Harris def. Hines
KO/TKO · punches · Round 1 · 1:40
Harris vs Hines — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
Harris was patient for a heavyweight debutant — reading, waiting, not swinging for the fences. A right hand backed Hines up, and when Hines stepped forward to re-engage Harris met him with an uppercut that dropped him. The follow-up shots on the floor brought the referee in at 1:40 of the first, and Harris stayed unbeaten in his UFC debut.
- Harris stayed patient early, making reads rather than forcing the exchange.
- A right hand backed Hines up and drew him into re-engaging.
- Harris landed an uppercut that dropped Hines, then finished on the ground at 1:40.
Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Oklahoma City results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: Adam Martin perfect call; Marcel Dorff perfect call; Ben Duffy called it; Keith Shillan called it; AJ perfect call; Mike Finch called it; We Want Picks missed; DFS By The Numbers missed; JakeGerberMMA missed; James Lynch missed.
6 of 10 called the winner · 3 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 8 of 9 Adam Martin: predicted Harris · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Backs the younger, undefeated Harris to knock Hines out early.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 9 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 7 of 9 Marcel Dorff: predicted Harris · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Agrees with the Harris upset pick and calls for an early knockout.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 9 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.
Ben Duffy Analyst called 9 of 10 Ben Duffy: predicted Harris · Sub · R2. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Favors Harris to exploit Hines' cardio with clinch pressure and a standing guillotine in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
Keith Shillan Analyst called 8 of 10 Keith Shillan: predicted Harris · Decision. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Likes the newcomer Harris' size, distance striking and ability to stop enough takedowns in a likely ugly decision.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks, 6 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: predicted Harris · KO/TKO. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
Mike Finch Betting deskAnalyst called 19 of 31 Mike Finch: predicted Harris · to win. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Joins the Harris side, believing the taller prospect has the faster and harder-hitting tools against Hines.
Track record: winner called in 19 of 31 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 22 of 37 We Want Picks: predicted Hines · to win. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 37 resolved picks.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Hines · to win. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Hines · to win. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.
James Lynch Analyst called 9 of 10 James Lynch: predicted Hines · to win. Actual Harris · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Makes Hines his selection, while noting the matchup is close enough that he would bet Harris as the underdog.
Track record: winner called in 9 of 10 resolved picks.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Hines (51%) Upset
Harris def. Hines · KO/TKO R1
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 7-1-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- Reach
- 188 cm
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- —
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5.47
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 7.47
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 38%
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 15:00
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Sprawlin & Brawlin MMA
- Team
- La Bodega
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Harris
Harris is the unbeaten finisher and the bigger, fresher man — a 6-foot-6 frame with a long reach, four of five wins inside the distance, and a surprising submission game (three subs) behind the boxing power that earned him 'The Hammer.' He steps up from a strong LFA run on the kind of short-notice momentum that has buried flat-footed heavyweights before.
Case for Hines
Hines has the one thing Harris does not: an Octagon round. He is a compact, composed heavyweight who makes simple, correct choices in the clinch and on top, and even his lone loss — a decision to Jhonata Diniz — proves he can survive UFC-level pressure into the later rounds, where a debutant's nerves and gas can betray him.
What We Were Watching For
- Debut nerves vs Octagon reps: Harris has zero UFC fights, Hines is 0-1 — thin experience on both sides, but who settles first?
- Two finishers in heavyweight gloves: one clean shot ends it — whose power lands first?
- Harris's reach and power against Hines's grappling: does Hines close the distance and drag it down, or eat the jab coming in?
- Cardio if it goes long: neither has been deep at this level — the third round is uncharted for both.
Fighters
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