Tuchalov vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night
- Wins
- 5
- Losses
- 0
- Draws
- 0
Red corner
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 17-10-0
- Not published
- Reach
- 206 cm
- Not published
- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 3.04
Blue corner
Expectations
- 7
- Analyst picksAnalysts — red corner unanimousAnalyst picksCounts all published analyst picks logged for this fight. A side label appears only when at least three picks are logged.
- 0
Full Tale of the Tape · +10 more stats · radar
- 5-0-0
- Record
- 17-10-0
- 5-0 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-3 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- —
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- Russia
- Nationality
- Brazil
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
What to expect
Case for Tuchalov
Tuchalov is an unbeaten 26-year-old Russian fighting out of Dubai, with all six wins by stoppage and no fight reaching a third round, per the UFC preview. His March stoppage of UFC alum Caio Machado is the clearest recent marker of that fast-starting profile.
Case for Ribeiro
Ribeiro has already navigated the Contender Series and owns UFC wins over Caio Machado and Diyar Nurgozhay. The UFC preview also notes three straight first-round stoppage losses, so his case is about using that experience to survive the opening danger and turn the bout into a different kind of test.
What to Watch
- Tuchalov's first UFC round: does the all-stoppage pattern translate immediately?
- Ribeiro's ability to get past the early exchanges after three first-round stoppage losses.
- Whether Tuchalov can keep the fight standing long enough to build on the Caio Machado win.
- The difference between Tuchalov's unbeaten newcomer status and Ribeiro's UFC experience.
Analysts
Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.
1 of 7 see a finish — 1 by submission.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 32 of 47 DFS By The Numbers: picks Tuchalov — Sub · R1
Expects Tuchalov to exploit Ribeiro's defensive grappling weakness for a first-round submission.
Track record: winner called in 32 of 47 resolved picks, 13 a perfect call.
AJ Betting deskAnalyst called 24 of 30 AJ: picks Tuchalov — to win
Favors Tuchalov's wrestling and striking advantage, with a ground-and-pound finish one possible outcome.
Track record: winner called in 24 of 30 resolved picks, 15 a perfect call.
Michael Chiesa AnalystFighter track record building Michael Chiesa: picks Tuchalov — to win
Names Tuchalov as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.
Track record builds as we verify their past calls.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 8 of 10 JakeGerberMMA: picks Tuchalov — to win
Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 8 of 10 resolved picks.
HopperoMMA Analyst called 20 of 33 HopperoMMA: picks Tuchalov — to win
Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 20 of 33 resolved picks, 8 a perfect call.
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 36 of 58 Bedtime MMA: picks Tuchalov — to win
Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 36 of 58 resolved picks, 18 a perfect call.
We Want Picks Betting desk called 22 of 37 We Want Picks: picks Tuchalov — to win
Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.
Track record: winner called in 22 of 37 resolved picks.
Fan Picks
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Videos
Signature clips and the lead-up to this fight.
Before the fight · 1 clip
Fighters
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