UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott  17 Oct 2026 · Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, CA

Marc-Andre Barriault defeats Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO

Win Marc-Andre Barriault 18-11-0
Loss Kyle Daukaus 17-6-0
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 4:28

Barriault vs Daukaus — Middleweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Daukaus took Barriault down and attacked from his back. Barriault escaped to his feet, hurt Daukaus with elbows and a knee, then finished with ground strikes.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Barriault

UFC lists Barriault at 17-11-0 with 11 knockout wins and gives him 5.65 significant strikes landed per minute; his recent ledger includes decision losses to Michał Oleksiejczuk and Sharabutdin Magomedov. He needs to keep exchanges upright, but his 49% striking defense is a real risk: Daukaus, best known as a submission finisher, still knocked out Michel Pereira in 43 seconds on his UFC return in August 2025.

Case for Daukaus

Daukaus is 17-5, per UFC, with 12 submission wins, and won six straight before a first-round TKO loss to Bo Nickal, including a 50-second D'Arce choke of Gerald Meerschaert. His 1.97 takedowns and 1.97 submission attempts per 15 minutes make grappling pressure a concrete way to interrupt Barriault's high-volume striking.

What We Were Watching For

  • Can Daukaus get the fight to his 1.97 takedowns-per-15-minutes game before Barriault builds volume?
  • Does Barriault's 5.65 significant strikes per minute exploit Daukaus's 42% striking defense?
  • Will Daukaus's submission attempts create a threat after the Nickal stoppage loss?
Records & career stats
Barriault vs Daukaus
Barriault Daukaus
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 5.65 3.16
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 49% 42%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 5.94 2.94
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 68% 79%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 72% 82%
17-11-0
Record
17-5-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Not published
Canada
Nationality
United States
36
Age
33
6′1″185 cm
Height — Daukaus leads
6′3″191 cm
73″185 cm
Reach — Daukaus leads
76″193 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
72%
Finish rateFinish % — Daukaus leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
82%
12
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Barriault leads
2
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Daukaus leads
12
5.65
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Barriault leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.16
5.94
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Daukaus leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.94
49%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Barriault leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
42%
68%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Daukaus leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
79%
10:21
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:37
Kill Cliff FC
Team
Marquez MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)
HighlightsSource unavailable The 50-Second D'Arce Playback is not enabled until a verified source is available.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Gabriel Sheehan
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Marc-Andre Barriault by KO/TKO.

“Marc-Andre Barriault to win by TKO”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 76.9% (10 hit, 3 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
Livid Larry MMA
Hear it — 21:29 Livid Larry MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Barriault's sustained pace, volume, and ability to create a rough fight to trouble Daukaus.

“Barrio by decision or late rounds TKO is going to be my official prediction.”

Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 131:37 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Picks Marc-André Barriault, saying a straight right could hurt Kyle Daukaus and put him away.

“you know Mark Andre isn't the guy he used to be but you know if he just throws a fucking right hand down the middle he probably just hurt this goofy and fucking put him away”

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
Tim Edwards
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Edwards expects Marc-Andre Barriault’s striking to trouble Kyle Daukaus and potentially force an early stoppage; he does not specify the finish type.

Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
Kunath
Hear it — 10:31 Kunath on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Barriault’s strength and gritty clinch pressure to trouble Daukaus if Barriault survives early danger, and predicts a knockout/TKO finish.

“I'm going to take Marc-André Barriault. I think he ends up winning by knockout. I think he gets a nice TKO finish.”

Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).

View full track record (65 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 27:11 TonyHasDiedMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Marc-André Barriault by first-round knockout.

“I'm going to go with Mark Andre Barrier to get this one done by knockout. Honestly, in round one.”

Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).

View full track record (53 calls)
Locked Door MMA
Hear it — 37:43 Locked Door MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

They favor Barriault’s pressure and power, and question Daukaus’s ability to defend takedowns or recover from his back.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).

View full track record (19 calls)
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Barriault as Nick Kalikas’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
Matthew Petela
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Marc-Andre Barriault

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Matthew Petela selects Marc-Andre Barriault to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

FightIQ predicts Kyle Daukaus at 75% confidence (page metadata: modified 2026-10-14T13:03:54Z).

“We predict Kyle Daukaus — 75% confident”

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 24:59 Gemini YouTube analysisJimbo Ortega MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA leans toward Kyle Daukaus by knockout in a fight he describes as close to 50-50.

“I'll go Dockus by KO Think Barol is like at the end of his career”

* He does not trust either fighter and calls it a 50-50 fight.

Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).

View full track record (56 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 50:11 Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Lock of the Night on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“So I'm going to go Dawis And I'm going to say Dawis by club and sub”

Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).

View full track record (126 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 46:58 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

AJ's final pick is Daukaus despite his stated chin concerns and a coin flip favoring Barriault; he prefers Daukaus's boxing and offense.

“I'm going to stick with Kyle Dawkins.”

Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).

View full track record (264 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 37:52 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

JakeGerberMMA leans toward Kyle Daukaus and later predicts a submission after a possible knockdown on the feet.

“I'm going to lean Kyle Dawkins here.”

* Auto-captions render Daukaus as “Dawkins”; “Dar Knight” and the official bout roster identify Kyle Daukaus. No round is specified.

Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).

View full track record (154 calls)
Fite Feed
Hear it — 17:17 Fite Feed on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The speaker expects Daukaus to find a submission if the fight reaches the floor, while expressing low confidence.

“I'm going to go Kyle Daukaus by way of a sub, but don't I don't feel super confident.”

Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).

View full track record (37 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 17:23 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He selects Kyle Daukaus and calls a first-round finish using the phrase “club and sub”; the exact finish type is not classified.

“Give me Kyle Dawkins because I'll say he wins this fight by first round club and sub.”

* The source says “club and sub”; the winner and round are clear, but the finish type is not recorded.

Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).

View full track record (173 calls)
138 MMA
Hear it — 22:18 138 MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

138 MMA picks Kyle Daukaus; the source says he may finish but names both knockout and submission as possibilities, so no method is recorded.

“So, I've got to go Kyle Dawis.”

Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Mate Bersenadze
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Kyle Daukaus by submission.

“Kyle Daukaus over Marc-Andre Barriault by submission”

Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).

View full track record (52 calls)
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Drake Burden selects Kyle Daukaus to win.

Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).

View full track record (98 calls)
MMA JOEY
Hear it — 19:33 MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He cites Daukaus as the more active fighter and predicts a 30–27 decision.

“I'm going to go Kyle Daukaus to get it done. I'll say 30-27 decision win.”

Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).

View full track record (125 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 16:56 Gemini YouTube analysisHopperMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“I'm going to go Kyle Dawkins to submit Mark Andre Bario in the first round”

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
James Lynch
Read sourceJames Lynch on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Daukaus as James Lynch’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).

View full track record (59 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 27:12 James Blissett on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

James calls the bout close but leans Kyle Daukaus for his early striking and grappling upside, then selects him by decision. The caption transcript garbles Daukaus’s name in the final line.

“I'll say gets the fight done via decision.”

Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).

View full track record (79 calls)
Garrett Kerman
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Kerman selects Kyle Daukaus, expecting his grappling and submission threat to take over against Marc-Andre Barriault.

“Pick: Kyle Daukaus”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).

View full track record (33 calls)
Combat Edge Model
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Combat Edge Model selects Kyle Daukaus as its strong model lean (76%) against Marc-André Barriault. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).

View full track record (20 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 16:26 Gemini YouTube analysisMMA Mathletes on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMA Mathletes selects Kyle Daukaus; no method is stated in the supporting quote.

“I have Kyle Dhouse”

Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Fight Genie (Claude)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Fight Genie Claude selects Kyle Daukaus over Marc-Andre Barriault by submission in round 2. Daukaus’s submission game targets Barriault’s defensive gaps, although Daukaus’s durability and Barriault’s pressure are concerns. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Kyle Daukaus; no round is stated.

Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 15:25 KingofCrackdown5095 on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Daukaus to use distance striking and takedowns to slow Barriault's pressure and earn a decision.

“and beat him by decision. So, in this one I got Kyle Daukaus via decision.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).

View full track record (63 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 36:15 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“so I am gonna pick Kyle Dawkins here and not the 37year-old who hasn't been winning lately”

* States he is picking Kyle but explicitly will not bet on him.

Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).

View full track record (50 calls)
Artem MMA
Hear it — 27:41 Artem MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Artem sees Barriault’s pressure and dirty boxing as a stylistic challenge for Daukaus. However, he believes Barriault is now too slow and too old to impose that game, while Daukaus has shown enough power and toughness to put pressure back on him. He picks Daukaus by knockout.

Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).

View full track record (95 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Litterine explicitly selects Kyle Daukaus; the article gives no method or round for this matchup.

“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Daukaus”

Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).

View full track record (124 calls)
BetSam
Hear it — 17:17 BetSam on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Daukaus's speed, length and durability to prevail if he attacks immediately rather than allowing Barriault to build pressure.

Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).

View full track record (39 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Andrew Richardson picks Kyle Daukaus to prevent Marc-Andre Barriault from pressing him into the clinch and winning by decision.

“Prediction: Daukaus via decision”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 29:42 Gemini YouTube analysisFight Productions on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“With that being said I do think Dawis whether it's on the feet mixing in the grappling I think he's going to be able to win a decision here so that is going to be my pick”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).

View full track record (66 calls)
Fight Genie (GPT)
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Fight Genie GPT selects Kyle Daukaus over Marc-Andre Barriault by submission in round 2. Daukaus’s higher takedown and submission rates provide his clearest route, while Barriault’s striking and takedown defense create risk. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
MMA.SOCIAL
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMA.SOCIAL selects Kyle Daukaus by decision; no round is stated.

“Daukaus by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).

View full track record (27 calls)
Clenbat
Hear it — 17:35 Clenbat on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The speaker favors Daukaus's youth and power against Barriault's decline and lack of recent wins.

“but I'll pick against him for the reasons that I just mentioned, man.”

Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).

View full track record (49 calls)
Kasper MMA
Hear it — 7:58 Kasper MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Barriault's aggressive pressure to create opportunities for Daukaus's submission grappling and front headlock attacks.

“So I'm picking Dawas to win by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).

View full track record (42 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Chris Schweppe picks Kyle Daukaus by first-round knockout.

Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).

View full track record (99 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Shelton picks Daukaus and describes wrestling into submission or ground-and-pound TKO as possible routes, without selecting one method.

“For my parlay at UFC Edmonton, I'm taking Katlyn Cerminara and Kyle Daukaus to get their hands raised.”

Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).

View full track record (116 calls)
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Daukaus as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 33:32 Gemini YouTube analysisThe MMA Yuda on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“I'm going to pick Kyle Dawis to win this fight”

Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).

View full track record (58 calls)
Steve Garcia
Hear it — 35:19 Gemini YouTube analysisSteve Garcia on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

“I got to go with Kyle Dawkins i think this is this is his fight he gets back on track”

Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.7% (15 hit, 14 miss, across 29 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 29 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 29 resolved calls).

View full track record (29 calls)
Andy Lang
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Andy Lang names Kyle Daukaus as the pick; his separate under-rounds wager is not a winner method or round call.

“Daukaus is the pick.”

Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).

View full track record (35 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 50:02 Greedo Plays MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Greedo selects Kyle Daukaus over Marc-André Barriault and predicts a first-round knockout; the captions misrecognize both names.

“going to be Kyle Dawkins first round knockout victory.”

Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).

View full track record (72 calls)
Bookie Beatdown
Hear it — 121:46 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

In its closing recap of picks, Bookie Beatdown names Kyle Daukaus; the captions render his surname phonetically. The full-card order and matchup context identify the bout.

“Kyle Dokus”

Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)
Walk The Line MMA
Hear it — 44:35 Walk The Line MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Teller backs Daukaus's size, boxing and high-level jiu-jitsu against Barriault's defensive openings. He expects a finish if Daukaus arrives sharp and confident after his recent loss. He considers both a submission and a striking stoppage, then selects TKO while acknowledging the method is a coin flip.

* He conditions the finish on Daukaus arriving sharp and confident; TKO is his selected method, with submission also possible.

Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
mmadbm
Hear it — 20:16 mmadbm on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Dec

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He favors Daukaus's length, versatility, clinch work and opportunistic grappling against Barriault.

“I am going Kyle Dawkins by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).

View full track record (41 calls)
Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Kyle Daukaus.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kyle Daukaus (-205)”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
Bert MMA
Hear it — 26:06 Bert MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Bert MMA sees Kyle Daukaus hurting Marc-André Barriault early and following up on the ground, selecting a first-round TKO. He thinks Barriault’s pressure and cardio can become increasingly effective in rounds two and three if he survives and Daukaus cannot establish sustained wrestling or grappling.

* His early-finish pick comes with a strong warning that Barriault remains live later if he survives the opening round.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
Zain Bando
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Daukaus as Zain Bando’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
MMA JAWN
Hear it — 12:20 MMA JAWN on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMA JAWN leans Daukaus, citing his grappling and takedown path, and predicts a submission.

“So give me Kyle Dawkins to get it done via sub.”

Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).

View full track record (34 calls)
Uselyis
Hear it — 14:52 Uselyis on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The speaker highlights Daukaus's punching power and considers the matchup winnable despite his defensive vulnerabilities.

“But I'm going to go Dawis by KO. Let's go Dawis by KO.”

Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).

View full track record (54 calls)
Adam Martin
Hear it — 21:45

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Adam Martin picks Kyle Daukaus by first-round knockout.

Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
Marcel Dorff
Hear it — 21:50

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Marcel Dorff agrees with the Kyle Daukaus first-round knockout pick.

Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
Drew Beaupre
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Daukaus.

“Pick: Daukaus”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).

View full track record (24 calls)
FightStudy
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

FightStudy selects Daukaus by Submission in round 2.

“Prediction: Daukaus by SUB R2”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).

View full track record (24 calls)
The Sports Scientist
Hear it — 26:26 The Sports Scientist on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

He expects Daukaus to take Barriault down and exploit his advantage on the ground.

“but I like Kyle Dawkins to win here by submission.”

Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).

View full track record (22 calls)
Andrew Sumian
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Andrew Sumian selects Kyle Daukaus to win.

Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).

View full track record (40 calls)
Brandon K
Hear it — 42:42 Brandon K on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Brandon K selects Kyle Daukaus by Submission.

““Dus for the win there by submission.””

Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).

View full track record (45 calls)
BennyPMMA
Hear it — 11:35 BennyPMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

BennyPMMA selects Kyle Daukaus by Submission.

“Dawkins club and submission”

Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).

View full track record (21 calls)
MMA Gambling Podcast
Hear it — 27:50 MMA Gambling Podcast on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Both co-hosts select Kyle Daukaus over Marc-Andre Barriault.

“both have Daukaus”

Track record: winner called in 3 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).

View full track record (7 calls)
Lightning MMA
Hear it — 2:07 Lightning MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The speaker expects Daukaus to finish quickly while acknowledging Barriault has a chance.

“We got to go with Daukaus by first round knockout.”

Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).

View full track record (26 calls)
The Lab Analytics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The Lab Analytics selects Kyle Daukaus at 69.0% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).

View full track record (25 calls)
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Daukaus as Chris White’s winner.

Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).

View full track record (48 calls)
Alexander K. Lee
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Alexander K. Lee selects Daukaus by submission in round 1.

“Pick: Daukaus”

Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).

View full track record (36 calls)
AI Sports Metrics
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Kyle Daukaus as its AI/model pick against Marc-Andre Barriault. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).

View full track record (13 calls)
FunkyBunch MMA
Hear it — 8:02 FunkyBunch MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · Sub

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

The speaker favors Daukaus's improved striking, athleticism, and superior ground skills against Barriault.

“So the pick is going to be Daukaus,”

Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).

View full track record (15 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Kyle Daukaus as its AI/model pick against Marc-Andre Barriault. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)
Dalius Mikalauskas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Dalius Mikalauskas selects Kyle Daukaus to win, citing Daukaus’s submission ability and potential to capitalize on Marc-Andre Barriault’s grappling errors.

“Kyle Daukaus to win at 1.50 is the shortest-priced selection of the three.”

Track record: winner called in 1 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).

View full track record (5 calls)
Maiden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kyle Daukaus · KO/TKO

Fight result: Marc-Andre Barriault · KO/TKO

Maiden selects Kyle Daukaus by KO/TKO; no round is stated.

“Maiden picks Kyle Daukaus (62%) by KO/TKO over Marc-Andre Barriault.”

Track record: winner called in 0 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).

View full track record (5 calls)

Analyst picks: Gabriel Sheehan Hit; FightIQ Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Fite Feed Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; 138 MMA Miss; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Drake Burden Miss; Livid Larry MMA Hit; MMA JOEY Miss; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Miss; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Miss; Combat Edge Model Miss; Jacob Lines Hit; MMA Mathletes Miss; Fight Genie (Claude) Miss; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Miss; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; BetSam Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Fight Productions Miss; Fight Genie (GPT) Miss; MMA.SOCIAL Miss; Clenbat Miss; Kasper MMA Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Locked Door MMA Hit; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Miss; Steve Garcia Miss; Andy Lang Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Walk The Line MMA Miss; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Hit; Guy Bruhn Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Zain Bando Miss; MMA JAWN Miss; Uselyis Miss; Adam Martin Miss; Marcel Dorff Miss; Drew Beaupre Miss; FightStudy Miss; The Sports Scientist Miss; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; Brandon K Miss; BennyPMMA Miss; MMA Gambling Podcast Miss; Lightning MMA Miss; The Lab Analytics Miss; Chris White Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; AI Sports Metrics Miss; FunkyBunch MMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss; Dalius Mikalauskas Miss; Maiden Miss.

Only 9 of 72 called the upset.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Barriault · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability Claude put 57% on Barriault.

ChatGPTForecast: 63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
38% Barriault
62% Daukaus
PickDaukaus · Submission · R2ActualBarriault · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
ClaudeForecast: 61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
57% Barriault
43% Daukaus
PickBarriault · KO/TKO · R2ActualBarriault · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissSportsbook underdogHitSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a hit.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, hit
GeminiForecast: 68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
37% Barriault
63% Daukaus
PickDaukaus · Submission · R1ActualBarriault · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight callsFrozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.

AI Predictions

Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.

  • ChatGPT

    63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Daukaus

    Most likely: Daukaus by submission, about 27 in 100

    Win chance: Barriault 38%, Daukaus 62%.

    gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct

    Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

  • Claude

    61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

    Pick Barriault

    Most likely: Barriault by KO/TKO, about 35 in 100

    Win chance: Barriault 57%, Daukaus 43%.

    claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct

    Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

  • Gemini

    68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

    Pick Daukaus

    Most likely: Daukaus by submission, about 27 in 100

    Win chance: Barriault 37%, Daukaus 63%.

    Version not reported · 15 Oct

    Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

1 of 3 models pick Barriault; 2 of 3 models pick Daukaus.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Barriault: 38%.

  • Claude

    Barriault: 57% (about 57 in 100 fights). Daukaus: 43%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Barriault: 37%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Claude

    Barriault by KO/TKO: 35% (about 35 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Barriault by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Daukaus by decision (21%)

  • Claude

    1. Barriault by KO/TKO (35%); 2. Barriault by decision (19%); 2. Daukaus by submission (19%)

  • Gemini

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Daukaus by decision (24%); 3. Barriault by KO/TKO (19%)

How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 62% win chance.

  • Claude

    6 of 10, based on Barriault's 57% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 63% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 63%. Decision: 37%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

How does Barriault win?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%, decision 16%.

  • Claude

    Barriault wins 57%: KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%, decision 19%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 16%.

How does Daukaus win?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus wins 62%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%, decision 21%.

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%, decision 16%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus wins 63%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%, decision 24%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • All models

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Daukaus, Claude: Barriault, Gemini: Daukaus).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

  • Claude

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

  • Gemini

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 35%, submission 28%, decision 37%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 22%, decision 35%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 31%, submission 29%, decision 40%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 41%, against 22% for Barriault.

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38%, against 27% for Daukaus.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 39%, against 21% for Barriault.

Can Barriault get the finish? Can Daukaus?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault: 22% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%). Daukaus: 41% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%).

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38% (KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%). Daukaus: 27% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%).

  • Gemini

    Barriault: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%). Daukaus: 39% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 1%.

  • Claude

    Barriault is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 19%. Daukaus is knocked out in 35% and submitted in 3%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.

  • Claude

    A clear favourite: 57% vs 43%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    37%.

  • Claude

    35%.

  • Gemini

    40%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 43%, Daukaus 57%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 54%, Daukaus 46%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 40%, Daukaus 60%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (62%).

  • Claude

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Barriault (57%).

  • Gemini

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (63%).

Which model is most confident on Barriault, and which on Daukaus?

  • All models

    On Barriault: Claude (57%). On Daukaus: Gemini (63%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • All models

    Yes.

ChatGPT

Pick

Daukaus

Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Daukaus by submission, about 27 in 100

The model's predicted finish round: 2.

Win chance: Barriault 38%, Daukaus 62%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Daukaus by submission27%
  2. Barriault by KO/TKO, tied for number 221%
  3. Daukaus by decision, tied for number 221%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Barriault 21%, Daukaus 14%.
  2. Submission: Barriault 1%, Daukaus 27%.
  3. Decision: Barriault 16%, Daukaus 21%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Barriault: 38%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault: 57% (about 57 in 100 fights). Daukaus: 43%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Barriault: 37%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault by KO/TKO: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • ChatGPT

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Barriault by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Daukaus by decision (21%)

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    1. Barriault by KO/TKO (35%); 2. Barriault by decision (19%); 2. Daukaus by submission (19%)

  • Gemini

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Daukaus by decision (24%); 3. Barriault by KO/TKO (19%)

How confident is the model?

  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 62% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    6 of 10, based on Barriault's 57% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 63% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 63%. Decision: 37%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

How does Barriault win?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%, decision 16%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault wins 57%: KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%, decision 19%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 16%.

How does Daukaus win?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus wins 62%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%, decision 21%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%, decision 16%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus wins 63%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%, decision 24%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • ChatGPT

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Daukaus, Claude: Barriault, Gemini: Daukaus).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

  • Gemini

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 35%, submission 28%, decision 37%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 22%, decision 35%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 31%, submission 29%, decision 40%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 41%, against 22% for Barriault.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38%, against 27% for Daukaus.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 39%, against 21% for Barriault.

Can Barriault get the finish? Can Daukaus?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault: 22% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%). Daukaus: 41% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38% (KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%). Daukaus: 27% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%).

  • Gemini

    Barriault: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%). Daukaus: 39% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 1%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 19%. Daukaus is knocked out in 35% and submitted in 3%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    A clear favourite: 57% vs 43%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • ChatGPT

    37%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    35%.

  • Gemini

    40%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 43%, Daukaus 57%.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 54%, Daukaus 46%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 40%, Daukaus 60%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • ChatGPT

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (62%).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Barriault (57%).

  • Gemini

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (63%).

Which model is most confident on Barriault, and which on Daukaus?

  • ChatGPT

    On Barriault: Claude (57%). On Daukaus: Gemini (63%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • ChatGPT

    Yes.

gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Barriault

Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Barriault by KO/TKO, about 35 in 100

The model's predicted finish round: 2.

Win chance: Barriault 57%, Daukaus 43%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Barriault by KO/TKO35%
  2. Barriault by decision, tied for number 219%
  3. Daukaus by submission, tied for number 219%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Barriault 35%, Daukaus 8%.
  2. Submission: Barriault 3%, Daukaus 19%.
  3. Decision: Barriault 19%, Daukaus 16%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Claude

    Barriault: 57% (about 57 in 100 fights). Daukaus: 43%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Barriault: 38%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Barriault: 37%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Claude

    Barriault by KO/TKO: 35% (about 35 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

  • Gemini

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Claude

    1. Barriault by KO/TKO (35%); 2. Barriault by decision (19%); 2. Daukaus by submission (19%)

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Barriault by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Daukaus by decision (21%)

  • Gemini

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Daukaus by decision (24%); 3. Barriault by KO/TKO (19%)

How confident is the model?

  • Claude

    6 of 10, based on Barriault's 57% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 62% win chance.

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 63% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 63%. Decision: 37%.

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

How does Barriault win?

  • Claude

    Barriault wins 57%: KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%, decision 19%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%, decision 16%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 16%.

How does Daukaus win?

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%, decision 16%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus wins 62%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%, decision 21%.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus wins 63%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%, decision 24%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Claude

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Daukaus, Claude: Barriault, Gemini: Daukaus).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Claude

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

  • Gemini

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 22%, decision 35%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 35%, submission 28%, decision 37%.

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 31%, submission 29%, decision 40%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38%, against 27% for Daukaus.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 41%, against 22% for Barriault.

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 39%, against 21% for Barriault.

Can Barriault get the finish? Can Daukaus?

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38% (KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%). Daukaus: 27% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault: 22% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%). Daukaus: 41% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%).

  • Gemini

    Barriault: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%). Daukaus: 39% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Claude

    Barriault is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 19%. Daukaus is knocked out in 35% and submitted in 3%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 1%.

  • Gemini

    Barriault is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Claude

    A clear favourite: 57% vs 43%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Claude

    35%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    37%.

  • Gemini

    40%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 54%, Daukaus 46%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 43%, Daukaus 57%.

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 40%, Daukaus 60%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Claude

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Barriault (57%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (62%).

  • Gemini

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (63%).

Which model is most confident on Barriault, and which on Daukaus?

  • Claude

    On Barriault: Claude (57%). On Daukaus: Gemini (63%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Claude

    Yes.

claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Daukaus

Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium

Most likely: Daukaus by submission, about 27 in 100

The model's predicted finish round: 1.

Win chance: Barriault 37%, Daukaus 63%.

Most likely outcomes

  1. Daukaus by submission27%
  2. Daukaus by decision24%
  3. Barriault by KO/TKO19%
How it ends
  1. KO/TKO: Barriault 19%, Daukaus 12%.
  2. Submission: Barriault 2%, Daukaus 27%.
  3. Decision: Barriault 16%, Daukaus 24%.

Questions

The result 7 questions

Who wins, and how likely?

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 63% (about 63 in 100 fights). Barriault: 37%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 62% (about 62 in 100 fights). Barriault: 38%.

  • Claude

    Barriault: 57% (about 57 in 100 fights). Daukaus: 43%.

What is the single most likely outcome?

  • Gemini

    Daukaus by submission: 27% (about 27 in 100).

Other models' answers

  • Claude

    Barriault by KO/TKO: 35% (about 35 in 100).

What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?

  • Gemini

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Daukaus by decision (24%); 3. Barriault by KO/TKO (19%)

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    1. Daukaus by submission (27%); 2. Barriault by KO/TKO (21%); 2. Daukaus by decision (21%)

  • Claude

    1. Barriault by KO/TKO (35%); 2. Barriault by decision (19%); 2. Daukaus by submission (19%)

How confident is the model?

  • Gemini

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 63% win chance.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    6 of 10, based on Daukaus's 62% win chance.

  • Claude

    6 of 10, based on Barriault's 57% win chance.

Does it end early or go to the judges?

  • Gemini

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 63%. Decision: 37%.

  • Claude

    Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.

How does Barriault win?

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37%: KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%, decision 16%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38%: KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%, decision 16%.

  • Claude

    Barriault wins 57%: KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%, decision 19%.

How does Daukaus win?

  • Gemini

    Daukaus wins 63%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%, decision 24%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus wins 62%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%, decision 21%.

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%, decision 16%.

Compared with others 1 question

Do the models agree?

  • Gemini

    The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Daukaus, Claude: Barriault, Gemini: Daukaus).

After the fight 1 question

What happened vs what the model said?

  • Gemini

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's number 3 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Daukaus by submission (27%).

  • Claude

    Result: Barriault by KO/TKO in round 1. Barriault by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.

More questions (15)

The result 6 questions

KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall

  • Gemini

    KO/TKO 31%, submission 29%, decision 40%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    KO/TKO 35%, submission 28%, decision 37%.

  • Claude

    KO/TKO 43%, submission 22%, decision 35%.

Who is more likely to finish the other?

  • Gemini

    Daukaus: 39%, against 21% for Barriault.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Daukaus: 41%, against 22% for Barriault.

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38%, against 27% for Daukaus.

Can Barriault get the finish? Can Daukaus?

  • Gemini

    Barriault: 21% (KO/TKO 19%, submission 2%). Daukaus: 39% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 27%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault: 22% (KO/TKO 21%, submission 1%). Daukaus: 41% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 27%).

  • Claude

    Barriault: 38% (KO/TKO 35%, submission 3%). Daukaus: 27% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 19%).

Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?

  • Gemini

    Barriault is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 19% and submitted in 2%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 27%. Daukaus is knocked out in 21% and submitted in 1%.

  • Claude

    Barriault is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 19%. Daukaus is knocked out in 35% and submitted in 3%.

How lopsided is this fight?

  • Gemini

    Lopsided: 63% vs 37%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    A clear favourite: 62% vs 38%.

  • Claude

    A clear favourite: 57% vs 43%.

How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?

  • Gemini

    Barriault wins 37% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Barriault wins 38% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.

  • Claude

    Daukaus wins 43% (about 1 in 2 fights): a modest upset.

Timing 1 question

Chance it goes to a decision

  • Gemini

    40%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    37%.

  • Claude

    35%.

What if 1 question

If it goes to the judges, who wins?

  • Gemini

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 40%, Daukaus 60%.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 43%, Daukaus 57%.

  • Claude

    If it goes to the judges: Barriault 54%, Daukaus 46%.

Compared with others 2 questions

How does it compare with analyst picks?

  • Gemini

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (63%).

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Daukaus (62%).

  • Claude

    Of 72 analyst picks, 9 back Barriault and 63 back Daukaus. This model picks Barriault (57%).

Which model is most confident on Barriault, and which on Daukaus?

  • Gemini

    On Barriault: Claude (57%). On Daukaus: Gemini (63%).

How sure 4 questions

When was this forecast made, and by which model version?

  • Gemini

    On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.

Other models' answers

  • ChatGPT

    On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.

  • Claude

    On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.

What can't the model know?

  • FightCard

    Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.

How is "confidence" worked out?

  • FightCard

    Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.

What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?

  • FightCard

    KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.

After the fight 1 question

Was the actual result in this model's top 3?

  • Gemini

    Yes.

Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Market Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 6 sportsbooks

36% Marc-Andre Barriault
64% Kyle Daukaus

Favoured: Daukaus (64%) Upset

Barriault defeats Daukaus · KO/TKO R1

Final pre-fight line · as of 17 Oct 23:29 UTC · 6 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.