UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez 1 Aug 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade, Serbia, RS

Uroš Medić defeats Daniel Rodriguez by KO/TKO

Win The Doctor Uroš Medić View profile 14-3-0

Loss D-Rod Daniel Rodriguez View profile 20-6-0

Watch the fight

KO/TKO · punches

Round 1 · 0:30

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks15 analysts✓ Correct 93%14 picks 7%1 pick

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Rodriguez opened with a hard low kick that swept Medic to a knee. Medic got up immediately.

Medic answered with a left hand that put Rodriguez on the canvas. He then followed Rodriguez down.

Medic finished with strikes in front of the home crowd at the 30-second mark.

Official UFC resultsUFC.com — UFC Belgrade main card results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Medić

Medić has finished all thirteen of his wins, and his last three came in the first round — Geoff Neal, Muslim Salikhov and Gilbert Urbina all folded inside 80 seconds. Fighting at home in Belgrade against an opponent who has been dropped before, he only needs one clean sequence.

Case for Rodriguez

Rodriguez is the more complete boxer, working behind a southpaw jab and a 65% finish rate of his own, and he is comfortable in long fights — 10 of his 25 bouts went to the judges. He out-pointed Kevin Holland and stopped Santiago Ponzinibbio in his last two, and if he survives the opening round the fight tilts toward his volume.

What We Were Watching For

The first five minutes — Medić has ended three straight fights inside 80 seconds, and Rodriguez has been stopped by strikes once, by Ian Machado Garry in 2023.
Whether either man can handle five rounds — neither has ever fought past the third, and this is a scheduled five-rounder for both.
Rodriguez's southpaw jab against Medić's tendency to load up on single power shots.
The Belgrade crowd — the first UFC card in Serbia, with a Serbian headliner.

Records & career stats

Medić vs Rodriguez

13-3-0
Record: 20-5-0; 3-1 last 4
Recent form: 3-2 last 5; Serbia
Nationality: United States; 33
Age: 39; 1.85 m
Height: 1.85 m; 180 cm
Reach — Rodriguez leads: 188 cm; Southpaw
Stance: Southpaw; 100%
Finish rateFinish % — Medić leads: 65%; 12
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Medić leads: 9; 2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Rodriguez leads: 4; 5.77
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Rodriguez leads: 7.19; —
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min: —; —
Striking defenseStrike def.: —; —
Takedown defenseTD def.: —; —
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: —; Kings MMA
Team: The Yard Muay Thai / BMF Ranch / Syndicate MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(14) 93%

WMedić

7% (1)

RodriguezL

Analyst prediction scorecards

Livid Larry MMA28 resolved calls Livid Larry MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8 Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2 Round Accuracy 100.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Not called
Livid Larry MMA picks Uroš Medić by knockout without committing to a specific round. Hear it — 27:37 Livid Larry MMA on YouTube ↗ Livid Larry MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R2	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Rates Medic's real KO power and finishing instinct over Rodriguez's volume boxing, and sees the lead-side front kick to the body bringing D-Rod's hands down for an uppercut. “entertainment is really here for this card. And I think this main event is card. And I think this main event is going to be fireworks. I'm going to go going to be fireworks. I'm going to go with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, with Uros Medis by round two KO. Um, when I break down both of them, I think when I break down both of them, I think D-Rod, D-Rod, um, I don't know what people are um, I don't know what people are commenting on my video, but anyways, commenting on my video, but anyways, D-” Hear it — 35:35 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Not called
Rates Medic's speed, timing and kickboxing well above Rodriguez's boxing, and thinks D-Rod gets lit up on the feet in front of a home crowd despite his durability. “D-Rod, who's more than willing to oblige in a good back and forth war. And I in a good back and forth war. And I think he's going to pay for it. So, think he's going to pay for it. So, we're going Euros Medic in the main we're going Euros Medic in the main event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in main event. I think this card is eating main event. I think this card is eating some [&” Hear it — 74:01 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Not called
Says Medic starts faster, is more athletic and hits harder, and that Rodriguez has been showing chin vulnerability lately, expecting an early finish rather than a distance fight. “hope he doesn't blow out his gas tank, but I do think Yosmedic is the more but I do think Yosmedic is the more confident and comfortable pick for this. confident and comfortable pick for this. So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it So, I'm going to go Yosmedic to get it done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I done over D Rod. be a fun scrap, but I think Yosmedic is going to finish him in think Yosmedic is going to finish him in this one. this one. And those are my picks for the card. If And those” Hear it — 18:25 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to win	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Called it a hard fight to pick and admitted a personal relationship with D-Rod, but went with Medic on explosiveness and fast starts, expecting him to bank big early rounds while conceding Rodriguez gets better the longer it goes. “with them. I help them prepare. But this isn't that type of situation. As isn't that type of situation. As contradictory as this is, I'm going with contradictory as this is, I'm going with Erceg Medić. I just I just think that Erceg Medić. I just I just think that the he's going to win big rounds early. the he's going to win big rounds early. Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's Maybe even a 10-8. I don't know. It's hard fight for me to pick. hard fight for me to pick. But in this moment right ” Hear it — 46:19 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
James Blissett43 resolved calls James BlissettView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.4% 29 14 Method Accuracy 48.3% 14 15 Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Underdog Accuracy 57.1% 4 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić by first-round knockout. Hear it — 9:32 James Blissett on YouTube ↗ James Blissett’s track record → Track record: winner called in 29 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Sees a big speed and timing gap in Medic's favour, with Rodriguez at almost 40 charging in with his hands down, and expects Medic to slide out of range and land the left hand early. “Euros gets back up and then finds a shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a round one knockout. He's too fast, too round one knockout. He's too fast, too explosive right now. He's he's at he's explosive right now. He's he's at he's he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, I feel like it'd be a fun story to see I feel like it'd be a fun sto” Hear it — 77:53 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Thinks Rodriguez's habit of lunging in and swinging from the waist walks him onto a Medic counter, and that Medic's body kicks plus his first-round finishing record end it early in front of a home crowd. “over Navaho Sterling. That's what I think's going to happen. We move on. think's going to happen. We move on. Up the card. Up the card. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. Uros Medic versus Daniel Rodriguez. I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think I'm going with Uros Medic. I don't think he should be a minus 400 favorite, he should be a minus 400 favorite, though. though. Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty Daniel Rodriguez is a really crafty underdog to pick here and I don't really underdog to” Hear it — 29:50 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Calls Medic a 100%-finish-rate killer with dynamite in his hands, and says Rodriguez at almost 40 has too much tread on the tires, pointing to him being badly hurt by a compromised Kevin Holland. “think he's going to get knocked out in the first round. This isn't prison. Um the first round. This isn't prison. Um this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm this is Erceg Erceg Medić. So I'm I'm going Erceg Medić to win this fight. going Erceg Medić to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first I'll take him to win this fight by first round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 round KO. And there we have it, guys. 14 fights for UFC Belgrade. It was a grind fights for UFC Belgrade. It w” Hear it — 40:33 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to win	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Rates Medic faster, more diverse and harder-hitting, and does not expect Rodriguez to land the takedowns that might change it. “Uros is faster, he's more diverse, he hits harder. This honestly might be a hits harder. This honestly might be a bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just went through to get here, and they do went through to get here, and they do cheer for him winning or losing. Guys, cheer for him winni” Hear it — 40:21 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Leans heavily on Rodriguez's long layoff and reads him as a lesser version of Geoff Neal, whom Medic already knocked out. Expects Medic to rush him immediately in front of a wild Serbian crowd. “knockout, then he might get knocked out himself. That's the type of fighter that himself. That's the type of fighter that Uroš Medić is. Uroš Medić is. But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to But I'm going to go with Uroš Medić to deliver a knockout or in the first round deliver a knockout or in the first round in front of Serbia against Daniel in front of Serbia against Daniel Rodriguez. I think this is going to be Rodriguez. I think this is going to be it for Uroš Medić. I really think this it ” Hear it — 24:33 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to win	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Says both men will engage but D-Rod is the one who gets dropped; Medic is in his prime and has fought three times since Rodriguez last fought, coming into camp already in shape. “he's building off these last few performances, whereas D Rod had to get performances, whereas D Rod had to get in shape at the start of his camp. So, I in shape at the start of his camp. So, I just see a lot of positives on the side just see a lot of positives on the side of Medić here, and I think he gets the of Medić here, and I think he gets the biggest win of his career in his first biggest win of his career in his first UFC main event. Next up in the light UFC main event. Next up in the lig” Hear it — 4:21 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Not called
Says he would have picked Rodriguez if not for the prison layoff and the fight being in Serbia, but Medic's speed, front kicks and one-shot power tip it. Would not commit to a single round. “I just think he's going to be more ready. ready. And um And um going to go Errol's first, second round going to go Errol's first, second round KO in this fight. KO in this fight. And I'll actually say it will be with a And I'll actually say it will be with a head kick. head kick. So there you have it, guys. It's the So there you have it, guys. It's the full card breakdown and predictions for full card breakdown and predictions for UFC Fight Night Menace versus Rodriguez.” Hear it — 66:50 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Rodriguez · to win	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Calls Medic a coin-flip fighter who is a defensive liability and says the price is far too short, so he takes the underdog, expecting Rodriguez to have the edge if the fight escapes the first round. “cash at this number. So, yeah, again, I don't feel great about it because my guy don't feel great about it because my guy is 39 years old and just got out of is 39 years old and just got out of jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go jail. But, but yeah, I'm going to go with Daniel Rodriguez for this main with Daniel Rodriguez for this main event, being that the line is just way event, being that the line is just way off to me. off to me. >> Yeah. No, I mean, I'm not You're not >> Yeah.” Hear it — 10:57 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jesse Holland53 resolved calls Jesse HollandView full track record Winner Accuracy 49.1% 26 27 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO	Medić · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC Belgrade preview has Jesse Holland picking Uros Medic by technical knockout. Read source Jesse Holland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 26 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

14 of 15 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

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No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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