UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Josh Hokit defeats Derrick Lewis by KO/TKO
Hokit vs Lewis — Heavyweight · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Hokit took the fight to Lewis from the opening round, using his speed and movement to avoid Lewis's big swings.
He took Lewis down and worked him over on the canvas in the first round.
In the second, Hokit lit up an exhausted Lewis and secured the stoppage late in the round.
- Official UFC resultsUFC · UFC Freedom 250 results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hokit
Undefeated at 9-0, a freakish athlete with a college wrestling and football background and finishing pop of his own — eight of his nine wins are stoppages. Hokit is younger, fresher and far more active; if he can lean on his motor and wrestling to drag Lewis into the later minutes, the gap in pace could decide it.
Case for Lewis
The most knockout wins in UFC history, and all the explanation you need: Lewis has to land one short, heavy punch and any fight is over. Twenty-four of his 29 wins are knockouts. Against an unbeaten but untested prospect, the veteran's one-punch power and big-fight composure are the great equaliser.
What We Were Watching For
- Lewis needs only one clean shot — can Hokit's chin and defense survive the early exchanges?
- Does Hokit trust his wrestling to take Lewis down, or stay in the pocket with the sport's biggest puncher?
- Lewis's cardio and motivation late against a young, relentless engine.
- Nine pro fights against a 40-plus-fight veteran — does inexperience show under the brightest lights of his career?
Records & career stats
- 9.29 2.41
- 49% 39%
- 5.28 2.79
- 78% 52%
- 89% 86%
- 9-0-0
- Record
- 29-13-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- USA
- Nationality
- USA
- 28
- Age
- 41
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 07:14
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:51
- Jackson Wink MMA Academy - NM
- Team
- 4oz Fight Club
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Demetrious Johnson
Demetrious Johnson says Hokit proved he can fight beyond the persona, using speed, takedowns and top control to shut down Lewis before the finish.Demetrious Johnson says Hokit proved he can fight beyond the persona, using speed, takedowns and top control to shut down Lewis before the finish.
- Said Hokit’s act can distract from the fact that he is dangerous at heavyweight.
- Credited Hokit for getting in front of Lewis and denying the single power shot.
- Highlighted takedowns, guard passing and athleticism as the difference.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Sports Betting Dime's Jaren Kawada predicts Josh Hokit by KO/TKO.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 11 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 72.7% (8 hit, 3 miss, across 11 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.1% (4 hit, 3 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 11 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 11 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Wade expects Hokit to lean on his elite wrestling rather than trade with Lewis's power — the only way he sees Lewis winning. The grappling wears down the older, slower Lewis, who tends to check out when tired, while Hokit mixes in ground-and-pound for a clean-sweep decision.
- Alternative floated: a late stoppage or submission
- Lewis himself expects Hokit to wrestle and tire him
- Standing with Lewis's power would be a terrible idea for Hokit
“pound and some other things. I think Josh Hokit's going to win. think it”
Track record: winner called in 5 of 7 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (5 hit, 2 miss, across 7 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (2 hit, 2 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 7 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 7 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
He dismisses Lewis as a flat-footed puncher who flops around at range, and sees Hokit as the better athlete in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and fight IQ. He expects Hokit to melt Lewis on the fence or take him down for a first-round TKO; Lewis's only path is a fluke overhand.
- Lists Hokit ahead in cardio, striking, grappling, heart and IQ
- Lewis's only win is a fluke overhand KO
- Calls it the easiest fight on the card to break down
“I'm picking Josh by round one TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists.
“So, I'm going to go Josh Hoka by a first round knockout via ground and pound.”
* The transcript identifies the matchup as Derrick Lewis versus Josh Barnett, not the canonical Derrick Lewis versus Josh Hokit bout; the candidate is retained but cannot be mapped across the matchup change.
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Josh Hokit as its pick over Derrick Lewis.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Herrick allows that Lewis always has one-shot knockout danger, but thinks nearly every other variable points to Hokit: youth, momentum, athleticism, speed, wrestling, grappling and footwork. He expects Hokit to hurt Lewis or finish him on the ground.
- Lewis's only clear path is vintage one-shot power
- Hokit has the athletic and grappling advantages
- Calls Hokit by finish with medium-to-high confidence
“I got Hok by finish.”
Track record: winner called in 7 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (7 hit, 3 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Tracy argues the 40-something Lewis is old, fragile-chinned and prone to wilting and has only been beating cans, while Hokit is a fast-handed, ferocious, athletic small heavyweight whose avalanche pressure overwhelms opponents. He expects a quick blitz, like the Curtis Blaydes win.
- Gives Lewis a 25-30% puncher's chance
- Hokit's relentless in-your-face style is dangerous to Lewis's chin
- Hokit's grappling is underrated — could finish on the ground
“I think we're going to see Josh Hokit knock out Derrick Lewis in the first round.”
* An early read — filmed ~2 weeks out (1 Jun), before fight week.
Track record: winner called in 44 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.7% (44 hit, 21 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.5% (10 hit, 6 miss, across 16 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (3 hit, 3 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.9% (7 hit, 11 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 44 21
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket.
“Do. He's gonna chin Josh Hogit. But as the analyst, bro, I gotta pick Josh Hokit to win by second round TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit ("Josh Hockett") puts a crazy pace on a fading, quit-prone Lewis, dominating top position and ground-and-pound for a first-round TKO crumble.
“I would have entertained the idea of a Derek Lewis upset KO, but I really think Josh Hockett has got this one in”
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card.
“Josh Hoquin's going to make Derrick Lewis quit.”
Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists drake burden picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 98 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.3% (62 hit, 36 miss, across 98 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 46.2% (6 hit, 7 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 98 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 62 36
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Hokit has legit NFL-grade wrestling and Lewis has essentially none, having been out-grappled by much of the division. The host expects an immediate takedown and ground-and-pound, and believes Lewis — a known quitter in high-stakes fights — gives up once on his back.
- Medium confidence — Lewis is the hardest puncher in the division
- Hokit is hittable and must stick to grappling, not trade
- Win comes via ground-and-pound TKO in round one
“Yeah, I'm going to go with Josh Hockett to finish Derrick Lewis by ground and pound finish in the very first round.”
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jake letarski picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 42 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.9% (42 hit, 27 miss, across 69 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 69 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.9% 42 27
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists jon litterine picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists cole shelton picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
- Lewis is knockout-or-bust, mostly early
- Hokit's pace and wrestling are the route to taking over
- Does not attach a specific finish method
“the depths of the ocean and drown him. I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue”
Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.2% 58 51
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 6 22
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists joe suntszu picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.1% (34 hit, 30 miss, across 64 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (4 hit, 12 miss, across 16 underdog calls on 64 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
RotoWire's UFC Freedom 250 expert-picks table lists chris olson picking Josh Hokit.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 45.1% (32 hit, 39 miss, across 71 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 71 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 45.1% 32 39
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
Picks Josh Hokit to win by first-round knockout; the video explicitly identifies the canonical Lewis–Hokit matchup.
“Derek Lewis against Josh Hockett. ... I believe Josh can knock him out with his speed in the first round.”
Track record: winner called in 11 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 42.3% (11 hit, 15 miss, across 26 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.0% (6 hit, 2 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 round-scored calls on 26 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 underdog calls on 26 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 42.3% 11 15
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Round Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Derrick Lewis
Fight result: Josh Hokit · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI’s replay record preserves its original live winner selection: Derrick Lewis.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Analyst picks: Jaren Kawada Hit; The W.A.D.E. Concept Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; FightIQ Hit; Travis Herrick MMA Hit; Lucas Tracy Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Drake Burden Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Jake Letarski Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Joe SunTszu Hit; Chris Olson Hit; Lightning MMA Hit; FIGHT//AI Miss.
19 of 20 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
|---|
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
AI Predictions
This fight is settled. Eligible pre-fight AI forecasts load when this page is online.
Market Odds
No current consensus line is saved on this page.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.