UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry 15 Aug 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US

Mackenzie Dern defeats Gillian Robertson by unanimous decision

Win Mackenzie Dern View profile 17-5-0

Loss The Savage Gillian Robertson View profile 17-9-0

Watch the fight

Unanimous decision

Round 5 · 5:00

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks21 analysts✓ Correct 62%13 picks 38%8 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Dern won this on the ground and on control rather than on damage. Takedowns and submission attempts defined the fight, and she came close to finishing Robertson more than once without ever quite getting there.

The closest moment came in the final minute of round one, when a rear-naked choke had Robertson in real trouble and the horn saved her. From there Dern largely maintained position and demonstrated she was the superior grappler, in what reports described as a one-sided but low-action title fight.

The judges returned 49–46, 49–46 and 48–47 for the champion.

Official event identityUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
Co-main event reportYahoo Sports · Mackenzie Dern outgrapples Gillian Robertson to win title fight in UFC 330 co-main event

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Dern

Dern's route is to make Robertson defend layered grappling sequences rather than settle for a single shot.

Case for Robertson

Robertson's route is to win the first scramble, keep positional discipline and avoid giving Dern a settled attacking position.

What We Were Watching For

Which fighter wins the first meaningful ground position.
Whether Dern can create submission chains before Robertson clears her grips.
Robertson's ability to turn top pressure into a decision-winning pace if no finish appears.
How the five-round format changes the risk taken in the opening exchanges.

Records & career stats

Dern vs Robertson

16-5-0
Record: 17-8-0; 3-2 last 5
Recent form: 5-0 last 5; United States
Nationality: Canada; 33
Age: 31; 1.63 m
Height — Robertson leads: 1.65 m; 160 cm
Reach: 160 cm; —
Stance: —; 50%
Finish rateFinish % — Robertson leads: 71%; 0
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Robertson leads: 3; 8
Wins by submissionSub wins — Robertson leads: 9; 3.38
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Dern leads: 2.63; —
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min: —; —
Striking defenseStrike def.: —; —
Takedown defenseTD def.: —; —
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: —

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(13) 62%

WDern

38% (8)

RobertsonL

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Sub	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Backs Dern by submission but names either round two or three, so no single round is recorded. “I'm going to go with Mackenzie Dern by round two or three submission.” Hear it — 34:07 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
AJ Devito237 resolved calls AJ DevitoView full track record Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72 Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42 Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2 Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Low-confidence Robertson decision pick based on cage pressure and top control. “I'll go Robertson on a weird decision.” Hear it — 97:20 AJ Devito on YouTube ↗ AJ Devito’s track record → Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA JOEY96 resolved calls MMA JOEYView full track record Winner Accuracy 68.8% 66 30 Method Accuracy 42.6% 20 27 Round Accuracy 26.9% 7 19 Underdog Accuracy 41.2% 7 10 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
Final call is Dern by decision. “I'll go Mackenzie Dern via decision.” Hear it — 33:49 MMA JOEY on YouTube ↗ MMA JOEY’s track record → Track record: winner called in 66 of 96 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Favors Dern, citing her scrambles and cleaner striking; no definite method call is recorded. “I do favor Mackenzie Dur in this one.” Hear it — 17:11 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Favors Robertson's matchup and coaching edge, confidently calling a decision. “I am taking Jillian Robertson by decision. I think Jillian Robertson wins this fight.” Hear it — 81:14 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Sub	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
Favors Dern's striking and jiu-jitsu edge and explicitly predicts a submission without a single round. “I got to go with Mackenzie Durn. I think she's going to find a submission.” Hear it — 55:42 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Backs Dern's submission threat and expects her to beat Robertson. “Mackenzie Durn should beat Jillian Robertson here.” Hear it — 25:56 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
Gives Dern a pronounced striking and grappling edge, while allowing that several methods are possible. “I'm going to take Dur to win this fight. I'll say by decision.” Hear it — 24:12 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Both hosts align on Dern in the dedicated matchup segment. “I'm on the Mackenzie Dur side. Jacob is too.” Hear it — 158:35 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Favors Robertson's broader grappling game and expects her to win a decision over Dern. “I think Gillian Robertson could put Mackenzie Dern on her back.” Hear it — 20:50 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brent Brookhouse38 resolved calls Brent BrookhouseView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14 Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12 Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Hit	Not called
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Brookhouse on Dern by unanimous decision. Read source Brent Brookhouse’s track record → Track record: winner called in 24 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Iannone21 resolved calls Michael IannoneView full track record Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8 Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Picks Dern, citing her higher-level opposition and submission threat against Robertson. “Pick: Mackenzie Dern” Read source Michael Iannone’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Picks Dern but is unsure whether she finishes by submission or another route. “Ultimately I will pick Durn to come out here and defend her belt.” Hear it — 9:15 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brian Campbell38 resolved calls Brian CampbellView full track record Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16 Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6 Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12 Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · KO/TKO · R4	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Miss	Miss
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Campbell on Dern by fourth-round TKO. Read source Brian Campbell’s track record → Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Mormile33 resolved calls Michael MormileView full track record Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16 Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4 Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mormile on Robertson by unanimous decision. Read source Michael Mormile’s track record → Track record: winner called in 17 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Shakiel Mahjouri39 resolved calls Shakiel MahjouriView full track record Winner Accuracy 51.3% 20 19 Method Accuracy 60.0% 9 6 Round Accuracy 0.0% 9 Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Mahjouri on Robertson by unanimous decision. Read source Shakiel Mahjouri’s track record → Track record: winner called in 20 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Brandon Wise38 resolved calls Brandon WiseView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19 Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8 Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
CBS Sports' UFC 330 expert-picks table lists Wise on Robertson by unanimous decision. Read source Brandon Wise’s track record → Track record: winner called in 19 of 38 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Not called	Not called
Both hosts agree on Dern, citing her broader grappling and striking edge and Robertson's five-round uncertainty. “I believe it's also Dur. So we're on the same page.” Hear it — 20:14 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Alexander K. Lee12 resolved calls Alexander K. LeeView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6 Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · KO/TKO · R4	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Gillian Robertson by fourth-round ground-and-pound stoppage. Read source Alexander K. Lee’s track record → Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Chris Schweppe61 resolved calls Chris SchweppeView full track record Winner Accuracy 49.2% 30 31 Method Accuracy 53.3% 16 14 Round Accuracy 27.3% 6 16 Underdog Accuracy 21.4% 3 11 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · KO/TKO · R3	Dern · Dec R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Gillian Robertson by third-round knockout. Read source Chris Schweppe’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 61 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jesse Holland53 resolved calls Jesse HollandView full track record Winner Accuracy 49.1% 26 27 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Sub	Dern · Dec R5	Hit	Miss	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC 330 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mackenzie Dern by submission. Read source Jesse Holland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 26 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

13 of 21 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (4)

Face-offs▶ Dern vs Robertson Face Off | UFC 330 Fighter interview▶ Tough Questions with Mackenzie Dern and Forrest Griffin | Toyo Tires

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