UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse  5 Sep 2026 · Accor Arena, Paris, France, FR

Pavel Andrusca defeats Nathaniel Wood by unanimous decision

Loss Nathaniel Wood 23-7-0
Win Pavel Andrusca 9-0-0
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Wood vs Andrusca · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

A double-leg takedown, clinch work and right hands over the top took round one against a feinting Wood.

A Wood right hand briefly dropped Andrusca in round two; Andrusca recovered with a takedown and an arm-triangle frame to buy time, then closed the round with a jumping knee, an elbow and a late takedown.

In round three Andrusca stayed glued to Wood, opened a cut near his hairline, and finished with a single-leg and top control for the last ninety seconds.

Judges' scorecards
  • Ludovic Dandine30–27
  • Clemens Werner30–27
  • Ben Cartlidge29–28
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Wood

Wood is 23-6-0 across 29 professional fights and has taken his last 10 to the scorecards, winning 8 of them. He lands 5.64 significant strikes a minute and holds 6 cm of reach on the night, 175 cm to 169. Three of the men he has shared a cage with are on this same card: he outpointed Losene Keita and Morgan Charrière, and lost a decision to Muhammad Naimov.

Case for Andrusca

Andrusca arrives 8-0-0 with 7 of those eight wins ending inside the distance and 5 of them inside a single round. His last four finishes came at 2:09, 3:53, 2:39 and 1:38, and at 24 he is 9 years the younger man. He has been past the second round exactly once in his career.

What We Were Watching For

  • Neither man has been stopped recently for opposite reasons: 10 straight Wood fights have gone the full distance, and 5 of Andrusca's last eight never left the first round.
  • Andrusca has never fought in the UFC, so there is no Octagon tape on him; his eight wins come from UAE Warriors, Vendetta Fight Nights, Khan Fight and Eagles FC.
  • Reach favours Wood by 6 cm (175 to 169), height favours Andrusca by 2 cm.
  • If it reaches round three it is Wood's fight to lose; every one of Andrusca's finishes has come before it.
Records & career stats
Wood vs Andrusca
23-6-0
Record
8-0-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
England
Nationality
Moldova
33
Age
24
5′6″168 cm
Height — Andrusca leads
5′7″170 cm
69″175 cm
Reach — Wood leads
67″169 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
—
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
78%
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Wood leads
6
5
Wins by submissionSub wins — Wood leads
1
5.36
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Wood leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.33
4.19
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Andrusca leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1.87
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Andrusca leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
67%
75%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
—
13:38
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
15:00

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nathaniel Wood · Dec

Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision

FightIQ's public record lists Nathaniel Wood as its pick over Pavel Andrusca.

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 12:30 HopperMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Nathaniel Wood · Dec

Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision

Rates Wood's technical striking far above a short-notice regional debutant.

“I'm going Nathaniel Wood to win this one by decision.”

Track record: winner called in 92 of 148 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 62.2% (92 hit, 56 miss, across 148 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.8% (45 hit, 29 miss, across 74 method-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 48.8% (20 hit, 21 miss, across 41 round-scored calls on 148 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 26.9% (7 hit, 19 miss, across 26 underdog calls on 148 resolved calls).

View full track record (148 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 8:20 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Pavel Andrusca · KO/TKO

Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision

Expects Andrusca's accurate boxing to catch Wood on the way out of an exchange; states it as a gut read off the tape.

“I'm thinking Andruschka flukes a KO here in the second or third.”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Pavel Andrusca

Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision

FIGHT//AI’s replay record preserves its original live winner selection: Pavel Andrusca.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; FightIQ Miss; HopperMMA Miss; FIGHT//AI Hit.

2 of 4 called the winner.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

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Market Odds

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