UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Donte Johnson defeats Eric McConico by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:38
Johnson vs McConico · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
McConico started the sharper of the two, landing an early jab that made Johnson reset rather than walk forward.
It did not last. On the next exchange Johnson fired a straight left hand down the pipe that landed flush and sent McConico crashing to the canvas, and the referee moved in before he had settled on the ground.
- Official event identityUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
- Official preliminary-card reportUFC · UFC 330 prelims results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Johnson
Johnson's official UFC profile establishes an unbeaten 8-0 record and a 74-inch reach. The pre-fight evidence currently supports the matchup and core profile data, but not a complete published regional history from which to make a stronger tactical claim.
Case for McConico
McConico enters with an 11-4-1 record, a 77-inch reach and UFC-listed freestyle as his fighting style. The available primary evidence supports those baseline facts; the preview should remain cautious until a complete verified history is available.
What We Were Watching For
- How the three-inch reach difference appears once the opening exchanges begin.
- Whether either fighter can establish a sustained phase rather than trading isolated entries.
- The adjustments made after the first clear scoring sequence.
- How the bout develops if it reaches the final round without a finish.
Records & career stats
- 8-0-0
- Record
- 11-4-1
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 27
- Age
- 35
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Gnosis Combat Sports
- Team
- The MMA Lab
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 68.8% 66 30
- Method Accuracy 42.6% 20 27
- Round Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
- Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39
- Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 61.1% 11 7
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31
- Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14
- Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16
- Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 26 27
- Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101
- Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49
- Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23
- Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; MMA JOEY Hit; KennyOkoyeMMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; DFS By The Numbers Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Daniel Vreeland Hit; Half The Battle Hit; Bookie Beatdown Hit; Alexander K. Lee Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Jesse Holland Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Johnson, while treating potential finish scenarios as conditional rather than a committed method call. “I'm going to go with Donte Johnson to win this one.” Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ DevitoView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Final call is Johnson by KO, after citing Johnson's youth and explosiveness. “Johnson KO the pick.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEYView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · Dec | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Takes Johnson by decision, a call restated later in the segment. “I'll take Dante Johnson decision. I think he wins via decision.” Track record: winner called in 66 of 96 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Calls Johnson the safe pick. “Dante Johnson, safe pick.” Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Favors Johnson's power, confidence and reported improvements from camp. “I'm going with Dante Johnson.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · Dec | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Thinks Johnson's pressure will carry a decision despite McConico being the more technical fighter. “I'm thinking that Dante Johnson goes out here and gets this one done. I'm going to say by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Guru
The MMA GuruView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 24.5%. McConico · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes McConico in a high-variance pick. “I'm going to go with Eric McConico underdog pick in 2026.” Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The NumbersView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO · R1 | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| After correcting an earlier captioned slip, explicitly settles on Johnson by first-round knockout. “Give me Dante Johnson to win this fight by first round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMAView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · Dec | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Backs Johnson's size and overall game over McConico, while classing the matchup as lower-level. “I'm going to go Don'Tae Johnson by decision.” Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Daniel Vreeland
Daniel VreelandView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Vreeland favors Johnson’s power, composure under adversity, physicality and takedown defense against McConico. Track record: winner called in 11 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The BattleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Predicts Johnson probably knocks McConico out; the hedge is retained and no round is assigned. “I think he probably comes out here and knocks out Eric Mcconico.” Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Bookie Beatdown
Bookie BeatdownView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Both hosts agree on Johnson; the finish talk remains conditional, so no method is recorded. “I think Johnson KO Johnson round one definitely in play.” Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. LeeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Donte Johnson. Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris SchweppeView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO · R2 | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Donte Johnson by second-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse HollandView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Charles Johnson by technical knockout. Track record: winner called in 26 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
14 of 15 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
No videos are available for this fight yet.













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