Daniel Levy's long-running MMA podcast and YouTube channel covering UFC previews and full-card prediction shows.
Half The Battle on YouTube ↗Track Record
Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it. How Track Record works.
Called 12 of 19 resolved picks
2 of 12 hits also matched the method.
Call Profile
How this analyst's logged calls performed: winner, stated detail, and frozen pre-event underdog context.
Winner-only and method calls are separated so specificity stays visible.
Resolved Calls
What was predicted, what actually happened, and whether it hit.
Hit Barbosa vs Melisano Half The Battle: predicted Barbosa · to win for Barbosa vs Melisano. Actual Barbosa · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Picks Barbosa to finish Melisano, emphasizing Barbosa's experience and well-roundedness at the price.
Miss Bashi vs Delgado Half The Battle: predicted Bashi · to win for Bashi vs Delgado. Actual Delgado · Dec. Result: Miss.
Takes Bashi as the underdog based on his takedown threat and a likely grappling advantage over Delgado.
Hit Cannonier vs Duncan Half The Battle: predicted Duncan · KO/TKO for Cannonier vs Duncan. Actual Duncan · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Duncan to knock Cannonier out, contrasting Duncan's durability with Cannonier's age and recent decline.
Hit Coria vs Nicoll Half The Battle: predicted Coria · to win for Coria vs Nicoll. Actual Coria · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Coria to dominate Nicoll, citing Coria's clear standing in the matchup and Nicoll's lack of UFC success.
Hit Du Plessis vs Usman Half The Battle: predicted Du Plessis · to win for Du Plessis vs Usman. Actual Du Plessis · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Du Plessis to finish Usman after the late rounds, expecting his pressure to make Usman's wrestling harder to sustain.
Hit Hooper vs Ramirez Half The Battle: predicted Hooper · to win for Hooper vs Ramirez. Actual Hooper · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass.
Miss McMillen vs Montes Half The Battle: predicted Montes · to win for McMillen vs Montes. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Rates Montes as the more technical all-around fighter and picks him to take the upset.
Hit Ricci vs Kline Half The Battle: predicted Kline · to win for Ricci vs Kline. Actual Kline · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Kline to make a statement, praising her hunger, physicality and potential against Ricci.
Miss Rodrigues Jr. vs Franco Half The Battle: predicted Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO for Rodrigues Jr. vs Franco. Actual Franco · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.
Picks Rodrigues to knock out Franco, while noting the unanswered questions if the matchup stays on the mat.
Miss Costa vs Durden Half The Battle: predicted Durden · to win for Costa vs Durden. Actual Costa · Sub R2. Result: Miss. Note: Personal connection disclosed in the video; he says Durden is his friend and he would never pick against him.
Picks Cody Durden to outwork Alessandro Costa if he avoids the big power shots. He acknowledges Costa has the harder one-shot threat, but expects Durden's pace, wrestling and top control to carry enough of the fight.
* Personal connection disclosed in the video; he says Durden is his friend and he would never pick against him.
Miss Gandra vs Reese Half The Battle: predicted Reese · to win for Gandra vs Reese. Actual Gandra · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss. Note: Low-confidence lean; he says either man winning would not surprise him.
Leans slightly toward Zachary Reese in a volatile fight because he trusts Reese more once the early danger settles. He says Gandra's power and physicality could be a problem, but thinks Reese can take over if he finds range and survives the opening exchanges.
* Low-confidence lean; he says either man winning would not surprise him.
Hit Pinas vs Almeida Half The Battle: predicted Pinas · to win for Pinas vs Almeida. Actual Pinas · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Backs Damian Pinas as the younger, more explosive prospect with the athleticism to outgrow Cesar Almeida quickly. He thinks Pinas can strike with Almeida and may even show wrestling wrinkles against an opponent with takedown-defense concerns.
Perfect Sandhagen vs Bautista Half The Battle: predicted Bautista · Decision for Sandhagen vs Bautista. Actual Bautista · Dec. Result: Perfect. Note: Projects a close, split-decision-style fight.
Picks Mario Bautista to upset Cory Sandhagen in a close rematch. He expects a one-round-apiece type fight decided by a single takedown, strike or late moment, and favors Bautista's current form and hunger coming off his career-best win.
* Projects a close, split-decision-style fight.
Hit Steveson vs Ellison Half The Battle: predicted Steveson · to win for Steveson vs Ellison. Actual Steveson · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Makes Gable Steveson the straightforward pick in his UFC debut. He treats the wrestling pedigree and matchup dynamics as too wide a gap to back Elisha Ellison, while not committing to a specific finish method.
Hit Lewis vs Hokit Half The Battle: predicted Hokit · to win for Lewis vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
- Lewis is knockout-or-bust, mostly early
- Hokit's pace and wrestling are the route to taking over
- Does not attach a specific finish method
“I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue the big streak.”
Miss Lopes vs Garcia Half The Battle: predicted Garcia · to win for Lopes vs Garcia. Actual Lopes · KO/TKO R2. Result: Miss.
Levy likes Garcia as an underdog because he believes Garcia has better MMA boxing fundamentals, footwork and minute-winning tools, while Lopes relies more on opportunistic finishing moments.
- Garcia's boxing fundamentals and footwork are the edge
- Lopes has finish danger and a ground advantage
- Sees Garcia as a live underdog who can extend the streak
“I'm going to pick Steve Garcia to come out here, defeat Diego Lopez.”
Hit Nickal vs Daukaus Half The Battle: predicted Nickal · to win for Nickal vs Daukaus. Actual Nickal · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Levy sees Daukaus as a live opponent but thinks Nickal's RDR loss may sharpen him, and expects Nickal to get back on track against Daukaus.
- Calls it a tough matchup to predict
- Views the RDR loss as a useful corrective for Nickal
- Does not specify method or round
“I'm going to pick Bo Nickal to win this fight.”
Perfect Ruffy vs Chandler Half The Battle: predicted Ruffy · KO/TKO for Ruffy vs Chandler. Actual Ruffy · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect.
Levy thinks Ruffy can weather Chandler's early wrestling threat, punish Chandler's calf-kick vulnerability and eventually land upstairs. He calls for Ruffy to beat Chandler and knock him out.
Miss Topuria vs Gaethje Half The Battle: predicted Topuria · KO/TKO for Topuria vs Gaethje. Actual Gaethje · KO/TKO R4. Result: Miss.
Levy favors Topuria as the much cleaner boxer and thinks Gaethje's tendency to get hurt makes him ripe for Topuria's combinations. He expects Topuria to knock Gaethje out and retain the lightweight belt.