Bahamondes vs Salikhov — Welterweight · Silva vs. Delgado
Red corner
- 17-7-0
- Record
- 22-6-0
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- —
Blue corner
Expectations
- 81%
- Market — red corner favoredMarket expectations6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice.
- 19%
- 9
- Analyst picksAnalysts — red corner unanimousAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. The ALL marker appears only when three or more picks agree.
- 0
- 79%
- AI prediction — red corner favoredAI predictionAverage of eligible published AI model predictions. This is an editorial signal, not betting advice.
- 21%
6-book vig-stripped consensus as of 2026-09-11 13:11. Percentages are an informational market signal, not betting advice. Counts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. Average of eligible published AI model predictions.
Full Tale of the Tape · +11 more stats · radar
- 17-7-0
- Record
- 22-6-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- 70%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Lightweight (moving up)
- Weight classWeight
- Welterweight
- Chile
- Nationality
- Russia
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Bahamondes
Bahamondes is at his most effective when he can use length, movement and varied kicking attacks to make opponents reset. The matchup asks whether he can maintain that space against a veteran who is comfortable countering at range.
Case for Salikhov
Salikhov's experience and kickboxing craft give him a clear path if he can read Bahamondes' entries and make the younger fighter pay for overextension. His best rounds should come from reducing the fight to disciplined counter exchanges.
What to Watch
- How Bahamondes manages range against Salikhov's counters.
- Whether Salikhov can pressure without giving up the outside lane.
- Which fighter lands the cleaner kicks at long range.
- How the pace changes if the fight reaches the later rounds.
AI Predictions
Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.
The Read
Latest snapshot · T-7
Providers research independently. FightCard retains only their final forecasts, not their research.
3 of 3 models favour Bahamondes. The combined forecast puts 57% on KO/TKO as the likeliest finish.
Where the models differ
The models differ on round timing. The full model calls are below.
- ChatGPTBahamondes · KO/TKO · Round 2 · high confidence
- ClaudeBahamondes · KO/TKO · Round 1 · high confidence
- GeminiBahamondes · KO/TKO · Round 2 · high confidence
Agreement All 3 of 3 models pick Bahamondes.
Method outlook KO/TKO 57% · Submission 8% · Decision 35%.
Model spread 76%–81% Bahamondes · 19%–24% Salikhov.
Vs the market Market 81% Bahamondes · 19% Salikhov · as of 2026-09-11. AI mean 79% Bahamondes · 21% Salikhov.
Record status ChatGPT: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent · Claude: 11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent · Gemini: 13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
ChatGPT
gpt-5.6-sol · via Codex CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Ignacio Bahamondes
Forecast
Bahamondes is the pick at 81%, with KO/TKO · Round 2 as the forecast result.
13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
Claude
claude-sonnet-5 · via Claude CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Ignacio Bahamondes
Forecast
Bahamondes is the pick at 76%, with KO/TKO · Round 1 as the forecast result.
11 of 17 correct · 3 settled events · 17 covered · 6 absent
Gemini
provider-default-unreported · via AGY CLI · 2026-09-05
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Ignacio Bahamondes
Forecast
Bahamondes is the pick at 81%, with KO/TKO · Round 2 as the forecast result.
13 of 23 correct · 3 settled events · 23 covered · 0 absent
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
Analyst picks: The MMA Guru picks Bahamondes; TheWeasle picks Bahamondes; We Want Picks picks Bahamondes; Half The Battle picks Bahamondes; Bedtime MMA picks Bahamondes; MMA JOEY picks Bahamondes; DFS By The Numbers picks Bahamondes; HopperoMMA picks Bahamondes; MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Bahamondes.
6 of 9 see a finish — 6 by KO/TKO, 2 by decision.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
The MMA Guru Analyst called 66 of 99 The MMA Guru: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by TKO.
“I'm going to go Bahamondes by TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks, 21 a perfect call.
TheWeasle Analyst called 45 of 61 TheWeasle: picks Bahamondes — Decision
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by Decision.
“Ultimately, Ignacio Bahamondes wins the fight by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 79 of 121 We Want Picks: picks Bahamondes — to win
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win.
“Ignacio Bahamondes is the pick.”
Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks.
Half The Battle Analyst called 40 of 60 Half The Battle: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by KO.
“I think Ignacio Bahamondes is going to come out here and knock Salikhov out.”
Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 83 of 126 Bedtime MMA: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO · R2
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by KO/TKO in round 2.
“We're going with Ignacio Bahamondes by round-two knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks, 37 a perfect call.
MMA JOEY Analyst called 18 of 27 MMA JOEY: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO · R3
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by TKO in round 3.
“I'm going to go third-round TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 18 of 27 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 77 of 112 DFS By The Numbers: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO · R1
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by knockout in round 1.
“Give me Ignacio Bahamondes by first-round knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks, 30 a perfect call.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 58 of 92 HopperoMMA: picks Bahamondes — Decision
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by decision.
“I'm going to go with Bahamondes by decision.”
Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks, 22 a perfect call.
MMAPREDICTIONGURU AnalystBetting desk called 22 of 38 MMAPREDICTIONGURU: picks Bahamondes — KO/TKO
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by knockout or TKO.
“I'm going Ignacio Bahamondes by first- or second-round KO/TKO.”
Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks, 12 a perfect call.
Odds
What the markets imply for this fight — percentages are a vig-stripped consensus across the sportsbooks, not a forecast or betting advice.
Sportsbook consensus · Who wins
Favoured: Bahamondes
All 6 books consensus 81%
- BetOnline.ag81%0
- BetRivers81%0
- BetUS80%−1
- Bovada81%0
- DraftKings81%0
- FanDuel81%0
6 books within 1 point
Vig-stripped win probability for Bahamondes at each book — the chance implied once the bookmaker’s margin is removed. The consensus is the median across books. The small bar under each book is its gap from the consensus, on a fixed ±5-point scale; a hatched bar is off that scale.
Fan Picks
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