Silva vs Delgado — Featherweight · Silva vs. Delgado
Red corner
- 17-3-0
- Record
- 12-2-0
Blue corner
Expectations
- 77%
- Market — red corner favoredMarket expectations6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
- 23%
- 9
- Analyst picksAnalysts — red corner unanimousAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. The ALL marker appears only when three or more picks agree.
- 0
- 79%
- AI prediction — red corner favoredAI predictionAverage of eligible published AI model predictions. This is an editorial signal, not betting advice.
- 21%
6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice. Counts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. Average of eligible published AI model predictions.
Full Tale of the Tape · +11 more stats · radar
- 17-3-0
- Record
- 12-2-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4.95
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 50%
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 50%
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 07:58
- Brazil
- Nationality
- United States
- Fighting Nerds
- Team
- The MMA Lab
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Silva
UFC lists Jean Silva sixth at featherweight. His current UFC record includes a unanimous-decision win over Arnold Allen in January, giving him recent five-round main-event stakes against a new opponent.
Case for Delgado
UFC bills Jose Miguel Delgado as Arizona's own for the Glendale card. His athlete profile lists a unanimous-decision win over Austin Bashi in July, adding recent momentum to his first UFC main event.
What to Watch
- Whether Silva can use his ranked experience across a five-round main event.
- How Delgado handles the first UFC headliner of his career in Arizona.
- The effect of Delgado's recent decision win over Austin Bashi on this booking.
- Which featherweight leaves Glendale with the stronger current case in the division.
AI Predictions
Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.
The Read
Latest snapshot · T-7
Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.
3 of 3 models favour Silva. The combined forecast puts 58% on KO/TKO as the likeliest finish.
Where the models differ
The models differ on round timing. The full model calls are below.
- ChatGPTSilva · KO/TKO · Round 3 · high confidence
- ClaudeSilva · KO/TKO · Round 2 · high confidence
- GeminiSilva · KO/TKO · Round 2 · high confidence
Agreement All 3 of 3 models pick Silva.
Method outlook KO/TKO 58% · Submission 12% · Decision 30%.
Model spread 76%–80% Silva · 20%–24% Delgado.
Vs the market Market 77% Silva · 23% Delgado · as of 2026-09-11. AI mean 79% Silva · 21% Delgado.
Record status ChatGPT: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent · Claude: 11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent · Gemini: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
ChatGPT
gpt-5.6-sol · via Codex CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Jean Silva
Forecast
Silva is the pick at 80%, with KO/TKO · Round 3 as the forecast result.
13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
Claude
claude-sonnet-5 · via Claude CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Jean Silva
Forecast
Silva is the pick at 80%, with KO/TKO · Round 2 as the forecast result.
11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent
Gemini
provider-default-unreported · via AGY CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Jean Silva
Forecast
Silva is the pick at 76%, with KO/TKO · Round 2 as the forecast result.
13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
Analyst picks: The MMA Guru picks Silva; TheWeasle picks Silva; We Want Picks picks Silva; Half The Battle picks Silva; Bedtime MMA picks Silva; MMA JOEY picks Silva; DFS By The Numbers picks Silva; HopperoMMA picks Silva; MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Silva.
5 of 9 see a finish — 4 by KO/TKO, 1 by submission.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
The MMA Guru Analyst called 66 of 99 The MMA Guru: picks Silva — to win
Picks Jean Silva to win.
“Silva is going to finish Jose Miguel Delgado in round two.”
Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call.
TheWeasle Analyst called 45 of 61 TheWeasle: picks Silva — KO/TKO · R1
Picks Jean Silva by KO in round 1.
“I'm going to go with Silva by a first-round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 79 of 121 We Want Picks: picks Silva — to win
Picks Jean Silva to win.
“Jean Silva is going to be the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks.
Half The Battle Analyst called 40 of 60 Half The Battle: picks Silva — to win
Picks Jean Silva to win.
“I'll pick Jean Silva as a pure pick.”
Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 83 of 126 Bedtime MMA: picks Silva — Sub · R3
Picks Jean Silva by Submission in round 3.
“I think Jean turns it up in the third and gets the submission. I'm going to go with Jean Silva by submission.”
Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks, 37 a perfect call.
MMA JOEY Analyst called 18 of 27 MMA JOEY: picks Silva — KO/TKO · R1
Picks Jean Silva by knockout in round 1.
“I'm going to say Jean Silva highlight reel, devastating KO, late first round.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 27 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 77 of 112 DFS By The Numbers: picks Silva — KO/TKO · R2
Picks Jean Silva by knockout in round 2.
“I'll take Jean Silva to win this fight by second round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks, 30 a perfect call.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 58 of 92 HopperoMMA: picks Silva — KO/TKO
Picks Jean Silva by TKO.
“Gets the ground and pound TKO finish. So I'm going to go with Jean Silva to win.”
Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks, 22 a perfect call.
MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 22 of 38 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: picks Silva — to win
Picks Jean Silva to win.
“Jean Silva in the main event is going to be the prediction for me.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks, 12 a perfect call.
Odds
What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.
Sportsbook consensus · Who wins
Favoured: Silva
All 6 books consensus 77%
- BetOnline.ag77%0
- BetRivers77%0
- BetUS77%0
- Bovada78%+1
- DraftKings78%+1
- FanDuel77%0
6 books within 1 point
Vig-stripped win probability for Silva at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.
Fan Picks
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