UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov  25 Jul 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Magomed Tuchalov defeats Brendson Ribeiro by unanimous decision

Win Magomed Tuchalov 7-0-0
Loss Brendson Ribeiro 17-11-0
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Tuchalov vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Ribeiro backed Tuchalov up and landed a late right hand in round one.

Tuchalov settled into the fight after the opening-round adversity.

Tuchalov earned the unanimous decision.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Tuchalov

Tuchalov is an unbeaten 26-year-old Russian fighting out of Dubai, with all six wins by stoppage and no fight reaching a third round, per the UFC preview. His March stoppage of UFC alum Caio Machado is the clearest recent marker of that fast-starting profile.

Case for Ribeiro

Ribeiro has already navigated the Contender Series and owns UFC wins over Caio Machado and Diyar Nurgozhay. The UFC preview also notes three straight first-round stoppage losses, so his case is about using that experience to survive the opening danger and turn the bout into a different kind of test.

What We Were Watching For

  • Tuchalov's first UFC round: does the all-stoppage pattern translate immediately?
  • Ribeiro's ability to get past the early exchanges after three first-round stoppage losses.
  • Whether Tuchalov can keep the fight standing long enough to build on the Caio Machado win.
  • The difference between Tuchalov's unbeaten newcomer status and Ribeiro's UFC experience.
Records & career stats
Tuchalov vs Ribeiro
Tuchalov Ribeiro
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.33 2.94
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 67% 54%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.6 3.56
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 100% 32%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 86% 94%
6-0-0
Record
17-10-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Russia
Nationality
Brazil
26
Age
29
6′5″196 cm
Height — Tuchalov leads
6′3″191 cm
Not published
Reach
81″206 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
86%
Finish rateFinish % — Ribeiro leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
94%
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Ribeiro leads
9
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ribeiro leads
8
2.33
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Ribeiro leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.94
2.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Tuchalov leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.56
67%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Tuchalov leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Tuchalov leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
32%
15:00
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:33
Timur Valiev Gym
Team
Brazilian TKO

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 5:24 Bedtime MMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“lot of this. Um I'm going to go with Tushelov to win this one by KO in the”

Track record: winner called in 132 of 185 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 71.4% (132 hit, 53 miss, across 185 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 61.9% (60 hit, 37 miss, across 97 method-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 40.7% (11 hit, 16 miss, across 27 round-scored calls on 185 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 48.7% (19 hit, 20 miss, across 39 underdog calls on 185 resolved calls).

View full track record (185 calls)
FightIQ
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov · KO/TKO

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

FightIQ's public record lists Magomed Tuchalov as its pick over Brendson Ribeiro.

Track record: winner called in 159 of 227 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 70.0% (159 hit, 68 miss, across 227 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 39.9% (59 hit, 89 miss, across 148 method-scored calls on 227 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 55.0% (11 hit, 9 miss, across 20 underdog calls on 227 resolved calls).

View full track record (227 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 1:51 Michael Chiesa on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Tuchalov as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

“very skilled fighter. Next up, Magamemed Tucav over Brennesen Hero. Taking Tucav.”

Track record: winner called in 50 of 75 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 66.7% (50 hit, 25 miss, across 75 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 40.0% (2 hit, 3 miss, across 5 method-scored calls on 75 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 16.7% (2 hit, 10 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 75 resolved calls).

View full track record (75 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 18:50 JakeGerberMMA on YouTube ↗

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“of Habaro early uh in round one. Give me Maggamemed Tuchalov by round one”

Track record: winner called in 101 of 154 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 65.6% (101 hit, 53 miss, across 154 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 60.0% (39 hit, 26 miss, across 65 method-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Round Accuracy 35.7% (5 hit, 9 miss, across 14 round-scored calls on 154 resolved calls). Underdog Accuracy 33.3% (4 hit, 8 miss, across 12 underdog calls on 154 resolved calls).

View full track record (154 calls)
FIGHT//AI
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brendson Ribeiro

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

FIGHT//AI’s replay record preserves its original live winner selection: Brendson Ribeiro.

Track record: winner called in 49 of 153 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

Winner Accuracy 32.0% (49 hit, 104 miss, across 153 resolved calls). Method Accuracy 50.0% (1 hit, 1 miss, across 2 method-scored calls on 153 resolved calls). Round Accuracy: No round picks. Underdog Accuracy 20.0% (20 hit, 80 miss, across 100 underdog calls on 153 resolved calls).

View full track record (153 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; FightIQ Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; FIGHT//AI Miss.

4 of 5 nailed it.

Chart: selected analyst picks, not a win probability. Pill badge: Winner hit rate (total scored picks before this event).

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

This fight is settled. Eligible pre-fight AI forecasts load when this page is online.

Market Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.