Matthieu Duclos defeats Luis Felipe Dias by KO/TKO
Duclos vs Dias · Hooker vs. Parnasse
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More from this fight.
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Dias had the better of the first four minutes with hard body kicks, a knee to the midsection and power punching from both hands, while Duclos worked behind his jab.
As Dias came in, Duclos clipped him with a check left hook that dropped him, then followed with hammerfists to end it.
Duclos followed the knockdown with hammerfists and ended it with 25 seconds remaining in the round.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Paris: Hooker vs Parnasse — Results
- Round-by-round play-by-playUFC Paris 'Hooker vs. Parnasse' play-by-play, results & round scoring
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; AJ Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; HopperoMMA Miss; Mike Finch Miss.
All 8 analyst scorecardsWinner, method and round results8 scored · 6 hits · 2 misses
| Predicted by | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duclos · KO/TKO | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Rates Duclos' reach and counter-striking as the tool to catch a chin-up, square-standing Dias. “going to go with Duduco to win this one by KO.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 126 resolved picks. | |||||
| Duclos · KO/TKO · R2 | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Points to Duclos' knockout tally against a Dias already finished by strikes twice. “I'll take uh Ducolos uh by second round knockout to get it done over Diaz.” Track record: winner called in 26 of 36 resolved picks. | |||||
| Duclos · KO/TKO · R2 | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
| Impressed by Duclos' power, kicks and clinch work, and expects Dias' cardio to fade as the fight extends. “Duclo to win by second round knockout.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 112 resolved picks. | |||||
| Duclos · to win | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Prefers Duclos' patient, accurate counter striking to Dias' less disciplined overhand-heavy pressure. “I don't hate the Tal Duclos. I never would have bet on him like this, but I do think he wins the fight.” Track record: winner called in 79 of 121 resolved picks. | |||||
| Duclos · KO/TKO | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Points to Dias never checking kicks as the opening for Duclos' leg kicks and mobility. “I think that Ducllo is a tricky matchup for Luis Phipe Diaz. And I'm going to pick Ducllo here.” Track record: winner called in 75 of 109 resolved picks. | |||||
| Duclos · to win | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Backs Duclos' sharper technical striking to catch a slowing Dias, without settling on finish or decision. “in terms of a pick, I'll say Dlo gets it done.” Track record: winner called in 60 of 90 resolved picks. | |||||
| Dias · to win | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Calls it a genuine toss-up between two finishers and leans to Dias as the more experienced and rounded of the two. “I'm probably leaning towards Luis Felipe Diaz winning this fight.” Track record: winner called in 58 of 92 resolved picks. | |||||
| Dias · Sub | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Takes Dias for his grappling advantage and physicality, predicting a club-and-submission finish. “I'M GOING WITH THE POWER PUNCHER.” Track record: winner called in 30 of 49 resolved picks. | |||||
6 of 8 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 10-3-0
- Record
- 18-5-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- France
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Woirin Team Elite
- Team
- Vale Top Team
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Duclos
Duclos wins by knockout or not at all: eight of his ten wins are knockouts, none by submission, and he conceded no takedowns at 100% defence in his one Contender Series bout. At 196 cm he holds an 8 cm reach advantage, and fights in front of a French crowd.
Case for Dias
Dias has finished seventeen of his eighteen wins — nine knockouts and eight submissions, one decision in an 18-5 career. He carries a 4.52 takedown average per 15 minutes and a 1.13 submission average into a fight with a man who has zero submission wins.
What We Were Watching For
- Duclos absorbs 6.81 significant strikes a minute — the highest figure on this card — behind 46% defence.
- Dias has one decision win in eighteen. Duclos has two in ten, and no submissions at all.
- Duclos stuffed every takedown attempt in that one Contender Series bout; Dias attempts 4.52 per 15 minutes but has landed 0 of 7 in the UFC.
- Both average under eight minutes a fight: 07:38 for Duclos, 06:39 for Dias.
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