Ferreira def. Quarantillo
Dec · unanimous · 5:00
Ferreira vs Quarantillo — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night
What happened
Diego Ferreira dictated the co-main event with pressure and clean output, overwhelming Billy Quarantillo early before staying the more effective fighter through the third round. The judges awarded Ferreira a unanimous decision.
- Ferreira produced the most significant-strike output of his career in the opening round.
- He continued to build on that advantage in the second while Quarantillo kept pressing forward.
- Ferreira controlled the third-round exchanges well enough to close out the unanimous decision.
- 30–27
- 30–27
- 30–27
Play-by-play source: UFC.com · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld main-card results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Caller scorecard: The MMA Guru called it; TheWeasle called it; Half The Battle called it; DFS By The Numbers called it; HopperoMMA perfect call; KennyOkoyeMMA called it; JakeGerberMMA called it; Michael Chiesa called it; Adam Martin called it; Marcel Dorff called it; MMAPREDICTIONGURU missed; Bedtime MMA missed; AJ missed.
10 of 13 nailed it · 1 nailed the finish ★.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
The MMA Guru Analyst called 39 of 56 The MMA Guru: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Expects Ferreira to stop Quarantillo in the first or second round, so no single round is recorded.
Track record: winner called in 39 of 56 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
TheWeasle Analyst called 34 of 48 TheWeasle: predicted Ferreira · Sub · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Sees Ferreira drop Quarantillo with an overhand and choke him out in the second.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 48 resolved picks, 14 a perfect call.
Half The Battle Analyst called 26 of 36 Half The Battle: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Picks Ferreira to beat Quarantillo, without a method.
Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks, 5 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 54 of 76 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Wants Ferreira by first-round knockout specifically.
Track record: winner called in 54 of 76 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 37 of 57 HopperoMMA: predicted Ferreira · Decision. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Perfect call.
Calls a unanimous decision for Ferreira.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 57 resolved picks, 12 a perfect call.
KennyOkoyeMMA Analyst called 15 of 18 KennyOkoyeMMA: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Goes with Ferreira partly on feel and partly on doubting Quarantillo's chin.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 18 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 30 of 38 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Ferreira · Sub · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Takes Ferreira by second-round submission.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 38 resolved picks, 4 a perfect call.
Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter called 24 of 31 Michael Chiesa: predicted Ferreira · to win. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Goes with Ferreira without naming a method.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 31 resolved picks, 1 a perfect call.
Adam Martin AnalystBetting desk called 14 of 16 Adam Martin: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Ferreira by knockout.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 16 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Marcel Dorff Analyst called 12 of 15 Marcel Dorff: predicted Ferreira · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Hit.
Ferreira by second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 15 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 15 of 25 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: predicted Quarantillo · KO/TKO · R3. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Goes to Quarantillo for a third-round stoppage.
Track record: winner called in 15 of 25 resolved picks, 7 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 58 of 88 Bedtime MMA: predicted Quarantillo · Decision. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Takes Quarantillo on the scorecards.
Track record: winner called in 58 of 88 resolved picks, 25 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 48 of 60 AJ: predicted Quarantillo · KO/TKO. Actual Ferreira · Dec. Result: Miss.
Picks Quarantillo to knock Ferreira out.
Track record: winner called in 48 of 60 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
Favoured: Ferreira (61%) Called it
Ferreira def. Quarantillo · Dec
Archive
Pre-fight material — kept for transparency, folded by default.
Tale of the Tape
Records & career stats — as they entered fight night
- 4.70 7.44
- 56% 43%
- 3.46 5.83
- 58% 61%
- 63% 72%
- 19-7-0
- Record
- 18-7-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 09:43
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 11:05
- Lightweight
- Weight classWeight
- Featherweight (moving up)
- Brazil
- Nationality
- United States
- Team Ferreira BJJ · Pharr, TX
- Team
- Gracie Tampa South
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Ferreira
Ferreira is the more efficient striker on paper — 4.70 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.46 absorbed, behind 56% striking defence. His opponent defends only 43% of what is thrown at him, and that defensive gap is the asset. Ferreira's 63% finish rate says he does not need the judges if the openings arrive early.
Case for Quarantillo
Quarantillo's 7.44 significant strikes per minute is far and away the highest figure in this matchup, and an 11:05 average fight time says he is comfortable holding that rate into the later rounds. He is not purely a striker either, adding 1.47 takedowns and 1.02 submission attempts per 15 minutes against Ferreira's 0.55, and his 72% finish rate is the better of the two. Ferreira has lost two of his last three, to Alexander Hernandez and Grant Dawson.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Quarantillo's 43% striking defence holds against an opponent who lands more than he absorbs.
- Ferreira's takedown defence, listed at 58%, against Quarantillo's 1.47 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- How each man looks late: Quarantillo averages 11:05 a fight, Ferreira 9:43.
- Whether two matching 2-3 runs produce a cautious fight or a reckless one.
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