Next Fight model

UFC prediction model

Next Fight is an independent MMA media project. Its UFC forecasts use logistic regression trained on fight history.

Scorecard

Called 5 of 8 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1

Hit Miss

Call History

Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.

underdog pick   favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.

UFC 333

Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Oct 24, 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Event scorecard

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
  • Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
  • Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Analyst prediction scorecards
FightPickActualWinnerMethodRound
Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Dawson · to winDawson · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 77.4%. Lucindo · to winLucindo · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Underdog call, market price 41.4%. Gugnon · to winSteele · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 81.2%. Yakhyaev · to winYakhyaev · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 82.2%. Chopurov · to winThicknesse · Dec R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 58.3%. Vagaev · to winVagaev · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Favourite call, market price 50.2%. Evloev · to winVolkanovski · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Favourite call, market price 54.0%. Volkov · to winVolkov · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called

Videos

No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.

Watch all of Next Fight model's video picks in the library