.
“Nallo by finish is the play.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Greedo selects Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr by first-round knockout; the captions slightly alter both surnames.
“going to go Mandel Nalo to knock out Nate Landwear in the very first round.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Teller expects Nallo's length, aggression and power to exploit Landwehr's defensive vulnerabilities and accumulated damage. He acknowledges that Nallo's own durability leaves Landwehr live to hurt him, and that Landwehr brings wrestling and toughness. He nevertheless calls Nallo by first-round knockout, with the second round a possibility.
* He selects round one but says the knockout may happen in round two; both fighters are vulnerable to being hurt.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
MCA PICKS
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MCA PICKS favors Nallo, citing his physicality and size advantage.
“creo que mand el Nalo con esa fisicalidad de 8 cm de ventaja h otros ocho también que tiene de altura va a poder noquearlo en un primer asalto”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 4 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He expects Nallo's size, reach and power to exploit Landwehr's declining speed and durability.
“Mandonello by knockout is exactly what I end up seeing here.”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Nallo as Nick Kalikas’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Bert MMA expects Nate Landwehr’s forward pressure to create an opening for Mandel Nallo’s faster, more powerful counters and picks Nallo to knock him out in the first round. He also sees a credible alternative in which Landwehr survives the early danger, maintains a strong pace and takes over later.
* He calls the fight unpredictable and would not be surprised by a later Landwehr finish; he advises against betting it.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Nallo as Zain Bando’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMA JAWN favors Nallo’s length, explosiveness and striking, and predicts a knockout.
“So Mando Nalo is gonna be the pick for me via knockout.”
* He notes concerns about Nallo’s chin and recognizes Landwehr’s toughness.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Nallo's power and accurate striking to capitalize on Landwehr's accumulated damage and recent knockout losses.
“I'm going to go Nalo by KO.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Adam Martin predicts Mandel Nallo to knock out Nate Landwehr in the first round, while noting the pick is not highly confident.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Nallo.
“Pick: Nallo”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
FightStudy selects Nallo by KO/TKO in round 2.
“Prediction: Nallo by KO R2”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Andrew Sumian selects Mandel Nallo to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Brandon K selects Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO in round 1.
““I’m going to take Mandel Nalo by first round knockout here.””
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
BennyPMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
BennyPMMA selects Mandel Nallo by KO/TKO.
““I’m going to go Nalo by KO here.””
Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 9 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
MMA Gambling Podcast
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Both co-hosts select Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr.
“we both have Nallo”
Track record: winner called in 3 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The speaker favors Nallo's knockout power while acknowledging Landwehr could win if he survives early.
“with Mandel Nallo by first round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
The Lab Analytics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The Lab Analytics selects Mandel Nallo at 61.7% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Alexander K. Lee selects Nallo by ko/tko.
“Pick: Nallo”
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
AI Sports Metrics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Mandel Nallo as its AI/model pick against Nate Landwehr. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FunkyBunch MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Nallo's speed, athleticism, and power to exploit Landwehr's declining durability.
“Pick is going to be Nalo. Low medium confidence in the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 5 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mandel Nallo
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Mandel Nallo as its AI/model pick against Nate Landwehr. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
AJ Devito
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
AJ expects Landwehr's toughness, experience, grappling, and move to lightweight to overcome Nallo's defensive and durability concerns.
“Nate Lanwware as an underdog to finish Mandelo is going to be my pick.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Drake Burden selects Nate Landwehr to win.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Edwards includes Nate Landwehr in a two-fight parlay and says the underdog has a good chance.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr · Dec
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Chris Schweppe picks Nate Landwehr by split decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Steve Garcia
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“So, give me Nate Lander.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Sean Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
“I'm giving you the plus 210 Landwear to win his fight on on Saturday night against Rat Garbage Mandel Nano”
Track record: winner called in 4 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Marcel Dorff picks Nate Landwehr by first-round knockout.
“I'm picking him first round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
The Sports Scientist
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
He expects Landwehr's motivation after consecutive losses to produce an ugly fight and a knockout.
“Give me Nate Lanir to win here by KO,”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
Matthew Petela selects Nate Landwehr to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
DocSports author Josh Schonwald explicitly selects Nate Landwehr.
“Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nate Landwehr (+219)”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 6 9
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nate Landwehr
Fight result: Mandel Nallo · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Landwehr as Chris White’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Analyst picks: Danny “Brasco” Vithlani Hit; Gabriel Sheehan Hit; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; MMA Lock of the Night Hit; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; 138 MMA Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Drake Burden Miss; Livid Larry MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Hit; Garrett Kerman Hit; Combat Edge Model Hit; Jacob Lines Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; Fight Genie (Claude) Hit; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Hit; Tim Edwards Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; BetSam Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Fight Productions Hit; Fight Genie (GPT) Hit; MMA.SOCIAL Hit; Clenbat Hit; Kasper MMA Hit; Anatoly Pimentel Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Locked Door MMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Steve Garcia Miss; Andy Lang Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Sean Sheehan Miss; MCA PICKS Hit; mmadbm Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Bert MMA Hit; Zain Bando Hit; MMA JAWN Hit; Uselyis Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Miss; Drew Beaupre Hit; FightStudy Hit; The Sports Scientist Miss; Andrew Sumian Hit; Matthew Petela Miss; Brandon K Hit; BennyPMMA Hit; MMA Gambling Podcast Hit; Lightning MMA Hit; The Lab Analytics Hit; Josh Schonwald Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Hit; AI Sports Metrics Hit; FunkyBunch MMA Hit; FIGHT//AI Hit.
62 of 73 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Nallo · KO/TKO · R2
Closest probability Gemini put 73% on Nallo.
66%
Nallo
34%
Landwehr
PickNallo · KO/TKO · R1ActualNallo · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
66%
Nallo
34%
Landwehr
PickNallo · KO/TKO · R2ActualNallo · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHitSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
73%
Nallo
27%
Landwehr
PickNallo · KO/TKO · R1ActualNallo · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Nallo
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 51 in 100
Win chance: Nallo 66%, Landwehr 34%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Nallo
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
Win chance: Nallo 66%, Landwehr 34%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Nallo
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 51 in 100
Win chance: Nallo 73%, Landwehr 27%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Nallo.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
Claude
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
Gemini
Nallo: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 27%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
Claude
Nallo by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
Gemini
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Nallo by submission (9%)
Claude
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Nallo by decision (24%); 3. Landwehr by KO/TKO (19%)
Gemini
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (15%); 3. Nallo by submission (14%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 73% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 89%. Decision: 11%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 84%. Decision: 16%.
How does Nallo win?
ChatGPT
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%, decision 6%.
Claude
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
Gemini
Nallo wins 73%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%, decision 8%.
How does Landwehr win?
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 5%.
Claude
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%, decision 11%.
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 8%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Nallo.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
All models
Result: Nallo by KO/TKO in round 2. Nallo by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 76%, submission 13%, decision 11%.
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 10%, decision 35%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 66%, submission 18%, decision 16%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60%, against 29% for Landwehr.
Claude
Nallo: 42%, against 23% for Landwehr.
Gemini
Nallo: 65%, against 19% for Landwehr.
Can Nallo get the finish? Can Landwehr?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%). Landwehr: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%).
Claude
Nallo: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Landwehr: 23% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Nallo: 65% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%). Landwehr: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Nallo is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 9%.
Claude
Nallo is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
Gemini
Nallo is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 14%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
Claude
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
11%.
Claude
35%.
Gemini
16%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 55%, Landwehr 46%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 69%, Landwehr 31%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 50%, Landwehr 50%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 6% here against 16% on average for the others.
Claude
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 24% here against 7% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Claude
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Gemini
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (73%).
Which model is most confident on Nallo, and which on Landwehr?
All models
On Nallo: Gemini (73%). On Landwehr: ChatGPT and Claude, tied (34%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Nallo by decision: from 6% (ChatGPT) to 24% (Claude).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Nallo
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 51 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Nallo 66%, Landwehr 34%.
Most likely outcomes
- Nallo by KO/TKO51%
- Landwehr by KO/TKO25%
- Nallo by submission9%
- KO/TKO: Nallo 51%, Landwehr 25%.
- Submission: Nallo 9%, Landwehr 4%.
- Decision: Nallo 6%, Landwehr 5%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Nallo: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 27%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Nallo by submission (9%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Nallo by decision (24%); 3. Landwehr by KO/TKO (19%)
Gemini
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (15%); 3. Nallo by submission (14%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Other models' answers
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 73% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 89%. Decision: 11%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 84%. Decision: 16%.
How does Nallo win?
ChatGPT
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%, decision 6%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
Gemini
Nallo wins 73%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%, decision 8%.
How does Landwehr win?
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 5%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%, decision 11%.
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 8%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Nallo.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Nallo by KO/TKO in round 2. Nallo by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 76%, submission 13%, decision 11%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 10%, decision 35%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 66%, submission 18%, decision 16%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60%, against 29% for Landwehr.
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo: 42%, against 23% for Landwehr.
Gemini
Nallo: 65%, against 19% for Landwehr.
Can Nallo get the finish? Can Landwehr?
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%). Landwehr: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Landwehr: 23% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Nallo: 65% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%). Landwehr: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Nallo is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 9%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
Gemini
Nallo is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 14%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
11%.
Other models' answers
Claude
35%.
Gemini
16%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 55%, Landwehr 46%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 69%, Landwehr 31%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 50%, Landwehr 50%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 6% here against 16% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
Claude
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 24% here against 7% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (73%).
Which model is most confident on Nallo, and which on Landwehr?
ChatGPT
On Nallo: Gemini (73%). On Landwehr: ChatGPT and Claude, tied (34%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Nallo by decision: from 6% (ChatGPT) to 24% (Claude).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Nallo
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 36 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Nallo 66%, Landwehr 34%.
Most likely outcomes
- Nallo by KO/TKO36%
- Nallo by decision24%
- Landwehr by KO/TKO19%
- KO/TKO: Nallo 36%, Landwehr 19%.
- Submission: Nallo 6%, Landwehr 4%.
- Decision: Nallo 24%, Landwehr 11%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Nallo: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 27%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Nallo by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
Gemini
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Nallo by decision (24%); 3. Landwehr by KO/TKO (19%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Nallo by submission (9%)
Gemini
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (15%); 3. Nallo by submission (14%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Other models' answers
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 73% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 89%. Decision: 11%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 84%. Decision: 16%.
How does Nallo win?
Claude
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%, decision 6%.
Gemini
Nallo wins 73%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%, decision 8%.
How does Landwehr win?
Claude
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%, decision 11%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 5%.
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 8%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Nallo.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Nallo by KO/TKO in round 2. Nallo by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 10%, decision 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 76%, submission 13%, decision 11%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 66%, submission 18%, decision 16%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Nallo: 42%, against 23% for Landwehr.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60%, against 29% for Landwehr.
Gemini
Nallo: 65%, against 19% for Landwehr.
Can Nallo get the finish? Can Landwehr?
Claude
Nallo: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Landwehr: 23% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%). Landwehr: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Nallo: 65% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%). Landwehr: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Nallo is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 9%.
Gemini
Nallo is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 14%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
11%.
Gemini
16%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 69%, Landwehr 31%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 55%, Landwehr 46%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 50%, Landwehr 50%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 24% here against 7% on average for the others.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Biggest difference: Nallo by decision, 6% here against 16% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (73%).
Which model is most confident on Nallo, and which on Landwehr?
Claude
On Nallo: Gemini (73%). On Landwehr: ChatGPT and Claude, tied (34%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Nallo by decision: from 6% (ChatGPT) to 24% (Claude).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Nallo
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Nallo by KO/TKO, about 51 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Nallo 73%, Landwehr 27%.
Most likely outcomes
- Nallo by KO/TKO51%
- Landwehr by KO/TKO15%
- Nallo by submission14%
- KO/TKO: Nallo 51%, Landwehr 15%.
- Submission: Nallo 14%, Landwehr 4%.
- Decision: Nallo 8%, Landwehr 8%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Nallo: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
Claude
Nallo: 66% (about 66 in 100 fights). Landwehr: 34%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Nallo by KO/TKO: 51% (about 51 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Nallo by KO/TKO: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (15%); 3. Nallo by submission (14%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (51%); 2. Landwehr by KO/TKO (25%); 3. Nallo by submission (9%)
Claude
1. Nallo by KO/TKO (36%); 2. Nallo by decision (24%); 3. Landwehr by KO/TKO (19%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 73% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Nallo's 66% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 84%. Decision: 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 89%. Decision: 11%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
How does Nallo win?
Gemini
Nallo wins 73%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%, decision 8%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%, decision 6%.
Claude
Nallo wins 66%: KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%, decision 24%.
How does Landwehr win?
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27%: KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%, decision 8%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%, decision 5%.
Claude
Landwehr wins 34%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%, decision 11%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Nallo.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Nallo by KO/TKO in round 2. Nallo by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 66%, submission 18%, decision 16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 76%, submission 13%, decision 11%.
Claude
KO/TKO 55%, submission 10%, decision 35%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Nallo: 65%, against 19% for Landwehr.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60%, against 29% for Landwehr.
Claude
Nallo: 42%, against 23% for Landwehr.
Can Nallo get the finish? Can Landwehr?
Gemini
Nallo: 65% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 14%). Landwehr: 19% (KO/TKO 15%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo: 60% (KO/TKO 51%, submission 9%). Landwehr: 29% (KO/TKO 25%, submission 4%).
Claude
Nallo: 42% (KO/TKO 36%, submission 6%). Landwehr: 23% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Nallo is knocked out in 15% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 14%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Nallo is knocked out in 25% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 51% and submitted in 9%.
Claude
Nallo is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 4%. Landwehr is knocked out in 36% and submitted in 6%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
Claude
Lopsided: 66% vs 34%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Landwehr wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Landwehr wins 34% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
16%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
11%.
Claude
35%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 50%, Landwehr 50%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 55%, Landwehr 46%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Nallo 69%, Landwehr 31%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (73%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Claude
Of 73 analyst picks, 62 back Nallo and 11 back Landwehr. This model picks Nallo (66%).
Which model is most confident on Nallo, and which on Landwehr?
Gemini
On Nallo: Gemini (73%). On Landwehr: ChatGPT and Claude, tied (34%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Nallo by decision: from 6% (ChatGPT) to 24% (Claude).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
71%
Mandel Nallo
29%
Nate Landwehr
Favoured: Nallo (71%) Called it
Nallo defeats Landwehr · KO/TKO R2
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