UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Jalin Turner defeats Kauê Fernandes by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:39
Turner vs Fernandes · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
The lightweight bout lasted barely half a minute. Fernandes opened with a spinning back fist; Turner countered with a punch and then an uppercut that dropped him, and kept firing until referee Jason Herzog stopped it at 0:39 with Fernandes unconscious.
It was Turner’s second straight win, both by knockout, after a brief retirement, and it ended a three-fight winning run for Fernandes. UFC listed the finish among the night’s Performance of the Night bonuses, worth $100,000.
- Official event identityUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
- Finish reportYahoo Sports · UFC 330 video: Jalin Turner lays waste to Kauê Fernandes in just 39 seconds
- Post-event bonus award reportYahoo Sports · UFC 330 bonuses: Jalin Turner’s 39-second KO collects $100K award
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Turner
Turner's priority is to force Fernandes to respect the first clean connection and keep the fight from becoming a long, confidence-building contest.
Case for Fernandes
Fernandes needs to make Turner defend a varied attack rather than waiting for one power exchange.
What We Were Watching For
- Turner's ability to make his reach and power matter before Fernandes builds combinations.
- Whether Fernandes can change levels or angles without giving Turner a planted target.
- How the fight's pace develops if neither fighter finds an early finish.
- The first fighter to force the other into a reactive stance.
Records & career stats
- 15-9-0
- Record
- 11-2-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-1 last 6
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 31
- Age
- 31
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- RVCA
- Team
- Nova União
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39
- Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49
- Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
- Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
- Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 68.8% 66 30
- Method Accuracy 42.6% 20 27
- Round Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
- Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 51.3% 20 19
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 9 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14
- Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; HopperMMA Miss; Brent Brookhouse Miss; Michael Iannone Hit; Half The Battle Miss; Brian Campbell Hit; Michael Mormile Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Brandon Wise Hit; Bookie Beatdown Miss; Alexander K. Lee Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · KO/TKO · R1 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Calls Turner by first-round knockout. “days. The way this guy [ __ ] broke down Harry Hardwick. I think about it down Harry Hardwick. I think about it like this, man. Jalin Turner, I'm going like this, man. Jalin Turner, I'm going to go with him. I do think that there's to go with him. I do think that there's enough time in the first round for him enough time in the first round for him to land something big and hurt Fernandes” Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ DevitoView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Makes Fernandes by knockout his official call, citing Turner's durability and mental-lapse concerns. “I'm going to go Kawei Fernandez. I'm going to pick him. And uh I think even a knockout as the official call because Jaylen Turner, the mental lapse worries me” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEYView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Fernandes by late second-round TKO. “especially after like a fake retirement and then returning after losing to and then returning after losing to Moicano. I'm going to pick Khuse Moicano. I'm going to pick Khuse Fernandez to get it done late second Fernandez to get it done late second round TKO. Next fight on the card, the round TKO. Next fight on the card, the featured prelim. We're at the featured” Track record: winner called in 66 of 96 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Selects Turner; the accompanying finish language is not a single committed method call. “bad. He rolls nicely. He has good submission threats. Um, I'm gonna go submission threats. Um, I'm gonna go Jayen Turner for this one. I think I'm Jayen Turner for this one. I think I'm This is one of my more confident picks. This is one of my more confident picks. Like I said, Fernandez is good, but he's Like I said, Fernandez is good, but he's never been that great to me. He's been” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Names Turner as a betting pick without committing to a method. “My next pick, I am taking Jaylen Turner over Fernandez. I think Jaylen Turner is over Fernandez. I think Jaylen Turner is a great bet at 60% of the bets right a great bet at 60% of the bets right now. I think he's got all the tools to now. I think he's got all the tools to get the job done. I think the reach get the job done. I think the reach advantage and how much how much” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · KO/TKO | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Backs Turner for an early knockout while acknowledging Fernandes's leg-kick route. “needed to mentally. I think he goes in here, plants a big shot on Fernandez uh here, plants a big shot on Fernandez uh and knocks him out early. But if he and knocks him out early. But if he doesn't and he lets Fernandez get going doesn't and he lets Fernandez get going with the kicking game, the kicks to the with the kicking game, the kicks to the body, high kicks, attacking, you know,” Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA GuruView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Sees Turner as capable of catching Fernandes in striking exchanges and backs him to win. “exchanging in a real fight. So I'm going to go with Jaylen Turner. I'm actually to go with Jaylen Turner. I'm actually going to agree with the odds. They've going to agree with the odds. They've got him as a favorite. A lot of people got him as a favorite. A lot of people are disagreeing with it. Like, how can are disagreeing with it. Like, how can you car Fernandez is the next big thing” Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The NumbersView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Favors Fernandes's leg kicks and durability against Turner's cardio and recent finishing losses. “make it tough on Turner [snorts] and um potentially knock him out. So, I'm going potentially knock him out. So, I'm going Fernandez here. I'm going to take Fernandez here. I'm going to take Fernandez to win this fight by second Fernandez to win this fight by second round knockout. I think somebody's round knockout. I think somebody's getting served here. I see why they put” Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want PicksView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Both hosts align on Fernandes; the video explicitly confirms they are on the same side. “like a chess match type of fight. I'm gonna go with Cowi because I just think he is kind of just I think he can keep that range better than people realize.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · Dec | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Favors Fernandes's activity and sees Turner as too uncertain at this stage of his career. “that fight. He's a dangerous dude, is Caio Fernandes, as well. So, I'm picking Caio Fernandes, as well. So, I'm picking Caio Fernandes to win this fight. He Caio Fernandes to win this fight. He finished Yaya. Battered Kutateladze. finished Yaya. Battered Kutateladze. Destroyed Harry Hardwick, as well. Destroyed Harry Hardwick, as well. Tall, rangy guy who's rapid on the feet.” Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brent Brookhouse
Brent BrookhouseView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO · R3 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Fernandes by third-round TKO. Track record: winner called in 24 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Iannone
Michael IannoneView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Turner, citing his explosive power and striking advantage over Fernandes. “Pick: Jalin Turner” Track record: winner called in 13 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The BattleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Fernandes winner-only. “upset. So, it's a tough pick. I may be way off, but I'm going to pick Kawi way off, but I'm going to pick Kawi Fernandez to come out here and upset Fernandez to come out here and upset Jaylen Turner. Next up in the middleweight division, we got a match up middleweight division, we got a match up between Dante Johnson. He's 8 and0” Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brian Campbell
Brian CampbellView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · Sub · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Turner by second-round submission. Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Mormile
Michael MormileView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · Dec | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Fernandes by unanimous decision. Track record: winner called in 17 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Shakiel Mahjouri
Shakiel MahjouriView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO · R1 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Fernandes by first-round KO. Track record: winner called in 20 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Brandon Wise
Brandon WiseView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · KO/TKO · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Turner by second-round KO. Track record: winner called in 19 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie BeatdownView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Both hosts explicitly settle on Fernandes, with a live-betting caveat that does not change the pick. “Callaway is the pick for me as well but hesitant hesitant would prefer to bet it live to be perfectly honest” Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. LeeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Kauê Fernandes. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris SchweppeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO · R2 | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Kauê Fernandes by second-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
8 of 20 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
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