Martinez vs Ige — Bantamweight · Silva vs. Delgado

Scheduled · 12 Sep 2026 Silva vs. Delgado · Bantamweight · Main Card · 3 rounds · Glendale, Arizona
Record Record: 14-1-0
Wins
14
Losses
1
Draws
0
10KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec

Red corner

14-1-0
Record
19-11-0
28
Age
35
1.65 m
Height — Ige leads
1.70 m
171 cm
Reach — Ige leads
180 cm
4.82
Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / min — Martinez leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.60
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
63%
Dan Ige, head-and-shoulders portrait
100 Grand
Record Record: 19-11-0
Wins
19
Losses
11
Draws
0
7KO/TKO
5Sub
7Dec

Blue corner

Expectations

79%
Market — red corner favoredMarket expectations6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
21%
9
Analyst picksAnalysts — red corner unanimousAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. The ALL marker appears only when three or more picks agree.
0
72%
AI prediction — red corner favoredAI predictionAverage of eligible published AI model predictions. This is an editorial signal, not betting advice.
28%

6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice. Counts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. Average of eligible published AI model predictions.

Full Tale of the Tape · +11 more stats · radar
14-1-0
Record
19-11-0
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
10
Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins — Martinez leads
7
0
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ige leads
5
2.90
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / min — Martinez leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.56
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Martinez leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
56%
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
Bantamweight
Weight classWeight
Featherweight (moving down)
Nationality
United States

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

What to expect

Case for Martinez

UFC lists David Martinez eighth at bantamweight, with a 14-1 record and a 10-fight winning streak on his athlete page. Its Noche preview also notes his decision wins over Rob Font and Marlon Vera.

Case for Ige

UFC identifies Dan Ige as a longtime featherweight competitor making his first bantamweight appearance. The change in division makes this a new matchup context against a current ranked 135-pounder.

What to Watch

  • How Martinez uses the momentum from his Font and Vera decision wins.
  • What Ige's first UFC appearance at bantamweight changes in the matchup.
  • Whether Martinez can extend the 10-fight winning streak listed on his UFC profile.
  • Which fighter establishes the stronger next step after the Noche UFC main-card bout.

AI Predictions

Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.

The Read

Latest snapshot · T-7

Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.

ChatGPT
75% 25%
Claude
68% 32%
Gemini
74% 26%

3 of 3 models favour Martinez. The combined forecast puts 57% on Decision as the likeliest finish.

Where the models differ

The models differ on confidence. The full model calls are below.

  • ChatGPTMartinez · Decision · high confidence
  • ClaudeMartinez · Decision · medium confidence
  • GeminiMartinez · Decision · high confidence

Agreement All 3 of 3 models pick Martinez.

Method outlook KO/TKO 34% · Submission 9% · Decision 57%.

Model spread 68%–75% Martinez · 25%–32% Ige.

Vs the market Market 79% Martinez · 21% Ige · as of 2026-09-11. AI mean 72% Martinez · 28% Ige.

Record status ChatGPT: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent · Claude: 11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent · Gemini: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent

ChatGPT

gpt-5.6-sol · via Codex CLI · 2026-09-05

Overall win probability

75% Martinez
25% Ige

Winner probability by method

Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.

30%
8%
38% · KO/TKO: Martinez 30%, Ige 8%
1%
2%
3% · Submission: Martinez 1%, Ige 2%
44%
15%
59% · Decision: Martinez 44%, Ige 15%

Pick

David Martinez

Decisionhigh · ●●●

Forecast

Martinez is the pick at 75%, with Decision as the forecast result.

13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent

Claude

claude-sonnet-5 · via Claude CLI · 2026-09-05

Overall win probability

68% Martinez
32% Ige

Winner probability by method

Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.

20%
15%
35% · KO/TKO: Martinez 20%, Ige 15%
13%
5%
18% · Submission: Martinez 13%, Ige 5%
35%
12%
47% · Decision: Martinez 35%, Ige 12%

Pick

David Martinez

Decisionmedium · ●●○

Forecast

Martinez is the pick at 68%, with Decision as the forecast result.

11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent

Gemini

provider-default-unreported · via AGY CLI · 2026-09-05

Overall win probability

74% Martinez
26% Ige

Winner probability by method

Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.

19%
10%
29% · KO/TKO: Martinez 19%, Ige 10%
3%
2%
5% · Submission: Martinez 3%, Ige 2%
52%
14%
66% · Decision: Martinez 52%, Ige 14%

Pick

David Martinez

Decisionhigh · ●●●

Forecast

Martinez is the pick at 74%, with Decision as the forecast result.

13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Analyst picks: The MMA Guru picks Martinez; TheWeasle picks Martinez; We Want Picks picks Martinez; Half The Battle picks Martinez; Bedtime MMA picks Martinez; MMA JOEY picks Martinez; DFS By The Numbers picks Martinez; HopperoMMA picks Martinez; MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Martinez.

All 9 see it go the distance.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Full analyst picks ↓
The MMA Guru Analyst called 66 of 99 The MMA Guru: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by Decision.

“I can see David Martinez winning a 30-27 decision.”

Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call.

TheWeasle Analyst called 45 of 61 TheWeasle: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by Decision.

“I'm going to go with Martinez decisioning Dan Ige.”

Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.

We Want Picks Betting desk called 79 of 121 We Want Picks: picks Martinez — to win

Picks David Martinez to win.

“I think David Martinez wins here.”

Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks.

Half The Battle Analyst called 40 of 60 Half The Battle: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by Decision.

“David Martinez is most likely a unanimous decision.”

Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.

Bedtime MMA Analyst called 83 of 126 Bedtime MMA: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by Decision.

“We're going to go with Martinez to win that by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks, 37 a perfect call.

MMA JOEY Analyst called 18 of 27 MMA JOEY: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by decision.

“I'm going to go David Martinez, 30-27 decision win.”

Track record: winner called in 18 of 27 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.

DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 77 of 112 DFS By The Numbers: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by decision.

“I'm going David Martinez to win this fight by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks, 30 a perfect call.

HopperoMMA Analyst called 58 of 92 HopperoMMA: picks Martinez — Decision

Picks David Martinez by decision.

“I'm going to go with David Martinez to win this one by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks, 22 a perfect call.

MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 22 of 38 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: picks Martinez — to win

Picks David Martinez to win.

“Martinez gets the job done.”

Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks, 12 a perfect call.

Odds

What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.

Sportsbook consensus · Who wins

79% David Martinez Money moved toward David Martinez since the market opened: ▲ 7 since open
21% Dan Ige

Favoured: Martinez

All 6 books consensus 79%

  • BetOnline.ag79%0
  • BetRivers76%−3
  • BetUS78%−1
  • Bovada79%0
  • DraftKings79%0
  • FanDuel77%−2

6 books within 3 points

Vig-stripped win probability for Martinez at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.

6 sportsbooks as of 11 Sep 13:11 UTC · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab)

Fighters

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