Christian Leroy Duncan defeats Jared Cannonier by unanimous decision
Cannonier vs Duncan — Middleweight · Du Plessis vs. Usman
Watch
More from this fight.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Duncan controlled the range early, beating Cannonier to the punch with faster, more varied striking.
Wrestling entries kept Cannonier from planting his feet and loading up the power he is known for.
Cannonier stayed dangerous into the third but never found the single exchange that would flip the fight.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Ben Duffy Hit; Keith Shillan Hit; AJ Hit; Mike Finch Hit; Half The Battle Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; The MMA Guru Hit.
All 11 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results11 scored · 11 hits · 0 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Backs Duncan's youth and athleticism to overwhelm Cannonier and produce a knockout. Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R2 | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Picks Duncan to stop Cannonier in the second round. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · Dec | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Sees Duncan's youth, size and durability making him a bad stylistic matchup for Cannonier over three rounds. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · Dec | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Duncan's speed to pick Cannonier apart while Cannonier remains tough enough to reach a decision. Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Duncan by knockout, expecting his speed and elbows to create the explosive finish against Cannonier. Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Calls Duncan by knockout, rating the younger fighter's finishing tools and momentum above Cannonier's current form. Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Duncan to knock Cannonier out, contrasting Duncan's durability with Cannonier's age and recent decline. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Duncan on durability and finishing upside against the accumulated damage on Cannonier. Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Duncan's speed, movement and improving game against an aging Cannonier. Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Duncan to win a decision, pointing to the age gap and Duncan's physical advantages. Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Duncan's youth, activity and more varied striking to land more than Cannonier. Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
11 of 11 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Duncan (75%) Called it
Duncan def. Cannonier · Dec
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 18-9-0
- Record
- 14-2-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4.45
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- United Kingdom
- ABJJ + Gracie Barra Alaska
- Team
- Range Martial Arts Academy
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Cannonier
Cannonier is the harder, more proven hitter, and one-shot power ages more slowly than footwork — 11 of his wins are knockouts. If he can plant Duncan on the fence and turn this into a phone-booth fight, his championship-round miles against Vettori, Strickland and Brunson are a level Duncan hasn't touched.
Case for Duncan
Duncan wins if the fight stays long and at range. He is 12 years younger, riding a 4-1 run built on length, stance switches and spinning offense, and a 42-year-old Cannonier has been stopped by Imavov and out-moved by Michael Page in exactly the kind of track meet Duncan wants.
What We Were Watching For
- Cannonier's power window: at 42 his best chance is early and heavy — does he load up before the pace turns against him?
- Range vs pressure: Duncan's switch-stance, spinning offense against Cannonier trying to close distance and rip the body.
- Duncan's chin under real power: Cannonier hits harder than anyone Duncan has stopped — can CLD eat a clean one and stay composed?
- Miles on the tires: Cannonier is 2-3 in his last five with two knockout losses — is the durability there for a full 15?
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.