UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld 8 Aug 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Jose Montanha defeats Louie Sutherland by Submission

Win Jose Montanha View profile 7-1-0

Loss Vanilla Gorilla Louie Sutherland View profile 11-6-0

Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 1 · 1:50

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks11 analysts✗ Incorrect 64%7 picks 36%4 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Montanha took Sutherland down early and returned him to the canvas when he worked back to his feet.

He flattened Sutherland out and attacked the choke from dominant position.

Sutherland tapped to the rear-naked choke just before the two-minute mark.

Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Preliminary Card Results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Sutherland

Sutherland has finished eight of his eleven career wins by knockout, and he arrives on a rebound: a unanimous-decision win over Tai Tuivasa in May, after being stopped by strikes against Brando Pericic and submitted by Valter Walker in the two fights before that. He also puts in real takedown volume for a heavyweight — 4.95 attempts per 15 minutes — so Montanha cannot assume this stays a standup fight simply because Sutherland's identity is knockout power.

Case for Montanha

Montanha arrives at 6-1 with a record built on finishing: four of his six wins are submissions, including a three-fight run of first-round submissions that took 8:29 in total. His only loss is a 2022 decision to Richard Jacobi. He is making his UFC debut, so there is no Octagon tape and no per-minute UFC numbers on him yet — Sutherland is the first real read anyone gets.

What We Were Watching For

Whether Montanha's takedown entries get past Sutherland's hands before Sutherland's power decides it — eight of Sutherland's eleven wins have come by knockout.
Montanha's three-fight run of first-round submissions, 8:29 combined, meeting UFC heavyweight competition for the first time.
Sutherland's own recent form: a decision win over Tuivasa on the heels of being stopped by strikes, then submitted, in the two fights before that — which version turns up.
A UFC debutant with no Octagon tape against an opponent who has now been finished twice in three fights — whichever way it breaks, it is unlikely to be dull.

Records & career stats

Sutherland vs Montanha

11-5-0
Record: 6-1-0; 3-2 last 5
Recent form: 4-1 last 5; England
Nationality: Brazil; 32
Age: 29; 1.91 m
Height — Montanha leads: 1.93 m; 193 cm
Reach: 193 cm; —
Stance: —; —
Finish rateFinish %: —; 8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins: —; 0
Wins by submissionSub wins: —; 1.80
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min: Not published; 1.95
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min: Not published; 35%
Striking defenseStrike def.: Not published; 33%
Takedown defenseTD def.: Not published; —
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: —

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(7) 64%

LSutherland

36% (4)

MontanhaW

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · Dec	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Takes Sutherland on the scorecards. “He's doing all types of stuff like Louis Sutherland low-key was in his bag against Tai Tuivasa, dude. So, I'm going to go with Louis Sutherland to win this one by a decision.” Hear it — 13:29 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
TheWeasle163 resolved calls TheWeasleView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48 Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29 Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33 Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · Sub · R1	Montanha · Sub R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Expects Sutherland to give up his back and get choked out inside the first round. “Ground upon Southerntherland gives up his back, a rear naked choke, and Matana wins by a firstround submission.” Hear it — 10:53 TheWeasle on YouTube ↗ TheWeasle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Leans the slight underdog, Montanha. “We're going to go Montana da Silva for the win in this one.” Hear it — 6:57 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Takes Sutherland while allowing that a fight between two big men can turn on one moment. “I'm taking Luis Sutherland” Hear it — 4:30 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
JakeGerberMMA116 resolved calls JakeGerberMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.4% 77 39 Method Accuracy 61.7% 29 18 Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · Dec	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Takes Sutherland by a 30-27 scorecard. “I'm going to go with what I know a lot more about and that is Louis Sutherland's game. And I'm going to say he gets this one done by a greasy decision.” Hear it — 22:34 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗ JakeGerberMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 77 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · KO/TKO	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Takes Sutherland to finish Montanha by knockout. “I'm going to take Luis Southerntherland to KO Jose Montana to Silva.” Hear it — 11:08 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · Dec	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Calls Sutherland the rightful favourite and takes him by decision. “To win probably a greasy, horrible decision. So, give me Louis Sutherland to win.” Hear it — 16:27 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
We Want Picks145 resolved calls We Want PicksView full track record Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52 Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3 Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes the underdog, Montanha. “Jose's going to be the pick. I'm going to pick the dog here.” Hear it — 19:36 We Want Picks on YouTube ↗ We Want Picks’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Hit	Not called	Not called
Backs Montanha to upset Sutherland. “I'll take the upset here. I'll take Montana to come out here and upset Louis Sutherland” Hear it — 25:47 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Expects Sutherland to win. “And give me Southerntherland to win here.” Hear it — 27:14 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Bookie Beatdown26 resolved calls Bookie BeatdownView full track record Winner Accuracy 50.0% 13 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · to win	Montanha · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Leans on Sutherland's cardio for a decision win. “So, I'll take the big man to uh make it two in a row in the UFC hopefully.” Hear it — 68:44 Bookie Beatdown on YouTube ↗ Bookie Beatdown’s track record → Track record: winner called in 13 of 26 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

4 of 11 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.