Hasan def. Rojas
KO/TKO · right hand · Round 2 · 2:28
Hasan vs Rojas — Flyweight · Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Result verified. Full fight recap pending source verification.
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: The MMA Guru Hit; TheWeasle Hit; AJ Hit; MMAPREDICTIONGURU Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; HopperoMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Half The Battle Hit.
All 10 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results10 scored · 10 hits · 0 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan by an early TKO without a specific round. “Balo Hassan getting this one done by TKO in the earlier rounds.” Track record: winner called in 66 of 99 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · KO/TKO · R2 | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan by second-round knockout. “Bilal Hasan is going to get the win by knockout in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 45 of 61 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan by knockout rather than submission. “I'm not picking submission. I'm picking knockout.” Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan while leaving the final result between a late stoppage and decision unresolved. “So my prediction is going to be Bilal Hasan via decision, but Bilal Hasan either TKO late or dominant decision win.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 38 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · KO/TKO · R1 | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round head-kick knockout. “Bilal Hasan, round one head-kick KO.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · KO/TKO · R1 | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan by first-round knockout. “Bilal Hasan by KO in the first one.” Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan while reserving the exact finish-or-decision outcome. “Hasan should get it done.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan without committing to the earlier knockout lean as a final method call. “Give me Bilal Hasan.” Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan as the cleaner, faster fighter, while warning that his short turnaround, second cut and travel make the bet unattractive. “Bilal is the pick.” Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Bilal Hasan to exploit Nilson Rojas's striking openings for a knockout. Track record: winner called in 40 of 60 resolved picks. | |||||
10 of 10 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 9-0-0
- Record
- 9-0-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- 178 cm
- Reach
- Not published
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Not published
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- United States
- Nationality
- Peru
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Hasan
Hasan is 9-0 with a no contest and eight stoppages, and four of them came off the body — two punches, a front kick and a body kick. He held the CFFC title through three defences, then finished Mridul Saikia in 45 seconds on the Contender Series on 11 August, eighteen days before this fight.
Case for Rojas
Rojas is unbeaten too, 9-0 with seven finishes including a flying-knee knockout in 1:13. He is the one who has been made to work for it: two of his nine fights went to a decision, the most recent in July. Hasan has been to one.
What We Were Watching For
- Two unbeaten flyweights, 18-0 between them, with fifteen stoppages.
- The body is the shared signature: four of Hasan's eight finishes and one of Rojas's seven came from body strikes.
- Between them they have reached a decision three times — once for Hasan, twice for Rojas.
- Hasan has been to a fourth round once and finished it there. Rojas has never been past three.
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