UFC-focused YouTube analyst publishing fight breakdowns, event previews and full-card predictions.
Travis Herrick MMA on YouTube ↗Track Record
Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it. How Track Record works.
Called 5 of 6 resolved picks
Call Profile
How this analyst's logged calls performed: winner, stated detail, and frozen pre-event underdog context.
Winner-only and method calls are separated so specificity stays visible.
Resolved Calls
What was predicted, what actually happened, and whether it hit.
Hit Lewis vs Hokit Travis Herrick MMA: predicted Hokit · to win for Lewis vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Herrick allows that Lewis always has one-shot knockout danger, but thinks nearly every other variable points to Hokit: youth, momentum, athleticism, speed, wrestling, grappling and footwork. He expects Hokit to hurt Lewis or finish him on the ground.
- Lewis's only clear path is vintage one-shot power
- Hokit has the athletic and grappling advantages
- Calls Hokit by finish with medium-to-high confidence
“I got Hokit by finish.”
Hit Lopes vs Garcia Travis Herrick MMA: predicted Lopes · to win for Lopes vs Garcia. Actual Lopes · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Herrick sides with Lopes because Garcia's knockout streak has not come against Lopes-level opposition. He sees Lopes as better tested, harder to hurt, and likely to win a competitive three-round fight on the scorecards.
- Garcia is dangerous, but has not beaten this tier of featherweight
- Lopes has already shown durability against elite opposition
- Calls the pick medium-high confidence, around 65-70%
“With my pick, I'm going to go with Lopez. I got that at probably decision.”
Hit Nickal vs Daukaus Travis Herrick MMA: predicted Nickal · to win for Nickal vs Daukaus. Actual Nickal · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Herrick labels it hard to predict because both men lack wins over great competition, but leans Nickal on the wrestling background, momentum, and matchmaking setup.
- Low-to-medium confidence, roughly a coin-flip lean
- Nickal's wrestling background is the differentiator
- Does not add a finish or round call
“I'm going to lean Nickal here just cuz he does have that wrestling background.”
Hit O'Malley vs Zahabi Travis Herrick MMA: predicted O'Malley · to win for O'Malley vs Zahabi. Actual O'Malley · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Herrick thinks the matchup is built for O'Malley. He sees Zahabi as a decent ranked opponent but not nearly enough of a wrestler to neutralize O'Malley, and expects O'Malley to control the striking with range and precision.
- O'Malley's reach and striking are the core edges
- Zahabi is not enough of a wrestler to exploit O'Malley's known weakness
- Calls it high confidence and expects a clear O'Malley win
“I think he's going to beat Zahabi.”
Hit Ruffy vs Chandler Travis Herrick MMA: predicted Ruffy · to win for Ruffy vs Chandler. Actual Ruffy · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Herrick sees Chandler as a ceremonial underdog send-off more than a likely winner. He says Ruffy can be beaten, but only if Chandler suddenly makes disciplined wrestling decisions that Herrick does not trust him to make.
- Thinks Chandler can win, but only through a low-trust upset path
- Ruffy's danger and size are the bigger matchup truths
- Medium confidence on the pick
“That's why I'm going with Ruffy on this one.”
Miss Topuria vs Gaethje Travis Herrick MMA: predicted Topuria · to win for Topuria vs Gaethje. Actual Gaethje · KO/TKO R4. Result: Miss.
Herrick treats the main event as massively lopsided for Topuria. His view is that Topuria is better everywhere, still in his prime, and too technically sharp for the version of Gaethje that has been repeatedly hittable and knocked out in recent years.
- Calls it Topuria by anything he wants
- Sees Topuria as the better striker, grappler and wrestler
- Frames Gaethje as too hittable for five rounds against Topuria
“It's Topuria by anything that he wants here.”
Watch all of Travis Herrick MMA's video picks in the library