The MMA Gambling Podcast is part of the Sports Gambling Podcast Network. Jeff “Chalkx” Fox and Daniel “Gumby” Vreeland host its weekly MMA betting analysis.
Scorecard
Called 3 of 7 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
3 of 7 — 43% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Underdog
1 of 2 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Method — No method callsRound — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Buckley vs. Malott 2 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Buckley vs. Malott
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 40.0%. Anheliger · to win | Koslow · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA Gambling Podcast selects Chad Anheliger. “so yeah Chad and Heller definitely the pick” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.0% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.8%. You · to win | You · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
The MMA Gambling Podcast selects SuYoung You. “yeah I'm gonna go underdog straight out the gate i'm gonna take Suyong you” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Daukaus · to win | Barriault · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Both co-hosts select Kyle Daukaus over Marc-Andre Barriault. “both have Daukaus” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.6%. Nallo · to win | Nallo · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both co-hosts select Mandel Nallo over Nate Landwehr. “we both have Nallo” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.2%. Diniz · to win | Boser · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Both MMA Gambling Podcast hosts select the fighter captioned as “Denise” over Tanner Boser; the official UFC card confirms this is Jhonata Diniz. “both have Denise” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.4%. Croden · to win | Chandler · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Both MMA Gambling Podcast hosts select the Canadian fighter captioned as “Croin.” One host says the roughly 3-to-1 line is not a good bet but explicitly maintains the pick; the official UFC card identifies her as Melissa Croden. “I'm going with the Canadian Croin. I think she's better everywhere.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Costa · to win | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts land on Costa. They see Durden's gritty wrestling as the main danger, but think Costa has the sharper striking, enough submission threat to punish bad entries, and the power/speed edge if the fight stays upright. “Yeah, I'm going with Aleandro Costa.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind MMA Gambling Podcast's logged calls.
Watch all of MMA Gambling Podcast's video picks in the library