UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Jose Miguel Delgado defeats Austin Bashi by unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Bashi vs Delgado — Featherweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Bashi scored a first-round knockdown and looked the sharper man early.
A Delgado left hook in the final minute of round one badly hurt Bashi and swung the momentum.
Delgado picked Bashi apart methodically over rounds two and three to secure the decision.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Bashi
Bashi is the grappler and the sharper long-game player — 14-1 with a back-hunting scramble game that turns small openings into rear-naked chokes. His lone loss was a decision, and he answered it by choking out John Yannis; if he gets Delgado to the mat, the finish rate flips his way.
Case for Delgado
Delgado is the more dangerous striker and finishes at a 91% clip. The pace, knees and elbows make every second on the feet a threat, and he is fresh off out-working Andre Fili — proof he can win a fight he does not blitz. Keep Bashi at range and this becomes a firefight Delgado is built for.
What We Were Watching For
- Takedown or firefight: Bashi's shot against Delgado's sprawl decides which sport this becomes.
- Delgado's chin discipline: he strikes recklessly — does he leave the neck exposed for Bashi's front-headlock game?
- Bashi's striking under pressure: his one loss came when he could not impose grappling — can he survive Delgado's early volume?
- Two elite finish rates from opposite phases: whoever imposes their game likely ends it.
Records & career stats
- 14-1-0
- Record
- 11-2-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 24
- Age
- 28
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 91%
- —
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 4
- 10:29
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:41
- Warrior Way Martial Arts
- Team
- The MMA Lab
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Austin Bashi · Dec
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
FightIQ's public record lists Austin Bashi as its pick over Jose Miguel Delgado.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Austin Bashi · Sub
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Picks Bashi to secure a rear-naked choke after stressing Delgado's unresolved grappling defense.
“Bashy via rear naked strangle”
Track record: winner called in 31 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.4% (31 hit, 23 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 68.2% (15 hit, 7 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 30.8% (4 hit, 9 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.4% 31 23
- Method Accuracy 68.2% 15 7
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Austin Bashi
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Takes Bashi as the underdog based on his takedown threat and a likely grappling advantage over Delgado.
“but I got to go Austin Bassey here for this upset. If you're planning on”
Track record: winner called in 58 of 109 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.2% (58 hit, 51 miss, across 109 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 71.4% (10 hit, 4 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 109 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 21.4% (6 hit, 22 miss, across 28 underdog calls on 109 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.2% 58 51
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 6 22
Current pick evidence
Picked: Austin Bashi
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
FIGHT//AI’s replay record preserves its original live winner selection: Austin Bashi.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jose Miguel Delgado · KO/TKO
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Takes Delgado by knockout, valuing his ever-present striking chance against the dangerous grappler.
“here. And I believe he's going to end up getting the KO. So, Jose Delgado by”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jose Miguel Delgado
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Picks Delgado's size, striking danger and damage over Bashi's early grappling threat.
“I'm going to go with Jose Miguel Delgado getting this one done”
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jose Miguel Delgado
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Takes Delgado's striking and shot selection over Bashi's takedown-first route.
“easy fight. Man, I'm going to side with Delgato in this fight. I'm going to side”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jose Miguel Delgado
Fight result: Jose Miguel Delgado · Decision
Leans Delgado because his size and striking should offset Bashi's grappling path.
“here. You know, there is a path for Bashy with the grappling, but I'm going”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
Analyst picks: FightIQ Miss; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; Mike Finch Miss; Half The Battle Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss.
4 of 8 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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