Ce def. Rodrigues Jr.
KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:26
Ce vs Rodrigues Jr. — Light Heavyweight · Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Result verified. Full fight recap pending source verification.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: MMAPREDICTIONGURU Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; HopperoMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; We Want Picks Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; TheWeasle Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; AJ Miss; Half The Battle Miss.
All 10 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results10 scored · 7 hits · 3 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ce · KO/TKO | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Liu Ce for a knockout, allowing either of the opening two rounds. “Liu Ce is going to get the knockout win, either round one or round two.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · KO/TKO · R1 | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Liu Ce by first-round knockout. “I'm going to pick Liu Ce by round one KO.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · KO/TKO · R1 | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Liu Ce by first-round knockout. “I'm going to go Liu Ce by KO in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · KO/TKO | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Liu Ce to find the knockout through his power against Levi Rodrigues Jr. “Give me Liu Ce to find the knockout.” Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · to win | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Liu Ce for his striking and cage defense, expecting him to outbox and out-kickbox Levi Rodrigues Jr. “Liu is the pick.” Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · KO/TKO · R1 | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Liu Ce to knock out Levi Rodrigues Jr. early, citing Ce's toughness, length and power in a likely trading fight. “Give me Liu Ce to win this fight.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Ce · KO/TKO · R1 | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Liu Ce for a first-round knockout; the speaker’s name is caption-garbled but the opponent and card context identify this bout. Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks. | |||||
| Rodrigues Jr. · to win | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. while presenting submission and TKO as alternative routes, so no single method is recorded. “Levi Rodriguez Jr. ... win by submission or TKO over Leuch.” Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
| Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO · R1 | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Liu Ce, the kickboxer, to stop Levi Rodrigues Jr. by first-round knockout. “I'm going to say Liu Ce to win by first-round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO | Ce · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. to score an upset knockout in a standing brawl. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
7 of 10 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 3-1-0
- Record
- 5-1-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-1-1 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 100%
- Not published
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- China
- Nationality
- Brazil
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Ce
Liu Ce has had four professional fights and every one ended in strikes — three wins by TKO and the single loss the same way. His longest night finished at 1:55 of the second round. He arrives 3-1 with nothing on the record that shows what he does after that.
Case for Rodrigues Jr.
Rodrigues Jr. has never seen a scorecard either: five knockouts, one knockout loss and a no contest across seven fights, at a 100% finish rate. Six weeks ago Felipe Franco stopped him in the second round on his UFC debut, which is the newest fact in this bout and the least comfortable.
What We Were Watching For
- Not one of their fights has reached a judge — Liu Ce is 3-1, Rodrigues Jr. 5-1 with a no contest.
- Liu Ce's longest fight lasted 6:55. Rodrigues Jr.'s longest reached 21 seconds into a third round, on an injury stoppage.
- Both men's only defeats are second-round TKOs: Liu Ce to Ivan Gnizditskiy in October 2024, Rodrigues Jr. to Felipe Franco in July.
- This is Liu Ce's first UFC fight. Rodrigues Jr.'s one previous UFC appearance is also his only professional loss.
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