UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Diyar Nurgozhay defeats Bruno Lopes by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
Nurgozhay vs Lopes — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
At a glance
Analysts, AI and market side by side. Open a tab for the detail.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Nurgozhay and Lopes traded kicks and worked at range through the opening minutes.
Nurgozhay dropped Lopes with a clean shot, then got back to his feet when the scramble led to a takedown.
He finished Lopes with strikes at 4:59 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld — Preliminary Card Results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Nurgozhay
Nurgozhay is 11-2 overall and snapped a two-fight submission skid with a unanimous-decision win over Rafael Tobias in March 2026, after being finished by Brendson Ribeiro (kimura, round two) and Uran Satybaldiev (ezekiel choke, round one) in his first two UFC outings. His UFC numbers favour him at range: 4.52 significant strikes landed per minute at 59% accuracy against 2.81 absorbed, behind 61% striking defence.
Case for Lopes
Lopes is 14-3 overall but has lost his last two, stopped by Dustin Jacoby (KO, punches, round one) and then Navajo Stirling (TKO, round two), after opening his UFC run with a unanimous decision over Magomed Gadzhiyasulov. He has not been taken down across his three UFC fights, and he goes for takedowns more often than Nurgozhay — 1.93 attempts per 15 minutes to 1.37. His 79% finish rate is the higher of the two.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Nurgozhay's single UFC win, a three-round decision over Tobias, means he has found a foothold, after his first two Octagon fights both ended by submission inside two rounds.
- Whether Lopes can stop a two-fight skid in which both losses came by strikes, against an opponent who outlands him 4.52 to 2.88 significant strikes per minute.
- Lopes attempts more takedowns per 15 minutes than Nurgozhay, 1.93 to 1.37 — whether that shows up if he needs one to change the fight.
- Both men carry submission wins on their overall records, yet neither has logged a single submission attempt across their three UFC fights apiece.
Records & career stats
- 5.19 2.87
- 60% 51%
- 2.81 4.83
- 73% 100%
- 73% 79%
- 11-2-0
- Record
- 14-3-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- Kazakhstan
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 29
- Age
- 33
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Pound 4 Pound Muay Thai
- Team
- The Fighting Nerds
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
- Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 65.5% 93 49
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
- Winner Accuracy 60.9% 53 34
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 29.4% 5 12
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls
Analyst picks: Michael Chiesa Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Half The Battle Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Chiesa
Michael ChiesaView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Calls it close to a coin flip but leans Nurgozhay. “I'm taking Diar Nurgozhay” Track record: winner called in 42 of 62 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The NumbersView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · KO/TKO · R1 | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Wants Nurgozhay by first-round knockout. “So, give me Nuergozie. I'll take him to win by first round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 142 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want PicksView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Takes Nurgozhay without a method. “So, DR's going to be the pick.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Half The Battle
Half The BattleView full track record
How each is counted: Winner called Method called Round called Correct underdog calls | Historic market Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Lopes · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes the upset, Lopes. “Give me Bruno Lopes to upset Diar Nergose.” Track record: winner called in 53 of 87 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
3 of 4 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.
No videos are available for this fight yet.
Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.