RJ Harris defeats Alvin Hines by KO/TKO
Harris vs Hines — Heavyweight · Du Plessis vs. Usman
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Harris stayed patient early, making reads rather than forcing the exchange.
A right hand backed Hines up and drew him into re-engaging.
Harris landed an uppercut that dropped Hines, then finished on the ground at 1:40.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Oklahoma City preliminary results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Adam Martin Hit; Marcel Dorff Hit; Ben Duffy Hit; Keith Shillan Hit; AJ Hit; Mike Finch Hit; We Want Picks Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; James Lynch Miss; The MMA Guru Miss.
All 11 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results11 scored · 6 hits · 5 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Backs the younger, undefeated Harris to knock Hines out early. Track record: winner called in 14 of 17 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Agrees with the Harris upset pick and calls for an early knockout. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · Sub · R2 | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| Favors Harris to exploit Hines' cardio with clinch pressure and a standing guillotine in the second round. Track record: winner called in 13 of 16 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · Dec | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Likes the newcomer Harris' size, distance striking and ability to stop enough takedowns in a likely ugly decision. Track record: winner called in 11 of 15 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout. Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Joins the Harris side, believing the taller prospect has the faster and harder-hitting tools against Hines. Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling. Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines on his UFC experience, cardio and more reliable all-around game. Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger. Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Makes Hines his selection, while noting the matchup is close enough that he would bet Harris as the underdog. Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Hines' greater experience and craft over Harris, calling a late TKO without a single-round call. Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
6 of 11 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 7-1-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- Reach
- 188 cm
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- —
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5.47
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 7.47
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 38%
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 15:00
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- Sprawlin & Brawlin MMA
- Team
- La Bodega
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Harris
Harris is the unbeaten finisher and the bigger, fresher man — a 6-foot-6 frame with a long reach, four of five wins inside the distance, and a surprising submission game (three subs) behind the boxing power that earned him 'The Hammer.' He steps up from a strong LFA run on the kind of short-notice momentum that has buried flat-footed heavyweights before.
Case for Hines
Hines has the one thing Harris does not: an Octagon round. He is a compact, composed heavyweight who makes simple, correct choices in the clinch and on top, and even his lone loss — a decision to Jhonata Diniz — proves he can survive UFC-level pressure into the later rounds, where a debutant's nerves and gas can betray him.
What We Were Watching For
- Debut nerves vs Octagon reps: Harris has zero UFC fights, Hines is 0-1 — thin experience on both sides, but who settles first?
- Two finishers in heavyweight gloves: one clean shot ends it — whose power lands first?
- Harris's reach and power against Hines's grappling: does Hines close the distance and drag it down, or eat the jab coming in?
- Cardio if it goes long: neither has been deep at this level — the third round is uncharted for both.
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