UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
RJ Harris defeats Alvin Hines by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
Harris vs Hines — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Harris stayed patient early, making reads rather than forcing the exchange.
A right hand backed Hines up and drew him into re-engaging.
Harris landed an uppercut that dropped Hines, then finished on the ground at 1:40.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Harris
Harris is the unbeaten finisher and the bigger, fresher man — a 6-foot-6 frame with a long reach, four of five wins inside the distance, and a surprising submission game (three subs) behind the boxing power that earned him 'The Hammer.' He steps up from a strong LFA run on the kind of short-notice momentum that has buried flat-footed heavyweights before.
Case for Hines
Hines has the one thing Harris does not: an Octagon round. He is a compact, composed heavyweight who makes simple, correct choices in the clinch and on top, and even his lone loss — a decision to Jhonata Diniz — proves he can survive UFC-level pressure into the later rounds, where a debutant's nerves and gas can betray him.
What We Were Watching For
- Debut nerves vs Octagon reps: Harris has zero UFC fights, Hines is 0-1 — thin experience on both sides, but who settles first?
- Two finishers in heavyweight gloves: one clean shot ends it — whose power lands first?
- Harris's reach and power against Hines's grappling: does Hines close the distance and drag it down, or eat the jab coming in?
- Cardio if it goes long: neither has been deep at this level — the third round is uncharted for both.
Records & career stats
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 7-1-0
- Not published
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 27
- Age
- 34
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 86%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 3
- Not published
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 01:40
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:20
- Sprawlin And Brawlin MMA
- Team
- La Bodega
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: RJ Harris · Dec
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Rj Harris as its pick over Alvin Hines.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout.
“uh should land something big and put Hines away. So, we'll go RJ Harris”
Track record: winner called in 175 of 264 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.3% (175 hit, 89 miss, across 264 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 58.7% (61 hit, 43 miss, across 104 method-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 77.8% (7 hit, 2 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 264 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (12 hit, 21 miss, across 33 underdog calls on 264 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.3% 175 89
- Method Accuracy 58.7% 61 43
- Round Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 12 21
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines · KO/TKO
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call.
“Um I'm going to go with Alvin Hines here over RJ Harris.”
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger.
“three. Give me Alvin Hines to get this one done.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game.
“is bad. I'm going Hines. I'll say Hines by knockout, but I will not be putting”
Track record: winner called in 112 of 173 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (112 hit, 61 miss, across 173 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.0% (61 hit, 39 miss, across 100 method-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 38.3% (18 hit, 29 miss, across 47 round-scored calls on 173 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 underdog calls on 173 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 112 61
- Method Accuracy 61.0% 61 39
- Round Accuracy 38.3% 18 29
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Alvin Hines
Fight result: RJ Harris · KO/TKO
Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling.
“cardio and he can wrestle. I'm expecting Alvin to move forward, not get knocked”
Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.1% (93 hit, 52 miss, across 145 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 145 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 34.5% (10 hit, 19 miss, across 29 underdog calls on 145 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Analyst picks: FightIQ Hit; AJ Devito Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss.
Only 2 of 6 called the upset.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
| Expand row |
|---|
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
AI Predictions
This fight is settled. Eligible pre-fight AI forecasts load when this page is online.
Market Odds
No current consensus line is saved on this page.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.