Tommy McMillen defeats Alberto Montes by KO/TKO
McMillen vs Montes — Featherweight · Du Plessis vs. Usman
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More from this fight.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
McMillen was the aggressor throughout, pressing forward and setting a punishing pace.
Accumulated body and head strikes wore Montes down across the first two rounds.
McMillen hurt Montes late in round three and raised his output until the stoppage at 3:29.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; AJ Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; Ben Duffy Miss; Keith Shillan Miss; Mike Finch Miss; Half The Battle Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss.
All 11 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results11 scored · 6 hits · 5 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · KO/TKO | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks McMillen by knockout but would not bet the competitive matchup. Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · KO/TKO · R3 | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks McMillen by a late third-round TKO, citing flaws in Montes's game. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Backs McMillen's pressure and toughness to pull out the win, while forecasting a stoppage without specifying its type. Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes McMillen to thrive in a chaotic, competitive matchup with Montes. Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes McMillen and expects him to score a late knockout after exploiting Montes's prior stoppage loss. Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · KO/TKO · R2 | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Picks McMillen's pressure, reach and wrestling to wear Montes down for a second-round TKO. Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · Dec | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Favors Montes to weather McMillen's fast start and pull ahead after McMillen slows in the later rounds. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · KO/TKO · R1 | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Expects McMillen's defensive openings to lead him into a first-round knockout from Montes. Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · Sub | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Calls Montes by submission, leaning on the quality of his front-headlock game. Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Rates Montes as the more technical all-around fighter and picks him to take the upset. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Montes because one grappling exchange can expose his proven front-choke game. Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
6 of 11 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: McMillen (65%) Called it
McMillen def. Montes · KO/TKO R3
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 9.87 5.38
- 58% 55%
- 5.54 2.08
- 83% 85%
- 90% 67%
- 10-0-0
- Record
- 12-1-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:29
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 06:39
- United States
- Nationality
- Venezuela
- Red Hawk Academy
- Team
- Goat Shed
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for McMillen
McMillen is unbeaten and finishes 90% of the time, and the way he does it — turning ugly early collisions into front-headlock chokes and back-takes — travels well against anyone who panics in a scramble. His debut over Zecchini said the pace and composure scaled straight into the UFC.
Case for Montes
Montes is the more polished grappler and the harder man to rush. His lone loss is four years old, and he has since strung together submission wins capped by choking out Ricky Turcios — the kind of neck-hunting patience that can catch an aggressive McMillen diving in.
What We Were Watching For
- Two chokes hunting one neck: both want the front-headlock and back — whoever wins the first scramble likely finishes.
- McMillen's undefeated composure against Montes' veteran calm — who forces the other out of rhythm?
- Montes' one blemish was a knockout — is he vulnerable if McMillen's messy power lands clean early?
- Cardio into round three: both carry finishing gas, but this is the deepest either has been tested at UFC level.
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