McMillen def. Montes
KO/TKO · punches · Round 3 · 3:29
McMillen vs Montes — Featherweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
McMillen made it a pace fight and Montes eventually broke. He pressed forward from the first bell at a breakneck rate, banking body shots and head strikes that added up over two-plus rounds. Late in the third he hurt Montes and cranked the output even higher until the referee had seen enough at 3:29.
- McMillen was the aggressor throughout, pressing forward and setting a punishing pace.
- Accumulated body and head strikes wore Montes down across the first two rounds.
- McMillen hurt Montes late in round three and raised his output until the stoppage at 3:29.
Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Oklahoma City results
Watch
More from this fight.
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Signature moments
Signature moments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: Adam Martin perfect call; Marcel Dorff perfect call; AJ called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; James Lynch called it; Ben Duffy missed; Keith Shillan missed; Mike Finch missed; Half The Battle missed; DFS By The Numbers missed.
5 of 10 called the winner · 2 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 8 of 9 Adam Martin: predicted McMillen · KO/TKO. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Perfect call.
Picks McMillen by knockout but would not bet the competitive matchup.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 9 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 7 of 9 Marcel Dorff: predicted McMillen · KO/TKO · R3. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Perfect call.
Picks McMillen by a late third-round TKO, citing flaws in Montes's game.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: predicted McMillen · to win. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Hit.
Backs McMillen's pressure and toughness to pull out the win, while forecasting a stoppage without specifying its type.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: predicted McMillen · to win. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Hit.
Takes McMillen to thrive in a chaotic, competitive matchup with Montes.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.
James Lynch Analyst called 9 of 10 James Lynch: predicted McMillen · to win. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Hit.
Takes McMillen and expects him to score a late knockout after exploiting Montes's prior stoppage loss.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks.
Ben Duffy Analyst called 9 of 10 Ben Duffy: predicted Montes · Decision. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Favors Montes to weather McMillen's fast start and pull ahead after McMillen slows in the later rounds.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Keith Shillan Analyst called 8 of 10 Keith Shillan: predicted Montes · KO/TKO · R1. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Expects McMillen's defensive openings to lead him into a first-round knockout from Montes.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 19 of 31 Mike Finch: predicted Montes · Sub. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Calls Montes by submission, leaning on the quality of his front-headlock game.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Half The Battle Analyst called 12 of 19 Half The Battle: predicted Montes · to win. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Rates Montes as the more technical all-around fighter and picks him to take the upset.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 19 resolved picks, 2 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Montes · to win. Actual McMillen · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Takes Montes because one grappling exchange can expose his proven front-choke game.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: McMillen (65%) Called it
McMillen def. Montes · KO/TKO R3
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 9.87 5.38
- 58% 55%
- 5.54 2.08
- 83% 85%
- 90% 67%
- 10-0-0
- Record
- 12-1-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:29
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 06:39
- United States
- Nationality
- Venezuela
- Red Hawk Academy
- Team
- Goat Shed
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for McMillen
McMillen is unbeaten and finishes 90% of the time, and the way he does it — turning ugly early collisions into front-headlock chokes and back-takes — travels well against anyone who panics in a scramble. His debut over Zecchini said the pace and composure scaled straight into the UFC.
Case for Montes
Montes is the more polished grappler and the harder man to rush. His lone loss is four years old, and he has since strung together submission wins capped by choking out Ricky Turcios — the kind of neck-hunting patience that can catch an aggressive McMillen diving in.
What We Were Watching For
- Two chokes hunting one neck: both want the front-headlock and back — whoever wins the first scramble likely finishes.
- McMillen's undefeated composure against Montes' veteran calm — who forces the other out of rhythm?
- Montes' one blemish was a knockout — is he vulnerable if McMillen's messy power lands clean early?
- Cardio into round three: both carry finishing gas, but this is the deepest either has been tested at UFC level.
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