Main event energy 😤@NewMansa94 vs @Michael_Malott [ #UFCEdmonton | LIVE OCT 17 at 8pmET on @ParamountPlus ]
View video on X ↗UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Mike Malott defeats Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · knee
Round 2 · 2:32
Buckley vs Malott — Welterweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(40) 49%
51% (42)
AI Predictions
55%
45%
Market Odds
46%
54%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Neither fighter took clear control of the quiet opening round. As Buckley dipped forward in the second, Malott caught his chin with a knee.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Buckley
Buckley is 21-8, per UFC, with 15 knockout wins, but he comes off back-to-back unanimous decision losses to Sean Brady and Kamaru Usman. His 3.62 significant strikes landed per minute and 70% takedown defense make keeping this five-round fight at striking range central to his rebound case.
Case for Malott
Malott is 14-2-1, per UFC, and enters on a four-fight winning streak, most recently a third-round TKO of Gilbert Burns after a decision over Kevin Holland and a 26-second knockout of Charles Radtke. His six UFC-listed knockouts and six submissions give him a credible finish threat whether Buckley holds range or the fight gets close.
What We Were Watching For
- Can Malott's 1.63 takedowns per 15 minutes put Buckley's 70% takedown defense under pressure?
- Does Buckley re-establish the striking output that preceded his losses to Brady and Usman?
- Can Malott extend his four-fight winning streak against the No. 10-ranked Buckley over five rounds?
Records & career stats
- 3.62 4.02
- 59% 56%
- 3.1 3.09
- 70% 57%
- 71% 87%
- 21-8-0
- Record
- 14-2-1
- Not published
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Source pending
- United States
- Nationality
- Canada
- 32
- Age
- 34
- Source pending
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Source pending
- 11:45
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:12
- STL Boxing
- Team
- Niagara Top Team
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
After the fight
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(40) 49%
LBuckley
51% (42)
MalottW
Travis Herrick MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Travis Herrick selects Joaquin Buckley, citing his power, experience, and aggressive style; he sees a TKO as the likeliest result but allows a decision.
“I'm going to give this one to Buckley. I think he gets it done by TKO. There's a chance it goes to a decision, and I think Buckley has the more proven and better cardio and better five-round experience, so I could see him getting a decision win if need be. But either way, I got Buckley winning this one.”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (7 hit, 3 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA leans toward Joaquin Buckley, while noting low confidence and that he may change the pick later in the week.
“I'm going to go Buckley I guess Pretty low confidence”
* The analyst says he may change the pick by the end of the week on Twitter.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
MMA Lock of the Night
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“final prediction here is going to be Join Buckley by knockout”
Track record: winner called in 85 of 126 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.5% (85 hit, 41 miss, across 126 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 59.5% (25 hit, 17 miss, across 42 method-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 126 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 126 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.5% 85 41
- Method Accuracy 59.5% 25 17
- Round Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
AJ Devito
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
AJ backs Buckley's power, explosiveness, and takedown defense, with a knockout as the official pick.
“So I'm going to go Walk Buckley to win by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He backs Buckley's cardio and history of late-fight surges over five rounds, predicting a late-round knockout.
“predicting a late rounds KO for Buckley officially in this one, guys.”
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
HopperMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“Um but I am gonna go with Bley I'm going with the book to KO Mike Mallet”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
After weighing Malott’s early finishing threat, James predicts Buckley will take over late and win by knockout, perhaps in round four or five.
“I will predict a Buckley knockout in this fight. And I'll predict it in a later round, maybe round four, round five.”
Track record: winner called in 48 of 79 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.8% (48 hit, 31 miss, across 79 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 54.2% (26 hit, 22 miss, across 48 method-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 79 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 41.2% (7 hit, 10 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 79 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.8% 48 31
- Method Accuracy 54.2% 26 22
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
Owen Liao
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO.
“Joaquin Buckley to win by KO/TKO”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (9 hit, 6 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
After initially selecting Malott, the channel later settles on Buckley for the upset.
“we can definitely do Wee Buckley for the upset”
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Joaquin Buckley; no round is stated.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Danny Howard
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Danny Howard selects Joaquin Buckley, reasoning that Mike Malott is not as strong a wrestler as Buckley’s recent opponents and that Buckley has the advantage if the fight stays standing.
“Joaquin Buckley is my pick.”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 12 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“i gotta go Buckley here i have to do it i think Buckley's going to win this fight i think he literally will just do more”
* Predicts a 4-1 or 3-2 decision if it goes to the scorecards.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Artem thinks the five-round format, Buckley’s power and his ability to pressure with boxing combinations favor Buckley. He acknowledges Malott’s technical advantages and improved pacing, but expects Buckley’s speed and power to find Malott’s chin. He picks Buckley by knockout with limited confidence.
“So, I'm picking Buckley. Picking Buckley by knockout. Not very confident in it, don't get me wrong.”
* He says he is not very confident in the knockout pick.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
BetSam
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He expects Buckley's conditioning and continual skill development to let him recover from takedowns and exploit Malott's tendency to tire.
“Give me walking Buckley by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.4% (22 hit, 17 miss, across 39 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 39 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 39 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.4% 22 17
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The speaker favors Buckley's striking, five-round endurance, and stronger competition history while acknowledging uncertainty about his takedown defense.
“You know what? I'm going to pick Buckley.”
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Kasper MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He expects Buckley's explosive counters and knockout power to produce a finish after competitive opening rounds, citing Malott's past cardio struggles.
“So, I'm picking Buckley to win by KO/TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.8% (23 hit, 19 miss, across 42 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.1% (11 hit, 7 miss, across 18 method-scored calls on 42 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 42 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Lou Finocchiaro
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Lou Finocchiaro expects Joaquin Buckley to keep the fight standing, arguing that Malott rarely uses his wrestling and Buckley will be difficult to ground.
“UFC Edmonton Best Bet: Joaquin Buckley +115”
Track record: winner called in 6 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (6 hit, 5 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Shakiel Mahjouri
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO · Round 4
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Shakiel Mahjouri predicts Joaquin Buckley by fourth-round knockout, expecting him to take over if the fight goes long and Mike Malott tires.
“Pick: Buckley via KO, Round 4.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 25 21
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Voice of MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“Give me Joaquin Buckley to beat Mike Malott.”
* Analyst selected lean
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Buckley as MikesMMAPicks’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.1% (25 hit, 23 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.1% 25 23
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
Andy Lang
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Andy Lang picks Joaquin Buckley in the main event; he does not specify a method or round.
“Buckley at +123 is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (18 hit, 17 miss, across 35 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 35 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 18 17
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Bookie Beatdown
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Bookie Beatdown reluctantly selects Joaquin Buckley in its Buckley–Malott breakdown. The auto-captions garble his first name; the matchup context identifies the selected corner.
“reluctantly take uh Yoke Buckley”
Track record: winner called in 23 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.1% (23 hit, 22 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.1% 23 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Sean Sheehan
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Sean Sheehan explicitly picks Joaquin Buckley, favoring his speed, outside combinations, and ability to exploit Malott’s openings. He mentions a Malott decision only as a possible betting flyer, not his selected winner.
“My prediction is going to be wacky and Buckley. There’s no doubt about that. That’s who I think will win the fight.”
Track record: winner called in 4 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 8 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
MCA PICKS
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MCA PICKS predicts Buckley, reasoning that his danger and power will remain while Malott loses pace and speed.
“vamos a tener un Joaquín Bokley que durante toda la pelea va a ser peligroso mientras que Mike Malot va a ir perdiendo potencia va a ir perdiendo ritmo va a ir perdiendo velocidad y eso va a ser que en un tercer asalto Joaquín Bockley conecte uno de esos golpes de poder y nos lo mande a dormir”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 4 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He expects Buckley's power, physicality and superior late-round cardio to pressure Malott while resisting his grappling.
“Hawking Buckley by knockout is my prediction to upset Mike Malot”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Buckley as Nick Kalikas’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.9% (23 hit, 25 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.9% 23 25
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Guy Bruhn
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Joaquin Buckley.
“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Joaquin Buckley (+110)”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.6% (10 hit, 11 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Bert MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Bert MMA doubts Mike Malott will reproduce the sustained wrestling that has troubled Joaquin Buckley and expects most of the fight to stay on the feet. He favors Buckley’s explosive entries, power and striking defense, allowing Malott one round through counters or a takedown but selecting Buckley by a 49–46 unanimous decision.
“Buckley unanimous decision in the welterweight division.”
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 55.6% (5 hit, 4 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (4 hit, 7 miss, across 11 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
MMA JAWN
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMA JAWN favors Buckley’s speed, power, takedown defense and cardio, and predicts a late knockout.
“So give me Jo King Buckley to get it done via knockout. I mean I'm gonna say probably around three or four.”
* He estimates round three or four rather than selecting a single round, so no finish round is recorded.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.1% (16 hit, 18 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.1% 16 18
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The speaker favors Buckley's five-round experience and improved takedown defense, concluding he will be too much for Malott.
“I'm going to go with Walking Buckley. I'm going to go with Buckley by KO.”
Track record: winner called in 25 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.3% (25 hit, 29 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 7 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.3% 25 29
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 7
Drew Beaupre
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Drew Beaupre explicitly selects Buckley.
“Pick: Buckley”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
The Sports Scientist
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He expects Buckley to rebound with motivated striking against Malott, whom he distinguishes from the wrestlers responsible for Buckley's recent losses.
“Canada. I'm sorry again, but your boy's getting KO'ed here.”
Track record: winner called in 10 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.5% (10 hit, 12 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 10 12
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Andrew Sumian
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Andrew Sumian selects Joaquin Buckley to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Brandon K
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Brandon K selects Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO.
““Buckley by knockout here.””
Track record: winner called in 20 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 44.4% (20 hit, 25 miss, across 45 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (6 hit, 8 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 45 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 45 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 20 25
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
The Lab Analytics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The Lab Analytics selects Joaquin Buckley at 50.6% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 25 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (10 hit, 15 miss, across 25 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 25 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Alexander K. Lee explicitly selects Buckley.
“Pick: Buckley”
Track record: winner called in 14 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.9% (14 hit, 22 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 36 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.9% 14 22
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Joshua Bell
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Joshua Bell selects Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO as a best betting play; the article gives no round.
Track record: winner called in 2 of 6 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 6 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 6 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Dalius Mikalauskas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Dalius Mikalauskas selects Joaquin Buckley to win, citing Buckley’s earlier six-fight welterweight streak and expecting his striking to trouble Mike Malott.
“Joaquin Buckley to win at 2.05 is the preferred main-event selection.”
Track record: winner called in 1 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Maiden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Maiden selects Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO; no round is stated.
“Maiden picks Joaquin Buckley (59%) by KO/TKO over Mike Malott.”
Track record: winner called in 0 of 5 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 5 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
FightIndex
Current pick evidence
Picked: Joaquin Buckley
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
FightIndex lists Joaquin Buckley as its 52% model lean in a winner-only read.
“Joaquin Buckley projects ahead at 52.0%.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 2 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Method AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Round AccuracyNo correct calls to break down yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Vitaliy Vovk
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Vitaliy Vovk selects Mike Malott by decision; no round is stated.
“Prediction: Mike Malott by decision.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 1 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Belal Muhammad
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Belal initially says he was swaying toward Buckley, then rejects that lean. He expects Malott to take Buckley down and control him, and says Malott could point the fight out if he stays disciplined. The pick remains tentative.
“I just think that I see Malott just taking him down again and controlling him on the ground.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 4 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
FightIQ predicts Mike Malott at 55% confidence (page metadata: modified 2026-10-14T13:03:54Z).
“We predict Mike Malott — 55% confident”
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
JakeGerberMMA favors Mike Malott over Joaquin Buckley by decision, expecting Malott to bank the early rounds through takedowns and control while acknowledging late gas-tank questions.
“favoring Mike Malott, early prediction. I think he wins this fight, but by a decision.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Malott to exploit Buckley’s grappling weaknesses with repeated takedowns, control, and an eventual submission.
“I'm going to go Mike Malott by way of a submission in round number three.”
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
DFS By The Numbers favors Mike Malott, citing his broader range of paths to win and the hometown advantage.
“Give me Mike Mal to win this fight and win this fight by knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
138 MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
138 MMA says the bout is a complete pass but ultimately leans toward Mike Malott to win by controlling the fight in Canada.
“But I will take Mike Malot to get this one done in Canada by being a wet blanket is my guess.”
Track record: winner called in 42 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.6% (42 hit, 24 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 43.8% (7 hit, 9 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 42 24
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 43.8% 7 9
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze explicitly predicts Mike Malott by decision.
“Prediction: Malott by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Drake Burden selects Mike Malott to win.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He says Malott is the better striker and grappler and predicts a 49–46 decision.
“So, I'm going to go Mike Malott to get it done. I'll say 49-46 decision.”
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Malott as James Lynch’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Garrett Kerman
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Garrett Kerman selects Mike Malott, expecting his measured striking and takedown mix to outscore Joaquin Buckley over five rounds.
“Pick: Mike Malott”
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Combat Edge Model
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Combat Edge Model's frozen forecast favors Mike Malott (55%) over Joaquin Buckley (45%) in a close matchup; the event card says the model and Elo agree. The page publishes winner probabilities only and makes no method or round prediction.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Jacob Lines
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Calls Mike Malott the better fighter and picks him over Joaquin Buckley.
“mike Malot is the better fighter here so I got to go with Mike Malot”
Track record: winner called in 12 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.0% (12 hit, 8 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Fight Genie (Claude)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight Genie Claude selects Mike Malott over Joaquin Buckley by decision. Rising form and a second grappling threat give Malott a narrow edge, while Buckley’s power keeps the matchup close. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 16 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (16 hit, 11 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (8 hit, 8 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 16 11
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 8 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Tim Edwards
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Tim Edwards favors Mike Malott, expecting him to use grappling and control to limit Buckley’s striking.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.8% (20 hit, 14 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (3 hit, 6 miss, across 9 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.8% 20 14
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
He expects Malott to time Buckley's attacks and counter him when his hands drop and chin rises.
“finish him late in the second round via TKO. So, in this one, I have Mike Malott via second round TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Kunath expects Malott’s takedowns and cleaner, more patient counter-striking to create more paths to victory. He notes Buckley’s power, body kicks and late-round cardio as the main risks.
“So, give me proper Mike to win inside the distance.”
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Jon Litterine leans toward Mike Malott but says he is not exceptionally confident; he explicitly names Malott as his UFC Edmonton pick.
“UFC EDMONTON PICK: Malott”
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“And I am gonna side with Mike Malot i like the fact that he could still win on the feet i don't think it's the path of you know least resistance but I do think he can have success in the striking i think he's going to be able to take Buckley down hold him there now is he going to dominate him and just control him for three rounds like Shawn Brady did No I don't think so but if this fight were to go the full five I imagine he could win one or two rounds just on the strength of his grappling and so I'm going to take Mike Malot in this one i do think he's going to find a finish he has been a finisher throughout his career uh Buckley's going to put himself in some danger i'll take Mike Malot to win this one by round three knockout”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Fight Genie (GPT)
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight Genie GPT selects Mike Malott over Joaquin Buckley by decision. Malott’s striking accuracy and differential support the pick, with Buckley’s Elo and wrestling preserving uncertainty. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.3% (8 hit, 7 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 8 7
- Round Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
MMA.SOCIAL
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMA.SOCIAL selects Mike Malott by decision; no round is stated.
“Malott by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 15 of 27 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.6% (15 hit, 12 miss, across 27 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 27 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 27 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Method Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Chris Schweppe picks Mike Malott by second-round submission.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Shelton picks Malott on the strength of his wrestling and grappling, while noting cardio concerns and saying a finish is possible.
“For my UFC Edmonton betting favorite, I'm going to the main event and taking Mike Malott to get his hand raised.”
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Jeff Fox
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Jeff Fox selects Mike Malott on the moneyline over Joaquin Buckley.
“UFC Edmonton Main Card Pick: Mike Malott ML (-122).”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 17 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
TonyHasDiedMMA picks Mike Malott by decision in this final-picks video.
“I'm going to pick Mike Malot to go out there win this one by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 28 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.8% (28 hit, 25 miss, across 53 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.1% (8 hit, 9 miss, across 17 method-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 53 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (2 hit, 8 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 53 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.8% 28 25
- Method Accuracy 47.1% 8 9
- Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Locked Door MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
They think Malott is better across the board and can build on his recent form, while acknowledging Buckley can hurt him against the fence.
Track record: winner called in 10 of 19 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.6% (10 hit, 9 miss, across 19 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 19 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 19 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
“I'm going to pick Mike Malot to win this fight”
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Greedo selects Mike Malott over Joaquin Buckley by decision; the captions misspell Malott’s surname.
“Mike Malot wins by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Teller favors Malott's wrestling and striking volume to win the majority of rounds, including close rounds through activity or timely takedowns. He worries that Buckley can capitalize on any dip in Malott's sharpness with a big strike. He selects Malott by decision, while leaning toward Buckley if the fight ends inside the distance.
“I am siding with Malot to win this fight and I'm going to say he wins the decision.”
* Buckley's knockout threat is live; Teller leans toward Buckley if the fight ends inside the distance but selects Malott by decision overall.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
Eric Beuchat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Eric Beuchat gives Mike Malott a slight edge, with a possible decision or a late TKO/submission if Joaquin Buckley tires; no single method or round is selected.
“Nous donnons un léger avantage à Mike Malott, plutôt par décision ou par finition en deuxième partie de combat (TKO ou soumission) si Buckley finit par s’essouffler.”
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Zain Bando
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Malott as Zain Bando’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 17 of 36 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 47.2% (17 hit, 19 miss, across 36 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (1 hit, 4 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 36 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Adam Martin favors Mike Malott by knockout but gives only a tentative second-round estimate (“or something”), so no round is stored.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Marcel Dorff
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Marcel Dorff picks Mike Malott by knockout with a second- or third-round range; no single round is stored.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (4 hit, 2 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 13 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
FightStudy
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
FightStudy selects Malott by KO/TKO in round 2.
“Prediction: Malott by KO R2”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.8% (11 hit, 13 miss, across 24 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 24 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 24 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.8% 11 13
- Method Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Matthew Petela
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Matthew Petela selects Mike Malott to win.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.0% (18 hit, 22 miss, across 40 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 40 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 36.8% (7 hit, 12 miss, across 19 underdog calls on 40 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.0% 18 22
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 36.8% 7 12
BennyPMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
BennyPMMA selects Mike Malott by KO/TKO.
“Mike Malot KO here”
Track record: winner called in 9 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.9% (9 hit, 12 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 9 12
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Lightning MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Buckley to feel good in the first round, pursue a second-round finish, and get caught.
“We got to go with Malott by second round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
MMAOddsBreaker’s UFC Edmonton staff-picks table lists Malott as Chris White’s winner.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 39.6% (19 hit, 29 miss, across 48 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 48 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 39.6% 19 29
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
AI Sports Metrics
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Mike Malott as its AI/model pick against Joaquin Buckley. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 13 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 13 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
FunkyBunch MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott · Dec
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
The speaker expects Malott's technical striking and takedowns to win rounds while Buckley's toughness helps him survive.
“but the pick is going to be Malott with low confidence,”
Track record: winner called in 5 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 33.3% (5 hit, 10 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 3 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 5 10
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
FIGHT//AI
Current pick evidence
Picked: Mike Malott
Fight result: Mike Malott · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Mike Malott as its AI/model pick against Joaquin Buckley. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Analyst picks: Vitaliy Vovk Hit; Belal Muhammad Hit; FightIQ Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Miss; Jimbo Ortega MMA Miss; MMA Lock of the Night Miss; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; 138 MMA Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Drake Burden Hit; Livid Larry MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Hit; James Blissett Miss; Garrett Kerman Hit; Combat Edge Model Hit; Jacob Lines Hit; Owen Liao Miss; MMA Mathletes Miss; Fight Genie (Claude) Hit; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) Miss; Tim Edwards Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; Danny Howard Miss; Angelo Bodetti Miss; Artem MMA Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; BetSam Miss; Fight Productions Hit; Fight Genie (GPT) Hit; MMA.SOCIAL Hit; Clenbat Miss; Kasper MMA Miss; Lou Finocchiaro Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Jeff Fox Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Locked Door MMA Hit; Voice of MMA Miss; MikesMMAPicks Miss; The MMA Yuda Hit; Andy Lang Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Sean Sheehan Miss; MCA PICKS Miss; Eric Beuchat Hit; mmadbm Miss; Nick Kalikas Miss; Guy Bruhn Miss; Bert MMA Miss; Zain Bando Hit; MMA JAWN Miss; Uselyis Miss; Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Drew Beaupre Miss; FightStudy Hit; The Sports Scientist Miss; Andrew Sumian Miss; Matthew Petela Hit; Brandon K Miss; BennyPMMA Hit; Lightning MMA Hit; The Lab Analytics Miss; Chris White Hit; Alexander K. Lee Miss; AI Sports Metrics Hit; FunkyBunch MMA Hit; Joshua Bell Miss; FIGHT//AI Hit; Dalius Mikalauskas Miss; Maiden Miss; FightIndex Miss.
42 of 82 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Malott · KO/TKO · R2
Closest probability Gemini put 53% on Malott.
52%
Buckley
48%
Malott
PickBuckley · KO/TKO · R3ActualMalott · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook underdogMissSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, miss
65%
Buckley
35%
Malott
PickBuckley · KO/TKO · R2ActualMalott · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook underdogMissSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, miss
47%
Buckley
53%
Malott
PickMalott · DecisionActualMalott · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Buckley
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 34 in 100
Win chance: Buckley 52%, Malott 48%.
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Buckley
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
Win chance: Buckley 65%, Malott 35%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Malott
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 26 in 100
Win chance: Buckley 47%, Malott 53%.
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
2 of 3 models pick Buckley; 1 of 3 models pick Malott.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Malott: 48%.
Claude
Buckley: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Malott: 35%.
Gemini
Malott: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Buckley: 47%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Buckley by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Buckley by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Buckley by KO/TKO: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Malott by KO/TKO (18%); 2. Malott by decision (18%)
Claude
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Buckley by decision (21%); 3. Malott by decision (15%)
Gemini
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (26%); 2. Malott by decision (22%); 3. Buckley by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
5 of 10, based on Buckley's 52% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Buckley's 65% win chance.
Gemini
5 of 10, based on Malott's 53% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 64%. Decision: 36%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
How does Buckley win?
ChatGPT
Buckley wins 52%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%, decision 17%.
Claude
Buckley wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Malott win?
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%, decision 18%.
Claude
Malott wins 35%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Malott wins 53%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Malott's most likely upset: Malott by decision (15%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Buckley, Claude: Buckley, Gemini: Malott).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (34%).
Claude
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (26%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 13%, decision 35%.
Claude
KO/TKO 54%, submission 10%, decision 36%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 21%, decision 40%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35%, against 30% for Malott.
Claude
Buckley: 44%, against 20% for Malott.
Gemini
Malott: 31%, against 29% for Buckley.
Can Buckley get the finish? Can Malott?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%). Malott: 30% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%).
Claude
Buckley: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Malott: 20% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%).
Gemini
Buckley: 29% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%). Malott: 31% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Buckley is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 12%. Malott is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 1%.
Claude
Buckley is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 6%. Malott is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Buckley is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 18%. Malott is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Gemini
Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Claude
Malott wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
35%.
Claude
36%.
Gemini
40%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 49%, Malott 51%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 58%, Malott 42%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 45%, Malott 55%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (52%).
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (65%).
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Malott (53%).
Which model is most confident on Buckley, and which on Malott?
All models
On Buckley: Claude (65%). On Malott: Gemini (53%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
JakeGerberMMA (Malott by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Malott by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Malott by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Malott by decision), Vitaliy Vovk (Malott by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Malott by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Malott by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Malott by decision), Belal Muhammad (Malott by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Malott by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Malott by decision) and MMA JOEY (Malott by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Malott, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
Claude
No.
Gemini
No.
ChatGPT
Pick
Buckley
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 34 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 3.
Win chance: Buckley 52%, Malott 48%.
Most likely outcomes
- Buckley by KO/TKO34%
- Malott by KO/TKO, tied for number 218%
- Malott by decision, tied for number 218%
- KO/TKO: Buckley 34%, Malott 18%.
- Submission: Buckley 1%, Malott 12%.
- Decision: Buckley 17%, Malott 18%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Malott: 48%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Malott: 35%.
Gemini
Malott: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Buckley: 47%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Buckley by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Gemini
Buckley by KO/TKO: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Malott by KO/TKO (18%); 2. Malott by decision (18%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Buckley by decision (21%); 3. Malott by decision (15%)
Gemini
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (26%); 2. Malott by decision (22%); 3. Buckley by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
5 of 10, based on Buckley's 52% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
7 of 10, based on Buckley's 65% win chance.
Gemini
5 of 10, based on Malott's 53% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 64%. Decision: 36%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
How does Buckley win?
ChatGPT
Buckley wins 52%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%, decision 17%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Malott win?
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%, decision 18%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Malott wins 35%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%, decision 15%.
Gemini
Malott wins 53%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%, decision 22%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Buckley, Claude: Buckley, Gemini: Malott).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (34%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (40%).
Gemini
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (26%).
More questions (15)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 13%, decision 35%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 54%, submission 10%, decision 36%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 21%, decision 40%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35%, against 30% for Malott.
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley: 44%, against 20% for Malott.
Gemini
Malott: 31%, against 29% for Buckley.
Can Buckley get the finish? Can Malott?
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%). Malott: 30% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Malott: 20% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%).
Gemini
Buckley: 29% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%). Malott: 31% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Buckley is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 12%. Malott is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 1%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Buckley is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 6%. Malott is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Buckley is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 18%. Malott is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Gemini
Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Malott wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
35%.
Other models' answers
Claude
36%.
Gemini
40%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 49%, Malott 51%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 58%, Malott 42%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 45%, Malott 55%.
Compared with others 2 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (52%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (65%).
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Malott (53%).
Which model is most confident on Buckley, and which on Malott?
ChatGPT
On Buckley: Claude (65%). On Malott: Gemini (53%).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
Other models' answers
Claude
No.
Gemini
No.
gpt-6-astra · 15 Oct63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Buckley
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 40 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Buckley 65%, Malott 35%.
Most likely outcomes
- Buckley by KO/TKO40%
- Buckley by decision21%
- Malott by decision15%
- KO/TKO: Buckley 40%, Malott 14%.
- Submission: Buckley 4%, Malott 6%.
- Decision: Buckley 21%, Malott 15%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Buckley: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Malott: 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Malott: 48%.
Gemini
Malott: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Buckley: 47%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Buckley by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Gemini
Buckley by KO/TKO: 26% (about 26 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Buckley by decision (21%); 3. Malott by decision (15%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Malott by KO/TKO (18%); 2. Malott by decision (18%)
Gemini
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (26%); 2. Malott by decision (22%); 3. Buckley by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
7 of 10, based on Buckley's 65% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
5 of 10, based on Buckley's 52% win chance.
Gemini
5 of 10, based on Malott's 53% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 64%. Decision: 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
How does Buckley win?
Claude
Buckley wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley wins 52%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%, decision 17%.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Malott win?
Claude
Malott wins 35%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%, decision 15%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%, decision 18%.
Gemini
Malott wins 53%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%, decision 22%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Malott's most likely upset: Malott by decision (15%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Buckley, Claude: Buckley, Gemini: Malott).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (40%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (34%).
Gemini
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (26%).
More questions (15)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 54%, submission 10%, decision 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 13%, decision 35%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 21%, decision 40%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Buckley: 44%, against 20% for Malott.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35%, against 30% for Malott.
Gemini
Malott: 31%, against 29% for Buckley.
Can Buckley get the finish? Can Malott?
Claude
Buckley: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Malott: 20% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%). Malott: 30% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%).
Gemini
Buckley: 29% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%). Malott: 31% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Buckley is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 6%. Malott is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 12%. Malott is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 1%.
Gemini
Buckley is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 18%. Malott is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Gemini
Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Malott wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Gemini
Buckley wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
35%.
Gemini
40%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 58%, Malott 42%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 49%, Malott 51%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 45%, Malott 55%.
Compared with others 2 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (65%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (52%).
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Malott (53%).
Which model is most confident on Buckley, and which on Malott?
Claude
On Buckley: Claude (65%). On Malott: Gemini (53%).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
No.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5-5 · 17 Oct61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Malott
Confidence 5 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Buckley by KO/TKO, about 26 in 100
Win chance: Buckley 47%, Malott 53%.
Most likely outcomes
- Buckley by KO/TKO26%
- Malott by decision22%
- Buckley by decision, tied for number 318%
- KO/TKO: Buckley 26%, Malott 13%.
- Submission: Buckley 3%, Malott 18%.
- Decision: Buckley 18%, Malott 22%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Malott: 53% (about 53 in 100 fights). Buckley: 47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 52% (about 52 in 100 fights). Malott: 48%.
Claude
Buckley: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Malott: 35%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Buckley by KO/TKO: 26% (about 26 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Buckley by KO/TKO: 40% (about 40 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (26%); 2. Malott by decision (22%); 3. Buckley by decision (18%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Malott by KO/TKO (18%); 2. Malott by decision (18%)
Claude
1. Buckley by KO/TKO (40%); 2. Buckley by decision (21%); 3. Malott by decision (15%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
5 of 10, based on Malott's 53% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
5 of 10, based on Buckley's 52% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Buckley's 65% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 60%. Decision: 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 65%. Decision: 35%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 64%. Decision: 36%.
How does Buckley win?
Gemini
Buckley wins 47%: KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley wins 52%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%, decision 17%.
Claude
Buckley wins 65%: KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%, decision 21%.
How does Malott win?
Gemini
Malott wins 53%: KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%, decision 18%.
Claude
Malott wins 35%: KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%, decision 15%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models split 2–1 (ChatGPT: Buckley, Claude: Buckley, Gemini: Malott).
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 5 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (26%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's joint number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (34%).
Claude
Result: Malott by KO/TKO in round 2. Malott by KO/TKO was the model's number 4 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Buckley by KO/TKO (40%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 21%, decision 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 52%, submission 13%, decision 35%.
Claude
KO/TKO 54%, submission 10%, decision 36%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Malott: 31%, against 29% for Buckley.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35%, against 30% for Malott.
Claude
Buckley: 44%, against 20% for Malott.
Can Buckley get the finish? Can Malott?
Gemini
Buckley: 29% (KO/TKO 26%, submission 3%). Malott: 31% (KO/TKO 13%, submission 18%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley: 35% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 1%). Malott: 30% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 12%).
Claude
Buckley: 44% (KO/TKO 40%, submission 4%). Malott: 20% (KO/TKO 14%, submission 6%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Buckley is knocked out in 13% and submitted in 18%. Malott is knocked out in 26% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Buckley is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 12%. Malott is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 1%.
Claude
Buckley is knocked out in 14% and submitted in 6%. Malott is knocked out in 40% and submitted in 4%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Close to a coin flip: 53% vs 47%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Close to a coin flip: 52% vs 48%.
Claude
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Buckley wins 47% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Malott wins 48% (about 1 in 2 fights): close to a coin flip, not an upset.
Claude
Malott wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
35%.
Claude
36%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 45%, Malott 55%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 49%, Malott 51%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Buckley 58%, Malott 42%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Malott (53%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (52%).
Claude
Of 82 analyst picks, 40 back Buckley and 42 back Malott. This model picks Buckley (65%).
Which model is most confident on Buckley, and which on Malott?
Gemini
On Buckley: Claude (65%). On Malott: Gemini (53%).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
JakeGerberMMA (Malott by decision), TonyHasDiedMMA (Malott by decision), Walk The Line MMA (Malott by decision), MMA.SOCIAL (Malott by decision), Vitaliy Vovk (Malott by decision), Fight Genie (Claude) (Malott by decision), Fight Genie (GPT) (Malott by decision), Greedo Plays MMA (Malott by decision), Belal Muhammad (Malott by decision), FunkyBunch MMA (Malott by decision), Mate Bersenadze (Malott by decision) and MMA JOEY (Malott by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Malott, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 15 Oct 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 15 Oct 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 17 Oct 2026, by claude-sonnet-5-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
No.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Yes.
Version not reported · 15 Oct68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
Market Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
46%
Joaquin Buckley
54%
Mike Malott
Favoured: Malott (54%) Called it
Malott defeats Buckley · KO/TKO R2
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