Knockouts worthy of bonuses💰 @JohnnyWalker, Damian Pinas, Imanol Rodriguez, and Roman Kopylov earn #UFC332 POTN bonuses after their electric RD1 finishes!
View photo on X ↗Damian Pinas defeats Andrey Pulyaev by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · uppercut
Round 1 · 1:15
Pinas vs Pulyaev — Middleweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(32) 94%
6% (2)
AI Predictions
74%
26%
Market OddsComing soonNo forecast publishedUnavailable right nowBook prices available in Market
Checking latest live market odds.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
UFC Español's event recap described Pinas spotting an opening and driving an uppercut through it; that single punch ended the fight at 1:15 of the first round.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Pinas
Pinas brings middleweight pressure.
Case for Pulyaev
Pulyaev brings a physical positional challenge.
What We Were Watching For
- Who controls the clinch.
- Which fighter sets the pace.
Records & career stats
- 6.33 3.6
- 39% 55%
- 5.89 2.96
- 86% 56%
- 100% 80%
- 10-1-0
- Record
- 10-5-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Source pending
- Suriname
- Nationality
- Not published
- 24
- Age
- 29
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 03:00
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:27
- Porrada Training Center
- Team
- Storm School
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
(32) 94%
WPinas
6% (2)
PulyaevL
UFC Predictions Tracker
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Highlights Pinas as a betting opportunity because the tracked best overall, favorite, and underdog predictors all favor him; discusses the conditional knockout market rather than the short moneyline price.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 100.0% (3 hit, 0 miss, across 3 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Hank
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Favors Pinas’s knockout power and expects him to finish Pulyaev early.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 91.7% (11 hit, 1 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 90.9% (10 hit, 1 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Bedtime favors Pinas’s measured striking, accuracy and defensive reads. He expects a straight right hand to catch Pulyaev as he retreats with his chin raised and picks Pinas by second-round knockout.
“I'm going with Damen Penos by round 2 KO.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
TheWeasle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
He expects Pinas to be patient and pick his shots, and contrasts Pulyaev with Almeida, whose naked leg kick Pinas timed with a right hand. He predicts another first-round knockout for Pinas.
- He describes Pinas as patient and says he picks his moments more carefully against better opposition.
“another first round knockout for Damen Penz. Four in a row. That's what I'm expecting here.”
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
FightIQ
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Damian Pinas as its pick over Andrey Pulyaev.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 2.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
Tom Feely
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Feely views Pinas as the stronger, more powerful fighter. He expects Pulyaev to make him work early before Pinas overwhelms him.
Track record: winner called in 23 of 34 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.6% (23 hit, 11 miss, across 34 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 method-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (5 hit, 5 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 34 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 34 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.6% 23 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Michael Chiesa
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Chiesa thinks Pulyaev can make this a longer fight than Pinas usually encounters, but does not expect that to be enough to win. He sees Pulyaev needing to evade the power punches and find his left high kick, and favors Pinas.
“I'm going with Damen Penos.”
Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 50 25
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Matt
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Expects Pinas’s power to overwhelm Pulyaev for a first-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
The MMA Guru
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Picks Pinas by first-round TKO. Favors his explosive power and cites his knockout of Cesar Almeida, while seeing Pulyaev as too hesitant against athletic opponents.
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Jake picks Damian Pinas by knockout, expecting a straight-right counter as Andrey Pulyaev throws kicks. He acknowledges Pulyaev’s survival against powerful opponents but emphasizes Pinas’s accuracy and patience.
“Damian Penasse by knockout over Andre Puliev.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Fite Feed
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Expects Pinas’s varied punching combinations to find a finish despite Pulyaev’s tricky lateral movement.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Tony Sink
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Tony Sink selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (11 hit, 6 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 11 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Mate Bersenadze
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze picks Damian Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1, per his UFC 332 preview.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Picks with the Geek 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Favors Pinas’s power, speed and athleticism in another tough matchup for Pulyaev and suggests a first-round finish without specifying the method.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
James Lynch
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Lynch picks Pinas by second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
MMA Mathletes
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects Damian Pinas.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Damian Pinas by first-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Kunath
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
The Octagon Oracle
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Picks Pinas by TKO but warns that his front chokes provide a submission alternative if he drops Pulyaev.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (6 hit, 1 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Angelo Bodetti
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Bodetti picks Pinas for his speed and power, while respecting Pulyaev’s durability. He questions how Pinas will handle the elevation if the fight reaches later rounds.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Thinks Pinas’s footwork, ability to close distance and wider striking variety will let him track down Pulyaev and land his knockout power.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
BeewolfMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Favors Pinas’s athleticism, striking fundamentals and power, expecting a first-round knockout. Allows that Pinas could also show some wrestling.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (13 hit, 10 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (7 hit, 0 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Litterine selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Clenbat
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects Damian Pinas in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
The Finz Chats
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
D.Rose
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Expects Pinas’s power to knock Pulyaev out in the first round.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 80.0% (4 hit, 1 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Damian Pinas.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Walk The Line MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Damian Pinas by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
mmadbm
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Picks Pinas by knockout because his cage cutting and willingness to step into his shots should eventually produce a big right hand. He expects Pulyaev’s footwork to make the fight tricky before Pinas lands.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Chris Cross
Current pick evidence
Picked: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Chris Cross picks Damian Pinas to win by second-round knockout, citing Pinas's activity.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Schweppe says Pinas’ striking grade is not supported by the Almeida striking totals and notes Pulyaev outstruck Gautier.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Vinny
Current pick evidence
Picked: Andrey Pulyaev · Sub · Round 3
Fight result: Damian Pinas · KO/TKO
Expects Pulyaev to weather Pinas’s power and submit him in round three, arguing Pinas is untested in deeper waters.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Analyst picks: UFC Predictions Tracker Hit; Hank Hit; Bedtime MMA Hit; TheWeasle Hit; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Tom Feely Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Matt Hit; The MMA Guru Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Fite Feed Hit; Tony Sink Hit; Mate Bersenadze Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Hit; James Lynch Hit; MMA Mathletes Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Kunath Hit; The Octagon Oracle Hit; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; BeewolfMMA Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Clenbat Hit; The Finz Chats Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; D.Rose Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Vinny Miss; mmadbm Hit; Chris Cross Hit.
32 of 34 nailed it.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Pinas · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 78% on Pinas.
73%
Pinas
27%
Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R1ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHit
72%
Pinas
28%
Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R1ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundHit
78%
Pinas
22%
Pulyaev
PickPinas · KO/TKO · R2ActualPinas · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMissAI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Pinas
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 49 in 100
Win chance: Pinas 73%, Pulyaev 27%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Pinas
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 50 in 100
Win chance: Pinas 72%, Pulyaev 28%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Pinas
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 52 in 100
Win chance: Pinas 78%, Pulyaev 22%.
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Pinas.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 27%.
Claude
Pinas: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 28%.
Gemini
Pinas: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 22%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Pinas by KO/TKO: 49% (about 49 in 100).
Claude
Pinas by KO/TKO: 50% (about 50 in 100).
Gemini
Pinas by KO/TKO: 52% (about 52 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (49%); 2. Pinas by decision (20%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (14%)
Claude
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (50%); 2. Pinas by decision (17%); 3. Pulyaev by KO/TKO (12%)
Gemini
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (52%); 2. Pinas by decision (21%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (12%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 73% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 72% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Pinas's 78% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 66%. Decision: 34%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 71%. Decision: 29%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
How does Pinas win?
ChatGPT
Pinas wins 73%: KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%, decision 20%.
Claude
Pinas wins 72%: KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%, decision 17%.
Gemini
Pinas wins 78%: KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%, decision 21%.
How does Pulyaev win?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 14%.
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%, decision 12%.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%, decision 12%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (14%).
Gemini
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (12%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Pinas.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
All models
Result: Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1. Pinas by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 59%, submission 7%, decision 34%.
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 9%, decision 29%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53%, against 13% for Pulyaev.
Claude
Pinas: 55%, against 16% for Pulyaev.
Gemini
Pinas: 57%, against 10% for Pulyaev.
Can Pinas get the finish? Can Pulyaev?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53% (KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%). Pulyaev: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%).
Claude
Pinas: 55% (KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 16% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Pinas: 57% (KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 10% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Pinas is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 49% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Pinas is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 4%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 50% and submitted in 5%.
Gemini
Pinas is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 2%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 52% and submitted in 5%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
Claude
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
34%.
Claude
29%.
Gemini
33%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 64%, Pulyaev 36%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Pinas by decision, 17% here against 21% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (73%).
Claude
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (72%).
Gemini
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (78%).
Which model is most confident on Pinas, and which on Pulyaev?
All models
On Pinas: Gemini (78%). On Pulyaev: Claude (28%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Pinas by decision: from 17% (Claude) to 21% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Pinas
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 49 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Pinas 73%, Pulyaev 27%.
Most likely outcomes
- Pinas by KO/TKO49%
- Pinas by decision20%
- Pulyaev by decision14%
- KO/TKO: Pinas 49%, Pulyaev 10%.
- Submission: Pinas 4%, Pulyaev 3%.
- Decision: Pinas 20%, Pulyaev 14%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 27%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 28%.
Gemini
Pinas: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 22%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Pinas by KO/TKO: 49% (about 49 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas by KO/TKO: 50% (about 50 in 100).
Gemini
Pinas by KO/TKO: 52% (about 52 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (49%); 2. Pinas by decision (20%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (14%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (50%); 2. Pinas by decision (17%); 3. Pulyaev by KO/TKO (12%)
Gemini
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (52%); 2. Pinas by decision (21%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (12%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 73% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 72% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Pinas's 78% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 66%. Decision: 34%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 71%. Decision: 29%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
How does Pinas win?
ChatGPT
Pinas wins 73%: KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%, decision 20%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas wins 72%: KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%, decision 17%.
Gemini
Pinas wins 78%: KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%, decision 21%.
How does Pulyaev win?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 14%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%, decision 12%.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%, decision 12%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (14%).
Other models' answers
Gemini
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (12%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Pinas.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1. Pinas by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 59%, submission 7%, decision 34%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 9%, decision 29%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53%, against 13% for Pulyaev.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas: 55%, against 16% for Pulyaev.
Gemini
Pinas: 57%, against 10% for Pulyaev.
Can Pinas get the finish? Can Pulyaev?
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53% (KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%). Pulyaev: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas: 55% (KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 16% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%).
Gemini
Pinas: 57% (KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 10% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Pinas is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 49% and submitted in 4%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pinas is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 4%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 50% and submitted in 5%.
Gemini
Pinas is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 2%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 52% and submitted in 5%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
34%.
Other models' answers
Claude
29%.
Gemini
33%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 64%, Pulyaev 36%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (73%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (72%).
Gemini
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (78%).
Which model is most confident on Pinas, and which on Pulyaev?
ChatGPT
On Pinas: Gemini (78%). On Pulyaev: Claude (28%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Pinas by decision: from 17% (Claude) to 21% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Pinas
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 50 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 1.
Win chance: Pinas 72%, Pulyaev 28%.
Most likely outcomes
- Pinas by KO/TKO50%
- Pinas by decision17%
- Pulyaev by KO/TKO, tied for number 312%
- KO/TKO: Pinas 50%, Pulyaev 12%.
- Submission: Pinas 5%, Pulyaev 4%.
- Decision: Pinas 17%, Pulyaev 12%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Pinas: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 28%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 27%.
Gemini
Pinas: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 22%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Pinas by KO/TKO: 50% (about 50 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas by KO/TKO: 49% (about 49 in 100).
Gemini
Pinas by KO/TKO: 52% (about 52 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (50%); 2. Pinas by decision (17%); 3. Pulyaev by KO/TKO (12%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (49%); 2. Pinas by decision (20%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (14%)
Gemini
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (52%); 2. Pinas by decision (21%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (12%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 72% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 73% win chance.
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Pinas's 78% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 71%. Decision: 29%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 66%. Decision: 34%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
How does Pinas win?
Claude
Pinas wins 72%: KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%, decision 17%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas wins 73%: KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%, decision 20%.
Gemini
Pinas wins 78%: KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%, decision 21%.
How does Pulyaev win?
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%, decision 12%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 14%.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%, decision 12%.
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Pinas.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1. Pinas by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (17)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 9%, decision 29%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 59%, submission 7%, decision 34%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Pinas: 55%, against 16% for Pulyaev.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53%, against 13% for Pulyaev.
Gemini
Pinas: 57%, against 10% for Pulyaev.
Can Pinas get the finish? Can Pulyaev?
Claude
Pinas: 55% (KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 16% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53% (KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%). Pulyaev: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Pinas: 57% (KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 10% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Pinas is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 4%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 50% and submitted in 5%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 49% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Pinas is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 2%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 52% and submitted in 5%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
29%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
34%.
Gemini
33%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Other models' answers
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 64%, Pulyaev 36%.
Compared with others 4 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Claude
Biggest difference: Pinas by decision, 17% here against 21% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (72%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (73%).
Gemini
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (78%).
Which model is most confident on Pinas, and which on Pulyaev?
Claude
On Pinas: Gemini (78%). On Pulyaev: Claude (28%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Pinas by decision: from 17% (Claude) to 21% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Pinas
Confidence 8 of 10 · High
Most likely: Pinas by KO/TKO, about 52 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Pinas 78%, Pulyaev 22%.
Most likely outcomes
- Pinas by KO/TKO52%
- Pinas by decision21%
- Pulyaev by decision12%
- KO/TKO: Pinas 52%, Pulyaev 8%.
- Submission: Pinas 5%, Pulyaev 2%.
- Decision: Pinas 21%, Pulyaev 12%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Pinas: 78% (about 78 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 73% (about 73 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 27%.
Claude
Pinas: 72% (about 72 in 100 fights). Pulyaev: 28%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Pinas by KO/TKO: 52% (about 52 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas by KO/TKO: 49% (about 49 in 100).
Claude
Pinas by KO/TKO: 50% (about 50 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (52%); 2. Pinas by decision (21%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (12%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (49%); 2. Pinas by decision (20%); 3. Pulyaev by decision (14%)
Claude
1. Pinas by KO/TKO (50%); 2. Pinas by decision (17%); 3. Pulyaev by KO/TKO (12%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
8 of 10, based on Pinas's 78% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 73% win chance.
Claude
7 of 10, based on Pinas's 72% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 67%. Decision: 33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 66%. Decision: 34%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 71%. Decision: 29%.
How does Pinas win?
Gemini
Pinas wins 78%: KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%, decision 21%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas wins 73%: KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%, decision 20%.
Claude
Pinas wins 72%: KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%, decision 17%.
How does Pulyaev win?
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22%: KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%, decision 12%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 14%.
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28%: KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%, decision 12%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (12%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pulyaev's most likely upset: Pulyaev by decision (14%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Pinas.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Pinas by KO/TKO in round 1. Pinas by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 60%, submission 7%, decision 33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 59%, submission 7%, decision 34%.
Claude
KO/TKO 62%, submission 9%, decision 29%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Pinas: 57%, against 10% for Pulyaev.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53%, against 13% for Pulyaev.
Claude
Pinas: 55%, against 16% for Pulyaev.
Can Pinas get the finish? Can Pulyaev?
Gemini
Pinas: 57% (KO/TKO 52%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 10% (KO/TKO 8%, submission 2%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas: 53% (KO/TKO 49%, submission 4%). Pulyaev: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%).
Claude
Pinas: 55% (KO/TKO 50%, submission 5%). Pulyaev: 16% (KO/TKO 12%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Pinas is knocked out in 8% and submitted in 2%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 52% and submitted in 5%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pinas is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 49% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Pinas is knocked out in 12% and submitted in 4%. Pulyaev is knocked out in 50% and submitted in 5%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 78% vs 22%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 73% vs 27%.
Claude
Lopsided: 72% vs 28%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Pulyaev wins 22% (about 1 in 5 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Pulyaev wins 27% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Pulyaev wins 28% (about 1 in 4 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
33%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
34%.
Claude
29%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 64%, Pulyaev 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Pinas 59%, Pulyaev 41%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (78%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (73%).
Claude
Of 34 analyst picks, 32 back Pinas and 2 back Pulyaev. This model picks Pinas (72%).
Which model is most confident on Pinas, and which on Pulyaev?
Gemini
On Pinas: Gemini (78%). On Pulyaev: Claude (28%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Pinas by decision: from 17% (Claude) to 21% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 29 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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