Zaynukov vs Rzepecki — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night
Red corner
- 8-0-0
- Record
- 10-0-0
- 15.67
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
Blue corner
Expectations
- 7
- Analyst picksAnalysts — red corner unanimousAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. A side label appears only when at least three picks are logged.
- 0
Full Tale of the Tape · +11 more stats · radar
- 8-0-0
- Record
- 10-0-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Orthodox
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Russia
- Nationality
- Poland
- Eagles MMA
- Team
- Top Fit Center Piotrkow Trybunalski
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Zaynukov
Zaynukov brings the Dagestani template to an unbeaten record. Training out of the Nurmagomedov school, 'Wild Chanco' is 8-0 with a Muay Thai base bolted onto the grappling pressure that region has made famous, and he has already been tested internationally at UAE Warriors and on the Contender Series. He is the more proven of the two perfect records.
Case for Rzepecki
Rzepecki is a 10-0 finisher making the UFC walk for the first time. 'The Butcher' has stopped nine of ten opponents — a 90% finish rate split between knockouts and submissions — carving through Poland's FEN scene. He is the bigger unknown and a genuine finishing threat; the question is whether that regional stoppage rate translates the moment the level jumps.
What to Watch
- Two zeros: one of these unbeaten records ends tonight — who handles the first real adversity of their career?
- Wrestling vs finishing: Zaynukov's grappling pressure against Rzepecki's stoppage power — who dictates where the fight happens?
- The debut jump: Rzepecki has never fought on this stage — does UFC-level competition dull a regional finishing record?
- Zaynukov's decisions: three of his eight wins went the distance — can he finish, or does he need to grind rounds?
Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
All 7 see it go the distance.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: picks Zaynukov — Decision
Backs Zaynukov's broader striking and grappling tools to carry a decision over the durable Rzepecki.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: picks Zaynukov — to win
Favors Zaynukov's rhythm, body and leg work, and higher perceived level as he begins his UFC career against Rzepecki.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter track record building Michael Chiesa: picks Zaynukov — to win
Expects Zaynukov's output and well-rounded camp experience to overwhelm Rzepecki and find a finish inside two rounds, without naming a specific method or round.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: picks Zaynukov — to win
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 20 of 33 HopperoMMA: picks Zaynukov — to win
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: picks Zaynukov — to win
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 22 of 37 We Want Picks: picks Zaynukov — to win
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 37 resolved picks.
Fan Picks
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