Kurtis Campbell defeats Trevor Peek by Submission
Campbell vs Peek · Hooker vs. Parnasse
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What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Campbell opened with front kicks to the body and a head kick that cut Peek near the right eye, then took him down repeatedly and passed to mount for elbow-heavy ground-and-pound.
Rounds two and three repeated it: takedown, back control, body triangle, punches and elbows. Peek could stand up but never break away.
With the body triangle set, Campbell worked his arm under the chin and finished it.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Paris: Hooker vs Parnasse — Results
- Round-by-round play-by-playUFC Paris 'Hooker vs. Parnasse' play-by-play, results & round scoring
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; AJ Hit; HopperoMMA Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; Mike Finch Hit.
All 8 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results8 scored · 8 hits · 0 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Sub | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Expects Campbell's kicking and takedown game to break down a Peek returning from injury, ending in a choke. “I think Pink Panther just takes him down, gets on his back, eventually locks up a rear naked choke.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Dec | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Calls Campbell the safe side on current momentum, keeping a Peek knockout only as a separate value aside. “I think you go Campbell decision.” Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Dec | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects Campbell's wrestling and ground-and-pound to control Peek, whose takedown defence he calls a major hole. “give me Kurtis Campbell to win. Kurtis Campbell to win this fight by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to win | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Rates Campbell the far more skilled grappler despite an ugly last performance. “So, I'm just going to go with the better actual fight the person who has the better skills at the sport that they will compete be competing in. So, Curtis Campbell.” Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to win | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Calls it a low-confidence pick leaning on Campbell's jiu-jitsu, while flagging concern about his chin. “I am going to predict Curtis Campbell,” Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Sub · R1 | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Expects Campbell's grappling to overwhelm a rusty, defensively loose Peek early. “I'm going to go with Curtis Campbell by submission in the first round.” Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Dec | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects Campbell's grappling edge to control Peek and win the scorecards. “So I'll say Campbell does enough with the grappling, lands some decent shots on the feet by just being a little bit sharper.” Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Sub | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Trusts Campbell's jiu-jitsu and live submission threat against an inactive, weight-dropping Peek. “I'm going Pink Panther. Pink Panther.” Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
8 of 8 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 7 sportsbooks
Favoured: Campbell (77%) Called it
Campbell def. Peek · Sub R3
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 8-1-0
- Record
- 9-3-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- England
- Nationality
- United States
- KC Fight Base, Liverpool Combat Academy, The MMA Academy
- Team
- Powell's Martial Arts Concepts, Academy of Athletics
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Campbell
Campbell is 8-1 and 24 years old, giving up seven years to Peek. His UFC sample is one short fight — a 03:26 average — but inside it he attempted ten takedowns, which reads as an 8.76 takedown average per 15 minutes against a man whose takedown defence is 53%.
Case for Peek
Peek lands 4.39 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy to Campbell’s 3.50 at 48%, and carries a 0.41 knockdown average to Campbell’s 0.00. His 12:06 average fight time against Campbell’s 03:26 is the deep-water advantage.
What We Were Watching For
- Campbell’s 8.76 takedown average comes from a 03:26 sample of ten attempts; treat it as intent, not an established rate.
- Peek has 319 significant strikes landed in the UFC to Campbell’s 24.
- Peek absorbs 3.88 a minute behind 44% defence — the softer target of the two.
- Seven-year age gap: Campbell 24, Peek 31. Identical 1.75 m height, Campbell 5 cm longer in reach.
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