Esteban Ribovics defeats King Green by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:08
Green vs Ribovics — Lightweight · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Ribovics pressed forward from the opening seconds, but Green's defensive movement kept him from landing anything big early.
Late in the round Ribovics lengthened his combinations and began to connect, dropping Green more than once.
Referee Herb Dean stopped the fight after the third knockdown, ending Green's winning streak.
- primaryUFC 332 main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Green
Green, 39, is riding a three-fight finishing streak — stoppages of Terrance McKinney, Jeremy Stephens and Daniel Zellhuber across his last three outings. It shows a 36-17-1 veteran still capable of turning high-volume rounds into finishes rather than just surviving them.
Case for Ribovics
Ribovics stopped Edson Barboza in his most recent outing. All three of his career losses have come by decision or submission — Loik Radzhabov, Nasrat Haqparast, and Mateusz Gamrot, who submitted him in April 2026 — never by strikes, and eight of his 16 wins have come by knockout.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Green's pocket boxing and pace can offset a nine-year age gap against a finisher in his prime.
- Ribovics' susceptibility to grappling exchanges, the one hole exposed in the Gamrot loss.
- Whether either man's recent finishing streak — Green's three stoppages, Ribovics' knockout power — ends this one early.
- Each man's last loss exposed something: Green was stopped by a Mauricio Ruffy spinning wheel kick, Ribovics was submitted by Gamrot's arm-triangle choke.
Records & career stats
- 6.49 7.43
- 62% 54%
- 3.69 5.78
- 72% 67%
- 64% 81%
- 36-17-1
- Record
- 16-3-0
- 4-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3-2 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- Argentina
- 39
- Age
- 30
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- 10:26
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 09:43
- Pinnacle MMA
- Team
- Kill Cliff FC
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Bedtime favors Green’s boxing and jab against Ribovics’s aggressive bursts. He also expects Green to mix in takedowns if needed, while acknowledging Ribovics’s kicks, a possible early round for Ribovics and the danger that Green gets hurt.
“picking Bobby Green by [ __ ] decision.”
Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 132 53
- Method Accuracy 61.9% 60 37
- Round Accuracy 40.7% 11 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.7% 19 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · KO/TKO
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Picks Green by TKO after initially envisioning a three-round scrap. Favors his straight punches, movement and experience, and thinks he can catch Ribovics as he enters with hooks; acknowledges Ribovics’ dynamic kicks are a threat.
Track record: winner called in 213 of 322 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.1% (213 hit, 109 miss, across 322 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 method-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.9% (14 hit, 25 miss, across 39 round-scored calls on 322 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 47.4% (18 hit, 20 miss, across 38 underdog calls on 322 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.1% 213 109
- Method Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 47.4% 18 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Jake picks King Green to outpoint Esteban Ribovics with his boxing and defense, while warning that Ribovics’s head kick could change the result.
“Bobby King Green to get this one done over Ribovic.”
Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 101 53
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 39 26
- Round Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Brent Brookhouse picks King Green to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 28 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 65.1% (28 hit, 15 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 36.4% (8 hit, 14 miss, across 22 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 22.2% (2 hit, 7 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 65.1% 28 15
- Method Accuracy 36.4% 8 14
- Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · KO/TKO
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Mate Bersenadze picks King Green by KO/TKO, per his UFC 332 preview.
Track record: winner called in 33 of 52 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.5% (33 hit, 19 miss, across 52 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 51.5% (17 hit, 16 miss, across 33 method-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 52 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (2 hit, 4 miss, across 6 underdog calls on 52 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.5% 33 19
- Method Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Likes Green’s fast hands and boxing in a stand-up fight, while recognizing the risk from his low hands.
Track record: winner called in 5 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.5% (5 hit, 3 miss, across 8 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
HopperoMMA selects King Green.
Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.2% 92 56
- Method Accuracy 60.8% 45 29
- Round Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Underdog Accuracy 26.9% 7 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
MMA Mathletes selects King Green.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 59.3% (32 hit, 22 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.6% (7 hit, 4 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 28.6% (2 hit, 5 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 59.3% 32 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Green by decision; the source's Bobby Green name maps to the scheduled King Green record.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 63 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.7% (37 hit, 26 miss, across 63 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.6% (21 hit, 11 miss, across 32 method-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 42.1% (8 hit, 11 miss, across 19 round-scored calls on 63 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 63 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.7% 37 26
- Method Accuracy 65.6% 21 11
- Round Accuracy 42.1% 8 11
- Underdog Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Favors Green because he sees too many ways for Green to win, even allowing for improvements in Ribovics’s grappling.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.3% (7 hit, 5 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (6 hit, 1 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Expects Green to exploit Ribovics’s forward pressure without being drawn into a brawl. Doubts Ribovics’s punching power but warns that Green must avoid the head kick; picks a second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 13 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (13 hit, 10 miss, across 23 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 100.0% (7 hit, 0 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 83.3% (5 hit, 1 miss, across 6 round-scored calls on 23 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 7
- Round Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Calls Ribovics rightly favored but says the gap is too wide; backs Green to stay competitive at the price.
Track record: winner called in 70 of 124 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.5% (70 hit, 54 miss, across 124 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 28.0% (7 hit, 18 miss, across 25 underdog calls on 124 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.5% 70 54
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 28.0% 7 18
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Richardson says Green remains quick, dangerous and tough, has superior accuracy and defense, and should be able to draw Ribovics’ aggression into counters and takedowns.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 73.0% (27 hit, 10 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 10.0% (1 hit, 9 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 73.0% 27 10
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Clenbat selects King Green in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 49 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.1% (27 hit, 22 miss, across 49 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 37.5% (3 hit, 5 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 49 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.1% 27 22
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
The Finz Chats selects King Green in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 12 of 22 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.5% (12 hit, 10 miss, across 22 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 42.9% (3 hit, 4 miss, across 7 method-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 22 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 22 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 12 10
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Shakiel Mahjouri picks King Green to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 25 of 46 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 54.3% (25 hit, 21 miss, across 46 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (10 hit, 10 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 9 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 46 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 46 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 25 21
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 10 10
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Schweppe picks King Green by decision.
Track record: winner called in 53 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.5% (53 hit, 46 miss, across 99 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 47.2% (25 hit, 28 miss, across 53 method-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 round-scored calls on 99 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (10 hit, 20 miss, across 30 underdog calls on 99 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.5% 53 46
- Method Accuracy 47.2% 25 28
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 10 20
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Favors Green’s straight punches against Ribovics’s hooks and willingness to trade, expecting a competitive decision.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 52.4% (11 hit, 10 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 80.0% (4 hit, 1 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 66.7% (2 hit, 1 miss, across 3 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 21 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 52.4% 11 10
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA selects King Green by ko/tko in round 3.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.4% (37 hit, 35 miss, across 72 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.3% (19 hit, 11 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 57.1% (8 hit, 6 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 72 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.1% (3 hit, 10 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 72 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.4% 37 35
- Method Accuracy 63.3% 19 11
- Round Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
- Underdog Accuracy 23.1% 3 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Favors Green’s slick striking against Ribovics, who he expects to stand and trade.
Track record: winner called in 6 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (6 hit, 6 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 16.7% (1 hit, 5 miss, across 6 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 4 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 4
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Sub · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Sees Green’s experience and grappling allowing him to submit Ribovics in the second round.
Track record: winner called in 7 of 15 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 46.7% (7 hit, 8 miss, across 15 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 method-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 2 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 15 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (1 hit, 2 miss, across 3 underdog calls on 15 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Chris Cross picks King Green by decision, trusting Green's recent winning run, experience, and takedown route against Esteban Ribovics.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 20 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 40.0% (8 hit, 12 miss, across 20 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 method-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 20 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 20 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 8 12
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
FIGHT//AI’s selected value bet names King Green.
Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 32.0% 49 104
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 20 80
Current pick evidence
Picked: King Green · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Expects Green’s experience to help him read Ribovics’s pace and speed and win a decision.
Track record: winner called in 3 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 30.0% (3 hit, 7 miss, across 10 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 10 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 underdog calls on 10 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Expects Ribovics’s pressure and head kicks to produce a second-round knockout of Green.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 12 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 91.7% (11 hit, 1 miss, across 12 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 90.9% (10 hit, 1 miss, across 11 method-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 44.4% (4 hit, 5 miss, across 9 round-scored calls on 12 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 91.7% 11 1
- Method Accuracy 90.9% 10 1
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
He expects a close, technical first round, then thinks Ribovics' aggressive combinations, kicks at the ends of combinations, pace, and durability will overwhelm Green in round two. He notes that Green can land counters and has previously upset favorites, but predicts Ribovics by second-round knockout.
- He expects Ribovics' pace and output to become too much in the second round.
“Estebon Rivovich knocking out Bobby Green in the second round.”
* Green's counters could test Ribovics' durability, though he still expects Ribovics to absorb shots and overwhelm Green with pace.
Track record: winner called in 115 of 163 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.6% (115 hit, 48 miss, across 163 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.8% (47 hit, 29 miss, across 76 method-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 36.5% (19 hit, 33 miss, across 52 round-scored calls on 163 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 52.9% (9 hit, 8 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 163 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
- Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
- Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
- Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
FightIQ's public record lists Esteban Ribovics as its pick over King Green.
Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 159 68
- Method Accuracy 39.9% 59 89
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 55.0% 11 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Esteban Ribovics by ko/tko.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 56 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 67.9% (38 hit, 18 miss, across 56 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 62.1% (18 hit, 11 miss, across 29 method-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 56 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 50.0% (4 hit, 4 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 56 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 67.9% 38 18
- Method Accuracy 62.1% 18 11
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Chiesa favors Ribovics' pressure, volume and combinations of punches and kicks. He wants Ribovics to attack Green's legs and keep exchanges in open space, rather than take the bait of pressuring Green against the fence. He expects a close fight and acknowledges that Green could win.
- He expects a close fight with fight-of-the-night potential.
“I'm going with Estabbon Rivik, and I'll tell you why.”
Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 50 25
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 2 10
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Expects Ribovics to exploit Green’s low hands with a head kick and get an early second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 14 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 66.7% (14 hit, 7 miss, across 21 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 66.7% (6 hit, 3 miss, across 9 method-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 21 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy: No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 14 7
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Sees Ribovics’s head kicks troubling Green’s bob-and-weave defense, with Green potentially surviving to the scorecards.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 37 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.9% (24 hit, 13 miss, across 37 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.9% (14 hit, 9 miss, across 23 method-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 21.4% (3 hit, 11 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 37 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 37 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.9% 24 13
- Method Accuracy 60.9% 14 9
- Round Accuracy 21.4% 3 11
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Tony Sink selects Esteban Ribovics in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 11 of 17 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 64.7% (11 hit, 6 miss, across 17 resolved calls). Method Accuracy: No method picks. Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 17 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 64.7% 11 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Livid Larry MMA selects Esteban Ribovics in a winner-only call.
Track record: winner called in 34 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 63.0% (34 hit, 20 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 79.2% (19 hit, 5 miss, across 24 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 75.0% (3 hit, 1 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 38.5% (5 hit, 8 miss, across 13 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 63.0% 34 20
- Method Accuracy 79.2% 19 5
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Underdog Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
MMA JOEY selects Esteban Ribovics.
Track record: winner called in 78 of 125 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 62.4% (78 hit, 47 miss, across 125 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 46.6% (27 hit, 31 miss, across 58 method-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 28.1% (9 hit, 23 miss, across 32 round-scored calls on 125 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (7 hit, 14 miss, across 21 underdog calls on 125 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 62.4% 78 47
- Method Accuracy 46.6% 27 31
- Round Accuracy 28.1% 9 23
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 7 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Lynch picks Ribovics by second-round knockout.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 59 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 61.0% (36 hit, 23 miss, across 59 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 45.0% (9 hit, 11 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 5 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 59 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 59 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 61.0% 36 23
- Method Accuracy 45.0% 9 11
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Garrett Kerman picks Esteban Ribovics to beat King Green by second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 60.6% (20 hit, 13 miss, across 33 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 25.0% (1 hit, 3 miss, across 4 round-scored calls on 33 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 33 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 35.7% 5 9
- Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Kunath selects Esteban Ribovics by ko/tko in round 2.
Track record: winner called in 38 of 65 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.5% (38 hit, 27 miss, across 65 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 56.7% (17 hit, 13 miss, across 30 method-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 65 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 65 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.5% 38 27
- Method Accuracy 56.7% 17 13
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Bodetti favors Ribovics’s cleaner, faster, higher-volume striking and expects him to handle Green’s occasional wrestling. He sees Green’s age as another reason to favor Ribovics.
Track record: winner called in 29 of 50 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 58.0% (29 hit, 21 miss, across 50 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (3 hit, 2 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (1 hit, 0 miss, across 1 round-scored calls on 50 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 underdog calls on 50 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 58.0% 29 21
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Expects Ribovics’s pressure, cardio, striking technique and body work to overwhelm Green, who he thought absorbed too much damage against McKinney. Acknowledges Ribovics’s defensive lapses.
Track record: winner called in 55 of 95 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 57.9% (55 hit, 40 miss, across 95 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 63.8% (30 hit, 17 miss, across 47 method-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 60.0% (6 hit, 4 miss, across 10 round-scored calls on 95 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 23.5% (4 hit, 13 miss, across 17 underdog calls on 95 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 57.9% 55 40
- Method Accuracy 63.8% 30 17
- Round Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
- Underdog Accuracy 23.5% 4 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Fight Productions selects Esteban Ribovics by ko/tko in round 2.
Track record: winner called in 37 of 66 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 56.1% (37 hit, 29 miss, across 66 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 75.7% (28 hit, 9 miss, across 37 method-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 41.7% (10 hit, 14 miss, across 24 round-scored calls on 66 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (2 hit, 6 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 66 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 37 29
- Method Accuracy 75.7% 28 9
- Round Accuracy 41.7% 10 14
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 2 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Brian Campbell picks Esteban Ribovics to win by second-round TKO.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 55.8% (24 hit, 19 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 65.0% (13 hit, 7 miss, across 20 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 7.1% (1 hit, 13 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 25.0% (3 hit, 9 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 55.8% 24 19
- Method Accuracy 65.0% 13 7
- Round Accuracy 7.1% 1 13
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 3 9
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Shelton says Ribovics has better cardio and is more technical, and expects him to land heavy shots and get a TKO in the first or second round.
Track record: winner called in 62 of 116 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 53.4% (62 hit, 54 miss, across 116 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 87.5% (7 hit, 1 miss, across 8 method-scored calls on 116 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (3 hit, 15 miss, across 18 underdog calls on 116 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 53.4% 62 54
- Method Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 3 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
The MMA Yuda selects Esteban Ribovics.
Track record: winner called in 30 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 51.7% (30 hit, 28 miss, across 58 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 0.0% (0 hit, 1 miss, across 1 method-scored calls on 58 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No qualifying picks. Underdog Accuracy 40.0% (4 hit, 6 miss, across 10 underdog calls on 58 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 30 28
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO · Round 1
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Walk The Line MMA selects Esteban Ribovics by ko/tko in round 1.
Track record: winner called in 27 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 50.0% (27 hit, 27 miss, across 54 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 57.9% (11 hit, 8 miss, across 19 method-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 round-scored calls on 54 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 underdog calls on 54 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 27 27
- Method Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
- Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Underdog Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · Dec
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Brandon Wise picks Esteban Ribovics to win by unanimous decision.
Track record: winner called in 21 of 43 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (21 hit, 22 miss, across 43 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (6 hit, 9 miss, across 15 method-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 12.5% (1 hit, 7 miss, across 8 round-scored calls on 43 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 8.3% (1 hit, 11 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 43 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 21 22
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 6 9
- Round Accuracy 12.5% 1 7
- Underdog Accuracy 8.3% 1 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Fight result: Esteban Ribovics · KO/TKO
Picks Ribovics by knockout despite rooting for Green. He expects Ribovics’s youth, explosiveness, durability, pressure and combinations to overwhelm Green after Green initially looks good at distance.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
Winner Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 85.7% (12 hit, 2 miss, across 14 method-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 100.0% (2 hit, 0 miss, across 2 round-scored calls on 41 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 14.3% (1 hit, 6 miss, across 7 underdog calls on 41 resolved calls).
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 12 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Analyst picks: Hank Hit; Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Hit; FightIQ Hit; Jimbo Ortega MMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; Matt Hit; The MMA Guru Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; Brent Brookhouse Miss; Fite Feed Hit; Tony Sink Hit; Mate Bersenadze Miss; Livid Larry MMA Hit; Picks with the Geek 2 Miss; MMA JOEY Hit; HopperMMA Miss; James Lynch Hit; Garrett Kerman Hit; MMA Mathletes Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Miss; Kunath Hit; The Octagon Oracle Miss; Angelo Bodetti Hit; Artem MMA Hit; BeewolfMMA Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Fight Productions Hit; Brian Campbell Hit; Clenbat Miss; The Finz Chats Miss; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Chris Schweppe Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; D.Rose Miss; The MMA Yuda Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Miss; Walk The Line MMA Hit; Vinny Miss; Brandon Wise Hit; mmadbm Hit; Gerardo Rivas Miss; Chris Cross Miss; FIGHT//AI Miss; Carlos Cano Miss.
22 of 46 called the winner.
Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).
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The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Each agent’s latest pre-fight call vs result; forecast dates may differ. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Ribovics · KO/TKO · R1
Closest probability Gemini put 69% on Ribovics.
AI Predictions — latest pre-fight calls
Frozen final publication identity; the calls below retain each agent’s own publication.AI Predictions
Each agent’s latest pre-fight forecast. Dates are shown per agent.
ChatGPT
63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Ribovics
Most likely: Ribovics by KO/TKO, about 34 in 100
Win chance: Green 35%, Ribovics 65%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Claude
61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Pick Ribovics
Most likely: Ribovics by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
Win chance: Green 40%, Ribovics 60%.
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Gemini
68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
Pick Ribovics
Most likely: Ribovics by decision, about 36 in 100
Win chance: Green 31%, Ribovics 69%.
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
3 of 3 models pick Ribovics.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Green: 35%.
Claude
Ribovics: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Green: 40%.
Gemini
Ribovics: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Green: 31%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Ribovics by decision: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Ribovics by decision (28%); 3. Green by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Ribovics by decision (25%); 3. Green by decision (19%)
Gemini
1. Ribovics by decision (36%); 2. Ribovics by KO/TKO (29%); 3. Green by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 65% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Ribovics's 60% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 69% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 50%. Decision: 50%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 46%. Decision: 54%.
How does Green win?
ChatGPT
Green wins 35%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
Claude
Green wins 40%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%, decision 19%.
Gemini
Green wins 31%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Ribovics win?
ChatGPT
Ribovics wins 65%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%, decision 28%.
Claude
Ribovics wins 60%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Ribovics wins 69%: KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%, decision 36%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (22%).
Claude
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (19%).
Gemini
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (18%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
All models
The models agree: all 3 pick Ribovics.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Claude
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Gemini
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Ribovics by decision (36%).
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 43%, submission 7%, decision 50%.
Claude
KO/TKO 48%, submission 8%, decision 44%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 7%, decision 54%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 37%, against 13% for Green.
Claude
Ribovics: 35%, against 21% for Green.
Gemini
Ribovics: 33%, against 13% for Green.
Can Green get the finish? Can Ribovics?
ChatGPT
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%). Ribovics: 37% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%).
Claude
Green: 21% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 35% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%).
Gemini
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 33% (KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Green is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 3%. Ribovics is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Green is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 5%. Ribovics is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Green is knocked out in 29% and submitted in 4%. Ribovics is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Green by decision: 18%. Ribovics by decision: 36%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Green wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Green wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Green wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
50%.
Claude
44%.
Gemini
54%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Green 44%, Ribovics 56%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Green 43%, Ribovics 57%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Green 33%, Ribovics 67%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Ribovics by decision, 36% here against 27% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (65%).
Claude
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (60%).
Gemini
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (69%).
Which model is most confident on Green, and which on Ribovics?
All models
On Green: Claude (40%). On Ribovics: Gemini (69%).
Where do the models disagree most?
All models
Ribovics by decision: from 25% (Claude) to 36% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Fite Feed (Ribovics by decision), Brandon Wise (Ribovics by decision) and FightIQ (Ribovics by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Ribovics, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
All models
Yes.
ChatGPT
Pick
Ribovics
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Ribovics by KO/TKO, about 34 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Green 35%, Ribovics 65%.
Most likely outcomes
- Ribovics by KO/TKO34%
- Ribovics by decision28%
- Green by decision22%
- KO/TKO: Green 9%, Ribovics 34%.
- Submission: Green 4%, Ribovics 3%.
- Decision: Green 22%, Ribovics 28%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Green: 35%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Ribovics: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Green: 40%.
Gemini
Ribovics: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Green: 31%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
ChatGPT
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Other models' answers
Claude
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Gemini
Ribovics by decision: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
ChatGPT
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Ribovics by decision (28%); 3. Green by decision (22%)
Other models' answers
Claude
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Ribovics by decision (25%); 3. Green by decision (19%)
Gemini
1. Ribovics by decision (36%); 2. Ribovics by KO/TKO (29%); 3. Green by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 65% win chance.
Other models' answers
Claude
6 of 10, based on Ribovics's 60% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 69% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 50%. Decision: 50%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 46%. Decision: 54%.
How does Green win?
ChatGPT
Green wins 35%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Green wins 40%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%, decision 19%.
Gemini
Green wins 31%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Ribovics win?
ChatGPT
Ribovics wins 65%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%, decision 28%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Ribovics wins 60%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%, decision 25%.
Gemini
Ribovics wins 69%: KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%, decision 36%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
ChatGPT
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (22%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (19%).
Gemini
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (18%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
ChatGPT
The models agree: all 3 pick Ribovics.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
ChatGPT
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Ribovics by decision (36%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 43%, submission 7%, decision 50%.
Other models' answers
Claude
KO/TKO 48%, submission 8%, decision 44%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 7%, decision 54%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 37%, against 13% for Green.
Other models' answers
Claude
Ribovics: 35%, against 21% for Green.
Gemini
Ribovics: 33%, against 13% for Green.
Can Green get the finish? Can Ribovics?
ChatGPT
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%). Ribovics: 37% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Green: 21% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 35% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%).
Gemini
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 33% (KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
ChatGPT
Green is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 3%. Ribovics is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 4%.
Other models' answers
Claude
Green is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 5%. Ribovics is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 3%.
Gemini
Green is knocked out in 29% and submitted in 4%. Ribovics is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Other models' answers
Claude
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
ChatGPT
Green wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
Claude
Green wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Gemini
Green wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
ChatGPT
50%.
Other models' answers
Claude
44%.
Gemini
54%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Green 44%, Ribovics 56%.
Other models' answers
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Green 43%, Ribovics 57%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Green 33%, Ribovics 67%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
ChatGPT
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (65%).
Other models' answers
Claude
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (60%).
Gemini
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (69%).
Which model is most confident on Green, and which on Ribovics?
ChatGPT
On Green: Claude (40%). On Ribovics: Gemini (69%).
Where do the models disagree most?
ChatGPT
Ribovics by decision: from 25% (Claude) to 36% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Other models' answers
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
ChatGPT
Yes.
gpt-6-astra · 27 Sep63 of 108 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Ribovics
Confidence 6 of 10 · Medium
Most likely: Ribovics by KO/TKO, about 30 in 100
The model's predicted finish round: 2.
Win chance: Green 40%, Ribovics 60%.
Most likely outcomes
- Ribovics by KO/TKO30%
- Ribovics by decision25%
- Green by decision19%
- KO/TKO: Green 18%, Ribovics 30%.
- Submission: Green 3%, Ribovics 5%.
- Decision: Green 19%, Ribovics 25%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Claude
Ribovics: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Green: 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Green: 35%.
Gemini
Ribovics: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Green: 31%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Claude
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Gemini
Ribovics by decision: 36% (about 36 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Claude
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Ribovics by decision (25%); 3. Green by decision (19%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Ribovics by decision (28%); 3. Green by decision (22%)
Gemini
1. Ribovics by decision (36%); 2. Ribovics by KO/TKO (29%); 3. Green by decision (18%)
How confident is the model?
Claude
6 of 10, based on Ribovics's 60% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 65% win chance.
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 69% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 50%. Decision: 50%.
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 46%. Decision: 54%.
How does Green win?
Claude
Green wins 40%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%, decision 19%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green wins 35%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
Gemini
Green wins 31%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
How does Ribovics win?
Claude
Ribovics wins 60%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%, decision 25%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics wins 65%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%, decision 28%.
Gemini
Ribovics wins 69%: KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%, decision 36%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Claude
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (19%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (22%).
Gemini
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (18%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Claude
The models agree: all 3 pick Ribovics.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Claude
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Other models' answers
Gemini
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Ribovics by decision (36%).
More questions (16)
The result 6 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Claude
KO/TKO 48%, submission 8%, decision 44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 43%, submission 7%, decision 50%.
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 7%, decision 54%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Claude
Ribovics: 35%, against 21% for Green.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 37%, against 13% for Green.
Gemini
Ribovics: 33%, against 13% for Green.
Can Green get the finish? Can Ribovics?
Claude
Green: 21% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 35% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%). Ribovics: 37% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%).
Gemini
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 33% (KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Claude
Green is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 5%. Ribovics is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 3%. Ribovics is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 4%.
Gemini
Green is knocked out in 29% and submitted in 4%. Ribovics is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Claude
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Gemini
Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Claude
Green wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Gemini
Green wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Claude
44%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
50%.
Gemini
54%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Green 43%, Ribovics 57%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Green 44%, Ribovics 56%.
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Green 33%, Ribovics 67%.
Compared with others 3 questions
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Claude
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (60%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (65%).
Gemini
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (69%).
Which model is most confident on Green, and which on Ribovics?
Claude
On Green: Claude (40%). On Ribovics: Gemini (69%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Claude
Ribovics by decision: from 25% (Claude) to 36% (Gemini).
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Claude
Yes.
claude-sonnet-5 · 27 Sep61 of 101 winner picks correct · 60% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Ribovics
Confidence 7 of 10 · High
Most likely: Ribovics by decision, about 36 in 100
Win chance: Green 31%, Ribovics 69%.
Most likely outcomes
- Ribovics by decision36%
- Ribovics by KO/TKO29%
- Green by decision18%
- KO/TKO: Green 10%, Ribovics 29%.
- Submission: Green 3%, Ribovics 4%.
- Decision: Green 18%, Ribovics 36%.
Questions
The result 7 questions
Who wins, and how likely?
Gemini
Ribovics: 69% (about 69 in 100 fights). Green: 31%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 65% (about 65 in 100 fights). Green: 35%.
Claude
Ribovics: 60% (about 60 in 100 fights). Green: 40%.
What is the single most likely outcome?
Gemini
Ribovics by decision: 36% (about 36 in 100).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 34% (about 34 in 100).
Claude
Ribovics by KO/TKO: 30% (about 30 in 100).
What are the three most likely outcomes, and why?
Gemini
1. Ribovics by decision (36%); 2. Ribovics by KO/TKO (29%); 3. Green by decision (18%)
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (34%); 2. Ribovics by decision (28%); 3. Green by decision (22%)
Claude
1. Ribovics by KO/TKO (30%); 2. Ribovics by decision (25%); 3. Green by decision (19%)
How confident is the model?
Gemini
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 69% win chance.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
7 of 10, based on Ribovics's 65% win chance.
Claude
6 of 10, based on Ribovics's 60% win chance.
Does it end early or go to the judges?
Gemini
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 46%. Decision: 54%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 50%. Decision: 50%.
Claude
Finish (KO/TKO or submission): 56%. Decision: 44%.
How does Green win?
Gemini
Green wins 31%: KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%, decision 18%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green wins 35%: KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%, decision 22%.
Claude
Green wins 40%: KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%, decision 19%.
How does Ribovics win?
Gemini
Ribovics wins 69%: KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%, decision 36%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics wins 65%: KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%, decision 28%.
Claude
Ribovics wins 60%: KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%, decision 25%.
What if 1 question
What is the upset path?
Gemini
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (18%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (22%).
Claude
Green's most likely upset: Green by decision (19%).
Compared with others 1 question
Do the models agree?
Gemini
The models agree: all 3 pick Ribovics.
After the fight 1 question
What happened vs what the model said?
Gemini
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's number 2 outcome. Its most likely outcome was Ribovics by decision (36%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
Claude
Result: Ribovics by KO/TKO in round 1. Ribovics by KO/TKO was the model's most likely outcome.
More questions (19)
The result 7 questions
KO/TKO vs submission vs decision overall
Gemini
KO/TKO 39%, submission 7%, decision 54%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
KO/TKO 43%, submission 7%, decision 50%.
Claude
KO/TKO 48%, submission 8%, decision 44%.
Who is more likely to finish the other?
Gemini
Ribovics: 33%, against 13% for Green.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Ribovics: 37%, against 13% for Green.
Claude
Ribovics: 35%, against 21% for Green.
Can Green get the finish? Can Ribovics?
Gemini
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 10%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 33% (KO/TKO 29%, submission 4%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green: 13% (KO/TKO 9%, submission 4%). Ribovics: 37% (KO/TKO 34%, submission 3%).
Claude
Green: 21% (KO/TKO 18%, submission 3%). Ribovics: 35% (KO/TKO 30%, submission 5%).
Who is more likely to be knocked out, and who to be submitted?
Gemini
Green is knocked out in 29% and submitted in 4%. Ribovics is knocked out in 10% and submitted in 3%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green is knocked out in 34% and submitted in 3%. Ribovics is knocked out in 9% and submitted in 4%.
Claude
Green is knocked out in 30% and submitted in 5%. Ribovics is knocked out in 18% and submitted in 3%.
How lopsided is this fight?
Gemini
Lopsided: 69% vs 31%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Lopsided: 65% vs 35%.
Claude
A clear favourite: 60% vs 40%.
Each fighter's single most likely way to win
Gemini
Green by decision: 18%. Ribovics by decision: 36%.
How big an upset would it be if the underdog wins?
Gemini
Green wins 31% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Green wins 35% (about 1 in 3 fights): a big upset.
Claude
Green wins 40% (about 1 in 3 fights): a modest upset.
Timing 1 question
Chance it goes to a decision
Gemini
54%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
50%.
Claude
44%.
What if 1 question
If it goes to the judges, who wins?
Gemini
If it goes to the judges: Green 33%, Ribovics 67%.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
If it goes to the judges: Green 44%, Ribovics 56%.
Claude
If it goes to the judges: Green 43%, Ribovics 57%.
Compared with others 5 questions
Where does this model differ from the others?
Gemini
Biggest difference: Ribovics by decision, 36% here against 27% on average for the others.
How does it compare with analyst picks?
Gemini
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (69%).
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (65%).
Claude
Of 46 analyst picks, 24 back Green and 22 back Ribovics. This model picks Ribovics (60%).
Which model is most confident on Green, and which on Ribovics?
Gemini
On Green: Claude (40%). On Ribovics: Gemini (69%).
Where do the models disagree most?
Gemini
Ribovics by decision: from 25% (Claude) to 36% (Gemini).
Which analyst agrees most with this model?
Gemini
Fite Feed (Ribovics by decision), Brandon Wise (Ribovics by decision) and FightIQ (Ribovics by decision): the same winner and method as this model, tied; this model favours Ribovics, most likely by decision.
How sure 4 questions
When was this forecast made, and by which model version?
Gemini
On 29 Sep 2026, by a model version the provider did not report.
Other models' answers
ChatGPT
On 27 Sep 2026, by gpt-6-astra.
Claude
On 27 Sep 2026, by claude-sonnet-5.
What can't the model know?
FightCard
Models research public information before the fight, such as records, styles, recent results and coverage. They cannot see inside training camps, injuries nobody has reported, or what happens on the night. A small chance is not no chance: outcomes the model rates at a few percent still happen, and big favourites lose sometimes.
How is "confidence" worked out?
FightCard
Confidence restates the favourite's win chance on a 10-step scale: the win chance in tens, rounded, so 55% is 6 of 10 and 95% or more is 10 of 10. 1 to 3 reads Low, 4 to 6 Medium and 7 to 10 High. A favourite usually has at least half the chance, so most picks show 5 or more. When the model has the fighters exactly even, there is no pick and no confidence level. It is not a separate judgement by the model.
What counts as a KO, a decision or a draw?
FightCard
KO/TKO includes referee, doctor and corner stoppages, and disqualifications. A decision includes a fight stopped early and scored on the judges' cards. A stoppage between rounds counts as a finish in the round that just ended. A draw and a no contest share one outcome.
After the fight 1 question
Was the actual result in this model's top 3?
Gemini
Yes.
Version not reported · 29 Sep68 of 108 winner picks correct · 63% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET
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