UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld 8 Aug 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Diego Ferreira defeats Billy Quarantillo by unanimous decision

Win Diego Ferreira View profile 20-7-0

Loss Billy Quarantillo View profile 18-8-0

Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

At a glance

Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.

Analyst Picks13 analysts✓ Correct 85%11 picks 15%2 picks

Analyst picks AI forecasts Market odds

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Ferreira produced the most significant-strike output of his career in the opening round.

He continued to build on that advantage in the second while Quarantillo kept pressing forward.

Ferreira controlled the third-round exchanges well enough to close out the unanimous decision.

Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Main Card Results

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Ferreira

Ferreira is the more efficient striker on paper — 4.70 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.46 absorbed, behind 56% striking defence. His opponent defends only 43% of what is thrown at him, and that defensive gap is the asset. Ferreira's 63% finish rate says he does not need the judges if the openings arrive early.

Case for Quarantillo

Quarantillo's 7.44 significant strikes per minute is far and away the highest figure in this matchup, and an 11:05 average fight time says he is comfortable holding that rate into the later rounds. He is not purely a striker either, adding 1.47 takedowns and 1.02 submission attempts per 15 minutes against Ferreira's 0.55, and his 72% finish rate is the better of the two. Ferreira has lost two of his last three, to Alexander Hernandez and Grant Dawson.

What We Were Watching For

Whether Quarantillo's 43% striking defence holds against an opponent who lands more than he absorbs.
Ferreira's takedown defence, listed at 58%, against Quarantillo's 1.47 takedowns per 15 minutes.
How each man looks late: Quarantillo averages 11:05 a fight, Ferreira 9:43.
Whether two matching 2-3 runs produce a cautious fight or a reckless one.

Records & career stats

Ferreira vs Quarantillo

Ferreira Quarantillo

OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.95 7.18
Striking def.Striking defense 57% 44%
DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 3.58 6.02
Takedown def.Takedown defense 58% 60%
FinishingFinish rate 63% 72%

19-7-0
Record: 18-7-0; 2-3 last 5
Recent form: 2-3 last 5; Brazil
Nationality: United States; 41
Age: 37; 1.75 m
Height — Quarantillo leads: 1.78 m; 188 cm
Reach — Ferreira leads: 178 cm; Not published
Stance: Not published; 63%
Finish rateFinish % — Quarantillo leads: 72%; 5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Quarantillo leads: 8; 7
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ferreira leads: 5; 4.95
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Quarantillo leads: 7.18; 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Ferreira leads: 6.02; 57%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ferreira leads: 44%; 58%
Takedown defenseTD def.: 60%; 10:00
Avg. fight timeAvg. time: 11:23; Lightweight
Weight classWeight: Featherweight (moving up); Team Ferreira BJJ · Pharr, TX
Team: Gracie Tampa South

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

(11) 85%

WFerreira

15% (2)

QuarantilloL

Analyst prediction scorecards

Bedtime MMA170 resolved calls Bedtime MMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 120 50 Method Accuracy 63.6% 56 32 Round Accuracy 40.0% 10 15 Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Quarantillo · Dec	Ferreira · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Takes Quarantillo on the scorecards. “Billy Q is kind of meeting him in the middle. They're trading. And I do think that Billy Q will have better volume, better speed, better output. I think that he gets this one done by decision.” Hear it — 23:10 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗ Bedtime MMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 120 of 170 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
TheWeasle163 resolved calls TheWeasleView full track record Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48 Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29 Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33 Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · Sub · R2	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
Sees Ferreira drop Quarantillo with an overhand and choke him out in the second. “So, I'm going to go Diego Fera submitting Billy Q after dropping with an overhand choking him out in the second round.” Hear it — 17:53 TheWeasle on YouTube ↗ TheWeasle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
KennyOkoyeMMA53 resolved calls KennyOkoyeMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.9% 36 17 Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2 Round Accuracy 0.0% 2 Underdog Accuracy 62.5% 5 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · to win	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Goes with Ferreira partly on feel and partly on doubting Quarantillo's chin. “Off of that, I'm going Diego Ferreira.” Hear it — 12:39 KennyOkoyeMMA on YouTube ↗ KennyOkoyeMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 36 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls Michael ChiesaView full track record Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20 Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · to win	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Goes with Ferreira without naming a method. “I'm going with Diego Fajita in this fight.” Hear it — 23:30 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗ Michael Chiesa’s track record → Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Marcel Dorff18 resolved calls Marcel DorffView full track record Winner Accuracy 66.7% 12 6 Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4 Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO · R2	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
Ferreira by second-round TKO. “Picking Ferreira by TKO second round.” Hear it — 20:35 Marcel Dorff’s track record → Track record: winner called in 12 of 18 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
The MMA Guru296 resolved calls The MMA GuruView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.9% 195 101 Method Accuracy 52.9% 55 49 Round Accuracy 34.3% 12 23 Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 15 18 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Not called
Expects Ferreira to stop Quarantillo in the first or second round, so no single round is recorded. “So, I'm going to go with Diego Ferreira getting this one done by TKO in the first or second round.” Hear it — 24:26 The MMA Guru on YouTube ↗ The MMA Guru’s track record → Track record: winner called in 195 of 296 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
DFS By The Numbers142 resolved calls DFS By The NumbersView full track record Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49 Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34 Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25 Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO · R1	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Miss
Wants Ferreira by first-round knockout specifically. “I'm going Ferreira here. I'm going to take Ferreira to win this fight by first round knockout.” Hear it — 26:42 DFS By The Numbers on YouTube ↗ DFS By The Numbers’s track record → Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
HopperMMA120 resolved calls HopperMMAView full track record Winner Accuracy 63.3% 76 44 Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23 Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19 Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · Dec	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
Calls a unanimous decision for Ferreira. “I'm going to go Diego Ferreira to win this one. Billy Quarantillo, I just don't think he's very good. Diego Ferreira gets this one done by decision.” Hear it — 17:24 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗ HopperMMA’s track record → Track record: winner called in 76 of 120 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Half The Battle87 resolved calls Half The BattleView full track record Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34 Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · to win	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Not called	Not called
Picks Ferreira to beat Quarantillo, without a method. “I'm going to pick CDF to come out here and beat Billy Q.” Hear it — 9:13 Half The Battle on YouTube ↗ Half The Battle’s track record → Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)69 resolved calls MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)View full track record Winner Accuracy 59.4% 41 28 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7 Underdog Accuracy 30.8% 4 9 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Quarantillo · KO/TKO · R3	Ferreira · Dec R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Goes to Quarantillo for a third-round stoppage. “as a pick, I'll go Billy Q. Round three, KO TKO.” Hear it — 57:45 MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG) on YouTube ↗ MMA Prediction Guru (MMAPG)’s track record → Track record: winner called in 41 of 69 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Andrew Richardson52 resolved calls Andrew RichardsonView full track record Winner Accuracy 57.7% 30 22 Method Accuracy 70.0% 21 9 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · Dec	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Hit	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Carlos Diego Ferreira by decision. Read source Andrew Richardson’s track record → Track record: winner called in 30 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Adam Martin29 resolved calls Adam MartinView full track record Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13 Method Accuracy 0.0% 4 Round Accuracy 0.0% 1 Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Not called
Ferreira by knockout. “That’s my pick though, Ferreira by knockout.” Hear it — 20:07 Adam Martin’s track record → Track record: winner called in 16 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Jesse Holland53 resolved calls Jesse HollandView full track record Winner Accuracy 49.1% 26 27 Method Accuracy 57.7% 15 11 Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13 How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls	Historic market Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · Sub	Ferreira · Dec R3	Hit	Miss	Not called
MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 120 preview has Jesse Holland picking Diego Ferreira by submission. Read source Jesse Holland’s track record → Track record: winner called in 26 of 53 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

11 of 13 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.